(ORCL) Oracle - Ratings and Ratios
Database, Middleware, ERP, Cloud, Hardware
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.94% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.53% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 13.62% |
| Payout Consistency | 97.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 31.1% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 64.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 88.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -17.26% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.33 |
| Alpha | -12.10 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.91 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.335 |
| Beta | 1.419 |
| Beta Downside | 1.334 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 39.89% |
| Mean DD | 8.42% |
| Median DD | 6.67% |
Description: ORCL Oracle September 24, 2025
Oracle Corporation (NYSE: ORCL) delivers a broad suite of enterprise-IT solutions, spanning cloud-based SaaS applications (Fusion ERP, EPM, SCM, HCM, Sales, Service, Marketing, NetSuite, and industry-specific clouds) and on-premise software licenses with support. Its infrastructure stack includes the Oracle and MySQL databases, the autonomous database, Java, middleware, and a full hardware portfolio of engineered systems, servers, storage, and virtualization software, sold directly and via indirect channels to corporations, governments, and schools.
As of FY 2024, Oracle reported $45 billion in total revenue, with cloud-subscription and license-support (CS&L) contributing roughly $28 billion-a 9% year-over-year increase driven primarily by autonomous-database and Fusion-cloud adoption. The company’s operating margin remains above 30%, reflecting the high-margin nature of software subscriptions versus lower-margin hardware sales. Oracle’s free-cash-flow conversion sits near 80%, supporting its share-repurchase program and strategic acquisitions.
The enterprise-software sector is being reshaped by three macro drivers: (1) accelerated migration to public and hybrid cloud environments, (2) rising demand for AI-enabled data platforms (e.g., autonomous databases and generative-AI extensions), and (3) sustained corporate IT spend despite macro-uncertainty, as firms prioritize digital transformation to improve efficiency. Oracle’s integrated stack positions it to capture cross-sell opportunities as customers consolidate workloads onto a single vendor ecosystem.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of Oracle’s valuation relative to peers, you may find the analytics on ValueRay useful as a next step in your research.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income (12.44b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 3.54b TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -11.07pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -25.82% (prev -16.67%; Δ -9.15pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 21.53b > Net Income 12.44b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (94.96b) to EBITDA (23.24b) ratio: 4.09 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.62 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (2.91b) change vs 12m ago 2.03% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 69.66% (prev 71.31%; Δ -1.65pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 36.36% (prev 37.32%; Δ -0.96pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 4.94 (EBITDA TTM 23.24b / Interest Expense TTM 3.66b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.10
| (A) -0.08 = (Total Current Assets 24.63b - Total Current Liabilities 39.87b) / Total Assets 180.45b |
| (B) -0.08 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -14.05b / Total Assets 180.45b |
| (C) 0.11 = EBIT TTM 18.08b / Avg Total Assets 162.33b |
| (D) 0.16 = Book Value of Equity 24.15b / Total Liabilities 155.78b |
| Total Rating: 0.10 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 57.34
| 1. Piotroski 3.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -0.85% |
| 3. FCF Margin -9.96% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 4.36 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 4.09 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 4.23)% |
| 7. RoE 66.28% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 92.69% |
| 9. EPS Trend 61.26% |
What is the price of ORCL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.60%, over one month by -28.09%, over three months by -15.82% and over the past year by +10.36%.
Is ORCL a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 20
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 15
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ORCL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 342.7 | 69.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 342.7 | 69.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 244.5 | 21.1% |
ORCL Fundamental Data Overview November 22, 2025
P/E Trailing = 48.6582
P/E Forward = 32.8947
P/S = 10.1771
P/B = 26.6183
P/EG = 2.0015
Beta = 1.636
Revenue TTM = 59.02b USD
EBIT TTM = 18.08b USD
EBITDA TTM = 23.24b USD
Long Term Debt = 82.24b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 9.08b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 105.41b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 94.96b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 695.04b USD (600.63b + Debt 105.41b - CCE 11.01b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.94 (Ebit TTM 18.08b / Interest Expense TTM 3.66b)
FCF Yield = -0.85% (FCF TTM -5.88b / Enterprise Value 695.04b)
FCF Margin = -9.96% (FCF TTM -5.88b / Revenue TTM 59.02b)
Net Margin = 21.08% (Net Income TTM 12.44b / Revenue TTM 59.02b)
Gross Margin = 69.66% ((Revenue TTM 59.02b - Cost of Revenue TTM 17.90b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 67.28% (prev 70.19%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.85 (Enterprise Value 695.04b / Total Assets 180.45b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.88% (Interest Expense 923.0m / Debt 105.41b)
Taxrate = 14.59% (500.0m / 3.43b)
NOPAT = 15.44b (EBIT 18.08b * (1 - 14.59%))
Current Ratio = 0.62 (Total Current Assets 24.63b / Total Current Liabilities 39.87b)
Debt / Equity = 4.36 (Debt 105.41b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 24.15b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.09 (Net Debt 94.96b / EBITDA 23.24b)
Debt / FCF = -16.15 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 94.96b / FCF TTM -5.88b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 18.77b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.89% (Net Income 12.44b / Total Assets 180.45b)
RoE = 66.28% (Net Income TTM 12.44b / Total Stockholder Equity 18.77b)
RoCE = 17.90% (EBIT 18.08b / Capital Employed (Equity 18.77b + L.T.Debt 82.24b))
RoIC = 13.91% (NOPAT 15.44b / Invested Capital 110.97b)
WACC = 9.68% (E(600.63b)/V(706.04b) * Re(11.25%) + D(105.41b)/V(706.04b) * Rd(0.88%) * (1-Tc(0.15)))
Discount Rate = 11.25% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.62%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -5.88b)
EPS Correlation: 61.26 | EPS CAGR: 5.33% | SUE: -0.30 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 92.69 | Revenue CAGR: 10.23% | SUE: -0.32 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for ORCL Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle