OTF Stock Analysis: Blue Owl Technology Finance | NYSE

Asset Management | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 4.788m USD | 12M Return: -24.6% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Secured Loans, Mezzanine Loans, Preferred Stock, Equity Warrants
Total Rating 19
Safety 43
Buy Signal -1.26
Asset Management
Industry Rotation: +0.7
Market Cap: 4.79B
Avg Turnover: 24.1M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility35.9%
VaR 5th Pctl6.38%
VaR vs Median7.88%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.85
Rel. Str. IBD9
Rel. Str. Peer Group16.3
Character TTM
Beta0.494
Beta Downside0.217
Hurst Exponent0.394
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD30.67%
CAGR/Max DD-0.87
CAGR/Mean DD-1.85
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of OTF over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-12": null, "2022-12": null, "2023-12": null, "2024-03": null, "2024-06": null, "2024-09": null, "2024-12": null, "2025-03": 0.41, "2025-06": 0.34, "2025-09": 0.32, "2025-12": 0.3, "2026-03": 0.29,
Last SUE: 0.19
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of OTF over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-12: 537.054, 2022-12: 176.145, 2023-12: 153.923, 2024-03: 146.409, 2024-06: 62.541, 2024-09: 173.866, 2024-12: 154.125, 2025-03: 138.627, 2025-06: 294.865, 2025-09: 320.437, 2025-12: 310.264, 2026-03: 426.607,
Rev. CAGR: 35.15%
Rev. Trend: 80.0%
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Strong Share Dilution
Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 1 years of data

Jan - -
Feb - -
Mar - -
Apr - -
May - -
Jun -4.7% -
Jul - -
Aug - -
Sep - -
Oct - -
Nov - -
Dec - -

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: OTF Blue Owl Technology Finance

Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (OTF) is a business development company (BDC) that provides debt and equity financing to upper middle-market companies, with a particular focus on the technology and software sectors. The firm invests through instruments including senior secured and unsecured loans, subordinated or mezzanine loans, and equity-related securities such as common stock, warrants, and preferred stock. Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in New York, with investments primarily concentrated in the United States.

As a BDC, the company operates under the regulatory framework of the Investment Company Act of 1940, which requires it to distribute the majority of its taxable income to shareholders in order to maintain its pass-through tax treatment. OTF is classified within the Financials sector under the Specialized Finance sub-industry and trades on the NYSE following its mid-2025 IPO.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Floating rate loan portfolio expands net investment income
  • Software sector credit quality drives non-accruals and NAV pressure
  • BDC leverage limits and origination pace shape capital deployment
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 3.0
Net Income: 422.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -5.74 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 7.42% < 20% (prev 204.0%; Δ -196.6% < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.02 > 3% & CFO -260.2m > Net Income 422.3m
Net Debt (6.90b) to EBITDA (608.5m): 11.34 < 3
Current Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct Total Current Assets and Liabilities)
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (464.3m) vs 12m ago 97.27% < -2%
Gross Margin: 77.30% > 18% (prev 65.19%; Δ 12.12% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 9.63% > 50% (prev 4.00%; Δ 5.63% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.61 > 6 (EBIT TTM 608.5m / Interest Expense TTM 377.6m)
Altman Z'' 1.45
A: 0.01 (Total Current Assets 100.4m - Total Current Liabilities 0.0) / Total Assets 14.9b
B: 0.01 (Retained Earnings 86.6m / Total Assets 14.9b)
C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 608.5m / Avg Total Assets 14.0b)
D: 1.05 (Book Value of Equity 7.61b / Total Liabilities 7.26b)
Altman-Z'' = 1.45 = BB
What is the price of OTF shares?

As of July 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 10.26 with a total of 2,107,033 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.97%, over one month by -6.18%, over three months by -4.16% and over the past year by -24.58%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 9.70 (which is 5.5% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).

Is OTF a buy, sell or hold?

Blue Owl Technology Finance has no consensus analysts rating.

Blue Owl Technology Finance (OTF) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 03 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 4.79b (4.79b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 10.7813
P/E Forward = 8.5985
P/S = 3.8273
P/B = 0.6485
Revenue TTM = 1.35b USD
EBIT TTM = 608.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 608.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 6.29b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
 Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
 Debt = 6.90b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 6.90b USD (calculated: Debt 6.90b - CCE 827k)
Enterprise Value = 11.7b USD (4.79b + Debt 6.90b - CCE 827k)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.61 (Ebit TTM 608.5m / Interest Expense TTM 377.6m)
EV/FCF = -44.94x (Enterprise Value 11.7b / FCF TTM -260.2m)
FCF Yield = -2.23% (FCF TTM -260.2m / Enterprise Value 11.7b)
FCF Margin = -19.24% (FCF TTM -260.2m / Revenue TTM 1.35b)
Net Margin = 31.23% (Net Income TTM 422.3m / Revenue TTM 1.35b)
Gross Margin = 77.30% ((Revenue TTM 1.35b - Cost of Revenue TTM 306.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 89.87% (prev 72.12%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.79 (Enterprise Value 11.7b / Total Assets 14.9b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.47% (Interest Expense 377.6m / Debt 6.90b)
Taxrate = 1.23% (5.24m / 425.2m)
NOPAT = 601.0m (EBIT 608.5m * (1 - 1.23%))
 Current Ratio = unknown (Total Current Assets 100.4m / Total Current Liabilities 0.0)
 Debt / Equity = 0.91 (Debt 6.90b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 7.61b)
Debt / EBITDA = 11.34 (Net Debt 6.90b / EBITDA 608.5m)
 Debt / FCF = -26.54 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 6.90b / FCF TTM -260.2m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 7.92b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.01% (Net Income 422.3m / Total Assets 14.9b)
RoE = 5.33% (Net Income TTM 422.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 7.92b)
RoCE = 4.28% (EBIT 608.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 7.92b + L.T.Debt 6.29b))
RoIC = 4.09% (EBIT 608.5m / (Assets 14.9b - Curr.Liab 0.0 - Cash 827k))
WACC = 6.35% (E(4.79b)/V(11.7b) * Re(7.72%) + D(6.90b)/V(11.7b) * Rd(5.47%) * (1-Tc(0.01)))
Discount Rate = 7.72% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 96.61 | Cagr: 44.38%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -260.2m)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.19 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 80.01 | Revenue CAGR: 35.15% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.30 | Chg30d=+0.20% | Revisions=-50% | Analysts=7
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.30 | Chg30d=+0.47% | Revisions=-50% | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.24 | Chg30d=-0.35% | Revisions=-38% | GrowthEPS=+0.0% | GrowthRev=+19.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.34 | Chg30d=+0.56% | Revisions=-57% | GrowthEPS=+7.8% | GrowthRev=+11.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -72% (up=1, down=14)