OSK Stock Analysis: Oshkosh | NYSE

Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 8.725m USD | 12M Return: 17.4% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Defense Vehicles, Fire Apparatus, Aerial Platforms, Refuse Vehicles
Total Rating 40
Safety 84
Buy Signal -0.60
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
Industry Rotation: -0.6
Market Cap: 8.73B
Avg Turnover: 92.2M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility43.5%
VaR 5th Pctl6.99%
VaR vs Median-2.43%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.50
Rel. Str. IBD39.8
Rel. Str. Peer Group24.2
Character TTM
Beta1.118
Beta Downside1.287
Hurst Exponent0.524
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD36.66%
CAGR/Max DD0.55
CAGR/Mean DD1.69
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of OSK over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 2.09, "2021-09": 1.05, "2021-12": 0.09, "2022-03": 0.24, "2022-06": 0.41, "2022-09": 1, "2022-12": 1.6, "2023-03": 1.59, "2023-06": 2.69, "2023-09": 3.04, "2023-12": 2.56, "2024-03": 2.89, "2024-06": 3.34, "2024-09": 2.93, "2024-12": 2.58, "2025-03": 1.92, "2025-06": 3.41, "2025-09": 3.2, "2025-12": 2.26, "2026-03": 0.85,
EPS CAGR: 8.60%
EPS Trend: 48.3%
Last SUE: -0.70
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of OSK over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 2208.8, 2021-09: 2063, 2021-12: 1791.7, 2022-03: 1945.7, 2022-06: 2066, 2022-09: 2066.7, 2022-12: 2203.6, 2023-03: 2268.1, 2023-06: 2413.1, 2023-09: 2509.9, 2023-12: 2466.8, 2024-03: 2543.8, 2024-06: 2846.9, 2024-09: 2741.4, 2024-12: 2598.1, 2025-03: 2312.8, 2025-06: 2732.1, 2025-09: 2688.6, 2025-12: 2688.8, 2026-03: 2317.8,
Rev. CAGR: 4.81%
Rev. Trend: 76.7%
Last SUE: 0.24
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Strong Share Dilution
Choppy

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan +3.5% 28
Feb -4.4% 28
Mar -2.5% 37
Apr -2.3% 31
May +0.2% 2
Jun +2.6% 2
Jul +4.9% 10
Aug -5.6% 24
Sep -7.8% 32
Oct -0.8% 8
Nov +5.7% 35
Dec -0.8% 20

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: OSK Oshkosh

Oshkosh Corporation (NYSE: OSK) is a global manufacturer of purpose-built vehicles and equipment serving construction, defense, and emergency response markets. The company operates through three segments: Access (aerial work platforms, telehandlers, towing and recovery equipment, plus financing and leasing solutions), Vocational (firefighting apparatus, refuse and recycling collection vehicles, and airport ground support equipment), and Transport (heavy, medium, and light tactical wheeled vehicles for military use). Products reach customers through direct sales representatives, dealers, and distributors.

Oshkosh sits within the Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment sub-industry, where specialized end markets such as government defense contracts tend to support long product lifecycles and recurring replacement demand. Founded in 1915 and headquartered in Oshkosh, Wisconsin, the firm was originally known as Oshkosh Truck Corporation before expanding well beyond its commercial truck roots into diversified specialty vehicle manufacturing.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • US defense spending lifts Transport segment JLTV and FHTV orders
  • Vocational refuse and fire apparatus orders track municipal infrastructure budgets
  • Access segment telehandler shipments hinge on nonresidential construction cycle
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 6.0
Net Income: 577.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 5.55 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 19.00% < 20% (prev 20.03%; Δ -1.03% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 1.02b > Net Income 577.9m
Net Debt (896.5m) to EBITDA (1.10b): 0.82 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.63 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (476.9m) vs 12m ago 632.8% < -2%
Gross Margin: 16.46% > 18% (prev 18.09%; Δ -1.63% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 105.7% > 50% (prev 107.6%; Δ -1.82% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 7.21 > 6 (EBIT TTM 867.9m / Interest Expense TTM 120.4m)
Altman Z'' 4.35
A: 0.20 (Total Current Assets 5.11b - Total Current Liabilities 3.13b) / Total Assets 9.96b
B: 0.49 (Retained Earnings 4.89b / Total Assets 9.96b)
C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 867.9m / Avg Total Assets 9.86b)
D: 0.81 (Book Value of Equity 4.47b / Total Liabilities 5.49b)
Altman-Z'' = 4.35 = AA
Beneish M -2.88
DSRI: 1.12 (Receivables 2.25b/2.03b, Revenue 10.4b/10.5b)
GMI: 1.10 (GM 18.09% / 16.46%)
AQI: 0.96 (AQ_t 0.36 / AQ_t-1 0.38)
SGI: 0.99 (Revenue 10.4b / 10.5b)
TATA: -0.04 (NI 577.9m - CFO 1.02b) / TA 9.96b)
Beneish M = -2.88 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of OSK shares?

As of July 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 146.34 with a total of 709,508 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.55%, over one month by +15.27%, over three months by -3.16% and over the past year by +17.38%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 132.80 (which is 9.3% or 2.6 ATR below the current price).

Is OSK a buy, sell or hold?

Oshkosh has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy OSK.

  • StrongBuy: 8
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 6
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the OSK price?
Analysts Target Price 163 11.4%
Oshkosh (OSK) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 10 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 8.73b (8.73b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 15.7946
P/E Forward = 10.1112
P/S = 0.8368
P/B = 2.0134
P/EG = 6.2977
Revenue TTM = 10.4b USD
EBIT TTM = 867.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.10b USD
Long Term Debt = 600.6m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 546.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.15b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 896.5m USD (calculated: Debt 1.15b - CCE 250.3m)
Enterprise Value = 9.62b USD (8.73b + Debt 1.15b - CCE 250.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.21 (Ebit TTM 867.9m / Interest Expense TTM 120.4m)
EV/FCF = 11.34x (Enterprise Value 9.62b / FCF TTM 848.5m)
FCF Yield = 8.82% (FCF TTM 848.5m / Enterprise Value 9.62b)
FCF Margin = 8.14% (FCF TTM 848.5m / Revenue TTM 10.4b)
Net Margin = 5.54% (Net Income TTM 577.9m / Revenue TTM 10.4b)
Gross Margin = 16.46% ((Revenue TTM 10.4b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.71b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 12.84% (prev 15.77%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.97 (Enterprise Value 9.62b / Total Assets 9.96b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 10.50% (Interest Expense 120.4m / Debt 1.15b)
Taxrate = 22.22% (165.2m / 743.6m)
NOPAT = 675.1m (EBIT 867.9m * (1 - 22.22%))
Current Ratio = 1.63 (Total Current Assets 5.11b / Total Current Liabilities 3.13b)
Debt / Equity = 0.26 (Debt 1.15b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.47b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.82 (Net Debt 896.5m / EBITDA 1.10b)
Debt / FCF = 1.06 (Net Debt 896.5m / FCF TTM 848.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.50b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.86% (Net Income 577.9m / Total Assets 9.96b)
RoE = 12.85% (Net Income TTM 577.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.50b)
RoCE = 17.03% (EBIT 867.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 4.50b + L.T.Debt 600.6m))
RoIC = 9.47% (NOPAT 675.1m / Invested Capital 7.13b)
WACC = 9.71% (E(8.73b)/V(9.87b) * Re(9.91%) + D(1.15b)/V(9.87b) * Rd(10.50%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 9.91% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -22.47 | Cagr: 140.8%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.70% ; FCFF base≈625.0m ; Y1≈716.5m ; Y5≈1.05b
[DCF] Fair Price = 191.0 (EV 12.8b - Net Debt 896.5m = Equity 11.9b / Shares 62.4m; r=9.71% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 48.33 | EPS CAGR: 8.60% | SUE: -0.70 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 76.73 | Revenue CAGR: 4.81% | SUE: 0.24 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=2.63 | Chg30d=-1.33% | Revisions=-83% | Analysts=15
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=3.74 | Chg30d=+0.21% | Revisions=+61% | Analysts=15
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=10.96 | Chg30d=-0.15% | Revisions=-72% | GrowthEPS=+1.6% | GrowthRev=+5.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=14.04 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-53% | GrowthEPS=+28.0% | GrowthRev=+7.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -42% (up=17, down=44)