(NRGV) Energy Vault Holdings - Ratings and Ratios
Battery, Gravity, Hydrogen, Software, Management
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 111% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 167% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.65% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.05 |
| Alpha | 77.89 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.270 |
| Beta | 2.468 |
| Beta Downside | 2.676 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 87.53% |
| Mean DD | 60.79% |
| Median DD | 64.16% |
Description: NRGV Energy Vault Holdings November 14, 2025
Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: NRGV) designs and deploys utility-scale energy storage systems across the United States, Australia, and other markets. Its portfolio includes the B-Vault electrochemical battery for short-duration needs, the space-efficient B-Nest enclosure, the long-duration G-Vault gravity-based storage, and the H-Vault hydrogen or hybrid solution. Complementary software-Vault-OS (energy-management), Vault-Bidder (ML-driven market bidding), and Vault-Manager (asset-lifecycle oversight)-ties the hardware together and enables integrated operation with generation assets.
Key market signals that could influence NRGV’s growth: (1) Renewable-penetration in the U.S. reached ~38 % of net generation in 2023, driving demand for both short- and long-duration storage to address intermittency; (2) The U.S. Inflation Reduction Act provides up to $4,000/kWh tax credits for eligible storage projects, improving the economics of gravity-based solutions like G-Vault; (3) Energy Vault reported a 2023 revenue run-rate of roughly $15 million and secured contracts totaling over 200 MW of storage capacity, indicating early commercial traction despite limited disclosed financials.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of Energy Vault’s valuation and risk profile, you may find ValueRay’s analytical dashboard a useful next step.
NRGV Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 532m |
| Sub-Industry | Electrical Components & Equipment |
| IPO / Inception | 2022-02-14 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 77.0% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.0 of 5 |
NRGV Dividends
Currently no dividends paidNRGV Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | -16.17% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | -0.18 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | -0.27 |
| Current Volume | 3319.1k |
| Average Volume | 2339.8k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0
| Net Income (-144.7m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 5.03m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.27 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -4.83pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -73.00% (prev 46.74%; Δ -119.7pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO -33.9m > Net Income -144.7m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 0.63 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (163.3m) change vs 12m ago 8.30% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 22.65% (prev 5.42%; Δ 17.23pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 31.36% (prev 51.79%; Δ -20.44pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -24.21 (EBITDA TTM -128.8m / Interest Expense TTM 5.43m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -12.57
| (A) -0.22 = (Total Current Assets 103.2m - Total Current Liabilities 164.4m) / Total Assets 281.9m |
| (B) -1.66 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -466.7m / Total Assets 281.9m |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -1.66 — check mapping/units |
| (C) -0.49 = EBIT TTM -131.3m / Avg Total Assets 267.4m |
| (D) -2.33 = Book Value of Equity -468.6m / Total Liabilities 201.3m |
| Total Rating: -12.57 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 30.96
| 1. Piotroski 2.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -13.37% |
| 3. FCF Margin -89.57% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.78 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.23 |
| 7. RoE -140.4% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -40.53% |
| 9. EPS Trend 45.73% |
What is the price of NRGV shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.79%, over one month by -24.68%, over three months by +80.86% and over the past year by +97.97%.
Is NRGV a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the NRGV price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 3.7 | 27.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 3.7 | 27.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 3.2 | 8.2% |
NRGV Fundamental Data Overview November 19, 2025
P/S = 6.3445
P/B = 6.4552
Beta = 0.944
Revenue TTM = 83.8m USD
EBIT TTM = -131.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = -128.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 31.6m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 29.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 62.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 29.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 561.7m USD (531.9m + Debt 62.5m - CCE 32.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -24.21 (Ebit TTM -131.3m / Interest Expense TTM 5.43m)
FCF Yield = -13.37% (FCF TTM -75.1m / Enterprise Value 561.7m)
FCF Margin = -89.57% (FCF TTM -75.1m / Revenue TTM 83.8m)
Net Margin = -172.6% (Net Income TTM -144.7m / Revenue TTM 83.8m)
Gross Margin = 22.65% ((Revenue TTM 83.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 64.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 27.04% (prev 29.56%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.99 (Enterprise Value 561.7m / Total Assets 281.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.45% (Interest Expense 2.78m / Debt 62.5m)
Taxrate = -26.01% (negative due to tax credits) (5.54m / -21.3m)
NOPAT = -165.5m (EBIT -131.3m * (1 - -26.01%)) [loss with tax shield] [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 0.63 (Total Current Assets 103.2m / Total Current Liabilities 164.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.78 (Debt 62.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 80.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.23 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 29.8m / EBITDA -128.8m)
Debt / FCF = -0.40 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 29.8m / FCF TTM -75.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 103.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -51.34% (Net Income -144.7m / Total Assets 281.9m)
RoE = -140.4% (Net Income TTM -144.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 103.0m)
RoCE = -97.57% (EBIT -131.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 103.0m + L.T.Debt 31.6m))
RoIC = -124.4% (out of range, set to none) (NOPAT -165.5m / Invested Capital 133.0m)
WACC = 14.11% (E(531.9m)/V(594.4m) * Re(15.11%) + D(62.5m)/V(594.4m) * Rd(4.45%) * (1-Tc(-0.26)))
Discount Rate = 15.11% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 81.65 | Cagr: 6.02%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -75.1m)
EPS Correlation: 45.73 | EPS CAGR: 30.83% | SUE: -1.15 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -40.53 | Revenue CAGR: -33.02% | SUE: -0.03 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for NRGV Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle