(NRG) NRG Energy - Overview

Sector: Utilities | Industry: Utilities - Independent Power Producers | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 32.428m USD | Total Return: 78.8% in 12m

Electricity, Natural Gas, Home Services, Energy Trading
Total Rating 54
Safety 82
Buy Signal 0.04
Utilities - Independent Power Producers
Industry Rotation: -1.4
Market Cap: 32.4B
Avg Turnover: 314M USD
ATR: 4.21%
Peers RS (IBD): 67.8
Risk 5d forecast
Volatility53.2%
Rel. Tail Risk-11.1%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.23
Alpha27.13
Character TTM
Beta1.814
Beta Downside0.380
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD26.22%
CAGR/Max DD2.74
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of NRG over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 3.61, "2021-06": 4.4, "2021-09": 6.6, "2021-12": -1.73, "2022-03": 7.17, "2022-06": 2.16, "2022-09": 0.29, "2022-12": -4.45, "2023-03": -5.82, "2023-06": 1.25, "2023-09": 1.41, "2023-12": 2.02, "2024-03": 2.31, "2024-06": 3.37, "2024-09": 1.9, "2024-12": 1.52, "2025-03": 2.62, "2025-06": 1.68, "2025-09": 2.78, "2025-12": 1.04, "2026-03": 0,
EPS CAGR: -7.86%
EPS Trend: 36.0%
Last SUE: -4.00
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of NRG over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 8091, 2021-06: 5243, 2021-09: 6609, 2021-12: 7046, 2022-03: 7896, 2022-06: 7282, 2022-09: 8510, 2022-12: 7855, 2023-03: 7722, 2023-06: 6348, 2023-09: 7946, 2023-12: 6807, 2024-03: 7429, 2024-06: 6659, 2024-09: 7223, 2024-12: 6819, 2025-03: 8585, 2025-06: 6740, 2025-09: 7635, 2025-12: 7750, 2026-03: null,
Rev. CAGR: -0.50%
Rev. Trend: -16.6%
Last SUE: 0.83
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Choppy

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: NRG NRG Energy

NRG Energy, Inc. is an energy and home services company operating in the United States and Canada.

The company generates and sells electricity from diverse sources including coal, oil, solar, and natural gas. This reflects a common diversified energy generation strategy within the utilities sector.

NRGs business model encompasses retail electricity, energy management, and home services. This includes HVAC, home protection, and smart home solutions, indicating a broader scope than traditional utility providers.

The company serves a wide range of customers: residential, commercial, government, industrial, and wholesale.

NRG also engages in trading power, natural gas, and related commodities, a common practice for large energy companies to manage supply and demand risks.

Consider using ValueRay to explore NRGs financial performance in more detail.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Texas electricity demand and pricing significantly impact revenue
  • Vivint Smart Home subscriber growth drives service revenue expansion
  • Natural gas price fluctuations affect generation costs and profitability
  • Regulatory changes in energy markets pose financial risks
  • Weather patterns influence energy consumption and revenue generation
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 4.5
Net Income: 864.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -5.01 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 16.67% < 20% (prev 0.54%; Δ 16.13% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 1.91b > Net Income 864.0m
Net Debt (12.03b) to EBITDA (3.81b): 3.16 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.64 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (190.4m) vs 12m ago -9.13% < -2%
Gross Margin: 21.85% > 18% (prev 0.21%; Δ 2.16k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 115.5% > 50% (prev 117.1%; Δ -1.57% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.40 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 3.81b / Interest Expense TTM 772.0m)
Altman Z'' 1.92
A: 0.18 (Total Current Assets 13.15b - Total Current Liabilities 8.03b) / Total Assets 29.14b
B: 0.07 (Retained Earnings 1.98b / Total Assets 29.14b)
C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 1.85b / Avg Total Assets 26.58b)
D: 0.07 (Book Value of Equity 1.90b / Total Liabilities 27.46b)
Altman-Z'' Score: 1.92 = BBB
Beneish M -3.09
DSRI: 1.07 (Receivables 4.07b/3.49b, Revenue 30.71b/28.13b)
GMI: 0.98 (GM 21.85% / 21.44%)
AQI: 0.78 (AQ_t 0.42 / AQ_t-1 0.54)
SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 30.71b / 28.13b)
TATA: -0.04 (NI 864.0m - CFO 1.91b) / TA 29.14b)
Beneish M-Score: -3.09 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of NRG shares? As of April 12, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 164.07 with a total of 1,208,234 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +9.53%, over one month by +5.75%, over three months by +10.54% and over the past year by +78.82%.
Is NRG a buy, sell or hold? NRG Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.80. Therefor, it is recommend to hold NRG.
  • StrongBuy: 5
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 4
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the NRG price?
Analysts Target Price 201.9 23.1%
NRG Energy (NRG) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 12 April 2026
P/E Trailing = 37.9826
P/E Forward = 17.9533
P/S = 1.0558
P/B = 31.4527
P/EG = 1.3498
Revenue TTM = 30.71b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.85b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.81b USD
Long Term Debt = 16.41b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 66.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 16.77b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 12.03b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 42.27b USD (32.43b + Debt 16.77b - CCE 6.93b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.40 (Ebit TTM 1.85b / Interest Expense TTM 772.0m)
EV/FCF = 55.18x (Enterprise Value 42.27b / FCF TTM 766.0m)
FCF Yield = 1.81% (FCF TTM 766.0m / Enterprise Value 42.27b)
FCF Margin = 2.49% (FCF TTM 766.0m / Revenue TTM 30.71b)
Net Margin = 2.81% (Net Income TTM 864.0m / Revenue TTM 30.71b)
Gross Margin = 21.85% ((Revenue TTM 30.71b - Cost of Revenue TTM 24.00b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 32.79% (prev 13.54%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.45 (Enterprise Value 42.27b / Total Assets 29.14b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.66% (Interest Expense 278.0m / Debt 16.77b)
Taxrate = 19.85% (214.0m / 1.08b)
NOPAT = 1.49b (EBIT 1.85b * (1 - 19.85%))
Current Ratio = 1.64 (Total Current Assets 13.15b / Total Current Liabilities 8.03b)
Debt / Equity = 9.97 (Debt 16.77b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.68b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.16 (Net Debt 12.03b / EBITDA 3.81b)
Debt / FCF = 15.70 (Net Debt 12.03b / FCF TTM 766.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.18b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.25% (Net Income 864.0m / Total Assets 29.14b)
RoE = 39.65% (Net Income TTM 864.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.18b)
RoCE = 9.98% (EBIT 1.85b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.18b + L.T.Debt 16.41b))
RoIC = 10.57% (NOPAT 1.49b / Invested Capital 14.06b)
WACC = 8.60% (E(32.43b)/V(49.19b) * Re(12.36%) + D(16.77b)/V(49.19b) * Rd(1.66%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 12.36% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -7.40%
[DCF] Terminal Value 67.98% ; FCFF base≈1.19b ; Y1≈783.4m ; Y5≈358.2m
 [DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 6.42b - Net Debt 12.03b = -5.61b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
 EPS Correlation: 35.95 | EPS CAGR: -7.86% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -16.60 | Revenue CAGR: -0.50% | SUE: 0.83 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.67 | Chg7d=+0.014 | Chg30d=+0.084 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=9.11 | Chg7d=+0.044 | Chg30d=+0.107 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+10.6% | Growth Revenue=+13.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=11.30 | Chg7d=+0.026 | Chg30d=+0.297 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+24.0% | Growth Revenue=+3.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -0.20 (2 Up / 3 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 9.7% (Discount Rate 12.4% - Earnings Yield 2.6%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +6.3% (Analyst 16.1% - Implied 9.7%)
External Resources
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