OSK Stock Analysis: Oshkosh | NYSE
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 8.158m USD | 12M Return: -0.3% | US6882392011 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 92.6M
EPS Trend: -9.4%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 70.6%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Oshkosh Corporation designs and manufactures purpose-built vehicles and equipment across three reporting segments: Access (aerial work platforms, telehandlers, and towing/recovery equipment, along with financing and leasing solutions), Vocational (firefighting apparatus, emergency and rescue vehicles, refuse and recycling collection vehicles, and airport ground support equipment), and Transport (heavy, medium, and light tactical wheeled vehicles and related services for defense customers). The company distributes its products through direct sales representatives, dealers, and distributors. It was founded in 1915, is headquartered in Oshkosh, Wisconsin, and was formerly known as Oshkosh Truck Corporation.
As a mid-cap stock in the Industrials sector (GICS Sub Industry: Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment), Oshkosh operates a diversified business model that spans commercial, municipal, and defense end markets, with its Transport segment positioning it as a U.S. defense contractor supplying tactical vehicles to military customers.
- FHTV and JLTV defense contract awards drive Transport backlog
- Access segment revenue tracks commercial construction cycle
- Vocational margins pressured by steel and component inflation
| Net Income: 556.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.11 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 5.69 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 20.63% < 20% (prev 22.02%; Δ -1.39% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 1.30b > Net Income 556.3m |
| Net Debt (699.2m) to EBITDA (1.05b): 0.66 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.72 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (62.7m) vs 12m ago -3.13% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 15.90% > 18% (prev 18.08%; Δ -2.18% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 105.7% > 50% (prev 103.7%; Δ 2.07% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 6.74 > 6 (EBIT TTM 815.6m / Interest Expense TTM 121.0m) |
| A: 0.22 (Total Current Assets 5.24b - Total Current Liabilities 3.05b) / Total Assets 10.1b |
| B: 0.50 (Retained Earnings 5.04b / Total Assets 10.1b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 815.6m / Avg Total Assets 10.0b) |
| D: 0.82 (Book Value of Equity 4.53b / Total Liabilities 5.52b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 4.47 = AA |
| DSRI: 1.07 (Receivables 2.43b/2.22b, Revenue 10.6b/10.4b) |
| GMI: 1.14 (GM 18.08% / 15.90%) |
| AQI: 0.94 (AQ_t 0.35 / AQ_t-1 0.38) |
| SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 10.6b / 10.4b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 556.3m - CFO 1.30b) / TA 10.1b) |
| Beneish M = -2.87 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 13, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 126.62 with a total of 600,100 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.56%, over one month by -11.70%, over three months by -12.87% and over the past year by -0.31%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 121.00 (which is 4.4% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Oshkosh has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.06. Therefore, it is recommended to buy OSK.
- StrongBuy: 8
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 167.5 | 32.3% |
P/E Trailing = 15.2048
P/E Forward = 9.4162
P/S = 0.7688
P/B = 1.8477
P/EG = 6.5124
Revenue TTM = 10.6b USD
EBIT TTM = 815.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.05b USD
Long Term Debt = 600.6m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 502.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.10b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 699.2m USD (calculated: Debt 1.10b - CCE 403.6m)
Enterprise Value = 8.86b USD (8.16b + Debt 1.10b - CCE 403.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.74 (Ebit TTM 815.6m / Interest Expense TTM 121.0m)
EV/FCF = 7.71x (Enterprise Value 8.86b / FCF TTM 1.15b)
FCF Yield = 12.97% (FCF TTM 1.15b / Enterprise Value 8.86b)
FCF Margin = 10.83% (FCF TTM 1.15b / Revenue TTM 10.6b)
Net Margin = 5.24% (Net Income TTM 556.3m / Revenue TTM 10.6b)
Gross Margin = 15.90% ((Revenue TTM 10.6b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.92b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 16.48% (prev 13.46%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.88 (Enterprise Value 8.86b / Total Assets 10.1b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 10.97% (Interest Expense 121.0m / Debt 1.10b)
Taxrate = 19.78% (137.2m / 693.5m)
NOPAT = 654.2m (EBIT 815.6m * (1 - 19.78%))
Current Ratio = 1.72 (Total Current Assets 5.24b / Total Current Liabilities 3.05b)
Debt / Equity = 0.24 (Debt 1.10b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.53b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.66 (Net Debt 699.2m / EBITDA 1.05b)
Debt / FCF = 0.61 (Net Debt 699.2m / FCF TTM 1.15b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.52b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.54% (Net Income 556.3m / Total Assets 10.1b)
RoE = 12.32% (Net Income TTM 556.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.52b)
RoCE = 15.94% (EBIT 815.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 4.52b + L.T.Debt 600.6m))
RoIC = 9.21% (NOPAT 654.2m / Invested Capital 7.10b)
WACC = 9.76% (E(8.16b)/V(9.26b) * Re(9.89%) + D(1.10b)/V(9.26b) * Rd(10.97%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 9.89% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -97.67 | Cagr: -2.31%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.54% ; FCFF base≈919.5m ; Y1≈1.05b ; Y5≈1.55b
[DCF] Fair Price = 291.4 (EV 18.7b - Net Debt 699.2m = Equity 18.0b / Shares 61.7m; r=9.76% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -9.36 | EPS CAGR: -0.99% | SUE: 1.09 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 70.60 | Revenue CAGR: 3.22% | SUE: 1.19 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=3.11 | Chg30d=-0.62% | Revisions=-83% | Analysts=15
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=10.71 | Chg30d=-0.44% | Revisions=-35% | GrowthEPS=-0.7% | GrowthRev=+7.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=13.96 | Chg30d=-0.24% | Revisions=-17% | GrowthEPS=+30.3% | GrowthRev=+7.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -51% (up=10, down=34)