NOV Stock Analysis: NOV | NYSE

Oil & Gas Equipment & Services | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 7.279m USD | 12M Return: 62.2% | US62955J1034 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Drilling Equipment, Drill Bits, Submersible Pumps, Drill Pipe
Total Rating 58
Safety 81
Buy Signal 0.18
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Industry Rotation: +7.2
Market Cap: 7.28B
Avg Turnover: 63.6M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility37.1%
VaR 5th Pctl6.25%
VaR vs Median2.09%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.38
Rel. Str. IBD74.1
Rel. Str. Peer Group67.1
Character TTM
Beta0.952
Beta Downside1.246
Hurst Exponent0.468
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD47.15%
CAGR/Max DD0.04
CAGR/Mean DD0.10
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of NOV over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": -0.03, "2021-09": -0.12, "2021-12": -0.08, "2022-03": -0.13, "2022-06": 0.16, "2022-09": 0.08, "2022-12": 0.19, "2023-03": 0.2, "2023-06": 0.29, "2023-09": 0.29, "2023-12": 1.6, "2024-03": 0.24, "2024-06": 0.33, "2024-09": 0.33, "2024-12": 0.41, "2025-03": 0.19, "2025-06": 0.34, "2025-09": 0.23, "2025-12": -0.52, "2026-03": 0.11, "2026-06": 0.31,
EPS CAGR: -61.56%
EPS Trend: -79.6%
Last SUE: 0.55
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of NOV over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 1417, 2021-09: 1341, 2021-12: 1517, 2022-03: 1548, 2022-06: 1727, 2022-09: 1889, 2022-12: 2073, 2023-03: 1962, 2023-06: 2093, 2023-09: 2185, 2023-12: 2343, 2024-03: 2155, 2024-06: 2216, 2024-09: 2191, 2024-12: 2308, 2025-03: 2103, 2025-06: 2188, 2025-09: 2176, 2025-12: 2277, 2026-03: 2052, 2026-06: 2134,
Rev. CAGR: 0.56%
Rev. Trend: 26.2%
Last SUE: 1.08
Qual. Beats: 1

Warnings

P/E Ratio 75.6

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan +0.9% 21
Feb -3.1% 6
Mar -1.3% 5
Apr +2.1% 2
May -3.1% 5
Jun +1.1% 18
Jul +1.1% 10
Aug -3.0% 0
Sep -1.1% 16
Oct -0.7% 0
Nov +0.1% 0
Dec +3.7% 0

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: NOV NOV

NOV Inc. (formerly National Oilwell Varco) is a global provider of systems, components, and products serving the oil and gas drilling and production industry, along with industrial and renewable energy markets. Founded in 1862 and headquartered in Houston, Texas, the company operates through two segments: Energy Equipment and Energy Products and Services. Its offerings span drill bits, downhole tools, completion equipment (including frac plugs and sleeves), artificial lift systems, drilling rigs (land and offshore), tubular goods, subsea solutions, processing/separations equipment, and pumps used across the upstream, midstream, and renewable energy value chains.

The company is classified within the GICS Energy sector, specifically the Oil & Gas Equipment & Services sub-industry, and trades as a mid-cap stock on the NYSE. Its diversified product portfolio-covering drilling rigs, capital equipment for hydraulic stimulation and coiled tubing, marine construction, and composite pipe-positions it as a broad-based supplier to energy operators and industrial customers rather than a pure-play services contractor.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • US rig count rebound drives consumables and drill bit revenue
  • Energy Equipment backlog expansion signals offshore capex recovery
  • Share repurchases and debt reduction accelerate capital returns
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.5
Net Income: 96.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.98 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 39.34% < 20% (prev 40.30%; Δ -0.95% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 916.0m > Net Income 96.0m
Net Debt (1.78b) to EBITDA (782.0m): 2.28 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.42 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (364.0m) vs 12m ago -3.19% < -2%
Gross Margin: 20.53% > 18% (prev 21.10%; Δ -0.57% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 76.58% > 50% (prev 77.36%; Δ -0.78% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.80 > 6 (EBIT TTM 418.0m / Interest Expense TTM 87.0m)
Altman Z'' 3.37
A: 0.30 (Total Current Assets 5.79b - Total Current Liabilities 2.39b) / Total Assets 11.2b
B: -0.06 (Retained Earnings -639.0m / Total Assets 11.2b)
C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 418.0m / Avg Total Assets 11.3b)
D: 1.26 (Book Value of Equity 6.21b / Total Liabilities 4.94b)
Altman-Z'' = 3.37 = A
Beneish M -3.27
DSRI: 0.72 (Receivables 1.81b/2.56b, Revenue 8.64b/8.79b)
GMI: 1.03 (GM 21.10% / 20.53%)
AQI: 0.96 (AQ_t 0.26 / AQ_t-1 0.27)
SGI: 0.98 (Revenue 8.64b / 8.79b)
TATA: -0.07 (NI 96.0m - CFO 916.0m) / TA 11.2b)
Beneish M = -3.27 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of NOV shares?

As of August 28, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 20.76 with a total of 3,788,842 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.42%, over one month by +1.42%, over three months by +3.53% and over the past year by +62.18%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 19.80 (which is 4.6% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is NOV a buy, sell or hold?

NOV has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.54. Therefore, it is recommended to hold NOV.

  • StrongBuy: 5
  • Buy: 7
  • Hold: 9
  • Sell: 2
  • StrongSell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the NOV price?
Analysts Target Price 22.2 7.1%
NOV (NOV) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 23 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 7.28b (7.28b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 75.6296
P/E Forward = 21.322
P/S = 0.8426
P/B = 1.1645
P/EG = 1.1195
Revenue TTM = 8.64b USD
EBIT TTM = 418.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 782.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.69b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 114.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.95b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 620.0m
Net Debt = 1.78b USD (calculated: Debt 2.95b - CCE 1.16b)
Enterprise Value = 9.06b USD (7.28b + Debt 2.95b - CCE 1.16b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.80 (Ebit TTM 418.0m / Interest Expense TTM 87.0m)
EV/FCF = 16.12x (Enterprise Value 9.06b / FCF TTM 562.0m)
FCF Yield = 6.20% (FCF TTM 562.0m / Enterprise Value 9.06b)
FCF Margin = 6.51% (FCF TTM 562.0m / Revenue TTM 8.64b)
Net Margin = 1.11% (Net Income TTM 96.0m / Revenue TTM 8.64b)
Gross Margin = 20.53% ((Revenue TTM 8.64b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.87b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 24.41% (prev 18.47%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.81 (Enterprise Value 9.06b / Total Assets 11.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.95% (Interest Expense 87.0m / Debt 2.95b)
Taxrate = 26.11% (41.0m / 157.0m)
NOPAT = 308.8m (EBIT 418.0m * (1 - 26.11%))
Current Ratio = 2.42 (Total Current Assets 5.79b / Total Current Liabilities 2.39b)
Debt / Equity = 0.47 (Debt 2.95b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 6.21b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.28 (Net Debt 1.78b / EBITDA 782.0m)
Debt / FCF = 3.17 (Net Debt 1.78b / FCF TTM 562.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 6.29b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.85% (Net Income 96.0m / Total Assets 11.2b)
RoE = 1.53% (Net Income TTM 96.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 6.29b)
RoCE = 5.24% (EBIT 418.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 6.29b + L.T.Debt 1.69b))
RoIC = 3.64% (NOPAT 308.8m / Invested Capital 8.49b)
WACC = 7.27% (E(7.28b)/V(10.2b) * Re(9.33%) + D(2.95b)/V(10.2b) * Rd(2.95%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 9.33% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -98.07 | Cagr: -3.78%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈700.8m ; Y1≈614.6m ; Y5≈496.5m
[DCF] Fair Price = 17.36 (EV 7.97b - Net Debt 1.78b = Equity 6.19b / Shares 356.5m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -79.63 | EPS CAGR: -61.56% | SUE: 0.55 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 26.16 | Revenue CAGR: 0.56% | SUE: 1.08 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.25 | Chg30d=+0.49% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=13
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.88 | Chg30d=+10.97% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+126.7% | GrowthRev=-0.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.26 | Chg30d=-0.96% | Revisions=+21% | GrowthEPS=+42.5% | GrowthRev=+5.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +30% (up=20, down=10)