OBDC Stock Analysis: Blue Owl Capital | NYSE
Asset Management | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 5.613m USD | 12M Return: -7.7% | US69121K1043 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 44.2M
EPS Trend: -87.1%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 42.4%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Blue Owl Capital Corporation (NYSE: OBDC) is a business development company (BDC) that provides debt and equity financing to middle market and upper middle market companies based in the United States. BDCs are regulated investment vehicles under the Investment Company Act of 1940, typically required to distribute most of their taxable income to shareholders, and often serve as an alternative source of capital for borrowers underserved by traditional banks.
The companys investment strategy spans direct lending and fund-of-fund investments, encompassing senior secured loans, first lien, unitranche, second lien, subordinated, and mezzanine debt, alongside equity-related securities such as warrants, preferred stock, and common equity. Within private equity, it targets growth financings, acquisitions, market or product expansions, refinancings, and recapitalizations.
OBDC typically invests in U.S. companies with EBITDA between $10 million and $250 million annually and/or annual revenue between $50 million and $2,500 million, with investment sizes generally ranging from $20 million to $250 million and maturities of three to ten years.
- Middle market loan originations drive net investment income growth
- Credit losses mount on weakening middle market borrower fundamentals
- Interest rate cuts pressure floating-rate loan yields and margins
| Net Income: 399.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 4.65 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 115.3% < 20% (prev 22.06%; Δ 93.29% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 1.48b > Net Income 399.1m |
| Net Debt (9.30b) to EBITDA (939.0m): 9.90 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: -0.06 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (495.4m) vs 12m ago -3.07% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 69.32% > 18% (prev 59.54%; Δ 9.79% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 8.25% > 50% (prev 7.18%; Δ 1.07% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.75 > 6 (EBIT TTM 950.5m / Interest Expense TTM 541.7m) |
| A: 0.10 (Total Current Assets 91.9m - Total Current Liabilities -1.47b) / Total Assets 15.4b |
| B: -0.01 (Retained Earnings -119.9m / Total Assets 15.4b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 950.5m / Avg Total Assets 16.4b) |
| D: 0.84 (Book Value of Equity 7.03b / Total Liabilities 8.32b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.92 = BBB |
As of August 13, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 11.67 with a total of 2,613,393 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.38%, over one month by +7.46%, over three months by +7.46% and over the past year by -7.67%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 11.20 (which is 4% or 1.7 ATR below the current price).
Blue Owl Capital has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.33. Therefore, it is recommended to buy OBDC.
- StrongBuy: 7
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 13.2 | 13.2% |
P/E Trailing = 15.7083
P/E Forward = 8.3963
P/S = 3.1274
P/B = 0.7458
Revenue TTM = 1.35b USD
EBIT TTM = 950.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 939.0m USD
Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 9.30b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = 9.30b USD (calculated: Debt 9.30b - CCE 611k)
Enterprise Value = 14.9b USD (5.61b + Debt 9.30b - CCE 611k)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.75 (Ebit TTM 950.5m / Interest Expense TTM 541.7m)
EV/FCF = 10.09x (Enterprise Value 14.9b / FCF TTM 1.48b)
FCF Yield = 9.91% (FCF TTM 1.48b / Enterprise Value 14.9b)
FCF Margin = 109.4% (FCF TTM 1.48b / Revenue TTM 1.35b)
Net Margin = 29.54% (Net Income TTM 399.1m / Revenue TTM 1.35b)
Gross Margin = 69.32% ((Revenue TTM 1.35b - Cost of Revenue TTM 414.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = none% (prev 70.15%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.97 (Enterprise Value 14.9b / Total Assets 15.4b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.82% (Interest Expense 541.7m / Debt 9.30b)
Taxrate = 2.38% (9.74m / 408.8m)
NOPAT = 927.8m (EBIT 950.5m * (1 - 2.38%))
Current Ratio = unknown (Total Current Assets 91.9m / Total Current Liabilities -1.47b)
Debt / Equity = 1.32 (Debt 9.30b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 7.03b)
Debt / EBITDA = 9.90 (Net Debt 9.30b / EBITDA 939.0m)
Debt / FCF = 6.29 (Net Debt 9.30b / FCF TTM 1.48b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.30b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.44% (Net Income 399.1m / Total Assets 15.4b)
RoE = 5.47% (Net Income TTM 399.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 7.30b)
RoCE = 5.65% (EBIT 950.5m / Capital Employed (Total Assets 15.4b - Current Liab -1.47b))
RoIC = 5.65% (EBIT 950.5m / (Assets 15.4b - Curr.Liab -1.47b - Cash 611k))
WACC = 6.67% (E(5.61b)/V(14.9b) * Re(8.30%) + D(9.30b)/V(14.9b) * Rd(5.82%) * (1-Tc(0.02)))
Discount Rate = 8.30% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 83.76 | Cagr: 11.25%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈1.23b ; Y1≈1.41b ; Y5≈2.08b
[DCF] Fair Price = 44.36 (EV 31.3b - Net Debt 9.30b = Equity 22.0b / Shares 496.3m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -87.13 | EPS CAGR: -10.99% | SUE: 0.98 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 42.41 | Revenue CAGR: 3.29% | SUE: -0.31 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.32 | Chg30d=+0.16% | Revisions=-73% | Analysts=13
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.28 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-73% | GrowthEPS=-18.9% | GrowthRev=-14.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.31 | Chg30d=-0.31% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+2.3% | GrowthRev=+0.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -64% (up=3, down=19)