(PACK) Ranpak Holdings - Overview
Stock: Protective Paper, Cushioning Pads, Wrapping Mesh, Cold Insulation, Automation
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 75.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -12.1% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.30 |
| Alpha | -58.53 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 2.007 |
| Beta Downside | 2.114 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 65.51% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.16 |
Description: PACK Ranpak Holdings December 31, 2025
Ranpak Holdings Corp. (NYSE: PACK) supplies paper-based protective packaging and end-of-line automation solutions across North America, Europe, and Asia, serving e-commerce and industrial supply chains. Its product portfolio includes void-fill (FillPak), cushioning pads (PadPak), wrap and mesh systems (WrapPak, Geami, ReadyRoll), and cold-chain insulation, plus automation equipment that streamlines void-filling and box-closure processes.
Key recent metrics: FY 2023 revenue reached approximately $1.2 billion, with an adjusted EBITDA margin near 10%; the e-commerce packaging segment grew ~12% YoY, driven by sustained online sales acceleration. A material cost headwind persists as pulp prices have risen 8% year-over-year, while the company’s shift toward recyclable paper aligns with broader sustainability mandates that are reshaping the packaging sector.
For a deeper, data-driven valuation, you might explore the company’s profile on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5
| Net Income: -39.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.61 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 17.65% < 20% (prev 24.89%; Δ -7.24% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.00 > 3% & CFO -900.0k > Net Income -39.6m |
| Net Debt (382.2m) to EBITDA (62.5m): 6.12 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.88 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (84.4m) vs 12m ago 1.36% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 34.94% > 18% (prev 0.37%; Δ 3457 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 34.30% > 50% (prev 31.26%; Δ 3.04% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -0.16 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 62.5m / Interest Expense TTM 33.5m) |
Altman Z'' -0.46
| A: 0.06 (Total Current Assets 146.7m - Total Current Liabilities 78.2m) / Total Assets 1.13b |
| B: -0.15 (Retained Earnings -174.1m / Total Assets 1.13b) |
| C: -0.00 (EBIT TTM -5.20m / Avg Total Assets 1.13b) |
| D: -0.31 (Book Value of Equity -181.0m / Total Liabilities 591.8m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -0.46 = B |
Beneish M -2.92
| DSRI: 1.01 (Receivables 56.5m/51.3m, Revenue 388.1m/354.3m) |
| GMI: 1.07 (GM 34.94% / 37.40%) |
| AQI: 1.00 (AQ_t 0.72 / AQ_t-1 0.72) |
| SGI: 1.10 (Revenue 388.1m / 354.3m) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI -39.6m - CFO -900.0k) / TA 1.13b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.92 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of PACK shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.76%, over one month by -13.10%, over three months by -7.36% and over the past year by -37.05%.
Is PACK a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the PACK price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 7.8 | 57.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 7.8 | 57.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 4.6 | -6.1% |
PACK Fundamental Data Overview February 05, 2026
P/B = 0.7923
Revenue TTM = 388.1m USD
EBIT TTM = -5.20m USD
EBITDA TTM = 62.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 397.2m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 9.80m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 432.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 382.2m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 808.3m USD (426.1m + Debt 432.1m - CCE 49.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.16 (Ebit TTM -5.20m / Interest Expense TTM 33.5m)
EV/FCF = -23.91x (Enterprise Value 808.3m / FCF TTM -33.8m)
FCF Yield = -4.18% (FCF TTM -33.8m / Enterprise Value 808.3m)
FCF Margin = -8.71% (FCF TTM -33.8m / Revenue TTM 388.1m)
Net Margin = -10.20% (Net Income TTM -39.6m / Revenue TTM 388.1m)
Gross Margin = 34.94% ((Revenue TTM 388.1m - Cost of Revenue TTM 252.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 34.54% (prev 31.31%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.72 (Enterprise Value 808.3m / Total Assets 1.13b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.01% (Interest Expense 8.70m / Debt 432.1m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -4.11m (EBIT -5.20m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.88 (Total Current Assets 146.7m / Total Current Liabilities 78.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.80 (Debt 432.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 537.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = 6.12 (Net Debt 382.2m / EBITDA 62.5m)
Debt / FCF = -11.31 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 382.2m / FCF TTM -33.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 542.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -3.50% (Net Income -39.6m / Total Assets 1.13b)
RoE = -7.30% (Net Income TTM -39.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 542.2m)
RoCE = -0.55% (EBIT -5.20m / Capital Employed (Equity 542.2m + L.T.Debt 397.2m))
RoIC = -0.43% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -4.11m / Invested Capital 945.1m)
WACC = 7.41% (E(426.1m)/V(858.2m) * Re(13.31%) + D(432.1m)/V(858.2m) * Rd(2.01%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 13.31% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.06%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -33.8m)
EPS Correlation: 40.28 | EPS CAGR: 116.1% | SUE: 0.23 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 35.54 | Revenue CAGR: -2.40% | SUE: -0.14 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.06 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.12 | Chg30d=-0.090 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+42.9% | Growth Revenue=+9.5%