(PAC) Grupo Aeroportuario del - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: Mexico • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US4005061019

Aeronautical, Non-Aeronautical, Retail, Parking, Advertising

Dividends

Dividend Yield 3.38%
Yield on Cost 5y 10.31%
Yield CAGR 5y 8.17%
Payout Consistency 84.8%
Payout Ratio 82.2%
Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility 32.1%
Value at Risk 5%th 48.5%
Relative Tail Risk -8.16%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio 1.19
Alpha 27.89
CAGR/Max DD 0.62
Character TTM
Hurst Exponent 0.552
Beta 0.538
Beta Downside 0.562
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 42.83%
Mean DD 9.18%
Median DD 7.24%

Description: PAC Grupo Aeroportuario del October 31, 2025

Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico (PAC) owns and operates twelve Mexican and two Jamaican international airports, providing a full suite of aeronautical services (landing, parking, terminal leasing, security) and non-aeronautical offerings such as retail, food & beverage, advertising, and ground transportation under the Primesky brand. Its revenue mix is heavily weighted toward passenger-related fees (≈70% of total revenue) with the remainder coming from concessions, cargo handling, and ancillary services.

Key performance indicators that investors watch include: (1) total passenger traffic, which reached roughly 44 million in FY 2023-a 12% YoY increase driven by a rebound in U.S.–Mexico tourism; (2) concession revenue growth, currently expanding at ~8% annually as the company modernizes terminals and adds high-margin retail space; and (3) the debt-to-EBITDA ratio, sitting near 3.2×, reflecting ongoing capital-intensive runway and terminal upgrades. Macro-level drivers are Mexican GDP growth, exchange-rate stability of the peso, and Caribbean tourism trends that affect Montego Bay traffic.

For a deeper quantitative dive, the ValueRay platform offers a granular breakdown of PAC’s traffic trends, concession yields, and debt profile.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5

Net Income (7.73b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.51b TTM)
FCFTA 1.76 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 167.4pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue 0.78% (prev -2.61%; Δ 3.39pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 3.80 (>3.0%) and CFO 17.19b > Net Income 7.73b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (2.27b) to EBITDA (16.05b) ratio: 0.14 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 1.29 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (50.5m) change vs 12m ago 0.0% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 74.53% (prev 54.47%; Δ 20.06pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 60.28% (prev 41.80%; Δ 18.49pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio 3.46 (EBITDA TTM 16.05b / Interest Expense TTM 3.82b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 3.55

(A) 0.04 = (Total Current Assets 876.2m - Total Current Liabilities 679.3m) / Total Assets 4.52b
(B) 0.24 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.08b / Total Assets 4.52b
(C) 0.32 = EBIT TTM 13.22b / Avg Total Assets 41.88b
(D) 0.35 = Book Value of Equity 1.15b / Total Liabilities 3.25b
Total Rating: 3.55 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 79.41

1. Piotroski 7.50pt
2. FCF Yield 3.64%
3. FCF Margin 31.57%
4. Debt/Equity 2.53
5. Debt/Ebitda 0.14
6. ROIC - WACC (= 22.13)%
7. RoE 45.99%
8. Rev. Trend -30.63%
9. EPS Trend 48.88%

What is the price of PAC shares?

As of December 14, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 260.18 with a total of 39,563 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +14.53%, over one month by +19.74%, over three months by +2.15% and over the past year by +42.80%.

Is PAC a buy, sell or hold?

Grupo Aeroportuario del has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.44. Therefor, it is recommend to hold PAC.
  • Strong Buy: 2
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 4
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the PAC price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 249 -4.3%
Analysts Target Price 249 -4.3%
ValueRay Target Price 337.5 29.7%

PAC Fundamental Data Overview December 02, 2025

Market Cap MXN = 216.43b (12.02b USD * 18.005 USD.MXN)
P/E Trailing = 21.7881
P/E Forward = 16.9492
P/S = 0.3504
P/B = 10.4629
P/EG = 1.116
Beta = 0.478
Revenue TTM = 25.25b MXN
EBIT TTM = 13.22b MXN
EBITDA TTM = 16.05b MXN
Long Term Debt = 34.01b MXN (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 497.1m MXN (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.90b MXN (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.27b MXN (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 218.70b MXN (216.43b + Debt 2.90b - CCE 636.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.46 (Ebit TTM 13.22b / Interest Expense TTM 3.82b)
FCF Yield = 3.64% (FCF TTM 7.97b / Enterprise Value 218.70b)
FCF Margin = 31.57% (FCF TTM 7.97b / Revenue TTM 25.25b)
Net Margin = 30.61% (Net Income TTM 7.73b / Revenue TTM 25.25b)
Gross Margin = 74.53% ((Revenue TTM 25.25b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.43b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 43.26% (prev 52.92%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 48.36 (Enterprise Value 218.70b / Total Assets 4.52b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 22.79% (Interest Expense 661.8m / Debt 2.90b)
Taxrate = 22.71% (42.5m / 187.2m)
NOPAT = 10.22b (EBIT 13.22b * (1 - 22.71%))
Current Ratio = 1.29 (Total Current Assets 876.2m / Total Current Liabilities 679.3m)
Debt / Equity = 2.53 (Debt 2.90b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.15b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.14 (Net Debt 2.27b / EBITDA 16.05b)
Debt / FCF = 0.28 (Net Debt 2.27b / FCF TTM 7.97b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 16.81b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 170.9% (Net Income 7.73b / Total Assets 4.52b)
RoE = 45.99% (Net Income TTM 7.73b / Total Stockholder Equity 16.81b)
RoCE = 26.02% (EBIT 13.22b / Capital Employed (Equity 16.81b + L.T.Debt 34.01b))
RoIC = 30.26% (NOPAT 10.22b / Invested Capital 33.78b)
WACC = 8.13% (E(216.43b)/V(219.33b) * Re(8.0%) + D(2.90b)/V(219.33b) * Rd(22.79%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 8.0% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -81.65 | Cagr: -0.00%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.11% ; FCFE base≈7.56b ; Y1≈8.64b ; Y5≈11.97b
Fair Price DCF = 4817 (DCF Value 206.88b / Shares Outstanding 42.9m; 5y FCF grow 16.65% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 48.88 | EPS CAGR: 15.86% | SUE: 0.14 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -30.63 | Revenue CAGR: -45.85% | SUE: -0.95 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=3.39 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=12.86 | Chg30d=+0.020 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+12.3% | Growth Revenue=+3.5%

Additional Sources for PAC Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle