NXRT Stock Analysis: Nexpoint Residential Trust | NYSE
REIT - Residential | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 999m USD | 12M Return: -37.1% | US65341D1028 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 15.9M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -90.7%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. (NYSE: NXRT) is a Maryland-incorporated real estate investment trust (REIT) that acquires, owns, and operates middle-income multifamily properties with value-add potential, primarily in large cities and their suburban submarkets across the Southeastern and Southwestern United States. The company is externally advised by NexPoint Real Estate Advisors, L.P., an affiliate of NexPoint Advisors, L.P., leveraging the broader NexPoint platforms real estate expertise. Classified within the Multi-Family Residential REITs sub-industry, NXRT operates under the externally advised REIT structure common among smaller, sponsor-backed public REITs, where an external advisor manages day-to-day operations and investment decisions in exchange for advisory fees. As a multifamily-focused REIT, NXRT is required to distribute at least 90% of its taxable income as dividends to shareholders in order to maintain its pass-through tax treatment.
- Sunbelt multifamily oversupply pressures rental growth and occupancy
- Interest rate cuts boost refinancing prospects for floating-rate debt
- Value-add renovation pipeline drives same-store NOI growth
| Net Income: -33.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.90 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -22.62% < 20% (prev 11.13%; Δ -33.75% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 83.1m > Net Income -33.5m |
| Net Debt (1.57b) to EBITDA (370.0m): 4.26 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.49 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (25.5m) vs 12m ago 0.17% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 90.83% > 18% (prev 56.56%; Δ 34.27% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 13.65% > 50% (prev 13.59%; Δ 0.07% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.89 > 6 (EBIT TTM 274.5m / Interest Expense TTM 308.0m) |
| A: -0.03 (Total Current Assets 56.0m - Total Current Liabilities 113.7m) / Total Assets 1.88b |
| B: -0.09 (Retained Earnings -166.7m / Total Assets 1.88b) |
| C: 0.15 (EBIT TTM 274.5m / Avg Total Assets 1.87b) |
| D: 0.15 (Book Value of Equity 247.9m / Total Liabilities 1.63b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.66 = B |
| DSRI: 0.64 (Receivables 9.35m/14.4m, Revenue 255.0m/252.3m) |
| GMI: 0.62 (GM 56.56% / 90.83%) |
| AQI: 1.19 (AQ_t 0.02 / AQ_t-1 0.02) |
| SGI: 1.01 (Revenue 255.0m / 252.3m) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI -33.5m - CFO 83.1m) / TA 1.88b) |
| Beneish M = -3.55 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
As of October 15, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 18.29 with a total of 413,253 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -6.21%, over one month by -18.13%, over three months by -30.98% and over the past year by -37.08%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 17.20 (which is 6% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Nexpoint Residential Trust has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefore, it is recommended to hold NXRT.
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 26.5 | 44.9% |
P/E Forward = 88.4956
P/S = 3.9408
P/B = 2.1379
P/EG = 26.9167
Revenue TTM = 255.0m USD
EBIT TTM = 274.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 370.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.51b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 77.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.59b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.57b USD (calculated: Debt 1.59b - CCE 14.6m)
Enterprise Value = 2.57b USD (998.5m + Debt 1.59b - CCE 14.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.89 (Ebit TTM 274.5m / Interest Expense TTM 308.0m)
EV/FCF = 38.71x (Enterprise Value 2.57b / FCF TTM 66.5m)
FCF Yield = 2.58% (FCF TTM 66.5m / Enterprise Value 2.57b)
FCF Margin = 26.07% (FCF TTM 66.5m / Revenue TTM 255.0m)
Net Margin = -13.12% (Net Income TTM -33.5m / Revenue TTM 255.0m)
Gross Margin = 90.83% ((Revenue TTM 255.0m - Cost of Revenue TTM 23.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 82.59% (prev 58.67%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.37 (Enterprise Value 2.57b / Total Assets 1.88b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 19.37% (Interest Expense 308.0m / Debt 1.59b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = 216.9m (EBIT 274.5m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.49 (Total Current Assets 56.0m / Total Current Liabilities 113.7m)
Debt / Equity = 6.41 (Debt 1.59b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 247.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.26 (Net Debt 1.57b / EBITDA 370.0m)
Debt / FCF = 23.69 (Net Debt 1.57b / FCF TTM 66.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 284.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -1.79% (Net Income -33.5m / Total Assets 1.88b)
RoE = -11.75% (Net Income TTM -33.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 284.7m)
RoCE = 15.28% (EBIT 274.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 284.7m + L.T.Debt 1.51b))
RoIC = 11.85% (NOPAT 216.9m / Invested Capital 1.83b)
WACC = 12.00% (E(998.5m)/V(2.59b) * Re(6.74%) + D(1.59b)/V(2.59b) * Rd(19.37%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 6.74% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -68.92 | Cagr: -1.53%
[DCF] Terminal Value 60.79% ; FCFF base≈72.9m ; Y1≈63.9m ; Y5≈51.6m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 519.8m - Net Debt 1.57b = -1.06b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.83 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -90.71 | Revenue CAGR: -4.07% | SUE: 0.87 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.41 | Chg30d=+6.74% | Revisions=+40% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-1.54 | Chg30d=+6.10% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=-23.8% | GrowthRev=+2.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-2.21 | Chg30d=-9.41% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=-43.5% | GrowthRev=+2.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -12% (up=2, down=3)