NVGS Stock Analysis: Navigator Holdings | NYSE
Oil & Gas Midstream | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 1.313m USD | 12M Return: 37.6% | MHY621321089 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 8.71M
EPS Trend: -1.6%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: 90.4%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Navigator Holdings Ltd. (NYSE: NVGS) is a London-based shipping company that owns and operates a fleet of 57 semi- or fully-refrigerated liquefied gas carriers transporting petrochemical gases, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), and ammonia worldwide for energy firms, industrial users, and commodity traders. The company also offers ship shore infrastructure and consultancy services. Incorporated in 1997 and renamed in 2006, Navigator operates within the Energy sectors Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation sub-industry, serving global supply chains for petrochemical feedstocks-ammonia being primarily used in agricultural fertilizer production, and LPG functioning as a key fuel and feedstock for heating, cooking, and petrochemical manufacturing.
- LPG and ammonia shipping rates strengthen on global demand
- Fleet renewal and expansion add vessel capacity
- Energy transition boosts ammonia as a hydrogen carrier
| Net Income: 140.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.56 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 25.90% < 20% (prev 24.43%; Δ 1.48% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 201.7m > Net Income 140.1m |
| Net Debt (657.9m) to EBITDA (332.7m): 1.98 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.71 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (62.4m) vs 12m ago -10.26% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 38.38% > 18% (prev 36.00%; Δ 2.38% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 26.14% > 50% (prev 23.80%; Δ 2.33% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.87 > 6 (EBIT TTM 209.5m / Interest Expense TTM 54.1m) |
| A: 0.07 (Total Current Assets 383.6m - Total Current Liabilities 224.4m) / Total Assets 2.32b |
| B: 0.19 (Retained Earnings 438.5m / Total Assets 2.32b) |
| C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 209.5m / Avg Total Assets 2.35b) |
| D: 1.18 (Book Value of Equity 1.24b / Total Liabilities 1.05b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.91 = A |
| DSRI: 1.26 (Receivables 67.1m/49.0m, Revenue 614.5m/566.9m) |
| GMI: 0.94 (GM 36.00% / 38.38%) |
| AQI: 1.01 (AQ_t 0.11 / AQ_t-1 0.11) |
| SGI: 1.08 (Revenue 614.5m / 566.9m) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 140.1m - CFO 201.7m) / TA 2.32b) |
| Beneish M = -2.80 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of August 24, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 22.15 with a total of 257,038 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.82%, over one month by +2.50%, over three months by -4.66% and over the past year by +37.64%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 20.90 (which is 5.6% or 1.9 ATR below the current price).
Navigator Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 5.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy NVGS.
- StrongBuy: 5
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 25.7 | 15.9% |
P/E Trailing = 9.8889
P/E Forward = 8.3195
P/S = 2.1376
P/B = 1.0698
P/EG = 4.42
Revenue TTM = 614.5m USD
EBIT TTM = 209.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 332.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 780.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 141.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 931.8m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 5.71m
Net Debt = 657.9m USD (calculated: Debt 931.8m - CCE 273.8m)
Enterprise Value = 1.97b USD (1.31b + Debt 931.8m - CCE 273.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.87 (Ebit TTM 209.5m / Interest Expense TTM 54.1m)
EV/FCF = 14.80x (Enterprise Value 1.97b / FCF TTM 133.2m)
FCF Yield = 6.76% (FCF TTM 133.2m / Enterprise Value 1.97b)
FCF Margin = 21.68% (FCF TTM 133.2m / Revenue TTM 614.5m)
Net Margin = 22.80% (Net Income TTM 140.1m / Revenue TTM 614.5m)
Gross Margin = 38.38% ((Revenue TTM 614.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 378.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 36.36% (prev 29.63%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.85 (Enterprise Value 1.97b / Total Assets 2.32b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.81% (Interest Expense 54.1m / Debt 931.8m)
Taxrate = 8.73% (14.2m / 162.4m)
NOPAT = 191.2m (EBIT 209.5m * (1 - 8.73%))
Current Ratio = 1.71 (Total Current Assets 383.6m / Total Current Liabilities 224.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.75 (Debt 931.8m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.24b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.98 (Net Debt 657.9m / EBITDA 332.7m)
Debt / FCF = 4.94 (Net Debt 657.9m / FCF TTM 133.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.22b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.96% (Net Income 140.1m / Total Assets 2.32b)
RoE = 11.48% (Net Income TTM 140.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.22b)
RoCE = 10.47% (EBIT 209.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.22b + L.T.Debt 780.4m))
RoIC = 8.66% (NOPAT 191.2m / Invested Capital 2.21b)
WACC = 6.52% (E(1.31b)/V(2.25b) * Re(7.39%) + D(931.8m)/V(2.25b) * Rd(5.81%) * (1-Tc(0.09)))
Discount Rate = 7.39% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -96.81 | Cagr: -7.18%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈100.8m ; Y1≈115.5m ; Y5≈170.0m
[DCF] Fair Price = 30.90 (EV 2.56b - Net Debt 657.9m = Equity 1.90b / Shares 61.5m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -1.61 | EPS CAGR: -0.37% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 90.38 | Revenue CAGR: 3.78% | SUE: 0.41 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.42 | Chg30d=-18.74% | Revisions=+29% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.78 | Chg30d=-6.93% | Revisions=+29% | GrowthEPS=+51.0% | GrowthRev=+17.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.74 | Chg30d=+0.24% | Revisions=+17% | GrowthEPS=-2.5% | GrowthRev=-11.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +36% (up=8, down=3)