OXM Stock Analysis: Oxford Industries | NYSE
Apparel Manufacturing | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 464m USD | 12M Return: -34.6% | US6914973093 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 12.3M
EPS Trend: -96.1%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -97.3%
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Oxford Industries, Inc. is a U.S.-based apparel company founded in 1942 and headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia. The company designs, sources, markets, and distributes lifestyle-oriented apparel and related products for men, women, and children through a multi-brand portfolio, operating within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods). Its vertically integrated model spans product development through distribution, which is a common approach among mid-sized branded apparel companies seeking to capture margin across the value chain.
The companys brand portfolio is centered on three flagship labels: Tommy Bahama (mens and womens sportswear and island-inspired lifestyle products), Lilly Pulitzer (womens and girls dresses, sportswear, and related accessories), and Johnny Was (upscale, bohemian-inspired apparel and accessories). It also owns Southern Tide, The Beaufort Bonnet Company (TBBC), Duck Head, and Jack Rogers. Beyond core apparel, Oxford generates royalty income by licensing its brands into adjacent product categories such as home furnishings, beach gear, fragrances, eyewear, and stationery - a licensing strategy that extends brand reach without incurring additional manufacturing risk.
Distribution is diversified across both direct-to-consumer (DTC) and wholesale channels. DTC operations include brand-specific full-price retail stores, Tommy Bahama food and beverage locations, outlet stores, and brand-owned e-commerce sites such as southerntide.com and jackrogersusa.com. Wholesale customers include department stores, specialty stores, off-price retailers, and multi-branded e-commerce platforms. The embedded food and beverage concept within Tommy Bahama stores is a relatively distinctive feature in the apparel industry, combining restaurant operations with retail to drive foot traffic and enhance the in-store brand experience.
- Tommy Bahama comparable sales drive consolidated revenue and operating margins
- Lilly Pulitzer direct-to-consumer expansion lifts brand-level profitability
- Johnny Was acquisition accelerates upscale affordable luxury segment growth
| Net Income: -6.81m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.76 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 2.85% < 20% (prev 3.07%; Δ -0.21% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 137.4m > Net Income -6.81m |
| Net Debt (965.9m) to EBITDA (57.1m): 16.93 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.17 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (15.1m) vs 12m ago 0.90% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 63.56% > 18% (prev 62.30%; Δ 1.26% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 111.9% > 50% (prev 112.8%; Δ -0.97% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -1.20 > 6 (EBIT TTM -8.88m / Interest Expense TTM 7.37m) |
| A: 0.03 (Total Current Assets 281.6m - Total Current Liabilities 239.7m) / Total Assets 1.30b |
| B: 0.26 (Retained Earnings 338.3m / Total Assets 1.30b) |
| C: -0.01 (EBIT TTM -8.88m / Avg Total Assets 1.31b) |
| D: 0.77 (Book Value of Equity 564.5m / Total Liabilities 734.8m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.82 = BBB |
| DSRI: 1.12 (Receivables 74.7m/68.2m, Revenue 1.47b/1.49b) |
| GMI: 0.98 (GM 62.30% / 63.56%) |
| AQI: 0.84 (AQ_t 0.23 / AQ_t-1 0.27) |
| SGI: 0.98 (Revenue 1.47b / 1.49b) |
| TATA: -0.11 (NI -6.81m - CFO 137.4m) / TA 1.30b) |
| Beneish M = -3.07 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of September 15, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 31.53 with a total of 760,984 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -13.92%, over one month by -13.14%, over three months by -10.70% and over the past year by -34.61%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 29.10 (which is 7.7% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Oxford Industries has received a consensus analysts rating of 2.60. Therefore, it is recommended to hold OXM.
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 34 | 7.8% |
P/E Forward = 9.5329
P/S = 0.3159
P/B = 0.8133
P/EG = 1.7044
Revenue TTM = 1.47b USD
EBIT TTM = -8.88m USD
EBITDA TTM = 57.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 116.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 59.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 974.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 450.8m
Net Debt = 965.9m USD (calculated: Debt 974.9m - CCE 9.02m)
Enterprise Value = 1.43b USD (463.6m + Debt 974.9m - CCE 9.02m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -1.20 (Ebit TTM -8.88m / Interest Expense TTM 7.37m)
EV/FCF = 27.42x (Enterprise Value 1.43b / FCF TTM 52.1m)
FCF Yield = 3.65% (FCF TTM 52.1m / Enterprise Value 1.43b)
FCF Margin = 3.55% (FCF TTM 52.1m / Revenue TTM 1.47b)
Net Margin = -0.46% (Net Income TTM -6.81m / Revenue TTM 1.47b)
Gross Margin = 63.56% ((Revenue TTM 1.47b - Cost of Revenue TTM 534.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 73.82% (prev 62.31%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.10 (Enterprise Value 1.43b / Total Assets 1.30b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.76% (Interest Expense 7.37m / Debt 974.9m)
Taxrate = 27.27% (18.4m / 67.3m)
NOPAT = -6.46m (EBIT -8.88m * (1 - 27.27%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.17 (Total Current Assets 281.6m / Total Current Liabilities 239.7m)
Debt / Equity = 1.73 (Debt 974.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 564.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 16.93 (Net Debt 965.9m / EBITDA 57.1m)
Debt / FCF = 18.53 (Net Debt 965.9m / FCF TTM 52.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 532.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -0.52% (Net Income -6.81m / Total Assets 1.30b)
RoE = -1.28% (Net Income TTM -6.81m / Total Stockholder Equity 532.7m)
RoCE = -1.37% (EBIT -8.88m / Capital Employed (Equity 532.7m + L.T.Debt 116.4m))
RoIC = -0.58% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -6.46m / Invested Capital 1.11b)
WACC = 4.43% (E(463.6m)/V(1.44b) * Re(12.60%) + D(974.9m)/V(1.44b) * Rd(0.76%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 12.60% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -86.44 | Cagr: -2.18%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈37.9m ; Y1≈43.4m ; Y5≈63.9m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 962.0m - Net Debt 965.9m = -3.95m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: -96.05 | EPS CAGR: -51.63% | SUE: 0.15 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -97.31 | Revenue CAGR: -2.41% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=-1.27 | Chg30d=-114.32% | Revisions=+44% | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=2.09 | Chg30d=-15.16% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=-0.9% | GrowthRev=-1.5%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=2.35 | Chg30d=-22.11% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+12.5% | GrowthRev=+2.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +55% (up=7, down=1)