(OWL) Blue Owl Capital - Ratings and Ratios
Direct Lending, GP Stakes, Real Estate, Credit, Alternative Assets
OWL EPS (Earnings per Share)
OWL Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 39.4% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 63.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -2.03% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.72 |
| Alpha | -54.01 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.428 |
| Beta | 1.720 |
| Beta Downside | 2.105 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 42.69% |
| Mean DD | 13.11% |
| Median DD | 9.87% |
Description: OWL Blue Owl Capital October 14, 2025
Blue Owl Capital Inc. (NYSE: OWL) is a U.S.–based alternative asset manager that leverages a permanent-capital structure to deliver a suite of financing and investment solutions. Its offerings span private direct-lending (including diversified, technology-focused, first-lien, and opportunistic loans to middle-market firms), alternative and investment-grade credit, GP strategic capital (minority GP stakes, GP debt, and sports-team equity), and real-estate products centered on triple-net lease properties and related debt financing.
As of the most recent quarterly filing (Q2 2024), Blue Owl reported approximately **$92 billion** in assets under management (AUM), reflecting a **~10 % year-over-year increase** driven primarily by inflows into its private credit and GP-capital platforms. The firm’s net-interest-margin on its credit portfolio has compressed to **3.2 %**, consistent with a broader market trend of narrowing spreads as investors chase yield in a low-rate environment. Additionally, its real-estate segment reported a **weighted-average lease term of 12 years**, underscoring the stability of cash-flow generation from credit-worthy triple-net tenants.
Key macro drivers for Blue Owl include the continued growth of the private-credit market-projected to reach **$1.5 trillion** in assets by 2027-and a resilient demand for alternative financing among middle-market companies facing tighter bank lending standards. The firm’s permanent-capital model also positions it to capture upside in a rising interest-rate cycle, as longer-dated private funds can lock in higher yields without the liquidity constraints of public markets.
For a deeper, data-rich analysis of Blue Owl’s valuation and risk profile, you might explore the metrics and scenario tools available on ValueRay.
OWL Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 24,436m |
| Sub-Industry | Asset Management & Custody Banks |
| IPO / Inception | 2020-12-14 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -41.3% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.33 of 5 |
OWL Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 5.85% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 9.97% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 73.59% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 105.6% |
OWL Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | 11.98% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.28 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 0.91 |
| Current Volume | 10708.7k |
| Average Volume | 14635.6k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income (75.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 157.1m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.08 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.30pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 12.38% (prev 26.38%; Δ -14.00pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.09b > Net Income 75.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (3.53b) to EBITDA (804.1m) ratio: 4.39 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.66 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (656.1m) change vs 12m ago 21.63% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 53.50% (prev 53.87%; Δ -0.37pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 23.87% (prev 20.57%; Δ 3.31pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.11 (EBITDA TTM 804.1m / Interest Expense TTM 147.2m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -0.15
| (A) 0.03 = (Total Current Assets 813.7m - Total Current Liabilities 489.6m) / Total Assets 12.28b |
| (B) -0.11 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -1.37b / Total Assets 12.28b |
| (C) 0.04 = EBIT TTM 458.2m / Avg Total Assets 10.97b |
| (D) -0.23 = Book Value of Equity -1.36b / Total Liabilities 5.92b |
| Total Rating: -0.15 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 64.51
| 1. Piotroski 3.50pt = -1.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.72% = 1.86 |
| 3. FCF Margin 39.77% = 7.50 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.55 = 1.40 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 4.39 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -3.36)% = -4.20 |
| 7. RoE 3.42% = 0.29 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 99.04% = 7.43 |
| 9. EPS Trend 84.55% = 4.23 |
What is the price of OWL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.85%, over one month by -11.48%, over three months by -24.54% and over the past year by -32.67%.
Is Blue Owl Capital a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of OWL is around 13.25 USD . This means that OWL is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -9.37%.
Is OWL a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 8
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the OWL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 21.8 | 49.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 21.8 | 49.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 15.1 | 3.2% |
OWL Fundamental Data Overview November 02, 2025
P/E Trailing = 143.3637
P/E Forward = 15.4321
P/S = 9.3308
P/B = 4.4453
Beta = 1.124
Revenue TTM = 2.62b USD
EBIT TTM = 458.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 804.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 3.24b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 130.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 3.65b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.53b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 27.97b USD (24.44b + Debt 3.65b - CCE 117.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.11 (Ebit TTM 458.2m / Interest Expense TTM 147.2m)
FCF Yield = 3.72% (FCF TTM 1.04b / Enterprise Value 27.97b)
FCF Margin = 39.77% (FCF TTM 1.04b / Revenue TTM 2.62b)
Net Margin = 2.88% (Net Income TTM 75.4m / Revenue TTM 2.62b)
Gross Margin = 53.50% ((Revenue TTM 2.62b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.22b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 53.59% (prev 52.31%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.28 (Enterprise Value 27.97b / Total Assets 12.28b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.15% (Interest Expense 42.0m / Debt 3.65b)
Taxrate = 16.33% (13.8m / 84.5m)
NOPAT = 383.4m (EBIT 458.2m * (1 - 16.33%))
Current Ratio = 1.66 (Total Current Assets 813.7m / Total Current Liabilities 489.6m)
Debt / Equity = 1.55 (Debt 3.65b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.35b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.39 (Net Debt 3.53b / EBITDA 804.1m)
Debt / FCF = 3.39 (Net Debt 3.53b / FCF TTM 1.04b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.20b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.61% (Net Income 75.4m / Total Assets 12.28b)
RoE = 3.42% (Net Income TTM 75.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.20b)
RoCE = 8.41% (EBIT 458.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.20b + L.T.Debt 3.24b))
RoIC = 7.52% (NOPAT 383.4m / Invested Capital 5.10b)
WACC = 10.88% (E(24.44b)/V(28.08b) * Re(12.36%) + D(3.65b)/V(28.08b) * Rd(1.15%) * (1-Tc(0.16)))
Discount Rate = 12.36% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 13.52%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 68.68% ; FCFE base≈964.3m ; Y1≈1.19b ; Y5≈2.03b
Fair Price DCF = 27.89 (DCF Value 18.16b / Shares Outstanding 651.1m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 84.55 | EPS CAGR: 14.94% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.04 | Revenue CAGR: 26.17% | SUE: 1.51 | # QB: 5
Additional Sources for OWL Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle