(NXE) NexGen Energy - Ratings and Ratios
Uranium Exploration, Development
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 57.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 87.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.10% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.38 |
| Alpha | -6.50 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.56 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.406 |
| Beta | 1.344 |
| Beta Downside | 1.218 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 54.28% |
| Mean DD | 16.27% |
| Median DD | 14.19% |
Description: NXE NexGen Energy November 07, 2025
NexGen Energy Ltd. (NYSE: NXE) is an early-stage uranium explorer focused on the Rook I project in Saskatchewan’s Athabasca Basin, holding 100 % of 32 contiguous claims covering roughly 35,065 ha. Founded in 2011 and based in Vancouver, the company’s core asset is positioned in a world-renowned, high-grade uranium district, which historically yields some of the richest deposits globally.
Key metrics (as of Q3 2024) include an inferred resource of ~ 71 Mt at 0.12 % U₃O₈ (≈ 200 kt U₃O₈) and a cash balance of C$ 45 million, sufficient for continued drilling and pre-feasibility work through 2025. The project’s economics are highly sensitive to spot uranium prices, which have risen above $55 lb following renewed nuclear fuel demand driven by Europe’s energy security concerns and the U.S. Department of Energy’s domestic fuel-cycle initiatives.
Sector-wide, the uranium market is transitioning from a prolonged deficit (≈ 30 kt annual shortfall) to a potential supply-tight environment as legacy mines wind down, making development-stage projects like Rook I increasingly valuable for investors seeking exposure to the next wave of production. For a deeper quantitative assessment, the ValueRay platform offers a granular breakdown of NexGen’s cash runway and resource economics.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 1.0
| error: Net Income check cannot be calculated (needs Net Income TTM and Revenue TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.18 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -13.59pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| error: NWC/Revenue cannot be calculated (needs Current Assets/Liabilities and Revenue current+prev) |
| CFO/TA -0.02 (>3.0%) and CFO -32.0m > Net Income -333.2m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 0.50 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (573.1m) change vs 12m ago -6.63% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| error: Gross Margin (current vs previous) cannot be calculated (needs Total Revenue and Cost Of Revenue) |
| Asset Turnover 0.0% (prev 0.0%; Δ 0.0pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -5.87 (EBITDA TTM -270.3m / Interest Expense TTM 46.4m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -4.87
| (A) -0.20 = (Total Current Assets 317.9m - Total Current Liabilities 637.9m) / Total Assets 1.57b |
| (B) -0.41 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -648.4m / Total Assets 1.57b |
| (C) -0.17 = EBIT TTM -272.6m / Avg Total Assets 1.62b |
| (D) -1.00 = Book Value of Equity -648.4m / Total Liabilities 647.4m |
| Total Rating: -4.87 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 26.50
| 1. Piotroski 1.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -3.27% |
| 3. FCF Margin data missing |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -1.06 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -28.47)% |
| 7. RoE -31.53% |
| 8. Revenue Trend data missing |
| 9. EPS Trend -54.85% |
What is the price of NXE shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.31%, over one month by +5.19%, over three months by +16.78% and over the past year by +14.38%.
Is NXE a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the NXE price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 5.3 | -40.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 5.3 | -40.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 10.7 | 19.9% |
NXE Fundamental Data Overview December 10, 2025
P/B = 9.3593
Beta = 1.877
Revenue TTM = 0.0 CAD
EBIT TTM = -272.6m CAD
EBITDA TTM = -270.3m CAD
Long Term Debt = 437.0k CAD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 592.3m CAD (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 456.8m CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = 286.3m CAD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 8.58b CAD (8.43b + Debt 456.8m - CCE 306.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -5.87 (Ebit TTM -272.6m / Interest Expense TTM 46.4m)
FCF Yield = -3.27% (FCF TTM -280.5m / Enterprise Value 8.58b)
FCF Margin = unknown (Revenue TTM is 0 or missing)
Net Margin = unknown
Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 0.0 - Cost of Revenue TTM 77.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.48 (Enterprise Value 8.58b / Total Assets 1.57b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.47% (Interest Expense 11.3m / Debt 456.8m)
Taxrate = -1.82% (negative due to tax credits) (2.31m / -126.9m)
NOPAT = -277.5m (EBIT -272.6m * (1 - -1.82%)) [loss with tax shield] [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 0.50 (Total Current Assets 317.9m / Total Current Liabilities 637.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.50 (Debt 456.8m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 918.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.06 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 286.3m / EBITDA -270.3m)
Debt / FCF = -1.02 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 286.3m / FCF TTM -280.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.06b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -21.28% (Net Income -333.2m / Total Assets 1.57b)
RoE = -31.53% (Net Income TTM -333.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.06b)
RoCE = -25.78% (EBIT -272.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.06b + L.T.Debt 437.0k))
RoIC = -17.94% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -277.5m / Invested Capital 1.55b)
WACC = 10.54% (E(8.43b)/V(8.88b) * Re(10.97%) + D(456.8m)/V(8.88b) * Rd(2.47%) * (1-Tc(-0.02)))
Discount Rate = 10.97% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 4.45%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -280.5m)
EPS Correlation: -54.85 | EPS CAGR: -58.77% | SUE: -3.05 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: N/A | Revenue CAGR: 0.0% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for NXE Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle