(OSK) Oshkosh - Ratings and Ratios
Access Equipment, Defense Vehicles, Fire Apparatus, Refuse Trucks, Mixer Trucks
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.59% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.61% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 10.59% |
| Payout Consistency | 82.3% |
| Payout Ratio | 18.4% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 34.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 51.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.65% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.82 |
| Alpha | 17.19 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.44 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.465 |
| Beta | 1.221 |
| Beta Downside | 1.205 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 36.66% |
| Mean DD | 12.73% |
| Median DD | 12.31% |
Description: OSK Oshkosh November 04, 2025
Oshkosh Corporation (NYSE:OSK) designs and builds purpose-built vehicles across three core segments-Access (aerial work platforms, telehandlers, and towing/recovery equipment with accompanying financing services), Defense (tactical wheeled vehicles ranging from light to heavy), and Vocational (fire-fighting, emergency response, refuse-collection, and specialty trucks such as crane-mounted and concrete-mixing vehicles). Sales are executed through a mix of direct reps, dealer networks, and distributors, and the firm traces its roots to 1917 when it was incorporated as Oshkosh Truck Corporation.
In fiscal 2023 Oshkosh reported roughly $3.5 billion in revenue, with the Defense segment contributing about 45 % of total sales and delivering an operating margin near 7 %. The company’s order backlog stood at approximately $2.0 billion, indicating a multi-quarter pipeline that is weighted heavily toward long-lead-time defense contracts.
Key macro drivers for Oshkosh include (1) U.S. federal defense appropriations, which have risen 4 % YoY and support continued procurement of tactical vehicles; (2) U.S. infrastructure and construction spending, projected to grow 2-3 % annually, sustaining demand for Access-segment equipment; and (3) cyclical demand for emergency-services vehicles, which is sensitive to municipal budget cycles and climate-related incident frequency.
If you want a deeper, data-rich view of Oshkosh’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, ValueRay’s platform offers free tools that let you model the impact of defense-budget changes and construction-spending trends on OSK’s earnings outlook.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income (666.3m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 619.9m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.08 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 8.46pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 23.62% (prev 15.10%; Δ 8.52pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 (>3.0%) and CFO 974.1m > Net Income 666.3m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (994.6m) to EBITDA (1.20b) ratio: 0.83 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.98 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (64.5m) change vs 12m ago -1.71% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 17.83% (prev 18.65%; Δ -0.82pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 104.8% (prev 107.3%; Δ -2.52pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 8.21 (EBITDA TTM 1.20b / Interest Expense TTM 119.2m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 4.83
| (A) 0.25 = (Total Current Assets 4.94b - Total Current Liabilities 2.50b) / Total Assets 9.84b |
| (B) 0.49 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 4.78b / Total Assets 9.84b |
| (C) 0.10 = EBIT TTM 978.3m / Avg Total Assets 9.86b |
| (D) 0.90 = Book Value of Equity 4.79b / Total Liabilities 5.30b |
| Total Rating: 4.83 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 80.01
| 1. Piotroski 6.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 8.62% |
| 3. FCF Margin 7.56% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.27 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.83 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 4.92)% |
| 7. RoE 15.34% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 86.32% |
| 9. EPS Trend 79.08% |
What is the price of OSK shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.80%, over one month by +5.05%, over three months by -5.34% and over the past year by +37.24%.
Is OSK a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 8
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the OSK price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 150.5 | 17.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 150.5 | 17.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 142.5 | 10.9% |
OSK Fundamental Data Overview December 11, 2025
P/E Trailing = 12.2985
P/E Forward = 10.3093
P/S = 0.7809
P/B = 1.7959
P/EG = 6.5124
Beta = 1.408
Revenue TTM = 10.33b USD
EBIT TTM = 978.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.20b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.10b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 106.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.21b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 994.6m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 9.06b USD (8.07b + Debt 1.21b - CCE 211.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.21 (Ebit TTM 978.3m / Interest Expense TTM 119.2m)
FCF Yield = 8.62% (FCF TTM 781.0m / Enterprise Value 9.06b)
FCF Margin = 7.56% (FCF TTM 781.0m / Revenue TTM 10.33b)
Net Margin = 6.45% (Net Income TTM 666.3m / Revenue TTM 10.33b)
Gross Margin = 17.83% ((Revenue TTM 10.33b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.49b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 17.50% (prev 19.20%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.92 (Enterprise Value 9.06b / Total Assets 9.84b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.54% (Interest Expense 30.6m / Debt 1.21b)
Taxrate = 17.49% (41.7m / 238.4m)
NOPAT = 807.2m (EBIT 978.3m * (1 - 17.49%))
Current Ratio = 1.98 (Total Current Assets 4.94b / Total Current Liabilities 2.50b)
Debt / Equity = 0.27 (Debt 1.21b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.54b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.83 (Net Debt 994.6m / EBITDA 1.20b)
Debt / FCF = 1.27 (Net Debt 994.6m / FCF TTM 781.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.34b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.77% (Net Income 666.3m / Total Assets 9.84b)
RoE = 15.34% (Net Income TTM 666.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.34b)
RoCE = 17.97% (EBIT 978.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 4.34b + L.T.Debt 1.10b))
RoIC = 14.34% (NOPAT 807.2m / Invested Capital 5.63b)
WACC = 9.42% (E(8.07b)/V(9.27b) * Re(10.51%) + D(1.21b)/V(9.27b) * Rd(2.54%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 10.51% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.13%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 60.21% ; FCFE base≈781.0m ; Y1≈512.8m ; Y5≈234.5m
Fair Price DCF = 51.23 (DCF Value 3.24b / Shares Outstanding 63.3m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 79.08 | EPS CAGR: 159.2% | SUE: 0.33 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 86.32 | Revenue CAGR: 11.43% | SUE: -1.83 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.39 | Chg30d=-0.089 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=12
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=12.44 | Chg30d=-0.398 | Revisions Net=-11 | Growth EPS=+14.4% | Growth Revenue=+5.7%
Additional Sources for OSK Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle