(ORI) Old Republic International - Ratings and Ratios
Insurance, Title, Surety, Warranty, Escrow
ORI EPS (Earnings per Share)
ORI Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 18.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 30.3% |
| Reward | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.00 |
| Alpha Jensen | 15.64 |
| Character | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.749 |
| Beta | 0.842 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 11.72% |
| Mean DD | 3.08% |
Description: ORI Old Republic International November 04, 2025
Old Republic International Corp (NYSE:ORI) operates two primary segments: Specialty Insurance, which underwrites a broad suite of commercial and personal lines-including accident & health, aviation, commercial property, and financial indemnity products-for businesses and government entities across diverse industries; and Title Insurance, which provides lender and owner policies, escrow services, and real-estate data solutions for property transactions in the U.S. and Canada.
Key performance metrics from the most recent fiscal year show a combined ratio of 92.5% in the Specialty Insurance segment, indicating underwriting profitability, and a net written premium growth of 5.8% year-over-year, driven largely by strong demand in commercial construction and transportation insurance lines.
The companys results are sensitive to macro-economic factors such as U.S. construction activity, which fuels both commercial property and title insurance volumes, and interest-rate trends that affect mortgage origination and, consequently, title policy demand. Additionally, the broader Property & Casualty sector is experiencing pricing pressure from elevated loss frequencies in natural-catastrophe exposures, making loss-control initiatives a critical competitive lever.
For a deeper, data-driven look at ORI’s valuation dynamics and scenario analysis, you may find ValueRay’s analytical tools useful as a next step in your research.
ORI Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 9,915m |
| Sub-Industry | Property & Casualty Insurance |
| IPO / Inception | 1990-03-26 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 11.0% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.67 of 5 |
ORI Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 7.22% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 24.90% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 5.99% |
| Payout Consistency | 90.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 86.5% |
ORI Growth Ratios
| CAGR | 28.96% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 2.47 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 9.40 |
| Current Volume | 3582.7k |
| Average Volume | 1579.8k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income (834.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 525.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.26pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 36.37% (prev 24.29%; Δ 12.08pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.29b > Net Income 834.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-242.5m) to EBITDA (1.12b) ratio: -0.22 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 141.8 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (249.6m) change vs 12m ago -2.77% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 54.44% (prev 72.08%; Δ -17.64pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 29.61% (prev 28.32%; Δ 1.29pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.12 (EBITDA TTM 1.12b / Interest Expense TTM 70.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.66
| (A) 0.11 = (Total Current Assets 3.21b - Total Current Liabilities 22.6m) / Total Assets 30.25b |
| (B) 0.20 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 6.04b / Total Assets 30.25b |
| (C) 0.01 = EBIT TTM 148.4m / Avg Total Assets 29.55b |
| (D) 0.27 = Book Value of Equity 6.44b / Total Liabilities 23.81b |
| Total Rating: 1.66 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 62.67
| 1. Piotroski 4.0pt = -1.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 11.46% = 5.0 |
| 3. FCF Margin 14.76% = 3.69 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.25 = 2.47 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.22 = 2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -6.41)% = -8.01 |
| 7. RoE 13.82% = 1.15 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 51.24% = 3.84 |
| 9. EPS Trend 60.47% = 3.02 |
What is the price of ORI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.89%, over one month by +1.23%, over three months by +13.16% and over the past year by +26.43%.
Is Old Republic International a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of ORI is around 52.63 USD . This means that ORI is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +21.13% (Margin of Safety).
Is ORI a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 0
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ORI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 46.5 | 7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 46.5 | 7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 58.4 | 34.4% |
ORI Fundamental Data Overview November 06, 2025
P/E Trailing = 11.997
P/S = 1.1333
P/B = 1.7221
P/EG = -0.85
Beta = 0.842
Revenue TTM = 8.75b USD
EBIT TTM = 148.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.12b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.59b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 1.59b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = -242.5m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 11.26b USD (9.92b + Debt 1.59b - CCE 242.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.12 (Ebit TTM 148.4m / Interest Expense TTM 70.0m)
FCF Yield = 11.46% (FCF TTM 1.29b / Enterprise Value 11.26b)
FCF Margin = 14.76% (FCF TTM 1.29b / Revenue TTM 8.75b)
Net Margin = 9.53% (Net Income TTM 834.0m / Revenue TTM 8.75b)
Gross Margin = 54.44% ((Revenue TTM 8.75b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.99b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 34.06% (prev 62.58%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.37 (Enterprise Value 11.26b / Total Assets 30.25b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.09% (Interest Expense 17.3m / Debt 1.59b)
Taxrate = 20.63% (72.8m / 352.9m)
NOPAT = 117.8m (EBIT 148.4m * (1 - 20.63%))
Current Ratio = 141.8 (out of range, set to none) (Total Current Assets 3.21b / Total Current Liabilities 22.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.25 (Debt 1.59b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 6.42b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.22 (Net Debt -242.5m / EBITDA 1.12b)
Debt / FCF = -0.19 (Net Debt -242.5m / FCF TTM 1.29b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 6.04b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.76% (Net Income 834.0m / Total Assets 30.25b)
RoE = 13.82% (Net Income TTM 834.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 6.04b)
RoCE = 1.95% (EBIT 148.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 6.04b + L.T.Debt 1.59b))
RoIC = 1.57% (NOPAT 117.8m / Invested Capital 7.50b)
WACC = 7.98% (E(9.92b)/V(11.50b) * Re(9.12%) + D(1.59b)/V(11.50b) * Rd(1.09%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.12% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -5.11%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 73.86% ; FCFE base≈1.24b ; Y1≈1.19b ; Y5≈1.18b
Fair Price DCF = 70.42 (DCF Value 17.42b / Shares Outstanding 247.4m; 5y FCF grow -4.61% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 60.47 | EPS CAGR: -0.92% | SUE: 0.26 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 51.24 | Revenue CAGR: 1.21% | SUE: 0.99 | # QB: 1
Additional Sources for ORI Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle