NXE Stock Analysis: NexGen Energy | NYSE

Uranium | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 6.076m USD | 12M Return: 48.5% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Uranium, Exploration, Development, Mining
Total Rating 25
Safety 62
Buy Signal -0.49
Uranium
Industry Rotation: +21.4
Market Cap: 6.08B
Avg Turnover: 48.6M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility54.5%
VaR 5th Pctl9.11%
VaR vs Median1.45%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.91
Rel. Str. IBD35.3
Rel. Str. Peer Group80.8
Character TTM
Beta2.162
Beta Downside2.396
Hurst Exponent0.442
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD54.28%
CAGR/Max DD0.52
CAGR/Mean DD1.73
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of NXE over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": -0.03, "2021-09": -0.04, "2021-12": -0.03, "2022-03": -0.02, "2022-06": -0.03, "2022-09": -0.02, "2022-12": -0.05, "2023-03": -0.01, "2023-06": -0.04, "2023-09": -0.03, "2023-12": -0.06, "2024-03": -0.06, "2024-06": -0.03, "2024-09": -0.04, "2024-12": -0.0834, "2025-03": -0.07, "2025-06": -0.05, "2025-09": -0.03, "2025-12": -0.0511, "2026-03": -0.24,
Last SUE: -4.00
Qual. Beats: -1
Revenue Revenue of NXE over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 0, 2021-09: 0, 2021-12: 0, 2022-03: 0, 2022-06: 0, 2022-09: 0, 2022-12: 0, 2023-03: 0, 2023-06: 0, 2023-09: 0, 2023-12: 0, 2024-03: 0, 2024-06: 0, 2024-09: 0, 2024-12: 0, 2025-03: 0, 2025-06: 0, 2025-09: 0, 2025-12: 0, 2026-03: 0,
Last SUE: 0.00
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Strong Share Dilution
Interest Coverage Ratio Critical
Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone
Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan -0.3% 0
Feb -6.0% 41
Mar -8.3% 27
Apr -0.4% 13
May -1.3% 17
Jun -1.8% 13
Jul +2.4% 6
Aug +3.5% 26
Sep +1.0% 8
Oct +1.1% 9
Nov +4.9% 35
Dec -3.0% 12

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: NXE NexGen Energy

NexGen Energy Ltd. (NYSE: NXE) is a Canadian exploration and development stage company focused on uranium properties, headquartered in Vancouver and founded in 2011. Listed on the NYSE since its 2016 IPO, the company is classified under the GICS Energy sector and currently carries a mid-cap market valuation. As a pre-recovery and capital-intensive business, NexGen does not yet generate recurring revenue and instead relies on equity and debt financing to fund its development pipeline, with profitability tied to future uranium production.

The companys flagship asset is the Rook I project in the southwestern Athabasca Basin of Saskatchewan, in which it holds a 100% interest. The project covers 32 contiguous mineral claims totaling approximately 35,065 hectares. The Athabasca Basin is recognized as one of the worlds highest-grade uranium mining regions, hosting the largest and purest known uranium deposits, which is a key structural advantage for NexGen given the growing global demand for nuclear fuel as a low-carbon energy source.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Uranium spot price rally boosts Rook I project economics
  • Federal permits advance for Rook I mine development
  • AI data center power demand drives nuclear fuel cycle momentum
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 0.5
Net Income: error (cannot be calculated; needs Net Income TTM and Revenue TTM)
FCF/TA: -0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.26 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: error (cannot be calculated; needs Current Assets/Liabilities and Revenue current+prev)
CFO/TA -0.03 > 3% & CFO -71.8m > Net Income -415.1m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 1.37 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (660.7m) vs 12m ago 16.10% < -2%
Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin)
Asset Turnover: 0.0% > 50% (prev 0.0%; Δ 0.0% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -7.89 > 6 (EBIT TTM -365.7m / Interest Expense TTM 46.3m)
Altman Z'' 0.72
A: 0.11 (Total Current Assets 1.04b - Total Current Liabilities 760.5m) / Total Assets 2.47b
B: -0.34 (Retained Earnings -849.5m / Total Assets 2.47b)
C: -0.18 (EBIT TTM -365.7m / Avg Total Assets 2.02b)
D: 2.21 (Book Value of Equity 1.70b / Total Liabilities 770.0m)
Altman-Z'' = 0.72 = B
What is the price of NXE shares?

As of July 13, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 9.67 with a total of 3,643,654 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.42%, over one month by +4.31%, over three months by -15.10% and over the past year by +48.54%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 8.40 (which is 13.1% or 2.4 ATR below the current price).

Is NXE a buy, sell or hold?

NexGen Energy has no consensus analysts rating.

What are the forecasts/targets for the NXE price?
Analysts Target Price 18.9 95.2%
NexGen Energy (NXE) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 10 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 6.08b (6.08b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
Market Cap CAD = 8.61b (6.08b USD * 1.417 USD.CAD)
P/B = 5.0308
Revenue TTM = 0.0 CAD
EBIT TTM = -365.7m CAD
EBITDA TTM = -363.6m CAD
 Long Term Debt = unknown (0.0)
 Short Term Debt = 717.2m CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 717.2m CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 697k
Net Debt = -303.8m CAD (calculated: Debt 717.2m - CCE 1.02b)
Enterprise Value = 8.31b CAD (8.61b + Debt 717.2m - CCE 1.02b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -7.89 (Ebit TTM -365.7m / Interest Expense TTM 46.3m)
EV/FCF = -42.95x (Enterprise Value 8.31b / FCF TTM -193.4m)
FCF Yield = -2.33% (FCF TTM -193.4m / Enterprise Value 8.31b)
 FCF Margin = unknown (Revenue TTM is 0 or missing)
 Net Margin = unknown
 Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 0.0 - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.20m) / Revenue TTM)
 Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.36 (Enterprise Value 8.31b / Total Assets 2.47b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.46% (Interest Expense 46.3m / Debt 717.2m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -288.9m (EBIT -365.7m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.37 (Total Current Assets 1.04b / Total Current Liabilities 760.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.42 (Debt 717.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.70b)
 Debt / EBITDA = 0.84 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -303.8m / EBITDA -363.6m)
 Debt / FCF = 1.57 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -303.8m / FCF TTM -193.4m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 1.37b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -20.56% (Net Income -415.1m / Total Assets 2.47b)
RoE = -30.32% (Net Income TTM -415.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.37b)
RoCE = -26.70% (EBIT -365.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.37b + L.T.Debt 0.0))
 RoIC = -11.89% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -288.9m / Invested Capital 2.43b)
 WACC = 12.94% (E(8.61b)/V(9.33b) * Re(13.59%) + D(717.2m)/V(9.33b) * Rd(6.46%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 13.59% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 41.40 | Cagr: 10.73%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -193.4m)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: N/A | Revenue CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.05 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=4
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.05 | Chg30d=+5.01% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.35 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-62% | GrowthEPS=-50.5% | GrowthRev=+0.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-0.25 | Chg30d=-0.45% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+29.8% | GrowthRev=+0.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -50% (up=1, down=6)