(OGS) One Gas - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US68235P1084

Natural Gas Distribution Services

Dividends

Dividend Yield 3.45%
Yield on Cost 5y 3.98%
Yield CAGR 5y 5.14%
Payout Consistency 100.0%
Payout Ratio 62.5%
Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility 20.8%
Value at Risk 5%th 34.7%
Relative Tail Risk 1.22%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio 0.40
Alpha 2.44
CAGR/Max DD 0.12
Character TTM
Hurst Exponent 0.278
Beta 0.204
Beta Downside 0.161
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 29.71%
Mean DD 11.02%
Median DD 8.70%

Description: OGS One Gas November 05, 2025

One Gas, Inc. (NYSE: OGS) is a regulated natural-gas distribution utility that serves roughly 2.3 million residential, commercial, and transportation customers across Oklahoma, Kansas, and Texas. Founded in 1906 and headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma, the company operates through a network of pipelines and related infrastructure to deliver gas under state-approved rates.

Key operational metrics that investors watch include its 2023 adjusted earnings-before-interest-tax-depreciation-amortization (EBITDA) of about $1.1 billion, a regulated return on equity (ROE) near 9 % (consistent with industry benchmarks), and a modest growth in total delivered volumes of ~2 % year-over-year, driven largely by population growth in its service territories and the gradual electrification of transportation. Sector-wide, the utility’s performance is sensitive to regional temperature extremes (which affect heating demand) and to state-level regulatory decisions on rate cases, which set the ceiling for revenue growth.

For a deeper, data-driven assessment of OGS’s valuation and risk profile, you may find the analytics on ValueRay useful as a next step.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5

Net Income (254.9m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 142.1m TTM)
FCFTA -0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.42pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue -32.71% (prev -33.86%; Δ 1.15pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 598.4m > Net Income 254.9m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (3.39b) to EBITDA (761.0m) ratio: 4.46 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 0.47 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (60.5m) change vs 12m ago 5.89% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 41.66% (prev 36.42%; Δ 5.24pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 28.64% (prev 25.61%; Δ 3.03pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio 3.06 (EBITDA TTM 761.0m / Interest Expense TTM 146.1m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 0.27

(A) -0.09 = (Total Current Assets 679.2m - Total Current Liabilities 1.45b) / Total Assets 8.50b
(B) 0.10 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 863.8m / Total Assets 8.50b
(C) 0.05 = EBIT TTM 447.6m / Avg Total Assets 8.27b
(D) 0.16 = Book Value of Equity 864.5m / Total Liabilities 5.32b
Total Rating: 0.27 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 45.04

1. Piotroski 3.50pt
2. FCF Yield -1.40%
3. FCF Margin -4.93%
4. Debt/Equity 1.07
5. Debt/Ebitda 4.46
6. ROIC - WACC (= 1.30)%
7. RoE 8.06%
8. Rev. Trend -21.97%
9. EPS Trend -20.23%

What is the price of OGS shares?

As of December 10, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 77.64 with a total of 366,733 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.78%, over one month by -3.92%, over three months by +4.78% and over the past year by +11.17%.

Is OGS a buy, sell or hold?

One Gas has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.50. Therefor, it is recommend to hold OGS.
  • Strong Buy: 3
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 4
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the OGS price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 85.4 9.9%
Analysts Target Price 85.4 9.9%
ValueRay Target Price 82.6 6.4%

OGS Fundamental Data Overview December 03, 2025

Market Cap USD = 4.96b (4.96b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 19.2751
P/E Forward = 18.1488
P/S = 2.0945
P/B = 1.559
P/EG = 4.19
Beta = 0.787
Revenue TTM = 2.37b USD
EBIT TTM = 447.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 761.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.36b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.04b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.40b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.39b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 8.35b USD (4.96b + Debt 3.40b - CCE 11.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.06 (Ebit TTM 447.6m / Interest Expense TTM 146.1m)
FCF Yield = -1.40% (FCF TTM -116.8m / Enterprise Value 8.35b)
FCF Margin = -4.93% (FCF TTM -116.8m / Revenue TTM 2.37b)
Net Margin = 10.76% (Net Income TTM 254.9m / Revenue TTM 2.37b)
Gross Margin = 41.66% ((Revenue TTM 2.37b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.38b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 79.79% (prev 41.25%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.98 (Enterprise Value 8.35b / Total Assets 8.50b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.04% (Interest Expense 35.4m / Debt 3.40b)
Taxrate = 18.24% (5.91m / 32.4m)
NOPAT = 366.0m (EBIT 447.6m * (1 - 18.24%))
Current Ratio = 0.47 (Total Current Assets 679.2m / Total Current Liabilities 1.45b)
Debt / Equity = 1.07 (Debt 3.40b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.18b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.46 (Net Debt 3.39b / EBITDA 761.0m)
Debt / FCF = -29.03 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 3.39b / FCF TTM -116.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.16b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.00% (Net Income 254.9m / Total Assets 8.50b)
RoE = 8.06% (Net Income TTM 254.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.16b)
RoCE = 8.11% (EBIT 447.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.16b + L.T.Debt 2.36b))
RoIC = 5.66% (NOPAT 366.0m / Invested Capital 6.47b)
WACC = 4.36% (E(4.96b)/V(8.36b) * Re(6.77%) + D(3.40b)/V(8.36b) * Rd(1.04%) * (1-Tc(0.18)))
Discount Rate = 6.77% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 4.13%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -116.8m)
EPS Correlation: -20.23 | EPS CAGR: -22.05% | SUE: 0.48 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -21.97 | Revenue CAGR: -11.27% | SUE: -1.00 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.09 | Chg30d=-0.115 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.63 | Chg30d=+0.041 | Revisions Net=+5 | Growth EPS=+6.0% | Growth Revenue=+7.5%

Additional Sources for OGS Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle