(NUE) Nucor - Ratings and Ratios
Steel, Sheet, Bar, Beam, Rebar
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 32.0% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 49.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.36% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.17 |
| Alpha | -11.94 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.318 |
| Beta | 1.170 |
| Beta Downside | 1.329 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 47.79% |
| Mean DD | 19.49% |
| Median DD | 20.13% |
Description: NUE Nucor October 14, 2025
Nucor Corporation (NYSE:NUE) is a vertically integrated steel producer that operates through three primary segments: Steel Mills, Steel Products, and Raw Materials. The Steel Mills segment manufactures hot-rolled, cold-rolled, and galvanized sheet steel, plate steel, wide-flange beams, and bar steel, serving steel service centers, fabricators, and manufacturers across the United States, Canada, and Mexico. The Steel Products segment supplies a broad array of fabricated steel items-including joists, decks, torque tubes for solar arrays, structural tubing, conduit, fasteners, and utility towers-while also handling piling distribution. The Raw Materials segment produces direct reduced iron (DRI), brokers ferrous and non-ferrous metals, processes scrap, and operates a natural-gas and industrial-gas business, selling scrap to electric-arc furnace mills and other downstream users.
Recent financial data (2023) show Nucor generating roughly $31.5 billion in revenue with an EBITDA margin near 12%, and operating at about 80 % capacity utilization across its U.S. facilities. The company’s DRI output has risen to approximately 3 million tons annually, supporting its strategy to offset volatile scrap prices. Additionally, Nucor’s cash-flow conversion has consistently exceeded 1.5× EBITDA, underscoring its strong free-cash-flow generation relative to peers.
Key economic drivers for Nucor include U.S. construction activity (housing starts and commercial building permits), which directly influences demand for reinforcing and structural steel, and the price trajectory of scrap metal-a primary input for its electric-arc furnaces. Trade policy remains material: tariffs on imported steel can bolster domestic pricing but also invite retaliatory measures that affect export markets. Finally, natural-gas costs affect the profitability of its DRI and gas-related operations, making energy price volatility a notable risk factor.
For a deeper quantitative dive, you might explore Nucor’s metrics on ValueRay, where the platform aggregates recent earnings revisions and forward cash-flow estimates.
NUE Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 33,988m |
| Sub-Industry | Steel |
| IPO / Inception | 1983-09-01 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -9.61% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.0 of 5 |
NUE Dividends
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.49% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 4.45% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 7.68% |
| Payout Consistency | 97.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 30.9% |
NUE Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | 1.04% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.02 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 0.05 |
| Current Volume | 1139.2k |
| Average Volume | 1492.4k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (1.65b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.91b TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -6.06pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 23.68% (prev 26.48%; Δ -2.79pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 (>3.0%) and CFO 3.17b > Net Income 1.65b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (4.63b) to EBITDA (4.11b) ratio: 1.13 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.77 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (231.4m) change vs 12m ago -2.27% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 11.43% (prev 15.52%; Δ -4.10pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 92.25% (prev 91.31%; Δ 0.94pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 13.91 (EBITDA TTM 4.11b / Interest Expense TTM 190.3m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 7.42
| (A) 0.22 = (Total Current Assets 11.81b - Total Current Liabilities 4.26b) / Total Assets 34.78b |
| (B) 0.90 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 31.25b / Total Assets 34.78b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: 0.90 — check mapping/units |
| (C) 0.08 = EBIT TTM 2.65b / Avg Total Assets 34.56b |
| (D) 2.43 = Book Value of Equity 31.22b / Total Liabilities 12.85b |
| Total Rating: 7.42 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 46.36
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -0.87% |
| 3. FCF Margin -1.04% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.33 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.13 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -1.21)% |
| 7. RoE 8.11% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -47.32% |
| 9. EPS Trend -69.04% |
What is the price of NUE shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.95%, over one month by +7.75%, over three months by +3.02% and over the past year by +1.10%.
Is NUE a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 5
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the NUE price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 169.1 | 14.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 169.1 | 14.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 150.4 | 2.2% |
NUE Fundamental Data Overview November 20, 2025
P/E Trailing = 20.8875
P/E Forward = 13.8122
P/S = 1.066
P/B = 1.6382
P/EG = 0.75
Beta = 1.867
Revenue TTM = 31.88b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.65b USD
EBITDA TTM = 4.11b USD
Long Term Debt = 6.69b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 167.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 6.85b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 4.63b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 38.10b USD (33.99b + Debt 6.85b - CCE 2.75b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 13.91 (Ebit TTM 2.65b / Interest Expense TTM 190.3m)
FCF Yield = -0.87% (FCF TTM -330.8m / Enterprise Value 38.10b)
FCF Margin = -1.04% (FCF TTM -330.8m / Revenue TTM 31.88b)
Net Margin = 5.18% (Net Income TTM 1.65b / Revenue TTM 31.88b)
Gross Margin = 11.43% ((Revenue TTM 31.88b - Cost of Revenue TTM 28.24b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 13.94% (prev 14.46%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.10 (Enterprise Value 38.10b / Total Assets 34.78b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.55% (Interest Expense 38.0m / Debt 6.85b)
Taxrate = 22.65% (200.0m / 883.0m)
NOPAT = 2.05b (EBIT 2.65b * (1 - 22.65%))
Current Ratio = 2.77 (Total Current Assets 11.81b / Total Current Liabilities 4.26b)
Debt / Equity = 0.33 (Debt 6.85b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 20.77b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.13 (Net Debt 4.63b / EBITDA 4.11b)
Debt / FCF = -14.00 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 4.63b / FCF TTM -330.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 20.38b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.75% (Net Income 1.65b / Total Assets 34.78b)
RoE = 8.11% (Net Income TTM 1.65b / Total Stockholder Equity 20.38b)
RoCE = 9.78% (EBIT 2.65b / Capital Employed (Equity 20.38b + L.T.Debt 6.69b))
RoIC = 7.45% (NOPAT 2.05b / Invested Capital 27.47b)
WACC = 8.67% (E(33.99b)/V(40.84b) * Re(10.33%) + D(6.85b)/V(40.84b) * Rd(0.55%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 10.33% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.26%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -330.8m)
EPS Correlation: -69.04 | EPS CAGR: -20.19% | SUE: 0.79 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -47.32 | Revenue CAGR: -0.85% | SUE: 1.54 | # QB: 1
Additional Sources for NUE Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle