(ONON) On Holding - Ratings and Ratios
Athletic Footwear, Apparel, Accessories
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 42.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 64.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.79% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.00 |
| Alpha | -28.39 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.80 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.513 |
| Beta | 1.302 |
| Beta Downside | 1.102 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 45.05% |
| Mean DD | 15.15% |
| Median DD | 13.42% |
Description: ONON On Holding January 02, 2026
On Holding AG (NYSE: ONON) designs, manufactures, and distributes athletic footwear, apparel, and accessories for running, outdoor, training, all-day wear, and tennis. The brand sells through independent retailers, distributors, its own e-commerce channels, and physical stores. Founded in 2010, the company is headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland, and operates globally.
Key recent metrics: FY 2023 revenue reached roughly $1.5 billion, up about 12 % year-over-year, driven by strong e-commerce growth (online sales now represent ~30 % of total revenue). Gross margin improved to 45 % as the firm shifted to higher-margin premium models, while inventory turnover accelerated to 4.2×, reflecting tighter supply-chain management. The sector is being propelled by sustained consumer demand for athleisure and “active-lifestyle” products, with U.S. discretionary spending expected to grow modestly (≈2 % annual) despite inflationary pressures.
For a deeper quantitative dive-including forward-looking cash-flow forecasts and scenario analysis-check out the ValueRay platform, which aggregates analyst estimates and proprietary risk metrics.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5
| Net Income (224.3m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 172.6m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.13 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -6.44pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 40.43% (prev 47.23%; Δ -6.80pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.15 (>3.0%) and CFO 415.2m > Net Income 224.3m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-457.9m) to EBITDA (398.3m) ratio: -1.15 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.55 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (334.0m) change vs 12m ago -1.46% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 62.40% (prev 60.18%; Δ 2.23pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 118.5% (prev 102.6%; Δ 15.92pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 8.68 (EBITDA TTM 398.3m / Interest Expense TTM 27.3m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 5.16
| (A) 0.42 = (Total Current Assets 1.91b - Total Current Liabilities 748.6m) / Total Assets 2.75b |
| (B) 0.11 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 313.6m / Total Assets 2.75b |
| (C) 0.10 = EBIT TTM 237.2m / Avg Total Assets 2.43b |
| (D) 1.30 = Book Value of Equity 1.57b / Total Liabilities 1.21b |
| Total Rating: 5.16 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 80.39
| 1. Piotroski 7.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.81% |
| 3. FCF Margin 12.01% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.33 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -1.15 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 5.97)% |
| 7. RoE 15.50% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 96.61% |
| 9. EPS Trend 50.63% |
What is the price of ONON shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.84%, over one month by +7.68%, over three months by +16.07% and over the past year by -8.84%.
Is ONON a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 19
- Buy: 8
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ONON price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 62.2 | 22.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 62.2 | 22.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 56.3 | 11.2% |
ONON Fundamental Data Overview January 09, 2026
P/E Trailing = 57.9286
P/E Forward = 30.3951
P/S = 5.5847
P/B = 8.296
Beta = 2.155
Revenue TTM = 2.88b CHF
EBIT TTM = 237.2m CHF
EBITDA TTM = 398.3m CHF
Long Term Debt = 503.9m CHF (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 76.1m CHF (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 503.9m CHF (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -457.9m CHF (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 12.28b CHF (12.80b + Debt 503.9m - CCE 1.02b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.68 (Ebit TTM 237.2m / Interest Expense TTM 27.3m)
FCF Yield = 2.81% (FCF TTM 345.4m / Enterprise Value 12.28b)
FCF Margin = 12.01% (FCF TTM 345.4m / Revenue TTM 2.88b)
Net Margin = 7.80% (Net Income TTM 224.3m / Revenue TTM 2.88b)
Gross Margin = 62.40% ((Revenue TTM 2.88b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.08b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 65.75% (prev 61.51%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.46 (Enterprise Value 12.28b / Total Assets 2.75b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.61% (Interest Expense 8.10m / Debt 503.9m)
Taxrate = -0.25% (negative due to tax credits) (-300.0k / 118.6m)
NOPAT = 237.8m (EBIT 237.2m * (1 - -0.25%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 2.55 (Total Current Assets 1.91b / Total Current Liabilities 748.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.33 (Debt 503.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.54b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.15 (Net Debt -457.9m / EBITDA 398.3m)
Debt / FCF = -1.33 (Net Debt -457.9m / FCF TTM 345.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.45b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.15% (Net Income 224.3m / Total Assets 2.75b)
RoE = 15.50% (Net Income TTM 224.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.45b)
RoCE = 12.16% (EBIT 237.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.45b + L.T.Debt 503.9m))
RoIC = 16.44% (NOPAT 237.8m / Invested Capital 1.45b)
WACC = 10.46% (E(12.80b)/V(13.31b) * Re(10.81%) + D(503.9m)/V(13.31b) * Rd(1.61%) * (1-Tc(-0.00)))
Discount Rate = 10.81% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 2.26%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 66.93% ; FCFE base≈367.2m ; Y1≈333.8m ; Y5≈292.5m
Fair Price DCF = 11.63 (DCF Value 3.45b / Shares Outstanding 296.7m; 5y FCF grow -11.35% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 50.63 | EPS CAGR: 207.1% | SUE: 0.13 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 96.61 | Revenue CAGR: 46.22% | SUE: 0.14 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.28 | Chg30d=-0.001 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=9
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.35 | Chg30d=+0.004 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+79.2% | Growth Revenue=+22.6%
Additional Sources for ONON Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle