NXRT Stock Analysis: Nexpoint Residential Trust | NYSE
REIT - Residential | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 1.249m USD | 12M Return: -25.3% | US65341D1028 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 7.17M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -90.7%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.4 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. (NYSE: NXRT) is an externally advised real estate investment trust that acquires, owns, and operates middle-income multifamily properties with value-add potential. The company targets well-located assets in large cities and their suburban submarkets, primarily across the Southeastern and Southwestern United States. Established on September 19, 2014 and headquartered in Dallas, NXRT has traded on the NYSE since its March 2015 IPO, with day-to-day investment management handled by NexPoint Real Estate Advisors, L.P., an affiliate of SEC-registered NexPoint Advisors, L.P.
As a multi-family residential REIT, NXRT operates in a sector that invests primarily in income-producing apartment communities and is generally required to distribute the majority of its taxable income to shareholders in the form of dividends. Its value-add approach typically involves acquiring properties that can be repositioned or improved to lift rents and drive long-term appreciation.
- Sun Belt multifamily occupancy and rent growth drive same-store revenue
- High interest rates pressure refinancing costs and cap rate spreads
- Value-add acquisitions expand portfolio in Southeast and Southwest markets
| Net Income: -33.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.90 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -22.62% < 20% (prev 11.13%; Δ -33.75% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 83.1m > Net Income -33.5m |
| Net Debt (1.57b) to EBITDA (370.0m): 4.26 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.49 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (25.5m) vs 12m ago 0.17% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 90.83% > 18% (prev 56.56%; Δ 34.27% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 13.65% > 50% (prev 13.59%; Δ 0.07% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.89 > 6 (EBIT TTM 274.5m / Interest Expense TTM 308.0m) |
| A: -0.03 (Total Current Assets 56.0m - Total Current Liabilities 113.7m) / Total Assets 1.88b |
| B: -0.09 (Retained Earnings -166.7m / Total Assets 1.88b) |
| C: 0.15 (EBIT TTM 274.5m / Avg Total Assets 1.87b) |
| D: 0.15 (Book Value of Equity 247.9m / Total Liabilities 1.63b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.66 = B |
| DSRI: 0.64 (Receivables 9.35m/14.4m, Revenue 255.0m/252.3m) |
| GMI: 0.62 (GM 56.56% / 90.83%) |
| AQI: 1.19 (AQ_t 0.02 / AQ_t-1 0.02) |
| SGI: 1.01 (Revenue 255.0m / 252.3m) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI -33.5m - CFO 83.1m) / TA 1.88b) |
| Beneish M = -3.55 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
As of August 30, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 23.55 with a total of 327,270 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.88%, over one month by -12.49%, over three months by -19.00% and over the past year by -25.31%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 22.50 (which is 4.5% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
Nexpoint Residential Trust has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.11. Therefore, it is recommended to hold NXRT.
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 29.5 | 25.3% |
P/E Forward = 88.4956
P/S = 4.9306
P/B = 2.5193
P/EG = 26.9167
Revenue TTM = 255.0m USD
EBIT TTM = 274.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 370.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.51b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 77.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.59b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.57b USD (calculated: Debt 1.59b - CCE 14.6m)
Enterprise Value = 2.82b USD (1.25b + Debt 1.59b - CCE 14.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.89 (Ebit TTM 274.5m / Interest Expense TTM 308.0m)
EV/FCF = 42.49x (Enterprise Value 2.82b / FCF TTM 66.5m)
FCF Yield = 2.35% (FCF TTM 66.5m / Enterprise Value 2.82b)
FCF Margin = 26.07% (FCF TTM 66.5m / Revenue TTM 255.0m)
Net Margin = -13.12% (Net Income TTM -33.5m / Revenue TTM 255.0m)
Gross Margin = 90.83% ((Revenue TTM 255.0m - Cost of Revenue TTM 23.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 82.59% (prev 58.67%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.50 (Enterprise Value 2.82b / Total Assets 1.88b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 19.37% (Interest Expense 308.0m / Debt 1.59b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = 216.9m (EBIT 274.5m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.49 (Total Current Assets 56.0m / Total Current Liabilities 113.7m)
Debt / Equity = 6.41 (Debt 1.59b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 247.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.26 (Net Debt 1.57b / EBITDA 370.0m)
Debt / FCF = 23.69 (Net Debt 1.57b / FCF TTM 66.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 284.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -1.79% (Net Income -33.5m / Total Assets 1.88b)
RoE = -11.75% (Net Income TTM -33.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 284.7m)
RoCE = 15.28% (EBIT 274.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 284.7m + L.T.Debt 1.51b))
RoIC = 11.85% (NOPAT 216.9m / Invested Capital 1.83b)
WACC = 11.48% (E(1.25b)/V(2.84b) * Re(6.61%) + D(1.59b)/V(2.84b) * Rd(19.37%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 6.61% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -68.92 | Cagr: -1.53%
[DCF] Terminal Value 62.38% ; FCFF base≈72.9m ; Y1≈63.9m ; Y5≈51.6m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 548.6m - Net Debt 1.57b = -1.03b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.83 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -90.71 | Revenue CAGR: -4.07% | SUE: 0.87 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.41 | Chg30d=+6.74% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-1.54 | Chg30d=+6.10% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=-23.8% | GrowthRev=+2.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-2.21 | Chg30d=-9.41% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=-43.5% | GrowthRev=+2.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -40% (up=0, down=2)