(OUST) Ouster, Common Stock - Ratings and Ratios
Lidar, Sensors, Software, Infrastructure, Robotics
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 93.9% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 128% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -17.00% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.44 |
| Alpha | 143.86 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.34 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.515 |
| Beta | 2.261 |
| Beta Downside | 2.605 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 82.30% |
| Mean DD | 47.78% |
| Median DD | 52.79% |
Description: OUST Ouster, Common Stock November 12, 2025
Ouster, Inc. (NYSE: OUST) designs and manufactures lidar sensors for automotive, industrial, robotics, and smart-infrastructure applications across all major global regions. Its product lineup includes high-resolution scanning lidar (Ouster Sensor), solid-state flash lidar (Digital Flash), and specialized surround-view platforms such as the Gemini perception suite and the BlueCity traffic-management solution.
From recent filings, Ouster reported FY 2023 revenue of roughly $210 million, a year-over-year increase of about 30 %, while its cash burn remained around $70 million per quarter-a metric investors watch closely given the capital-intensive nature of lidar development. The broader lidar market is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of ~20 % through 2030, driven by autonomous-vehicle adoption and expanding smart-city initiatives, which constitute key macro-level tailwinds for Ouster’s addressable market.
Recent strategic moves include a $200 million financing round led by Tiger Global and a partnership with Volvo Cars to integrate Ouster’s solid-state sensors into next-generation driver-assistance systems, suggesting progress toward scaling commercial volume.
For a deeper, data-driven valuation of OUST, you might explore the analytics platform ValueRay, which aggregates real-time fundamentals and peer benchmarks.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0
| Net Income (-88.1m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 8.24m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.09 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 13.77pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 154.0% (prev 129.0%; Δ 25.02pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO -27.1m > Net Income -88.1m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 3.25 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (58.7m) change vs 12m ago 23.18% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 43.09% (prev 31.06%; Δ 12.03pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 45.09% (prev 41.32%; Δ 3.77pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -24.99 (EBITDA TTM -78.3m / Interest Expense TTM 3.65m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -16.75
| (A) 0.60 = (Total Current Assets 305.2m - Total Current Liabilities 93.8m) / Total Assets 353.8m |
| (B) -2.76 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -977.4m / Total Assets 353.8m |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -2.76 — check mapping/units |
| (C) -0.30 = EBIT TTM -91.1m / Avg Total Assets 304.5m |
| (D) -9.20 = Book Value of Equity -977.9m / Total Liabilities 106.3m |
| Total Rating: -16.75 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 34.48
| 1. Piotroski 2.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -3.28% |
| 3. FCF Margin -23.08% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.06 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.91 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -59.21)% |
| 7. RoE -43.12% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 94.53% |
| 9. EPS Trend 2.85% |
What is the price of OUST shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.93%, over one month by -4.21%, over three months by -9.79% and over the past year by +177.18%.
Is OUST a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the OUST price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 39.5 | 59.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 39.5 | 59.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 23.6 | -4.8% |
OUST Fundamental Data Overview November 25, 2025
P/S = 8.7103
P/B = 4.8307
Beta = 2.964
Revenue TTM = 137.3m USD
EBIT TTM = -91.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = -78.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 15.9m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 7.49m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 15.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -71.2m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 967.3m USD (1.20b + Debt 15.9m - CCE 244.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -24.99 (Ebit TTM -91.1m / Interest Expense TTM 3.65m)
FCF Yield = -3.28% (FCF TTM -31.7m / Enterprise Value 967.3m)
FCF Margin = -23.08% (FCF TTM -31.7m / Revenue TTM 137.3m)
Net Margin = -64.17% (Net Income TTM -88.1m / Revenue TTM 137.3m)
Gross Margin = 43.09% ((Revenue TTM 137.3m - Cost of Revenue TTM 78.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 42.15% (prev 45.20%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.73 (Enterprise Value 967.3m / Total Assets 353.8m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 22.93% (Interest Expense 3.65m / Debt 15.9m)
Taxrate = -0.33% (negative due to tax credits) (72.0k / -21.7m)
NOPAT = -91.4m (EBIT -91.1m * (1 - -0.33%)) [loss with tax shield] [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 3.25 (Total Current Assets 305.2m / Total Current Liabilities 93.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.06 (Debt 15.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 247.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.91 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -71.2m / EBITDA -78.3m)
Debt / FCF = 2.25 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -71.2m / FCF TTM -31.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 204.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -24.90% (Net Income -88.1m / Total Assets 353.8m)
RoE = -43.12% (Net Income TTM -88.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 204.3m)
RoCE = -41.38% (EBIT -91.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 204.3m + L.T.Debt 15.9m))
RoIC = -44.75% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -91.4m / Invested Capital 204.3m)
WACC = 14.46% (E(1.20b)/V(1.21b) * Re(14.35%) + D(15.9m)/V(1.21b) * Rd(22.93%) * (1-Tc(-0.00)))
Discount Rate = 14.35% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 19.50%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -31.7m)
EPS Correlation: 2.85 | EPS CAGR: -0.02% | SUE: -0.00 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 94.53 | Revenue CAGR: 37.88% | SUE: 3.63 | # QB: 3
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.14 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=4
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.42 | Chg30d=-0.045 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+27.3% | Growth Revenue=+35.5%
Additional Sources for OUST Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle