(PAC) Grupo Aeroportuario del - Ratings and Ratios
Aeronautical, Non-Aeronautical, Retail, Parking, Advertising
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.38% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 10.31% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 8.17% |
| Payout Consistency | 84.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 82.2% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 32.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 48.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.16% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.19 |
| Alpha | 27.89 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.62 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.552 |
| Beta | 0.538 |
| Beta Downside | 0.562 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 42.83% |
| Mean DD | 9.18% |
| Median DD | 7.24% |
Description: PAC Grupo Aeroportuario del October 31, 2025
Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico (PAC) owns and operates twelve Mexican and two Jamaican international airports, providing a full suite of aeronautical services (landing, parking, terminal leasing, security) and non-aeronautical offerings such as retail, food & beverage, advertising, and ground transportation under the Primesky brand. Its revenue mix is heavily weighted toward passenger-related fees (≈70% of total revenue) with the remainder coming from concessions, cargo handling, and ancillary services.
Key performance indicators that investors watch include: (1) total passenger traffic, which reached roughly 44 million in FY 2023-a 12% YoY increase driven by a rebound in U.S.–Mexico tourism; (2) concession revenue growth, currently expanding at ~8% annually as the company modernizes terminals and adds high-margin retail space; and (3) the debt-to-EBITDA ratio, sitting near 3.2×, reflecting ongoing capital-intensive runway and terminal upgrades. Macro-level drivers are Mexican GDP growth, exchange-rate stability of the peso, and Caribbean tourism trends that affect Montego Bay traffic.
For a deeper quantitative dive, the ValueRay platform offers a granular breakdown of PAC’s traffic trends, concession yields, and debt profile.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5
| Net Income (7.73b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.51b TTM) |
| FCFTA 1.76 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 167.4pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 0.78% (prev -2.61%; Δ 3.39pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 3.80 (>3.0%) and CFO 17.19b > Net Income 7.73b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (2.27b) to EBITDA (16.05b) ratio: 0.14 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.29 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (50.5m) change vs 12m ago 0.0% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 74.53% (prev 54.47%; Δ 20.06pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 60.28% (prev 41.80%; Δ 18.49pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.46 (EBITDA TTM 16.05b / Interest Expense TTM 3.82b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.55
| (A) 0.04 = (Total Current Assets 876.2m - Total Current Liabilities 679.3m) / Total Assets 4.52b |
| (B) 0.24 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.08b / Total Assets 4.52b |
| (C) 0.32 = EBIT TTM 13.22b / Avg Total Assets 41.88b |
| (D) 0.35 = Book Value of Equity 1.15b / Total Liabilities 3.25b |
| Total Rating: 3.55 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 79.41
| 1. Piotroski 7.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.64% |
| 3. FCF Margin 31.57% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 2.53 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.14 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 22.13)% |
| 7. RoE 45.99% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -30.63% |
| 9. EPS Trend 48.88% |
What is the price of PAC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +14.53%, over one month by +19.74%, over three months by +2.15% and over the past year by +42.80%.
Is PAC a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the PAC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 249 | -4.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 249 | -4.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 337.5 | 29.7% |
PAC Fundamental Data Overview December 02, 2025
P/E Trailing = 21.7881
P/E Forward = 16.9492
P/S = 0.3504
P/B = 10.4629
P/EG = 1.116
Beta = 0.478
Revenue TTM = 25.25b MXN
EBIT TTM = 13.22b MXN
EBITDA TTM = 16.05b MXN
Long Term Debt = 34.01b MXN (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 497.1m MXN (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.90b MXN (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.27b MXN (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 218.70b MXN (216.43b + Debt 2.90b - CCE 636.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.46 (Ebit TTM 13.22b / Interest Expense TTM 3.82b)
FCF Yield = 3.64% (FCF TTM 7.97b / Enterprise Value 218.70b)
FCF Margin = 31.57% (FCF TTM 7.97b / Revenue TTM 25.25b)
Net Margin = 30.61% (Net Income TTM 7.73b / Revenue TTM 25.25b)
Gross Margin = 74.53% ((Revenue TTM 25.25b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.43b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 43.26% (prev 52.92%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 48.36 (Enterprise Value 218.70b / Total Assets 4.52b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 22.79% (Interest Expense 661.8m / Debt 2.90b)
Taxrate = 22.71% (42.5m / 187.2m)
NOPAT = 10.22b (EBIT 13.22b * (1 - 22.71%))
Current Ratio = 1.29 (Total Current Assets 876.2m / Total Current Liabilities 679.3m)
Debt / Equity = 2.53 (Debt 2.90b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.15b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.14 (Net Debt 2.27b / EBITDA 16.05b)
Debt / FCF = 0.28 (Net Debt 2.27b / FCF TTM 7.97b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 16.81b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 170.9% (Net Income 7.73b / Total Assets 4.52b)
RoE = 45.99% (Net Income TTM 7.73b / Total Stockholder Equity 16.81b)
RoCE = 26.02% (EBIT 13.22b / Capital Employed (Equity 16.81b + L.T.Debt 34.01b))
RoIC = 30.26% (NOPAT 10.22b / Invested Capital 33.78b)
WACC = 8.13% (E(216.43b)/V(219.33b) * Re(8.0%) + D(2.90b)/V(219.33b) * Rd(22.79%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 8.0% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -81.65 | Cagr: -0.00%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.11% ; FCFE base≈7.56b ; Y1≈8.64b ; Y5≈11.97b
Fair Price DCF = 4817 (DCF Value 206.88b / Shares Outstanding 42.9m; 5y FCF grow 16.65% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 48.88 | EPS CAGR: 15.86% | SUE: 0.14 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -30.63 | Revenue CAGR: -45.85% | SUE: -0.95 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=3.39 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=12.86 | Chg30d=+0.020 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+12.3% | Growth Revenue=+3.5%
Additional Sources for PAC Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle