Overview Dividends

(NRG) NRG Energy - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US6293775085

Electricity, Natural Gas, Retail Energy, Home Services

NRG EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): 86.58%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): 69.5%

NRG Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): -1.03%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): -1.7%

Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility	39.8%
Value at Risk 5%th	62.7%
Relative Tail Risk	-9.59%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	1.27
Alpha	60.26

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.444
Beta	1.668
Beta Downside	1.661

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	26.90%
Mean DD	8.33%
Median DD	6.37%

Description: NRG NRG Energy October 14, 2025

NRG Energy, Inc. (NYSE:NRG) and its subsidiaries operate as an integrated energy and home-services company across the United States and Canada, organized into six reporting segments: Texas; East; West/Services/Other; Vivint Smart Home; Corporate Activities; and a catch-all “Other.”

The firm generates and sells electricity from a diversified mix of sources-coal, oil, natural gas, solar, and battery storage-while also delivering a cloud-based smart-home platform that includes hardware, software, installation, customer service, technical support, and professional monitoring.

Beyond generation, NRG offers a broad retail portfolio: electricity supply, energy-management tools, line and surge protection, HVAC installation and maintenance, home-protection products, carbon offsets, demand-response programs, commodity sales, and energy-efficiency solutions. Its distributed-generation and low-carbon offerings encompass backup generation, storage, distributed solar, and advisory services.

The company actively trades power, natural-gas, environmental, weather, and financial derivatives (forwards, futures, options, swaps) to hedge exposure and capture market opportunities. Its brands-including NRG, Reliant, Direct Energy, Green Mountain Energy, and Vivint-serve residential, commercial, government, industrial, and wholesale customers.

Founded in 1989 and headquartered in Houston, Texas, NRG reported adjusted EBITDA of approximately $2.1 billion for FY 2023 and operates roughly 30 GW of generation capacity, with renewable assets now representing about 30 % of its net generation mix-a figure that is expected to rise as state-level decarbonization policies tighten. The firm’s earnings are particularly sensitive to natural-gas price volatility and to the regulatory trajectory of carbon-pricing mechanisms in its key markets.

For a deeper quantitative view of NRG’s valuation metrics, the ValueRay platform provides a concise dashboard of forward-looking fundamentals.

NRG Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	33,058m
Sub-Industry	Electric Utilities
IPO / Inception	2000-05-25
Return 12m vs S&P 500	59.4%
Analyst Rating	3.80 of 5

NRG Dividends

Dividend Yield	1.07%
Yield on Cost 5y	6.24%
Yield CAGR 5y	7.99%
Payout Consistency	87.6%
Payout Ratio	20.4%

NRG Growth Ratios

CAGR 3y	62.44%
CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio	2.32
CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio	7.50
Current Volume	2085.8k
Average Volume	2085.8k

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0

Net Income (1.44b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.79b TTM)

FCFTA 5.28 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 523.4pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue -24.82% (prev 4.49%; Δ -29.31pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 8.49 (>3.0%) and CFO 2.74b > Net Income 1.44b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (11.79b) to EBITDA (3.42b) ratio: 3.45 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 0.04 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (195.0m) change vs 12m ago -5.80% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 42.71% (prev 16.09%; Δ 26.62pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 247.7% (prev 118.5%; Δ 129.2pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 3.30 (EBITDA TTM 3.42b / Interest Expense TTM 616.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 57.72

1. Piotroski 7.0pt = 2.0

2. FCF Yield 3.81% = 1.90

3. FCF Margin 5.73% = 1.43

4. Debt/Equity 6.15 = -2.50

5. Debt/Ebitda 3.45 = -2.27

6. ROIC - WACC (= 1.04)% = 1.30

7. RoE 60.59% = 2.50

8. Rev. Trend -1.68% = -0.13

9. EPS Trend 69.49% = 3.47

What is the price of NRG shares?

As of November 15, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 165.19 with a total of 2,085,800 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.24%, over one month by +0.00%, over three months by +7.70% and over the past year by +82.71%.

Is NRG Energy a good stock to buy?

Neither. Based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, NRG Energy is currently (November 2025) neither a good nor a bad stock to buy. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 57.72 and therefor a neutral outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of NRG is around 229.82 USD . This means that NRG is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +39.12% (Margin of Safety).

Is NRG a buy, sell or hold?

NRG Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.80. Therefor, it is recommend to hold NRG.

Strong Buy: 5
Buy: 0
Hold: 4
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the NRG price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	208.1	26%
Analysts Target Price	208.1	26%
ValueRay Target Price	257.8	56%

NRG Fundamental Data Overview November 09, 2025

Market Cap USD = 33.06b (33.06b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 25.7848
P/E Forward = 19.4932
P/S = 1.1101
P/B = 19.7564
P/EG = 1.2913
Beta = 1.25
Revenue TTM = 29.78b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.03b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.42b USD
Long Term Debt = 9.81b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 813.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 12.11b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 11.79b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 44.85b USD (33.06b + Debt 12.11b - CCE 323.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.30 (Ebit TTM 2.03b / Interest Expense TTM 616.0m)
FCF Yield = 3.81% (FCF TTM 1.71b / Enterprise Value 44.85b)
FCF Margin = 5.73% (FCF TTM 1.71b / Revenue TTM 29.78b)
Net Margin = 4.84% (Net Income TTM 1.44b / Revenue TTM 29.78b)
Gross Margin = 42.71% ((Revenue TTM 29.78b - Cost of Revenue TTM 17.06b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 100.0% (prev 16.48%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 138.8 (set to none) (Enterprise Value 44.85b / Total Assets 323.0m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.54% (Interest Expense 187.0m / Debt 12.11b)
Taxrate = 36.13% (86.0m / 238.0m)
NOPAT = 1.30b (EBIT 2.03b * (1 - 36.13%))
Current Ratio = 0.04 (Total Current Assets 323.0m / Total Current Liabilities 7.71b)
Debt / Equity = 6.15 (Debt 12.11b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.97b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.45 (Net Debt 11.79b / EBITDA 3.42b)
Debt / FCF = 6.91 (Net Debt 11.79b / FCF TTM 1.71b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.38b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 446.1% (Net Income 1.44b / Total Assets 323.0m)
RoE = 60.59% (Net Income TTM 1.44b / Total Stockholder Equity 2.38b)
RoCE = 16.67% (EBIT 2.03b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.38b + L.T.Debt 9.81b))
RoIC = 10.20% (NOPAT 1.30b / Invested Capital 12.72b)
WACC = 9.16% (E(33.06b)/V(45.17b) * Re(12.16%) + D(12.11b)/V(45.17b) * Rd(1.54%) * (1-Tc(0.36)))
Discount Rate = 12.16% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -6.28%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 54.41% ; FCFE base≈1.51b ; Y1≈988.6m ; Y5≈452.1m
Fair Price DCF = 27.47 (DCF Value 5.26b / Shares Outstanding 191.6m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 69.49 | EPS CAGR: 86.58% | SUE: 0.59 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -1.68 | Revenue CAGR: -1.03% | SUE: 0.15 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for NRG Stock

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