PAC Stock Analysis: Grupo Aeroportuario del | NYSE
Airports & Air Services | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 14.021m USD | 12M Return: 0.8% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 26.2M
EPS Trend: 6.2%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 4.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico (PAC) develops, operates, and manages a portfolio of 14 international airports-12 in the Pacific and Central regions of Mexico and 2 in Jamaica. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Guadalajara, Mexico.
The business is structured around two principal revenue streams: aeronautical services (passenger and aircraft landing/parking fees, terminal leasing, security, and ground transport) and non-aeronautical/commercial activities (retail, food and beverage, car rental, duty-free, advertising, parking facilities, VIP lounges, and ground handling operated under the Primesky brand). PAC also offers complementary services such as baggage handling, catering, aircraft maintenance, and fuel.
As a Mexican airport operator, PAC operates under long-term government concessions granted by the Mexican government, which is the standard regulatory framework for the countrys airport sector. Revenue is typically split between regulated aeronautical tariffs (subject to maximum price caps set by the regulator) and unregulated commercial income, the latter often serving as a key margin driver for airport operators.
- Mexican Pacific passenger traffic growth boosts aeronautical revenue
- Regulated tariffs cap pricing upside per passenger
- Non-aeronautical commercial revenue expands terminal margins
| Net Income: 10.8b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.44 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 28.06% < 20% (prev 10.76%; Δ 17.30% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.21 > 3% & CFO 21.3b > Net Income 10.8b |
| Net Debt (23.6b) to EBITDA (20.2b): 1.17 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.50 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (50.5m) vs 12m ago 0.0% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 33.28% > 18% (prev 74.05%; Δ -40.76% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 35.61% > 50% (prev 34.97%; Δ 0.64% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.77 > 6 (EBIT TTM 16.5b / Interest Expense TTM 4.37b) |
| A: 0.09 (Total Current Assets 27.8b - Total Current Liabilities 18.6b) / Total Assets 101b |
| B: 0.22 (Retained Earnings 21.9b / Total Assets 101b) |
| C: 0.18 (EBIT TTM 16.5b / Avg Total Assets 92.2b) |
| D: 0.36 (Book Value of Equity 25.7b / Total Liabilities 72.3b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.88 = A |
| DSRI: 0.92 (Receivables 3.41b/3.33b, Revenue 32.8b/29.3b) |
| GMI: 2.22 (GM 74.05% / 33.28%) |
| AQI: 0.77 (AQ_t 0.53 / AQ_t-1 0.70) |
| SGI: 1.12 (Revenue 32.8b / 29.3b) |
| TATA: -0.10 (NI 10.8b - CFO 21.3b) / TA 101b) |
| Beneish M = -2.05 (Cap -4..+1) = BB |
As of July 15, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 225.95 with a total of 205,071 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.73%, over one month by -8.69%, over three months by -4.10% and over the past year by +0.83%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 216.00 (which is 4.4% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Grupo Aeroportuario del has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.44. Therefore, it is recommended to hold PAC.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 277.6 | 22.9% |
Market Cap MXN = 244b (14.0b USD * 17.411 USD.MXN)
P/E Trailing = 20.8347
P/E Forward = 17.7305
P/S = 0.4269
P/B = 9.5586
P/EG = 1.0719
Revenue TTM = 32.8b MXN
EBIT TTM = 16.5b MXN
EBITDA TTM = 20.2b MXN
Long Term Debt = 44.0b MXN (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 9.02b MXN (from shortLongTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 46.8b MXN (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 95.9m
Net Debt = 23.6b MXN (calculated: Debt 46.8b - CCE 23.2b)
Enterprise Value = 268b MXN (244b + Debt 46.8b - CCE 23.2b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.77 (Ebit TTM 16.5b / Interest Expense TTM 4.37b)
EV/FCF = 30.09x (Enterprise Value 268b / FCF TTM 8.90b)
FCF Yield = 3.32% (FCF TTM 8.90b / Enterprise Value 268b)
FCF Margin = 27.09% (FCF TTM 8.90b / Revenue TTM 32.8b)
Net Margin = 32.93% (Net Income TTM 10.8b / Revenue TTM 32.8b)
Gross Margin = 33.28% ((Revenue TTM 32.8b - Cost of Revenue TTM 21.9b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 55.32% (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.66 (Enterprise Value 268b / Total Assets 101b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 9.35% (Interest Expense 4.37b / Debt 46.8b)
Taxrate = 28.78% (4.23b / 14.7b)
NOPAT = 11.7b (EBIT 16.5b * (1 - 28.78%))
Current Ratio = 1.50 (Total Current Assets 27.8b / Total Current Liabilities 18.6b)
Debt / Equity = 1.82 (Debt 46.8b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 25.7b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.17 (Net Debt 23.6b / EBITDA 20.2b)
Debt / FCF = 2.65 (Net Debt 23.6b / FCF TTM 8.90b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 17.0b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 11.73% (Net Income 10.8b / Total Assets 101b)
RoE = 63.61% (Net Income TTM 10.8b / Total Stockholder Equity 17.0b)
RoCE = 27.02% (EBIT 16.5b / Capital Employed (Equity 17.0b + L.T.Debt 44.0b))
RoIC = 14.62% (NOPAT 11.7b / Invested Capital 80.3b)
WACC = 7.94% (E(244b)/V(291b) * Re(8.19%) + D(46.8b)/V(291b) * Rd(9.35%) * (1-Tc(0.29)))
Discount Rate = 8.19% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -40.62 | Cagr: -0.00%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.84% ; FCFF base≈8.46b ; Y1≈9.62b ; Y5≈13.9b
[DCF] Fair Price = 3.58k (EV 210b - Net Debt 23.6b = Equity 186b / Shares 51.9m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 14.14% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 6.24 | EPS CAGR: 0.45% | SUE: 1.97 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 4.77 | Revenue CAGR: 0.36% | SUE: 0.08 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=2.98 | Chg30d=-7.45% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=3.05 | Chg30d=-7.29% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=13.53 | Chg30d=-2.52% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+17.6% | GrowthRev=+17.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=14.36 | Chg30d=-3.10% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+6.1% | GrowthRev=+8.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -57% (up=0, down=4)