OGN Stock Analysis: Organon | NYSE

Drug Manufacturers - General | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 3.579m USD | 12M Return: 29% | US68622V1061 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Womens Health, Biosimilars, Cardiovascular, Respiratory
Total Rating 52
Safety 69
Buy Signal 0.15
Drug Manufacturers - General
Industry Rotation: -1.0
Market Cap: 3.58B
Avg Turnover: 42.2M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility5.46%
VaR 5th Pctl0.91%
VaR vs Median0.99%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.63
Rel. Str. IBD92.3
Rel. Str. Peer Group82.7
Character TTM
Beta0.966
Beta Downside1.271
Hurst Exponent0.570
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD74.10%
CAGR/Max DD-0.11
CAGR/Mean DD-0.22
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of OGN over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 1.67, "2021-12": 1.37, "2022-03": 1.65, "2022-06": 1.25, "2022-09": 1.32, "2022-12": 0.81, "2023-03": 1.08, "2023-06": 1.31, "2023-09": 0.87, "2023-12": 0.88, "2024-03": 1.22, "2024-06": 1.12, "2024-09": 0.87, "2024-12": 0.9, "2025-03": 1.02, "2025-06": 1, "2025-09": 1.01, "2025-12": 0.63, "2026-03": 0.71, "2026-06": 0.8,
EPS CAGR: -8.43%
EPS Trend: -85.9%
Last SUE: -0.54
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of OGN over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 1600, 2021-12: 1603, 2022-03: 1567, 2022-06: 1585, 2022-09: 1537, 2022-12: 1485, 2023-03: 1538, 2023-06: 1608, 2023-09: 1519, 2023-12: 1598, 2024-03: 1622, 2024-06: 1607, 2024-09: 1582, 2024-12: 1592, 2025-03: 1513, 2025-06: 1594, 2025-09: 1602, 2025-12: 1507, 2026-03: 1460, 2026-06: 1558,
Rev. CAGR: -0.62%
Rev. Trend: -37.0%
Last SUE: 0.08
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Rs Leader
Idiosyncratic Leader

Seasonality 5.3 years of data

Jan +14.0% 52
Feb -6.9% 23
Mar +1.2% 20
Apr +1.0% 0
May +0.3% 9
Jun +1.0% 9
Jul +2.2% 11
Aug -0.9% 25
Sep -15.4% 28
Oct -11.0% 21
Nov -7.8% 0
Dec +2.0% 0

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: OGN Organon

Organon & Co. (NYSE: OGN) is a global womens health-focused pharmaceutical company headquartered in Jersey City, New Jersey, and founded in 1923. The company develops and markets prescription therapies and medical devices across more than 100 countries, with a core franchise spanning contraception, fertility, and womens health products such as Nexplanon, NuvaRing, and Jada. Beyond womens health, Organon operates three additional segments: biosimilars (including immunology and oncology products like Brenzys, Renflexis, and Ontruzant), established brands covering cholesterol, hypertension, respiratory, dermatology, bone health, and pain management (e.g., Zetia, Cozaar, Singulair, Fosamax), and select other therapies such as Proscar and Propecia. Its products are distributed to drug wholesalers, retailers, hospitals, clinics, government agencies, HMOs, and pharmacy benefit managers.

Organon was spun off from Merck & Co. in 2021 as a publicly traded mid-cap pharmaceutical company, inheriting a portfolio of established off-patent and biosimilar medicines rather than pursuing innovative drug discovery. This business model emphasizes commercial scale, lifecycle management of mature products, and expansion into biosimilars and womens health, which is a comparatively underserved therapeutic category within the broader pharmaceutical sector.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Nexplanon revenue growth anchors womens health segment
  • Biosimilars face intensifying pricing pressure from new market entrants
  • International currency headwinds pressure reported revenue growth
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.0
Net Income: 209.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.21 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 40.72% < 20% (prev 29.01%; Δ 11.71% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 737.0m > Net Income 209.0m
Net Debt (7.42b) to EBITDA (1.31b): 5.68 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.95 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (270.4m) vs 12m ago 3.96% < -2%
Gross Margin: 52.98% > 18% (prev 56.26%; Δ -3.29% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 45.93% > 50% (prev 46.53%; Δ -0.59% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.05 > 6 (EBIT TTM 959.0m / Interest Expense TTM 468.0m)
Altman Z'' 2.15
A: 0.19 (Total Current Assets 5.11b - Total Current Liabilities 2.62b) / Total Assets 13.2b
B: 0.10 (Retained Earnings 1.35b / Total Assets 13.2b)
C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 959.0m / Avg Total Assets 13.3b)
D: 0.08 (Book Value of Equity 1.01b / Total Liabilities 12.2b)
Altman-Z'' = 2.15 = BBB
Beneish M -3.03
DSRI: 1.01 (Receivables 1.49b/1.51b, Revenue 6.13b/6.28b)
GMI: 1.06 (GM 56.26% / 52.98%)
AQI: 0.91 (AQ_t 0.51 / AQ_t-1 0.56)
SGI: 0.98 (Revenue 6.13b / 6.28b)
TATA: -0.04 (NI 209.0m - CFO 737.0m) / TA 13.2b)
Beneish M = -3.03 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of OGN shares?

