NUE Stock Analysis: Nucor | NYSE

Steel | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 53.109m USD | 12M Return: 99% | US6703461052 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Sheet Steel, Structural Steel, Steel Joists, Direct Reduced Iron
Total Rating 76
Safety 89
Buy Signal 1.94
Steel
Industry Rotation: +24.6
Market Cap: 53.1B
Avg Turnover: 325M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility35.7%
VaR 5th Pctl6.06%
VaR vs Median3.20%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio2.25
Rel. Str. IBD92.3
Rel. Str. Peer Group87
Character TTM
Beta1.262
Beta Downside1.047
Hurst Exponent0.607
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD47.79%
CAGR/Max DD0.41
CAGR/Mean DD1.05
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of NUE over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 5.18, "2021-09": 7.28, "2021-12": 8.04, "2022-03": 7.67, "2022-06": 9.67, "2022-09": 6.5, "2022-12": 4.89, "2023-03": 4.45, "2023-06": 5.81, "2023-09": 4.57, "2023-12": 3.16, "2024-03": 3.46, "2024-06": 2.68, "2024-09": 1.49, "2024-12": 1.22, "2025-03": 0.77, "2025-06": 2.65, "2025-09": 2.63, "2025-12": 1.73, "2026-03": 3.23, "2026-06": 4.84,
EPS CAGR: -25.35%
EPS Trend: -64.2%
Last SUE: 1.12
Qual. Beats: 2
Revenue Revenue of NUE over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 8789.164, 2021-09: 10313.223, 2021-12: 10364.412, 2022-03: 10493.282, 2022-06: 11794.474, 2022-09: 10500.755, 2022-12: 8723.956, 2023-03: 8709.98, 2023-06: 9523.256, 2023-09: 8776.233, 2023-12: 7704.531, 2024-03: 8137, 2024-06: 8077, 2024-09: 7444.16, 2024-12: 7075.585, 2025-03: 7830, 2025-06: 8456, 2025-09: 8521, 2025-12: 7687, 2026-03: 9496, 2026-06: 10397,
Rev. CAGR: -0.79%
Rev. Trend: -11.9%
Last SUE: 1.03
Qual. Beats: 2

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

Supp Ema8
Rs Leader
Idiosyncratic Leader
Confidence
Tailwind

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan +3.6% 11
Feb +1.5% 8
Mar -4.6% 21
Apr -0.1% 10
May -2.5% 21
Jun -0.8% 7
Jul +5.4% 67
Aug -3.4% 12
Sep -1.7% 19
Oct +3.0% 16
Nov +6.7% 43
Dec -1.6% 27

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: NUE Nucor

Nucor Corporation is a major U.S.-based steel manufacturer operating through three business segments: Steel Mills, Steel Products, and Raw Materials. The Steel Mills segment produces hot-rolled, cold-rolled, and galvanized sheet steel, plate steel, structural products such as wide-flange beams and H-piling, and bar steel products, selling to service centers, fabricators, and manufacturers across the U.S., Canada, and Mexico while also engaging in steel trading and rebar distribution. The Steel Products segment fabricates a broad range of downstream items including steel joists and joist girders, steel decking, hollow structural section tubing, electrical conduit, cold-finished steel, fasteners, grating, wire mesh, metal building systems, insulated panels, and utility towers, and also operates a piling distribution business. The Raw Materials segment produces direct reduced iron (DRI), brokers ferrous and nonferrous metals and pig iron, supplies ferro-alloys, processes scrap metal, and participates in natural gas and industrial gas production. Founded in 1905 and headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina, Nucor is widely recognized as the largest steel producer in the United States and is one of the leading operators of electric arc furnace (EAF) mini-mill technology, which relies primarily on recycled scrap steel as feedstock rather than traditional blast furnace methods.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Hot-rolled steel prices fall on weak construction demand
  • Scrap metal costs pressure steel mill margins
  • Section 232 tariffs extended supporting domestic steel pricing
  • New plate mill capacity ramp-up boosts production volumes
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 8.5
Net Income: 2.88b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 5.41 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 21.91% < 20% (prev 24.58%; Δ -2.67% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 4.42b > Net Income 2.88b
Net Debt (4.67b) to EBITDA (5.63b): 0.83 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.51 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (228.5m) vs 12m ago -1.00% < -2%
Gross Margin: 15.47% > 18% (prev 10.43%; Δ 5.04% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 101.4% > 50% (prev 90.03%; Δ 11.42% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 41.44 > 6 (EBIT TTM 4.18b / Interest Expense TTM 101.0m)
Altman Z'' 6.81
A: 0.21 (Total Current Assets 13.2b - Total Current Liabilities 5.25b) / Total Assets 37.0b
B: 0.90 (Retained Earnings 33.1b / Total Assets 37.0b)
C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 4.18b / Avg Total Assets 35.6b)
D: 1.62 (Book Value of Equity 22.1b / Total Liabilities 13.7b)
Altman-Z'' = 6.81 = AAA
Beneish M -3.25
DSRI: 1.02 (Receivables 4.04b/3.39b, Revenue 36.1b/30.8b)
GMI: 0.67 (GM 10.43% / 15.47%)
AQI: 0.90 (AQ_t 0.21 / AQ_t-1 0.24)
SGI: 1.17 (Revenue 36.1b / 30.8b)
TATA: -0.04 (NI 2.88b - CFO 4.42b) / TA 37.0b)
Beneish M = -3.25 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of NUE shares?

As of August 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 272.00 with a total of 932,231 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.82%, over one month by +21.47%, over three months by +16.42% and over the past year by +98.99%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 260.70 (which is 4.2% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is NUE a buy, sell or hold?

Nucor has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy NUE.

  • StrongBuy: 5
  • Buy: 5
  • Hold: 5
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the NUE price?
Analysts Target Price 280.3 3.1%
Nucor (NUE) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 01 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 53.1b (53.1b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 20.4487
P/E Forward = 18.0832
P/S = 1.6276
P/B = 2.6372
P/EG = 5.2129
Revenue TTM = 36.1b USD
EBIT TTM = 4.18b USD
EBITDA TTM = 5.63b USD
Long Term Debt = 6.67b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 710.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 7.36b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 258.0m
Net Debt = 4.67b USD (calculated: Debt 7.36b - CCE 2.69b)
Enterprise Value = 57.8b USD (53.1b + Debt 7.36b - CCE 2.69b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 41.44 (Ebit TTM 4.18b / Interest Expense TTM 101.0m)
EV/FCF = 36.50x (Enterprise Value 57.8b / FCF TTM 1.58b)
FCF Yield = 2.74% (FCF TTM 1.58b / Enterprise Value 57.8b)
FCF Margin = 4.38% (FCF TTM 1.58b / Revenue TTM 36.1b)
Net Margin = 7.99% (Net Income TTM 2.88b / Revenue TTM 36.1b)
Gross Margin = 15.47% ((Revenue TTM 36.1b - Cost of Revenue TTM 30.5b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 19.56% (prev 15.81%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.56 (Enterprise Value 57.8b / Total Assets 37.0b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.37% (Interest Expense 101.0m / Debt 7.36b)
Taxrate = 20.68% (849.0m / 4.11b)
NOPAT = 3.32b (EBIT 4.18b * (1 - 20.68%))
Current Ratio = 2.51 (Total Current Assets 13.2b / Total Current Liabilities 5.25b)
Debt / Equity = 0.33 (Debt 7.36b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 22.1b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.83 (Net Debt 4.67b / EBITDA 5.63b)
Debt / FCF = 2.95 (Net Debt 4.67b / FCF TTM 1.58b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 21.3b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.10% (Net Income 2.88b / Total Assets 37.0b)
RoE = 13.53% (Net Income TTM 2.88b / Total Stockholder Equity 21.3b)
RoCE = 14.95% (EBIT 4.18b / Capital Employed (Equity 21.3b + L.T.Debt 6.67b))
RoIC = 10.84% (NOPAT 3.32b / Invested Capital 30.6b)
WACC = 9.28% (E(53.1b)/V(60.5b) * Re(10.42%) + D(7.36b)/V(60.5b) * Rd(1.37%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.42% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -94.56 | Cagr: -2.79%
[DCF] Terminal Value 72.22% ; FCFF base≈1.58b ; Y1≈1.59b ; Y5≈1.68b
[DCF] Fair Price = 78.73 (EV 22.6b - Net Debt 4.67b = Equity 17.9b / Shares 227.7m; r=9.28% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -64.24 | EPS CAGR: -25.35% | SUE: 1.12 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -11.92 | Revenue CAGR: -0.79% | SUE: 1.03 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=5.76 | Chg30d=+9.80% | Revisions=+62% | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=18.54 | Chg30d=+9.84% | Revisions=+67% | GrowthEPS=+140.4% | GrowthRev=+23.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=18.14 | Chg30d=+6.33% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=-2.1% | GrowthRev=+1.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +76% (up=17, down=1)