OXY Stock Analysis: Occidental Petroleum | NYSE

Oil & Gas E&P | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 48.648m USD | 12M Return: 14.9% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Oil, Natural Gas, NGLs, Midstream
Total Rating 38
Safety 53
Buy Signal -0.71
Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Rotation: -17.7
Market Cap: 48.6B
Avg Turnover: 509M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility32.5%
VaR 5th Pctl5.70%
VaR vs Median6.41%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.42
Rel. Str. IBD23.3
Rel. Str. Peer Group2.5
Character TTM
Beta0.559
Beta Downside1.034
Hurst Exponent0.476
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD46.94%
CAGR/Max DD-0.09
CAGR/Mean DD-0.21
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of OXY over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.32, "2021-09": 0.87, "2021-12": 1.48, "2022-03": 2.12, "2022-06": 3.16, "2022-09": 2.44, "2022-12": 1.61, "2023-03": 1.09, "2023-06": 0.68, "2023-09": 1.18, "2023-12": 0.74, "2024-03": 0.63, "2024-06": 1.03, "2024-09": 1, "2024-12": 0.8, "2025-03": 0.87, "2025-06": 0.39, "2025-09": 0.64, "2025-12": 0.31, "2026-03": 1.06,
EPS CAGR: -22.91%
EPS Trend: -88.9%
Last SUE: 4.00
Qual. Beats: 3
Revenue Revenue of OXY over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 6102, 2021-09: 6881, 2021-12: 7794, 2022-03: 8214, 2022-06: 10352, 2022-09: 9376, 2022-12: 8219, 2023-03: 7118, 2023-06: 6602, 2023-09: 7272, 2023-12: 7339, 2024-03: 6213, 2024-06: 6875, 2024-09: 7087, 2024-12: 6924, 2025-03: 6803, 2025-06: 6317, 2025-09: 6624, 2025-12: 5013, 2026-03: 5230,
Rev. CAGR: -7.13%
Rev. Trend: -88.7%
Last SUE: -0.31
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan -0.4% 2
Feb +1.8% 5
Mar +2.2% 20
Apr -2.3% 26
May -2.8% 14
Jun +2.4% 12
Jul -0.8% 8
Aug -4.0% 37
Sep +2.7% 6
Oct +0.4% 8
Nov +0.2% 5
Dec +0.5% 5

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: OXY Occidental Petroleum

Occidental Petroleum Corporation (NYSE: OXY) is a Houston-based, large-cap integrated energy company founded in 1920 that explores for, develops, and produces oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas in the United States and internationally. As an integrated oil and gas operator, the company combines upstream production with midstream and marketing activities, including the purchase, gathering, processing, transportation, and storage of oil, NGLs, natural gas, carbon dioxide, and power. The handling of carbon dioxide is a distinguishing feature of the business, as CO2 is commonly used in enhanced oil recovery (EOR) to boost output from mature fields, and Occidental has also invested in carbon capture technologies, positioning it within the broader Energy sector at the intersection of traditional hydrocarbon production and emerging low-carbon solutions.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • WTI crude price swings drive Oil and Gas segment revenue
  • Permian Basin production growth lifts total output volumes
  • Berkshire preferred accelerates debt reduction and capital returns
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.0
Net Income: 4.71b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.08 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 8.29% < 20% (prev 0.34%; Δ 7.95% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 9.66b > Net Income 4.71b
Net Debt (13.8b) to EBITDA (11.5b): 1.20 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.21 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.00b) vs 12m ago 1.75% < -2%
Gross Margin: 26.23% > 18% (prev 36.09%; Δ -9.85% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 28.03% > 50% (prev 32.59%; Δ -4.56% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.66 > 6 (EBIT TTM 3.71b / Interest Expense TTM 1.01b)
Altman Z'' 2.46
A: 0.02 (Total Current Assets 11.1b - Total Current Liabilities 9.15b) / Total Assets 80.5b
B: 0.31 (Retained Earnings 24.8b / Total Assets 80.5b)
C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 3.71b / Avg Total Assets 82.7b)
D: 0.95 (Book Value of Equity 38.9b / Total Liabilities 40.9b)
Altman-Z'' = 2.46 = A
Beneish M -2.55
DSRI: 1.25 (Receivables 4.47b/4.27b, Revenue 23.2b/27.7b)
GMI: 1.38 (GM 36.09% / 26.23%)
AQI: 1.09 (AQ_t 0.08 / AQ_t-1 0.07)
SGI: 0.84 (Revenue 23.2b / 27.7b)
TATA: -0.06 (NI 4.71b - CFO 9.66b) / TA 80.5b)
Beneish M = -2.55 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of OXY shares?