As of September 13, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 13.64 with a total of 1,700,778 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.94%, over one month by +0.07%, over three months by +1.56% and over the past year by +29.00%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 13.50 (which is 1% or 3.5 ATR below the current price).

Is OGN a buy, sell or hold?

Organon has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefore, it is recommended to hold OGN.

  • StrongBuy: 0
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 3
  • Sell: 2
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the OGN price?
Analysts Target Price 11.3 -17.5%
Organon (OGN) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 12 September 2026
Market Cap USD = 3.58b (3.58b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 17.4744
P/E Forward = 5.0891
P/S = 0.5842
P/B = 3.5685
Revenue TTM = 6.13b USD
EBIT TTM = 959.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.31b USD
Long Term Debt = 8.48b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 74.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 8.55b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 7.42b USD (calculated: Debt 8.55b - CCE 1.13b)
Enterprise Value = 11.0b USD (3.58b + Debt 8.55b - CCE 1.13b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.05 (Ebit TTM 959.0m / Interest Expense TTM 468.0m)
EV/FCF = 22.09x (Enterprise Value 11.0b / FCF TTM 498.0m)
FCF Yield = 4.53% (FCF TTM 498.0m / Enterprise Value 11.0b)
FCF Margin = 8.13% (FCF TTM 498.0m / Revenue TTM 6.13b)
Net Margin = 3.41% (Net Income TTM 209.0m / Revenue TTM 6.13b)
Gross Margin = 52.98% ((Revenue TTM 6.13b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.88b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 54.36% (prev 53.63%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.83 (Enterprise Value 11.0b / Total Assets 13.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.47% (Interest Expense 468.0m / Debt 8.55b)
Taxrate = 40.98% (75.0m / 183.0m)
NOPAT = 566.0m (EBIT 959.0m * (1 - 40.98%))
Current Ratio = 1.95 (Total Current Assets 5.11b / Total Current Liabilities 2.62b)
Debt / Equity = 8.50 (Debt 8.55b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.01b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.68 (Net Debt 7.42b / EBITDA 1.31b)
Debt / FCF = 14.90 (Net Debt 7.42b / FCF TTM 498.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 891.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.57% (Net Income 209.0m / Total Assets 13.2b)
RoE = 23.44% (Net Income TTM 209.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 891.8m)
RoCE = 10.23% (EBIT 959.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 891.8m + L.T.Debt 8.48b))
RoIC = 5.48% (NOPAT 566.0m / Invested Capital 10.3b)
WACC = 5.04% (E(3.58b)/V(12.1b) * Re(9.38%) + D(8.55b)/V(12.1b) * Rd(5.47%) * (1-Tc(0.41)))
Discount Rate = 9.38% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 74.90 | Cagr: 2.05%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.87% ; FCFF base≈491.6m ; Y1≈507.2m ; Y5≈567.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = 5.15 (EV 8.77b - Net Debt 7.42b = Equity 1.35b / Shares 262.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 3.32% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -85.87 | EPS CAGR: -8.43% | SUE: -0.54 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -37.02 | Revenue CAGR: -0.62% | SUE: 0.08 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.93 | Chg30d=-11.57% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.34 | Chg30d=-7.86% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=-8.8% | GrowthRev=-0.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.62 | Chg30d=-0.64% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+8.4% | GrowthRev=+2.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -40% (up=0, down=2)