OGN Stock Analysis: Organon | NYSE

Drug Manufacturers - General | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 3.648m USD | 12M Return: 86.5% | US68622V1061 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Womens Health, Biosimilars, Cardiovascular, Respiratory
Total Rating 53
Safety 77
Buy Signal 0.74
Pharmaceuticals
Sub-Industry Rotation: +4.4
Market Cap: 3.65B
Avg Turnover: 33.4M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility4.40%
VaR 5th Pctl0.73%
VaR vs Median1.23%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.27
Rel. Str. IBD92.7
Rel. Str. Peer Group79.4 pctl
Character TTM
Beta1.034
Beta Downside1.211
Hurst Exponent0.544
Choppyness1.23%
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD74.10%
CAGR/Max DD0.13
CAGR/Mean DD0.28
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of OGN over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 1.67, "2021-12": 1.37, "2022-03": 1.65, "2022-06": 1.25, "2022-09": 1.32, "2022-12": 0.81, "2023-03": 1.08, "2023-06": 1.31, "2023-09": 0.87, "2023-12": 0.88, "2024-03": 1.22, "2024-06": 1.12, "2024-09": 0.87, "2024-12": 0.9, "2025-03": 1.02, "2025-06": 1, "2025-09": 1.01, "2025-12": 0.63, "2026-03": 0.71, "2026-06": 0.8, "2026-09": 0.88,
EPS CAGR: -11.02%
EPS Trend: -91.7%
Last SUE: -0.75
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of OGN over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 1600, 2021-12: 1603, 2022-03: 1567, 2022-06: 1585, 2022-09: 1537, 2022-12: 1485, 2023-03: 1538, 2023-06: 1608, 2023-09: 1519, 2023-12: 1598, 2024-03: 1622, 2024-06: 1607, 2024-09: 1582, 2024-12: 1592, 2025-03: 1513, 2025-06: 1594, 2025-09: 1602, 2025-12: 1507, 2026-03: 1460, 2026-06: 1558, 2026-09: 1574,
Rev. CAGR: -1.41%
Rev. Trend: -78.6%
Last SUE: -0.05
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

Rs Leader
Idiosyncratic Leader

Seasonality 5.4 years of data, until 10/2026

Jan +6.5% 40
Feb +0.1% 0
Mar -0.2% 0
Apr -1.3% 0
May +0.2% 0
Jun -1.7% 0
Jul +0.5% 0
Aug -0.1% 0
Sep -8.5% 22
Oct +0.0% 0
Nov -11.6% 0
Dec +3.8% 0

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, ≥40 worth a closer look and ≥60 is strong.

Description: OGN Organon

Organon & Co. (NYSE: OGN) is a global womens health-focused pharmaceutical company headquartered in Jersey City, New Jersey, and founded in 1923. The company develops and markets prescription therapies and medical devices across more than 100 countries, with a core franchise spanning contraception, fertility, and womens health products such as Nexplanon, NuvaRing, and Jada. Beyond womens health, Organon operates three additional segments: biosimilars (including immunology and oncology products like Brenzys, Renflexis, and Ontruzant), established brands covering cholesterol, hypertension, respiratory, dermatology, bone health, and pain management (e.g., Zetia, Cozaar, Singulair, Fosamax), and select other therapies such as Proscar and Propecia. Its products are distributed to drug wholesalers, retailers, hospitals, clinics, government agencies, HMOs, and pharmacy benefit managers.

Organon was spun off from Merck & Co. in 2021 as a publicly traded mid-cap pharmaceutical company, inheriting a portfolio of established off-patent and biosimilar medicines rather than pursuing innovative drug discovery. This business model emphasizes commercial scale, lifecycle management of mature products, and expansion into biosimilars and womens health, which is a comparatively underserved therapeutic category within the broader pharmaceutical sector.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Nexplanon revenue growth anchors womens health segment
  • Biosimilars face intensifying pricing pressure from new market entrants
  • International currency headwinds pressure reported revenue growth
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.5
Net Income: 213.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.86 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 44.55% < 20% (prev 32.07%; Δ 12.47% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 843.0m > Net Income 213.0m
Net Debt (7.10b) to EBITDA (1.29b): 5.49 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.02 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (272.4m) vs 12m ago 4.50% < -2%
Gross Margin: 53.42% > 18% (prev 55.04%; Δ -1.62% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 45.26% > 50% (prev 46.49%; Δ -1.24% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.13 > 6 (EBIT TTM 949.0m / Interest Expense TTM 446.0m)
Altman Z'' 2.27
A: 0.20 (Total Current Assets 5.37b - Total Current Liabilities 2.65b) / Total Assets 13.4b
B: 0.11 (Retained Earnings 1.51b / Total Assets 13.4b)
C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 949.0m / Avg Total Assets 13.5b)
D: 0.10 (Book Value of Equity 1.19b / Total Liabilities 12.2b)
Altman-Z'' = 2.27 = BBB
Beneish M -3.08
DSRI: 1.01 (Receivables 1.48b/1.52b, Revenue 6.10b/6.30b)
GMI: 1.03 (GM 55.04% / 53.42%)
AQI: 0.90 (AQ_t 0.50 / AQ_t-1 0.56)
SGI: 0.97 (Revenue 6.10b / 6.30b)
TATA: -0.05 (NI 213.0m - CFO 843.0m) / TA 13.4b)
Beneish M = -3.08 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of OGN shares?

As of November 12, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 13.89 with a total of 1,870,557 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.58%, over one month by +1.02%, over three months by +2.05% and over the past year by +86.48%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 13.80 (which is 0.6% or 1.8 ATR below the current price).

Is OGN a buy, sell or hold?

Organon has received a consensus analysts rating of 2.75. Therefore, it is recommended to hold OGN.

  • StrongBuy: 0
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 3
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the OGN price?
Analysts Target Price 10.3 -25.6%
Organon (OGN) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 12 November 2026
Market Cap USD = 3.65b (3.65b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 17.8077
P/E Forward = 5.0891
P/S = 0.5981
P/B = 3.0489
Revenue TTM = 6.10b USD
EBIT TTM = 949.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.29b USD
Long Term Debt = 8.48b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 69.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 8.55b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 7.10b USD (calculated: Debt 8.55b - CCE 1.46b)
Enterprise Value = 10.7b USD (3.65b + Debt 8.55b - CCE 1.46b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.13 (Ebit TTM 949.0m / Interest Expense TTM 446.0m)
EV/FCF = 15.92x (Enterprise Value 10.7b / FCF TTM 675.0m)
FCF Yield = 6.28% (FCF TTM 675.0m / Enterprise Value 10.7b)
FCF Margin = 11.07% (FCF TTM 675.0m / Revenue TTM 6.10b)
Net Margin = 3.49% (Net Income TTM 213.0m / Revenue TTM 6.10b)
Gross Margin = 53.42% ((Revenue TTM 6.10b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.84b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 55.21% (prev 54.36%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.80 (Enterprise Value 10.7b / Total Assets 13.4b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.21% (Interest Expense 446.0m / Debt 8.55b)
Taxrate = 35.69% (91.0m / 255.0m)
NOPAT = 610.3m (EBIT 949.0m * (1 - 35.69%))
Current Ratio = 2.02 (Total Current Assets 5.37b / Total Current Liabilities 2.65b)
Debt / Equity = 7.17 (Debt 8.55b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.19b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.49 (Net Debt 7.10b / EBITDA 1.29b)
Debt / FCF = 10.52 (Net Debt 7.10b / FCF TTM 675.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 963.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.58% (Net Income 213.0m / Total Assets 13.4b)
RoE = 22.11% (Net Income TTM 213.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 963.5m)
RoCE = 10.04% (EBIT 949.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 963.5m + L.T.Debt 8.48b))
RoIC = 5.81% (NOPAT 610.3m / Invested Capital 10.5b)
WACC = 5.07% (E(3.65b)/V(12.2b) * Re(9.11%) + D(8.55b)/V(12.2b) * Rd(5.21%) * (1-Tc(0.36)))
Discount Rate = 9.11% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 81.09 | Cagr: 2.34%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈631.4m ; Y1≈723.8m ; Y5≈1.07b
[DCF] Fair Price = 34.01 (EV 16.0b - Net Debt 7.10b = Equity 8.93b / Shares 262.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -91.65 | EPS CAGR: -11.02% | SUE: -0.75 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -78.63 | Revenue CAGR: -1.41% | SUE: -0.05 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2027-03-31): EPS=0.92 | Chg30d=+4.99% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.44 | Chg30d=+0.09% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=-6.1% | GrowthRev=-0.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.65 | Chg30d=+0.90% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+6.2% | GrowthRev=+2.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -50% (up=0, down=3)