As of July 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 48.81 with a total of 6,631,693 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.36%, over one month by -14.69%, over three months by -22.12% and over the past year by +14.92%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 45.90 (which is 6% or 1.8 ATR below the current price).

Is OXY a buy, sell or hold?

Occidental Petroleum has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.33. Therefore, it is recommended to hold OXY.

  • StrongBuy: 4
  • Buy: 4
  • Hold: 17
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the OXY price?
Analysts Target Price 65.4 34%
Occidental Petroleum (OXY) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 04 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 48.6b (48.6b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 66.0946
P/E Forward = 8.7951
P/S = 2.3035
P/B = 1.556
P/EG = 1.0099
Revenue TTM = 23.2b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.71b USD
EBITDA TTM = 11.5b USD
Long Term Debt = 14.5b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 424.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 17.6b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.90b
Net Debt = 13.8b USD (calculated: Debt 17.6b - CCE 3.81b)
Enterprise Value = 62.4b USD (48.6b + Debt 17.6b - CCE 3.81b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.66 (Ebit TTM 3.71b / Interest Expense TTM 1.01b)
EV/FCF = 17.50x (Enterprise Value 62.4b / FCF TTM 3.57b)
FCF Yield = 5.72% (FCF TTM 3.57b / Enterprise Value 62.4b)
FCF Margin = 15.39% (FCF TTM 3.57b / Revenue TTM 23.2b)
Net Margin = 20.31% (Net Income TTM 4.71b / Revenue TTM 23.2b)
Gross Margin = 26.23% ((Revenue TTM 23.2b - Cost of Revenue TTM 17.1b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 11.85% (prev 27.81%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.78 (Enterprise Value 62.4b / Total Assets 80.5b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.77% (Interest Expense 1.01b / Debt 17.6b)
Taxrate = 34.11% (921.0m / 2.70b)
NOPAT = 2.45b (EBIT 3.71b * (1 - 34.11%))
Current Ratio = 1.21 (Total Current Assets 11.1b / Total Current Liabilities 9.15b)
Debt / Equity = 0.45 (Debt 17.6b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 38.9b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.20 (Net Debt 13.8b / EBITDA 11.5b)
Debt / FCF = 3.86 (Net Debt 13.8b / FCF TTM 3.57b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 36.7b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.69% (Net Income 4.71b / Total Assets 80.5b)
RoE = 12.82% (Net Income TTM 4.71b / Total Stockholder Equity 36.7b)
RoCE = 7.25% (EBIT 3.71b / Capital Employed (Equity 36.7b + L.T.Debt 14.5b))
RoIC = 3.47% (NOPAT 2.45b / Invested Capital 70.6b)
WACC = 6.83% (E(48.6b)/V(66.2b) * Re(7.93%) + D(17.6b)/V(66.2b) * Rd(5.77%) * (1-Tc(0.34)))
Discount Rate = 7.93% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 51.11 | Cagr: 2.31%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈4.01b ; Y1≈3.52b ; Y5≈2.84b
[DCF] Fair Price = 32.07 (EV 45.7b - Net Debt 13.8b = Equity 31.9b / Shares 994.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -88.94 | EPS CAGR: -22.91% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 3
Revenue Correlation: -88.71 | Revenue CAGR: -7.13% | SUE: -0.31 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.86 | Chg30d=-1.44% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=18
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.45 | Chg30d=-5.05% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=18
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.69 | Chg30d=+3.33% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+157.6% | GrowthRev=+17.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.00 | Chg30d=+2.70% | Revisions=+26% | GrowthEPS=-29.8% | GrowthRev=-4.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +35% (up=16, down=7)