(OKLO) Oklo - Ratings and Ratios
Fission Reactors, Nuclear Recycling, Fuel Fabrication
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 88.4% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 117% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -19.68% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.63 |
| Alpha | 238.19 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.48 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.476 |
| Beta | 2.539 |
| Beta Downside | 2.035 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 69.34% |
| Mean DD | 18.79% |
| Median DD | 5.60% |
Description: OKLO Oklo December 19, 2025
Oklo Inc. (NYSE:OKLO) designs and builds compact, advanced fission reactors aimed at delivering clean, reliable, and cost-effective electricity in the United States, while also commercializing a nuclear-fuel recycling process that turns spent waste into usable reactor fuel. The company has partnered with Newcleo to create a domestic advanced fuel-fabrication and manufacturing supply chain, and it is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.
Key metrics and sector drivers: as of Q3 2024, Oklo’s market capitalization hovers around $180 million, and its most advanced design, the Aurora micro-reactor, targets a 10-MW electric output with an estimated levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) of $45–$55/MWh-competitive with natural-gas peakers. The U.S. Department of Energy has earmarked over $300 million in grants for next-generation nuclear projects, providing a potential funding pipeline for Oklo’s rollout. Additionally, the broader electric-utility sub-industry is benefiting from rising demand for carbon-free baseload capacity as states tighten renewable-energy mandates.
For a deeper quantitative assessment of OKLO’s valuation and risk profile, you may find the ValueRay analysis useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.0
| error: Net Income check cannot be calculated (needs Net Income TTM and Revenue TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 5.00pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| error: NWC/Revenue cannot be calculated (needs Current Assets/Liabilities and Revenue current+prev) |
| CFO/TA -0.05 (>3.0%) and CFO -62.2m > Net Income -74.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 67.51 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (150.4m) change vs 12m ago 23.11% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| error: Gross Margin (current vs previous) cannot be calculated (needs Total Revenue and Cost Of Revenue) |
| Asset Turnover 0.0% (prev 2.79%; Δ -2.79pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -4.90 (EBITDA TTM -97.1m / Interest Expense TTM -19.9m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -1.60
| (A) 0.74 = (Total Current Assets 931.8m - Total Current Liabilities 13.8m) / Total Assets 1.25b |
| (B) -0.16 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -199.3m / Total Assets 1.25b |
| (C) -0.13 = EBIT TTM -97.6m / Avg Total Assets 770.0m |
| (D) -4.82 = Book Value of Equity -195.7m / Total Liabilities 40.6m |
| Total Rating: -1.60 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 26.85
| 1. Piotroski 0.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -0.58% |
| 3. FCF Margin data missing |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.00 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 4.20 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -31.77)% |
| 7. RoE -12.30% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 0.00% |
| 9. EPS Trend -66.27% |
What is the price of OKLO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.07%, over one month by -9.20%, over three months by -38.01% and over the past year by +244.39%.
Is OKLO a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the OKLO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 113.3 | 39.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 113.3 | 39.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 100.3 | 23.3% |
OKLO Fundamental Data Overview December 25, 2025
P/B = 10.6119
Beta = 0.746
Revenue TTM = 0.0 USD
EBIT TTM = -97.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = -97.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.66m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.16m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.94m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -408.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 11.87b USD (12.79b + Debt 1.94m - CCE 921.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -4.90 (Ebit TTM -97.6m / Interest Expense TTM -19.9m)
FCF Yield = -0.58% (FCF TTM -68.5m / Enterprise Value 11.87b)
FCF Margin = unknown (Revenue TTM is 0 or missing)
Net Margin = unknown
Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 0.0 - Cost of Revenue TTM 336.6k) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 9.53 (Enterprise Value 11.87b / Total Assets 1.25b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 161.1% (Interest Expense 3.13m / Debt 1.94m)
Taxrate = -1.82% (negative due to tax credits) (531.0k / -29.2m)
NOPAT = -99.4m (EBIT -97.6m * (1 - -1.82%)) [loss with tax shield] [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 67.51 (Total Current Assets 931.8m / Total Current Liabilities 13.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.00 (Debt 1.94m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.21b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.20 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -408.1m / EBITDA -97.1m)
Debt / FCF = 5.95 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -408.1m / FCF TTM -68.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 605.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -5.98% (Net Income -74.5m / Total Assets 1.25b)
RoE = -12.30% (Net Income TTM -74.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 605.5m)
RoCE = -16.07% (EBIT -97.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 605.5m + L.T.Debt 1.66m))
RoIC = -16.40% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -99.4m / Invested Capital 605.8m)
WACC = 15.37% (E(12.79b)/V(12.80b) * Re(15.37%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 15.37% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 47.36%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -68.5m)
EPS Correlation: -66.27 | EPS CAGR: -25.30% | SUE: -0.95 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 0.00 | Revenue CAGR: 0.0% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.17 | Chg30d=-0.040 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=8
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.63 | Chg30d=-0.041 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=-3.1% | Growth Revenue=+0.0%
Additional Sources for OKLO Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle