OWL Stock Analysis: Blue Owl Capital | NYSE
Asset Management | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 14.998m USD | 12M Return: -50% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 173M
EPS Trend: -12.0%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 99.6%
Qual. Beats: 8
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 5.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Blue Owl Capital Inc. (NYSE: OWL) is a U.S.-based alternative asset manager headquartered in New York. The company operates through permanent capital vehicles and long-dated private funds, providing capital solutions to middle-market companies, large alternative asset managers, and corporate real estate owners and tenants.
Its business spans three main product areas: private financing (direct lending, alternative credit, investment grade credit, and liquid credit), GP strategic capital (minority stakes and debt financing for general partners, including professional sports), and real estate (triple net lease acquisitions and real estate debt finance).
Blue Owl is classified as a Large Cap stock within the Financials sector (Asset Management & Custody Banks) and went public in December 2020. As an alternative asset manager, the firm invests in non-traditional asset classes such as private credit and real estate. The use of permanent capital vehicles provides longer-duration, more stable funding compared to the traditional closed-end fund model common across much of the asset management industry.
- Private credit AUM and fee-related earnings growth accelerate
- Direct lending spreads widen as floating-rate loans reprice higher
- Real estate net lease portfolio faces cap rate expansion and markdowns
| Net Income: 86.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.02 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 17.65% < 20% (prev 14.26%; Δ 3.39% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 1.34b > Net Income 86.9m |
| Net Debt (4.70b) to EBITDA (967.0m): 4.86 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.10 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (681.1m) vs 12m ago 6.67% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 64.44% > 18% (prev 54.63%; Δ 9.81% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 23.81% > 50% (prev 20.07%; Δ 3.74% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.45 > 6 (EBIT TTM 583.6m / Interest Expense TTM 169.1m) |
| A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 989.3m - Total Current Liabilities 470.3m) / Total Assets 12.4b |
| B: -0.14 (Retained Earnings -1.74b / Total Assets 12.4b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 583.6m / Avg Total Assets 12.4b) |
| D: 0.32 (Book Value of Equity 2.10b / Total Liabilities 6.63b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.47 = B |
| DSRI: 0.92 (Receivables 757.1m/692.8m, Revenue 2.94b/2.47b) |
| GMI: 0.85 (GM 54.63% / 64.44%) |
| AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.87 / AQ_t-1 0.89) |
| SGI: 1.19 (Revenue 2.94b / 2.47b) |
| TATA: -0.10 (NI 86.9m - CFO 1.34b) / TA 12.4b) |
| Beneish M = -3.12 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 21, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 9.35 with a total of 19,049,811 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.65%, over one month by +1.30%, over three months by -3.23% and over the past year by -49.97%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 8.80 (which is 5.9% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Blue Owl Capital has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.33. Therefore, it is recommended to buy OWL.
- StrongBuy: 8
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 12.3 | 31.6% |
P/E Trailing = 80.1667
P/E Forward = 10.0908
P/S = 5.1005
P/B = 3.1189
P/EG = 0.1597
Revenue TTM = 2.94b USD
EBIT TTM = 583.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 967.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 3.83b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 530.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.89b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 530.7m
Net Debt = 4.70b USD (calculated: Debt 4.89b - CCE 190.5m)
Enterprise Value = 19.7b USD (15.0b + Debt 4.89b - CCE 190.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.45 (Ebit TTM 583.6m / Interest Expense TTM 169.1m)
EV/FCF = 15.35x (Enterprise Value 19.7b / FCF TTM 1.28b)
FCF Yield = 6.51% (FCF TTM 1.28b / Enterprise Value 19.7b)
FCF Margin = 43.63% (FCF TTM 1.28b / Revenue TTM 2.94b)
Net Margin = 2.96% (Net Income TTM 86.9m / Revenue TTM 2.94b)
Gross Margin = 64.44% ((Revenue TTM 2.94b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.05b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 87.94% (prev 62.00%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.59 (Enterprise Value 19.7b / Total Assets 12.4b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.46% (Interest Expense 169.1m / Debt 4.89b)
Taxrate = 13.63% (55.0m / 403.4m)
NOPAT = 504.0m (EBIT 583.6m * (1 - 13.63%))
Current Ratio = 2.10 (Total Current Assets 989.3m / Total Current Liabilities 470.3m)
Debt / Equity = 2.33 (Debt 4.89b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.10b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.86 (Net Debt 4.70b / EBITDA 967.0m)
Debt / FCF = 3.66 (Net Debt 4.70b / FCF TTM 1.28b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.24b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.70% (Net Income 86.9m / Total Assets 12.4b)
RoE = 3.89% (Net Income TTM 86.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.24b)
RoCE = 9.62% (EBIT 583.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.24b + L.T.Debt 3.83b))
RoIC = 4.09% (NOPAT 504.0m / Invested Capital 12.3b)
WACC = 10.67% (E(15.0b)/V(19.9b) * Re(13.17%) + D(4.89b)/V(19.9b) * Rd(3.46%) * (1-Tc(0.14)))
Discount Rate = 13.17% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 96.49 | Cagr: 15.94%
[DCF] Terminal Value 70.85% ; FCFF base≈1.13b ; Y1≈1.29b ; Y5≈1.91b
[DCF] Fair Price = 23.13 (EV 20.3b - Net Debt 4.70b = Equity 15.6b / Shares 675.8m; r=10.67% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -12.01 | EPS CAGR: -1.59% | SUE: 0.12 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.56 | Revenue CAGR: 27.93% | SUE: 0.99 | # QB: 8
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.21 | Chg30d=-1.74% | Revisions=-17% | Analysts=14
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.23 | Chg30d=-0.22% | Revisions=-17% | Analysts=12
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.87 | Chg30d=-1.28% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=+3.5% | GrowthRev=+7.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.97 | Chg30d=-0.76% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=+12.0% | GrowthRev=+10.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -50% (up=2, down=9)