NXRT Stock Analysis: Nexpoint Residential Trust | NYSE
REIT - Residential | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 1.422m USD | 12M Return: -14.9% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 6.71M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -95.1%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. (NYSE: NXRT) is an externally advised real estate investment trust that acquires, owns, and operates middle-income multifamily properties with value-add potential. The company targets well-located assets in large cities and their suburban submarkets, primarily across the Southeastern and Southwestern United States. Established on September 19, 2014 and headquartered in Dallas, NXRT has traded on the NYSE since its March 2015 IPO, with day-to-day investment management handled by NexPoint Real Estate Advisors, L.P., an affiliate of SEC-registered NexPoint Advisors, L.P.
As a multi-family residential REIT, NXRT operates in a sector that invests primarily in income-producing apartment communities and is generally required to distribute the majority of its taxable income to shareholders in the form of dividends. Its value-add approach typically involves acquiring properties that can be repositioned or improved to lift rents and drive long-term appreciation.
- Sun Belt multifamily occupancy and rent growth drive same-store revenue
- High interest rates pressure refinancing costs and cap rate spreads
- Value-add acquisitions expand portfolio in Southeast and Southwest markets
| Net Income: -31.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.17 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -21.80% < 20% (prev 16.70%; Δ -38.50% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 78.6m > Net Income -31.9m |
| Net Debt (1.51b) to EBITDA (378.1m): 4.00 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.33 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (25.4m) vs 12m ago -0.20% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 84.57% > 18% (prev 56.15%; Δ 28.42% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 13.40% > 50% (prev 13.47%; Δ -0.07% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.89 > 6 (EBIT TTM 282.4m / Interest Expense TTM 316.0m) |
| A: -0.03 (Total Current Assets 27.2m - Total Current Liabilities 82.1m) / Total Assets 1.87b |
| B: -0.08 (Retained Earnings -143.8m / Total Assets 1.87b) |
| C: 0.15 (EBIT TTM 282.4m / Avg Total Assets 1.88b) |
| D: 0.17 (Book Value of Equity 272.4m / Total Liabilities 1.60b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.75 = B |
As of July 15, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 27.13 with a total of 116,738 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -6.25%, over one month by -1.06%, over three months by +3.83% and over the past year by -14.86%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 25.10 (which is 7.5% or 2.6 ATR below the current price).
Nexpoint Residential Trust has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.11. Therefore, it is recommended to hold NXRT.
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 30.2 | 11.3% |
P/E Forward = 88.4956
P/S = 5.6441
P/B = 2.6874
P/EG = 26.9167
Revenue TTM = 251.6m USD
EBIT TTM = 282.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 378.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.51b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 55.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.57b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.51b USD (calculated: Debt 1.57b - CCE 52.8m)
Enterprise Value = 2.93b USD (1.42b + Debt 1.57b - CCE 52.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.89 (Ebit TTM 282.4m / Interest Expense TTM 316.0m)
EV/FCF = 37.33x (Enterprise Value 2.93b / FCF TTM 78.6m)
FCF Yield = 2.68% (FCF TTM 78.6m / Enterprise Value 2.93b)
FCF Margin = 31.24% (FCF TTM 78.6m / Revenue TTM 251.6m)
Net Margin = -12.67% (Net Income TTM -31.9m / Revenue TTM 251.6m)
Gross Margin = 84.57% ((Revenue TTM 251.6m - Cost of Revenue TTM 38.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 58.67% (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.57 (Enterprise Value 2.93b / Total Assets 1.87b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 20.18% (Interest Expense 316.0m / Debt 1.57b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = 223.1m (EBIT 282.4m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.33 (Total Current Assets 27.2m / Total Current Liabilities 82.1m)
Debt / Equity = 5.75 (Debt 1.57b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 272.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.00 (Net Debt 1.51b / EBITDA 378.1m)
Debt / FCF = 19.25 (Net Debt 1.51b / FCF TTM 78.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 309.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -1.70% (Net Income -31.9m / Total Assets 1.87b)
RoE = -10.30% (Net Income TTM -31.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 309.7m)
RoCE = 15.52% (EBIT 282.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 309.7m + L.T.Debt 1.51b))
RoIC = 12.17% (NOPAT 223.1m / Invested Capital 1.83b)
WACC = 11.72% (E(1.42b)/V(2.99b) * Re(7.07%) + D(1.57b)/V(2.99b) * Rd(20.18%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 7.07% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -80.36 | Cagr: -1.54%
[DCF] Terminal Value 63.81% ; FCFF base≈80.0m ; Y1≈77.4m ; Y5≈76.1m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 761.9m - Net Debt 1.51b = -751.0m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.61 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -95.08 | Revenue CAGR: -4.48% | SUE: 0.19 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.37 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=2
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.45 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-1.64 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=-31.8% | GrowthRev=+0.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-2.02 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=-23.2% | GrowthRev=+2.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -50% (up=0, down=3)