PAC Stock Analysis: Grupo Aeroportuario del | NYSE
Airports & Air Services | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 12.936m USD | 12M Return: 2.7% | US4005061019 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 31.7M
EPS Trend: 36.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 9.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico (PAC) is a Mexican airport operator that develops, manages, and maintains a portfolio of 12 international airports in Mexicos Pacific and Central regions, plus 2 international airports in Jamaica. The company generates revenue through a dual-stream model: regulated aeronautical services (passenger and aircraft fees, leasing, security) and unregulated non-aeronautical services (retail, food and beverage, advertising, parking, VIP lounges, and ground handling under the Primesky brand). Founded in 1998 and headquartered in Guadalajara, PAC trades on the NYSE as an ADR and is classified within the Industrials sector under Airport Services.
- Passenger traffic growth at Mexican Pacific airports drives aeronautical revenue
- Non-aeronautical commercial revenue expands with retail and dining growth
- Mexican government tariff regulation limits pricing under master development plans
| Net Income: 10.9b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -9.31 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -14.56% < 20% (prev -2.78%; Δ -11.79% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 18.7b > Net Income 10.9b |
| Net Debt (46.0b) to EBITDA (20.6b): 2.23 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.84 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (59.5m) vs 12m ago 17.76% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 33.21% > 18% (prev 70.08%; Δ -36.87% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 30.51% > 50% (prev 42.34%; Δ -11.83% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.85 > 6 (EBIT TTM 16.8b / Interest Expense TTM 4.37b) |
| A: -0.03 (Total Current Assets 25.1b - Total Current Liabilities 29.9b) / Total Assets 140b |
| B: 0.09 (Retained Earnings 13.3b / Total Assets 140b) |
| C: 0.15 (EBIT TTM 16.8b / Avg Total Assets 109b) |
| D: 0.62 (Book Value of Equity 52.7b / Total Liabilities 85.1b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.77 = BBB |
| DSRI: 1.06 (Receivables 3.37b/3.15b, Revenue 33.3b/33.0b) |
| GMI: 2.11 (GM 70.08% / 33.21%) |
| AQI: 0.58 (AQ_t 0.44 / AQ_t-1 0.76) |
| SGI: 1.01 (Revenue 33.3b / 33.0b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 10.9b - CFO 18.7b) / TA 140b) |
| Beneish M = -2.22 (Cap -4..+1) = BB |
As of October 24, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 222.42 with a total of 141,982 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +9.08%, over one month by +7.24%, over three months by +3.24% and over the past year by +2.73%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 209.50 (which is 5.8% or 1.7 ATR below the current price).
Grupo Aeroportuario del has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.14. Therefore, it is recommended to buy PAC.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 244.8 | 10% |
Market Cap MXN = 241b (12.9b USD * 18.65 USD.MXN)
P/E Trailing = 18.503
P/E Forward = 15.2439
P/S = 0.3766
P/B = 4.036
P/EG = 3.9622
Revenue TTM = 33.3b MXN
EBIT TTM = 16.8b MXN
EBITDA TTM = 20.6b MXN
Long Term Debt = 52.7b MXN (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 12.9b MXN (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 65.8b MXN (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 95.9m
Net Debt = 46.0b MXN (calculated: Debt 65.8b - CCE 19.8b)
Enterprise Value = 287b MXN (241b + Debt 65.8b - CCE 19.8b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.85 (Ebit TTM 16.8b / Interest Expense TTM 4.37b)
EV/FCF = 76.69x (Enterprise Value 287b / FCF TTM 3.75b)
FCF Yield = 1.30% (FCF TTM 3.75b / Enterprise Value 287b)
FCF Margin = 11.25% (FCF TTM 3.75b / Revenue TTM 33.3b)
Net Margin = 32.86% (Net Income TTM 10.9b / Revenue TTM 33.3b)
Gross Margin = 33.21% ((Revenue TTM 33.3b - Cost of Revenue TTM 22.2b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 51.92% (prev 55.32%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.05 (Enterprise Value 287b / Total Assets 140b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.65% (Interest Expense 4.37b / Debt 65.8b)
Taxrate = 28.11% (4.19b / 14.9b)
NOPAT = 12.1b (EBIT 16.8b * (1 - 28.11%))
Current Ratio = 0.84 (Total Current Assets 25.1b / Total Current Liabilities 29.9b)
Debt / Equity = 1.25 (Debt 65.8b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 52.7b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.23 (Net Debt 46.0b / EBITDA 20.6b)
Debt / FCF = 12.28 (Net Debt 46.0b / FCF TTM 3.75b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 25.5b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.03% (Net Income 10.9b / Total Assets 140b)
RoE = 42.92% (Net Income TTM 10.9b / Total Stockholder Equity 25.5b)
RoCE = 21.51% (EBIT 16.8b / Capital Employed (Equity 25.5b + L.T.Debt 52.7b))
RoIC = 9.94% (NOPAT 12.1b / Invested Capital 122b)
WACC = 7.00% (E(241b)/V(307b) * Re(7.61%) + D(65.8b)/V(307b) * Rd(6.65%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 7.61% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 8.75 | Cagr: 1.39%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈5.98b ; Y1≈5.24b ; Y5≈4.24b
[DCF] Fair Price = 423.6 (EV 68.0b - Net Debt 46.0b = Equity 22.0b / Shares 51.9m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 36.94 | EPS CAGR: 3.17% | SUE: 0.24 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 9.15 | Revenue CAGR: 0.70% | SUE: 0.04 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2027-03-31): EPS=2.87 | Chg30d=-24.47% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=11.38 | Chg30d=-8.77% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=-1.1% | GrowthRev=+12.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=12.66 | Chg30d=+16.94% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+11.3% | GrowthRev=+10.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -57% (up=0, down=4)