(OWL) Blue Owl Capital - Ratings and Ratios
Direct Lending, GP Stakes, Net Lease, Real Estate Credit, Credit
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 4.53% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 9.25% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 60.14% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 137.9% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 38.4% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 62.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -1.79% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.77 |
| Alpha | -55.57 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.26 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.394 |
| Beta | 1.706 |
| Beta Downside | 2.071 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 46.14% |
| Mean DD | 15.06% |
| Median DD | 11.15% |
Description: OWL Blue Owl Capital December 17, 2025
Blue Owl Capital Inc. (NYSE: OWL) is a U.S.-based alternative asset manager that leverages a permanent-capital structure to deliver a suite of financing solutions to middle-market companies, large alternative managers, and owners or tenants of corporate real estate. Its product set spans direct-lending (including diversified, technology-focused, first-lien and opportunistic loans), a range of credit strategies (alternative, investment-grade, liquid), GP strategic capital (minority stakes, GP debt, and sports-team investments), and real-estate assets centered on triple-net leases and related debt financing.
As of the most recent filing, Blue Owl reported approximately $70 billion in assets under management, with private credit accounting for roughly 45 % of that total-a sector that has grown at a 12 % CAGR over the past five years, driven by corporations’ appetite for non-bank financing amid tighter bank lending standards. The firm’s net investment income margin has hovered near 55 % of revenue, reflecting the higher yields typical of first-lien and opportunistic credit exposures. Additionally, the company’s exposure to triple-net lease properties benefits from a low-vacancy, inflation-linked rent environment, a macro trend that supports stable cash flows in a rising-rate backdrop.
For a deeper quantitative view, consult ValueRay’s dashboard on OWL’s credit-adjusted returns to see how these drivers translate into risk-adjusted performance.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0
| Net Income (51.9m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 164.8m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.09 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.85pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 8.23% (prev 2.56%; Δ 5.67pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.20b > Net Income 51.9m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (3.64b) to EBITDA (780.4m) ratio: 4.66 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.35 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (673.9m) change vs 12m ago 22.78% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 53.09% (prev 54.88%; Δ -1.79pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 23.65% (prev 20.07%; Δ 3.58pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.64 (EBITDA TTM 780.4m / Interest Expense TTM 155.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -0.29
| (A) 0.02 = (Total Current Assets 863.2m - Total Current Liabilities 637.3m) / Total Assets 12.47b |
| (B) -0.12 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -1.51b / Total Assets 12.47b |
| (C) 0.04 = EBIT TTM 409.7m / Avg Total Assets 11.61b |
| (D) -0.24 = Book Value of Equity -1.51b / Total Liabilities 6.29b |
| Total Rating: -0.29 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 56.82
| 1. Piotroski 2.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.03% |
| 3. FCF Margin 41.85% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.65 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 4.66 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -4.15)% |
| 7. RoE 2.28% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 98.97% |
| 9. EPS Trend -17.89% |
What is the price of OWL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.33%, over one month by -3.34%, over three months by -6.61% and over the past year by -34.48%.
Is OWL a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 8
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the OWL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 20.3 | 32.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 20.3 | 32.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 17 | 10.8% |
OWL Fundamental Data Overview January 19, 2026
P/E Forward = 15.9236
P/S = 9.0686
P/B = 4.6128
P/EG = 0.2144
Revenue TTM = 2.75b USD
EBIT TTM = 409.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 780.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 3.23b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 130.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 3.78b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.64b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 28.54b USD (24.90b + Debt 3.78b - CCE 137.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.64 (Ebit TTM 409.7m / Interest Expense TTM 155.5m)
EV/FCF = 24.83x (Enterprise Value 28.54b / FCF TTM 1.15b)
FCF Yield = 4.03% (FCF TTM 1.15b / Enterprise Value 28.54b)
FCF Margin = 41.85% (FCF TTM 1.15b / Revenue TTM 2.75b)
Net Margin = 1.89% (Net Income TTM 51.9m / Revenue TTM 2.75b)
Gross Margin = 53.09% ((Revenue TTM 2.75b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.29b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 53.11% (prev 53.59%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.29 (Enterprise Value 28.54b / Total Assets 12.47b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.12% (Interest Expense 42.4m / Debt 3.78b)
Taxrate = 14.37% (7.95m / 55.3m)
NOPAT = 350.8m (EBIT 409.7m * (1 - 14.37%))
Current Ratio = 1.35 (Total Current Assets 863.2m / Total Current Liabilities 637.3m)
Debt / Equity = 1.65 (Debt 3.78b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.30b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.66 (Net Debt 3.64b / EBITDA 780.4m)
Debt / FCF = 3.17 (Net Debt 3.64b / FCF TTM 1.15b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.28b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.45% (Net Income 51.9m / Total Assets 12.47b)
RoE = 2.28% (Net Income TTM 51.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.28b)
RoCE = 7.43% (EBIT 409.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.28b + L.T.Debt 3.23b))
RoIC = 6.57% (NOPAT 350.8m / Invested Capital 5.34b)
WACC = 10.72% (E(24.90b)/V(28.68b) * Re(12.20%) + D(3.78b)/V(28.68b) * Rd(1.12%) * (1-Tc(0.14)))
Discount Rate = 12.20% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 17.48%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 72.95% ; FCFF base≈1.05b ; Y1≈1.29b ; Y5≈2.21b
Fair Price DCF = 30.49 (EV 23.91b - Net Debt 3.64b = Equity 20.27b / Shares 664.8m; r=10.72% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -17.89 | EPS CAGR: -42.75% | SUE: -2.89 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.97 | Revenue CAGR: 27.99% | SUE: 1.14 | # QB: 6
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.20 | Chg30d=-0.003 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=13
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.97 | Chg30d=-0.015 | Revisions Net=-5 | Growth EPS=+18.3% | Growth Revenue=+17.7%
Additional Sources for OWL Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle