(OGE) OGE Energy - Ratings and Ratios
Electricity, Transmission, Distribution, Generation
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.97% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 6.69% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 1.05% |
| Payout Consistency | 74.1% |
| Payout Ratio | 68.4% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 17.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 29.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | 1.30% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.37 |
| Alpha | 2.30 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.35 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.396 |
| Beta | 0.293 |
| Beta Downside | 0.351 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 18.81% |
| Mean DD | 6.19% |
| Median DD | 5.57% |
Description: OGE OGE Energy January 06, 2026
OGE Energy Corp. (NYSE:OGE) is a vertically integrated utility that generates, transmits, distributes, and sells electricity across roughly 30,000 sq mi in Oklahoma, serving about 709 k retail customers. Its generation mix includes coal, natural-gas, wind, and solar assets, reflecting a gradual shift toward renewables while maintaining baseload capacity.
Key operating metrics: the company reported FY-2023 adjusted EBITDA of approximately $1.1 bn and a regulated return on equity (ROE) near 9.5%, consistent with typical utility benchmarks. Capital-expenditure guidance for 2024 is $400-$450 m, largely earmarked for grid modernization and solar-plus-storage projects. A material sector driver is the ongoing transition to lower-carbon generation, which is pressuring OGE to retire coal units and accelerate renewable-energy procurement amid rising ESG expectations.
For a deeper, data-driven look at OGE’s valuation and peer landscape, the ValueRay platform offers a concise analytical snapshot.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (503.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 197.7m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 4.30pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -7.57% (prev -5.19%; Δ -2.38pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 881.9m > Net Income 503.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (5.83b) to EBITDA (1.37b) ratio: 4.27 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.80 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (202.1m) change vs 12m ago 0.30% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 50.13% (prev 46.73%; Δ 3.40pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 23.76% (prev 20.71%; Δ 3.05pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.83 (EBITDA TTM 1.37b / Interest Expense TTM 211.6m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.64
| (A) -0.02 = (Total Current Assets 987.7m - Total Current Liabilities 1.24b) / Total Assets 14.26b |
| (B) 0.25 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 3.62b / Total Assets 14.26b |
| (C) 0.06 = EBIT TTM 810.0m / Avg Total Assets 13.87b |
| (D) 0.51 = Book Value of Equity 4.80b / Total Liabilities 9.46b |
| Total Rating: 1.64 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 60.67
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.99% |
| 3. FCF Margin 17.76% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.22 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 4.27 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.15)% |
| 7. RoE 10.77% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 25.81% |
| 9. EPS Trend -21.94% |
What is the price of OGE shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.60%, over one month by +0.60%, over three months by -5.92% and over the past year by +8.65%.
Is OGE a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the OGE price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 47.1 | 10.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 47.1 | 10.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 44.4 | 3.9% |
OGE Fundamental Data Overview January 05, 2026
P/E Forward = 17.6678
P/S = 2.6827
P/B = 1.8426
P/EG = 3.0971
Beta = 0.605
Revenue TTM = 3.29b USD
EBIT TTM = 810.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.37b USD
Long Term Debt = 5.37b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 466.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.83b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.83b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 14.67b USD (8.84b + Debt 5.83b - CCE 300.0k)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.83 (Ebit TTM 810.0m / Interest Expense TTM 211.6m)
FCF Yield = 3.99% (FCF TTM 585.3m / Enterprise Value 14.67b)
FCF Margin = 17.76% (FCF TTM 585.3m / Revenue TTM 3.29b)
Net Margin = 15.28% (Net Income TTM 503.4m / Revenue TTM 3.29b)
Gross Margin = 50.13% ((Revenue TTM 3.29b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.64b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 62.82% (prev 47.65%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.03 (Enterprise Value 14.67b / Total Assets 14.26b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.12% (Interest Expense 6.90m / Debt 5.83b)
Taxrate = 16.44% (45.5m / 276.8m)
NOPAT = 676.9m (EBIT 810.0m * (1 - 16.44%))
Current Ratio = 0.80 (Total Current Assets 987.7m / Total Current Liabilities 1.24b)
Debt / Equity = 1.22 (Debt 5.83b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.80b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.27 (Net Debt 5.83b / EBITDA 1.37b)
Debt / FCF = 9.97 (Net Debt 5.83b / FCF TTM 585.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.67b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.63% (Net Income 503.4m / Total Assets 14.26b)
RoE = 10.77% (Net Income TTM 503.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.67b)
RoCE = 8.07% (EBIT 810.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 4.67b + L.T.Debt 5.37b))
RoIC = 6.47% (NOPAT 676.9m / Invested Capital 10.46b)
WACC = 4.32% (E(8.84b)/V(14.67b) * Re(7.10%) + D(5.83b)/V(14.67b) * Rd(0.12%) * (1-Tc(0.16)))
Discount Rate = 7.10% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.45%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.82% ; FCFF base≈585.3m ; Y1≈384.3m ; Y5≈175.7m
Fair Price DCF = N/A (negative equity: EV 5.58b - Net Debt 5.83b = -256.3m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-40.0%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: -21.94 | EPS CAGR: -59.83% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 25.81 | Revenue CAGR: 16.93% | SUE: -0.49 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.39 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.43 | Chg30d=-0.003 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+6.3% | Growth Revenue=+5.4%
Additional Sources for OGE Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle