OTF Stock Analysis: Blue Owl Technology Finance | NYSE

Asset Management | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 5.090m USD | 12M Return: -15.6% | US0959241060 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Secured Loans, Mezzanine Loans, Preferred Stock, Equity Warrants
Total Rating 23
Safety 56
Buy Signal -0.91
Asset Management
Industry Rotation: +2.7
Market Cap: 5.09B
Avg Turnover: 27.9M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility38.6%
VaR 5th Pctl6.55%
VaR vs Median3.07%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.45
Rel. Str. IBD18.1
Rel. Str. Peer Group26.5
Character TTM
Beta0.595
Beta Downside0.306
Hurst Exponent0.392
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD30.79%
CAGR/Max DD-0.65
CAGR/Mean DD-1.27
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of OTF over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-12": null, "2022-12": null, "2023-12": null, "2024-03": null, "2024-06": null, "2024-09": null, "2024-12": null, "2025-03": 0.41, "2025-06": 0.34, "2025-09": 0.32, "2025-12": 0.3, "2026-03": 0.29, "2026-06": 0.3,
Last SUE: -0.05
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of OTF over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-12: 537.054, 2022-12: 176.145, 2023-12: 153.923, 2024-03: 146.409, 2024-06: 62.541, 2024-09: 173.866, 2024-12: 154.125, 2025-03: 138.627, 2025-06: 294.865, 2025-09: 320.437, 2025-12: 310.264, 2026-03: 426.607, 2026-06: 321.663,
Rev. CAGR: 35.15%
Rev. Trend: 80.0%
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Strong Share Dilution
Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 1.1 years of data

Jan - -
Feb - -
Mar - -
Apr - -
May - -
Jun -0.5% -
Jul -0.8% -
Aug - -
Sep - -
Oct - -
Nov - -
Dec - -

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: OTF Blue Owl Technology Finance

Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (OTF) is a business development company (BDC) that provides debt and equity financing to upper middle-market companies, with a particular focus on the technology and software sectors. The firm invests through instruments including senior secured and unsecured loans, subordinated or mezzanine loans, and equity-related securities such as common stock, warrants, and preferred stock. Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in New York, with investments primarily concentrated in the United States.

As a BDC, the company operates under the regulatory framework of the Investment Company Act of 1940, which requires it to distribute the majority of its taxable income to shareholders in order to maintain its pass-through tax treatment. OTF is classified within the Financials sector under the Specialized Finance sub-industry and trades on the NYSE following its mid-2025 IPO.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Floating rate loan portfolio expands net investment income
  • Software sector credit quality drives non-accruals and NAV pressure
  • BDC leverage limits and origination pace shape capital deployment
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 3.0
Net Income: 375.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.08 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 8.57% < 20% (prev 12.62%; Δ -4.04% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.03 > 3% & CFO 376.4m > Net Income 375.1m
Net Debt (7.15b) to EBITDA (610.1m): 11.73 < 3
Current Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct Total Current Assets and Liabilities)
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (460.9m) vs 12m ago 95.83% < -2%
Gross Margin: 77.47% > 18% (prev 71.46%; Δ 6.01% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 9.82% > 50% (prev 5.84%; Δ 3.98% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.64 > 6 (EBIT TTM 665.5m / Interest Expense TTM 407.0m)
Altman Z'' 1.44
A: 0.01 (Total Current Assets 118.2m - Total Current Liabilities 0.0) / Total Assets 15.1b
B: 0.00 (Retained Earnings 57.8m / Total Assets 15.1b)
C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 665.5m / Avg Total Assets 14.0b)
D: 1.00 (Book Value of Equity 7.54b / Total Liabilities 7.52b)
Altman-Z'' = 1.44 = BB
What is the price of OTF shares?

As of August 23, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 10.96 with a total of 2,995,998 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.36%, over one month by +8.73%, over three months by +5.90% and over the past year by -15.56%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 10.40 (which is 5.1% or 1.8 ATR below the current price).

Is OTF a buy, sell or hold?

Blue Owl Technology Finance has no consensus analysts rating.

Blue Owl Technology Finance (OTF) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 22 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 5.09b (5.09b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 13.5488
P/E Forward = 8.6505
P/S = 3.8943
P/B = 0.6782
Revenue TTM = 1.38b USD
EBIT TTM = 665.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 610.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 6.29b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
 Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
 Debt = 7.16b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 7.15b USD (calculated: Debt 7.16b - CCE 3.23m)
Enterprise Value = 12.2b USD (5.09b + Debt 7.16b - CCE 3.23m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.64 (Ebit TTM 665.5m / Interest Expense TTM 407.0m)
EV/FCF = -40.47x (Enterprise Value 12.2b / FCF TTM -302.6m)
FCF Yield = -2.47% (FCF TTM -302.6m / Enterprise Value 12.2b)
FCF Margin = -21.94% (FCF TTM -302.6m / Revenue TTM 1.38b)
Net Margin = 27.20% (Net Income TTM 375.1m / Revenue TTM 1.38b)
Gross Margin = 77.47% ((Revenue TTM 1.38b - Cost of Revenue TTM 310.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 74.11% (prev 89.87%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.81 (Enterprise Value 12.2b / Total Assets 15.1b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.69% (Interest Expense 407.0m / Debt 7.16b)
Taxrate = 1.45% (5.47m / 377.7m)
NOPAT = 655.9m (EBIT 665.5m * (1 - 1.45%))
 Current Ratio = unknown (Total Current Assets 118.2m / Total Current Liabilities 0.0)
 Debt / Equity = 0.95 (Debt 7.16b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 7.54b)
Debt / EBITDA = 11.73 (Net Debt 7.15b / EBITDA 610.1m)
 Debt / FCF = -23.64 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 7.15b / FCF TTM -302.6m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 7.81b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.67% (Net Income 375.1m / Total Assets 15.1b)
RoE = 4.80% (Net Income TTM 375.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 7.81b)
RoCE = 4.72% (EBIT 665.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 7.81b + L.T.Debt 6.29b))
RoIC = 4.42% (EBIT 665.5m / (Assets 15.1b - Curr.Liab 0.0 - Cash 3.23m))
WACC = 6.63% (E(5.09b)/V(12.2b) * Re(8.08%) + D(7.16b)/V(12.2b) * Rd(5.69%) * (1-Tc(0.01)))
Discount Rate = 8.08% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 84.34 | Cagr: 42.40%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -302.6m)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.05 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 80.01 | Revenue CAGR: 35.15% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.32 | Chg30d=+5.24% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.25 | Chg30d=+1.10% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+0.0% | GrowthRev=+20.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.34 | Chg30d=+2.38% | Revisions=+17% | GrowthEPS=+6.9% | GrowthRev=+13.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +38% (up=4, down=1)