OFRM Stock Analysis: Once Upon Farm, PBC | NYSE
Packaged Foods | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 896m USD | 12M Return: -12.5% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 12.6M
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 0.4 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Once Upon a Farm, PBC (NYSE: OFRM) is a U.S.-based packaged food company that produces and sells organic baby food pouches, frozen meals, and snacks for children. Its product portfolio includes fruit and veggie blends, functional blends, and smoothies in pouch format, frozen organic meals, and soft-baked bars. The company distributes through a multi-channel approach spanning retail stores, e-commerce platforms, and delivery services, alongside a direct-to-consumer (DTC) platform-an omnichannel structure increasingly common among modern packaged food brands seeking to combine retail scale with higher-margin DTC sales.
Founded in 2014 and headquartered in Berkeley, California, Once Upon a Farm operates within the Consumer Defensive sectors Packaged Foods industry. The organic and clean-label baby food subsegment has been a notable growth area within packaged foods, driven by parental demand for minimally processed, non-GMO, and organic options for young children. As a small-cap company in a typically defensive industry, OFRM benefits from the relatively inelastic demand for childrens food products.
- Retail distribution expansion drives pouches and frozen meals revenue
- Organic input cost inflation pressures gross margins
- Declining US birth rates shrink addressable market
| Net Income: -13.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.17 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -16.78 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: error (cannot be calculated; needs Current Assets/Liabilities and Revenue current+prev) |
| CFO/TA -0.14 > 3% & CFO -28.3m > Net Income -13.6m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 4.02 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (41.9m) vs 12m ago 4.12% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin) |
| Asset Turnover: 182.9% > 50% (prev 0.0%; Δ 182.9% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -4.03 > 6 (EBIT TTM -10.6m / Interest Expense TTM 2.64m) |
| A: 0.69 (Total Current Assets 189.9m - Total Current Liabilities 47.3m) / Total Assets 205.7m |
| B: -0.74 (Retained Earnings -151.5m / Total Assets 205.7m) |
| C: -0.07 (EBIT TTM -10.6m / Avg Total Assets 143.7m) |
| D: 3.30 (Book Value of Equity 157.9m / Total Liabilities 47.8m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 5.12 = AAA |
As of July 13, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 18.41 with a total of 477,520 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -13.89%, over one month by -8.23%, over three months by +17.34% and over the past year by -12.54%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 15.70 (which is 14.7% or 1.8 ATR below the current price).
Once Upon Farm, PBC has no consensus analysts rating.
P/S = 3.409
P/B = 5.6743
Revenue TTM = 262.8m USD
EBIT TTM = -10.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = -9.10m USD
Long Term Debt = 60.2m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 157k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 60.5m USD (corrected: LT Debt 60.2m + ST Debt 157k) + Leases 157k
Net Debt = -39.4m USD (calculated: Debt 60.5m - CCE 99.9m)
Enterprise Value = 856.5m USD (895.9m + Debt 60.5m - CCE 99.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -4.03 (Ebit TTM -10.6m / Interest Expense TTM 2.64m)
EV/FCF = -24.81x (Enterprise Value 856.5m / FCF TTM -34.5m)
FCF Yield = -4.03% (FCF TTM -34.5m / Enterprise Value 856.5m)
FCF Margin = -13.13% (FCF TTM -34.5m / Revenue TTM 262.8m)
Net Margin = -5.17% (Net Income TTM -13.6m / Revenue TTM 262.8m)
Gross Margin = 42.80% ((Revenue TTM 262.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 150.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 40.81% (prev 47.73%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.16 (Enterprise Value 856.5m / Total Assets 205.7m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.36% (Interest Expense 2.64m / Debt 60.5m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -8.39m (EBIT -10.6m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 4.02 (Total Current Assets 189.9m / Total Current Liabilities 47.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.38 (Debt 60.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 157.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.33 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -39.4m / EBITDA -9.10m)
Debt / FCF = 1.14 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -39.4m / FCF TTM -34.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -37.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -9.46% (Net Income -13.6m / Total Assets 205.7m)
RoE = 36.17% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -13.6m / Total Stockholder Equity -37.6m)
RoCE = -46.91% (EBIT -10.6m / Capital Employed (Equity -37.6m + L.T.Debt 60.2m))
RoIC = -5.77% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -8.39m / Invested Capital 145.5m)
WACC = 4.75% (E(895.9m)/V(956.4m) * Re(4.84%) + D(60.5m)/V(956.4m) * Rd(4.36%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 4.84% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 57.74 | Cagr: 3.28%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -34.5m)
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: N/A | Revenue CAGR: N/A | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.17 | Chg30d=-128.07% | Revisions=-62% | Analysts=6
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.06 | Chg30d=+22.00% | Revisions=-12% | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.33 | Chg30d=-132.29% | Revisions=-62% | GrowthEPS=+72.5% | GrowthRev=+32.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.42 | Chg30d=+5.38% | Revisions=+44% | GrowthEPS=+229.1% | GrowthRev=+34.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -29% (up=7, down=14)