(OWL) Blue Owl Capital - Ratings and Ratios
Direct Lending, GP Stakes, Real Estate, Credit, Alternative Assets
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 5.26% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 9.97% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 73.59% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 105.6% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 33.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 54.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -1.85% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.57 |
| Alpha | -48.83 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.40 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.430 |
| Beta | 1.723 |
| Beta Downside | 2.108 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 46.14% |
| Mean DD | 13.77% |
| Median DD | 10.17% |
Description: OWL Blue Owl Capital October 14, 2025
Blue Owl Capital Inc. (NYSE: OWL) is a U.S.–based alternative asset manager that leverages a permanent-capital structure to deliver a suite of financing and investment solutions. Its offerings span private direct-lending (including diversified, technology-focused, first-lien, and opportunistic loans to middle-market firms), alternative and investment-grade credit, GP strategic capital (minority GP stakes, GP debt, and sports-team equity), and real-estate products centered on triple-net lease properties and related debt financing.
As of the most recent quarterly filing (Q2 2024), Blue Owl reported approximately **$92 billion** in assets under management (AUM), reflecting a **~10 % year-over-year increase** driven primarily by inflows into its private credit and GP-capital platforms. The firm’s net-interest-margin on its credit portfolio has compressed to **3.2 %**, consistent with a broader market trend of narrowing spreads as investors chase yield in a low-rate environment. Additionally, its real-estate segment reported a **weighted-average lease term of 12 years**, underscoring the stability of cash-flow generation from credit-worthy triple-net tenants.
Key macro drivers for Blue Owl include the continued growth of the private-credit market-projected to reach **$1.5 trillion** in assets by 2027-and a resilient demand for alternative financing among middle-market companies facing tighter bank lending standards. The firm’s permanent-capital model also positions it to capture upside in a rising interest-rate cycle, as longer-dated private funds can lock in higher yields without the liquidity constraints of public markets.
For a deeper, data-rich analysis of Blue Owl’s valuation and risk profile, you might explore the metrics and scenario tools available on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0
| Net Income (40.8m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 166.2m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.09 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.85pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 8.15% (prev 2.56%; Δ 5.59pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.20b > Net Income 40.8m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (3.10b) to EBITDA (459.8m) ratio: 6.73 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.35 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (664.8m) change vs 12m ago 21.11% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 53.51% (prev 54.88%; Δ -1.37pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 23.86% (prev 20.07%; Δ 3.79pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.00 (EBITDA TTM 459.8m / Interest Expense TTM 155.8m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -0.35
| (A) 0.02 = (Total Current Assets 863.2m - Total Current Liabilities 637.3m) / Total Assets 12.47b |
| (B) -0.12 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -1.51b / Total Assets 12.47b |
| (C) 0.03 = EBIT TTM 312.0m / Avg Total Assets 11.61b |
| (D) -0.24 = Book Value of Equity -1.51b / Total Liabilities 6.29b |
| Total Rating: -0.35 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 60.69
| 1. Piotroski 2.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.60% |
| 3. FCF Margin 41.48% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.30 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 6.73 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -6.04)% |
| 7. RoE 1.79% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 99.01% |
| 9. EPS Trend 92.84% |
What is the price of OWL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +8.27%, over one month by +5.04%, over three months by -7.36% and over the past year by -27.73%.
Is OWL a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 8
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the OWL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 21.3 | 30.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 21.3 | 30.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 17.9 | 10.5% |
OWL Fundamental Data Overview November 26, 2025
P/E Trailing = 177.0
P/E Forward = 14.0252
P/S = 8.061
P/B = 4.0626
P/EG = 0.1888
Beta = 1.114
Revenue TTM = 2.77b USD
EBIT TTM = 312.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 459.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 3.23b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 130.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 2.98b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = 3.10b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 24.98b USD (22.14b + Debt 2.98b - CCE 137.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.00 (Ebit TTM 312.0m / Interest Expense TTM 155.8m)
FCF Yield = 4.60% (FCF TTM 1.15b / Enterprise Value 24.98b)
FCF Margin = 41.48% (FCF TTM 1.15b / Revenue TTM 2.77b)
Net Margin = 1.47% (Net Income TTM 40.8m / Revenue TTM 2.77b)
Gross Margin = 53.51% ((Revenue TTM 2.77b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.29b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 53.11% (prev 55.18%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.00 (Enterprise Value 24.98b / Total Assets 12.47b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.42% (Interest Expense 42.4m / Debt 2.98b)
Taxrate = 14.37% (7.95m / 55.3m)
NOPAT = 267.2m (EBIT 312.0m * (1 - 14.37%))
Current Ratio = 1.35 (Total Current Assets 863.2m / Total Current Liabilities 637.3m)
Debt / Equity = 1.30 (Debt 2.98b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.30b)
Debt / EBITDA = 6.73 (Net Debt 3.10b / EBITDA 459.8m)
Debt / FCF = 2.69 (Net Debt 3.10b / FCF TTM 1.15b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.28b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.33% (Net Income 40.8m / Total Assets 12.47b)
RoE = 1.79% (Net Income TTM 40.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.28b)
RoCE = 5.66% (EBIT 312.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.28b + L.T.Debt 3.23b))
RoIC = 5.00% (NOPAT 267.2m / Invested Capital 5.34b)
WACC = 11.04% (E(22.14b)/V(25.11b) * Re(12.36%) + D(2.98b)/V(25.11b) * Rd(1.42%) * (1-Tc(0.14)))
Discount Rate = 12.36% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 16.68%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 68.68% ; FCFE base≈1.05b ; Y1≈1.29b ; Y5≈2.21b
Fair Price DCF = 29.73 (DCF Value 19.76b / Shares Outstanding 664.8m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 92.84 | EPS CAGR: 17.54% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.01 | Revenue CAGR: 27.99% | SUE: 1.10 | # QB: 6
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.21 | Chg30d=-0.004 | Revisions Net=-7 | Analysts=12
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.99 | Chg30d=-0.021 | Revisions Net=-12 | Growth EPS=+20.5% | Growth Revenue=+19.5%
Additional Sources for OWL Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle