OWL Stock Analysis: Blue Owl Capital | NYSE
Asset Management | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 14.559m USD | 12M Return: -41% | US09581B1035 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 172M
EPS Trend: 96.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 98.9%
Qual. Beats: 9
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 5.8 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Blue Owl Capital Inc. (NYSE: OWL) is a U.S.-based alternative asset manager headquartered in New York. The firm provides capital solutions to middle-market companies, large alternative asset managers, and corporate real estate owners and tenants, operating primarily through permanent capital vehicles and long-dated private funds that offer longer-duration capital than traditional fund structures.
Its business is organized across three main product areas: private financing solutions (including direct lending such as diversified, technology, first lien, and opportunistic lending, plus alternative, investment grade, and liquid credit); GP strategic capital products (GP minority stakes, GP debt financing, and professional sports minority stakes); and real estate products focused on acquiring triple net lease properties leased to investment-grade or creditworthy tenants, along with real estate debt finance. Triple net lease structures transfer most property-level expenses (taxes, insurance, maintenance) to the tenant, making them a relatively passive income source for landlords.
Blue Owl operates within the Financials sector under the Asset Management & Custody Banks sub-industry, and is part of the broader alternatives segment that has grown as institutional investors have increased allocations to private credit and direct lending strategies in search of yield and diversification away from public markets.
- Fee-related earnings growth driven by permanent capital base expansion
- Direct lending origination volume benefits from sustained middle market demand
- Real estate net lease portfolio growth underpins stable recurring revenue
| Net Income: 80.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.11 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.25 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -12.15% < 20% (prev 12.38%; Δ -24.52% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 1.38b > Net Income 80.9m |
| Net Debt (4.71b) to EBITDA (951.8m): 4.95 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.32 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (688.5m) vs 12m ago 4.95% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 61.07% > 18% (prev 53.50%; Δ 7.57% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 24.30% > 50% (prev 21.33%; Δ 2.97% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.29 > 6 (EBIT TTM 575.8m / Interest Expense TTM 174.9m) |
| A: -0.03 (Total Current Assets 169.1m - Total Current Liabilities 532.3m) / Total Assets 12.3b |
| B: -0.15 (Retained Earnings -1.89b / Total Assets 12.3b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 575.8m / Avg Total Assets 12.3b) |
| D: 0.30 (Book Value of Equity 2.00b / Total Liabilities 6.72b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -0.07 = B |
| DSRI: 0.98 (Receivables 727.8m/647.8m, Revenue 2.99b/2.62b) |
| GMI: 0.88 (GM 53.50% / 61.07%) |
| AQI: 1.07 (AQ_t 0.95 / AQ_t-1 0.89) |
| SGI: 1.14 (Revenue 2.99b / 2.62b) |
| TATA: -0.11 (NI 80.9m - CFO 1.38b) / TA 12.3b) |
| Beneish M = -3.02 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 19, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 8.85 with a total of 17,907,451 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -6.74%, over one month by -11.14%, over three months by -5.25% and over the past year by -40.95%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 8.30 (which is 6.2% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
Blue Owl Capital has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy OWL.
- StrongBuy: 8
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 12.5 | 41.2% |
P/E Trailing = 77.4167
P/E Forward = 9.8425
P/S = 4.8685
P/B = 3.2885
P/EG = 0.1536
Revenue TTM = 2.99b USD
EBIT TTM = 575.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 951.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 3.81b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 532.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.88b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 532.3m
Net Debt = 4.71b USD (calculated: Debt 4.88b - CCE 169.1m)
Enterprise Value = 19.3b USD (14.6b + Debt 4.88b - CCE 169.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.29 (Ebit TTM 575.8m / Interest Expense TTM 174.9m)
EV/FCF = 14.56x (Enterprise Value 19.3b / FCF TTM 1.32b)
FCF Yield = 6.87% (FCF TTM 1.32b / Enterprise Value 19.3b)
FCF Margin = 44.26% (FCF TTM 1.32b / Revenue TTM 2.99b)
Net Margin = 2.71% (Net Income TTM 80.9m / Revenue TTM 2.99b)
Gross Margin = 61.07% ((Revenue TTM 2.99b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.16b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 40.92% (prev 87.94%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.56 (Enterprise Value 19.3b / Total Assets 12.3b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.59% (Interest Expense 174.9m / Debt 4.88b)
Taxrate = 13.20% (51.5m / 389.9m)
NOPAT = 499.8m (EBIT 575.8m * (1 - 13.20%))
Current Ratio = 0.32 (Total Current Assets 169.1m / Total Current Liabilities 532.3m)
Debt / Equity = 2.44 (Debt 4.88b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.00b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.95 (Net Debt 4.71b / EBITDA 951.8m)
Debt / FCF = 3.56 (Net Debt 4.71b / FCF TTM 1.32b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.15b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.66% (Net Income 80.9m / Total Assets 12.3b)
RoE = 3.76% (Net Income TTM 80.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.15b)
RoCE = 9.66% (EBIT 575.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.15b + L.T.Debt 3.81b))
RoIC = 4.10% (NOPAT 499.8m / Invested Capital 12.2b)
WACC = 10.32% (E(14.6b)/V(19.4b) * Re(12.74%) + D(4.88b)/V(19.4b) * Rd(3.59%) * (1-Tc(0.13)))
Discount Rate = 12.74% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 12.54%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 94.79 | Cagr: 15.41%
[DCF] Terminal Value 71.86% ; FCFF base≈1.21b ; Y1≈1.39b ; Y5≈2.04b
[DCF] Fair Price = 26.43 (EV 22.8b - Net Debt 4.71b = Equity 18.1b / Shares 683.9m; r=10.32% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 96.46 | EPS CAGR: 12.68% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.95 | Revenue CAGR: 26.40% | SUE: 1.15 | # QB: 9
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.23 | Chg30d=-1.01% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=16
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.88 | Chg30d=-0.44% | Revisions=+46% | GrowthEPS=+5.1% | GrowthRev=+7.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.98 | Chg30d=-0.87% | Revisions=+19% | GrowthEPS=+10.9% | GrowthRev=+9.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +34% (up=22, down=10)