NVGS Stock Analysis: Navigator Holdings | NYSE
Oil & Gas Midstream | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 1.149m USD | 12M Return: 37.5% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 9.11M
EPS Trend: 74.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 86.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Navigator Holdings Ltd. (NYSE: NVGS) is a London-based shipping company that owns and operates a fleet of 57 semi- or fully-refrigerated liquefied gas carriers transporting petrochemical gases, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), and ammonia worldwide for energy firms, industrial users, and commodity traders. The company also offers ship shore infrastructure and consultancy services. Incorporated in 1997 and renamed in 2006, Navigator operates within the Energy sectors Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation sub-industry, serving global supply chains for petrochemical feedstocks-ammonia being primarily used in agricultural fertilizer production, and LPG functioning as a key fuel and feedstock for heating, cooking, and petrochemical manufacturing.
- LPG and ammonia shipping rates strengthen on global demand
- Fleet renewal and expansion add vessel capacity
- Energy transition boosts ammonia as a hydrogen carrier
| Net Income: 108.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.73 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 6.88% < 20% (prev 3.68%; Δ 3.20% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 188.2m > Net Income 108.5m |
| Net Debt (709.3m) to EBITDA (304.9m): 2.33 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.15 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (65.6m) vs 12m ago -6.37% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 35.92% > 18% (prev 38.46%; Δ -2.53% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 25.46% > 50% (prev 25.77%; Δ -0.31% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.19 > 6 (EBIT TTM 178.2m / Interest Expense TTM 55.8m) |
| A: 0.02 (Total Current Assets 303.9m - Total Current Liabilities 264.3m) / Total Assets 2.26b |
| B: 0.18 (Retained Earnings 396.1m / Total Assets 2.26b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 178.2m / Avg Total Assets 2.26b) |
| D: 1.16 (Book Value of Equity 1.20b / Total Liabilities 1.03b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.43 = A |
| DSRI: 1.37 (Receivables 71.2m/52.7m, Revenue 576.2m/583.9m) |
| GMI: 1.07 (GM 38.46% / 35.92%) |
| AQI: 1.04 (AQ_t 0.12 / AQ_t-1 0.12) |
| SGI: 0.99 (Revenue 576.2m / 583.9m) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 108.5m - CFO 188.2m) / TA 2.26b) |
| Beneish M = -2.65 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 20.78 with a total of 324,800 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +11.54%, over one month by -5.63%, over three months by +3.74% and over the past year by +37.52%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 19.40 (which is 6.6% or 1.8 ATR below the current price).
Navigator Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 5.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy NVGS.
- StrongBuy: 5
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 25.3 | 21.5% |
P/E Trailing = 11.4938
P/E Forward = 8.4034
P/S = 1.9946
P/B = 0.961
P/EG = 4.42
Revenue TTM = 576.2m USD
EBIT TTM = 178.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 304.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 726.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 171.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 908.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 5.90m
Net Debt = 709.3m USD (calculated: Debt 908.9m - CCE 199.6m)
Enterprise Value = 1.86b USD (1.15b + Debt 908.9m - CCE 199.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.19 (Ebit TTM 178.2m / Interest Expense TTM 55.8m)
EV/FCF = 13.23x (Enterprise Value 1.86b / FCF TTM 140.5m)
FCF Yield = 7.56% (FCF TTM 140.5m / Enterprise Value 1.86b)
FCF Margin = 24.39% (FCF TTM 140.5m / Revenue TTM 576.2m)
Net Margin = 18.84% (Net Income TTM 108.5m / Revenue TTM 576.2m)
Gross Margin = 35.92% ((Revenue TTM 576.2m - Cost of Revenue TTM 369.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 29.63% (prev 32.33%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.82 (Enterprise Value 1.86b / Total Assets 2.26b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.14% (Interest Expense 55.8m / Debt 908.9m)
Taxrate = 10.74% (13.7m / 127.2m)
NOPAT = 159.1m (EBIT 178.2m * (1 - 10.74%))
Current Ratio = 1.15 (Total Current Assets 303.9m / Total Current Liabilities 264.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.76 (Debt 908.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.20b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.33 (Net Debt 709.3m / EBITDA 304.9m)
Debt / FCF = 5.05 (Net Debt 709.3m / FCF TTM 140.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.21b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.80% (Net Income 108.5m / Total Assets 2.26b)
RoE = 8.94% (Net Income TTM 108.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.21b)
RoCE = 9.19% (EBIT 178.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.21b + L.T.Debt 726.1m))
RoIC = 7.44% (NOPAT 159.1m / Invested Capital 2.14b)
WACC = 7.11% (E(1.15b)/V(2.06b) * Re(8.39%) + D(908.9m)/V(2.06b) * Rd(6.14%) * (1-Tc(0.11)))
Discount Rate = 8.39% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -100.00 | Cagr: -5.09%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈115.9m ; Y1≈132.9m ; Y5≈195.6m
[DCF] Fair Price = 36.20 (EV 2.94b - Net Debt 709.3m = Equity 2.23b / Shares 61.7m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 74.49 | EPS CAGR: 12.49% | SUE: 0.74 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 86.48 | Revenue CAGR: 4.34% | SUE: -0.01 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.51 | Chg30d=+12.79% | Revisions=+38% | Analysts=6
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.52 | Chg30d=+27.74% | Revisions=+62% | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.92 | Chg30d=+21.09% | Revisions=+12% | GrowthEPS=+62.9% | GrowthRev=+4.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.74 | Chg30d=+11.79% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=-9.5% | GrowthRev=-0.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +41% (up=14, down=5)