(PACK) Ranpak Holdings - Overview
Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Packaging & Containers | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 303m USD | Total Return: -11.7% in 12m
Industry Rotation: -8.9
Avg Turnover: 1.46M USD
Peers RS (IBD): 9.4
EPS Trend: 35.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 82.1%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
High Debt/EBITDA (8.7) with thin interest coverage (-0.8)
High Debt while negative Cash Flow
Interest Coverage Ratio -0.8 is critical
Altman Z'' -0.61 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Choppy
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Ranpak Holdings Corp. (PACK) offers product protection and end-of-line automation solutions. The company operates in North America, Europe, and Asia, a common strategy for packaging firms seeking global market penetration.
PACKs product portfolio includes void-fill (FillPak), cushioning (PadPak), and wrapping (WrapPak, Geami, ReadyRoll) protective systems, all utilizing paper-based materials. This focus aligns with increasing demand for sustainable packaging solutions.
Additionally, Ranpak provides cold chain products for temperature-controlled transport and automation solutions for void filling and box closure processes. The company primarily uses a distributor network, a typical go-to-market approach in the industrial supply chain sector, alongside direct sales.
Further research on ValueRay can provide deeper insights into PACKs market performance.
- E-commerce growth fuels demand for protective packaging solutions
- Paper material costs impact profitability
- Automation solutions adoption drives new revenue streams
- Distributor network performance influences sales volume
| Net Income: -38.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.60 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 17.67% < 20% (prev 22.45%; Δ -4.77% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.02 > 3% & CFO 23.1m > Net Income -38.3m |
| Net Debt (367.0m) to EBITDA (42.4m): 8.66 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.83 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (84.4m) vs 12m ago 1.59% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 23.97% > 18% (prev 0.38%; Δ 2.36k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 35.44% > 50% (prev 33.41%; Δ 2.03% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -0.78 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 42.4m / Interest Expense TTM 31.3m) |
| A: 0.06 (Total Current Assets 153.8m - Total Current Liabilities 84.0m) / Total Assets 1.12b |
| B: -0.16 (Retained Earnings -183.6m / Total Assets 1.12b) |
| C: -0.02 (EBIT TTM -24.3m / Avg Total Assets 1.11b) |
| D: -0.32 (Book Value of Equity -187.4m / Total Liabilities 590.0m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -0.61 = B |
| DSRI: 0.97 (Receivables 47.7m/45.7m, Revenue 395.0m/368.9m) |
| GMI: 1.58 (GM 23.97% / 37.90%) |
| AQI: 1.00 (AQ_t 0.72 / AQ_t-1 0.72) |
| SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 395.0m / 368.9m) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI -38.3m - CFO 23.1m) / TA 1.12b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.53 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.80%, over one month by -8.20%, over three months by -39.23% and over the past year by -11.70%.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 7.1 | 104% |
P/B = 0.567
Revenue TTM = 395.0m USD
EBIT TTM = -24.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 42.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 396.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 9.40m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 430.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 367.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 670.3m USD (303.3m + Debt 430.0m - CCE 63.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.78 (Ebit TTM -24.3m / Interest Expense TTM 31.3m)
EV/FCF = -70.56x (Enterprise Value 670.3m / FCF TTM -9.50m)
FCF Yield = -1.42% (FCF TTM -9.50m / Enterprise Value 670.3m)
FCF Margin = -2.41% (FCF TTM -9.50m / Revenue TTM 395.0m)
Net Margin = -9.70% (Net Income TTM -38.3m / Revenue TTM 395.0m)
Gross Margin = 23.97% ((Revenue TTM 395.0m - Cost of Revenue TTM 300.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 0.45% (prev 34.54%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.60 (Enterprise Value 670.3m / Total Assets 1.12b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.30% (Interest Expense 5.60m / Debt 430.0m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -19.2m (EBIT -24.3m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.83 (Total Current Assets 153.8m / Total Current Liabilities 84.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.80 (Debt 430.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 534.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 8.66 (Net Debt 367.0m / EBITDA 42.4m)
Debt / FCF = -38.63 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 367.0m / FCF TTM -9.50m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 539.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -3.44% (Net Income -38.3m / Total Assets 1.12b)
RoE = -7.11% (Net Income TTM -38.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 539.0m)
RoCE = -2.60% (EBIT -24.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 539.0m + L.T.Debt 396.4m))
RoIC = -2.04% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -19.2m / Invested Capital 940.7m)
WACC = 5.29% (E(303.3m)/V(733.3m) * Re(11.33%) + D(430.0m)/V(733.3m) * Rd(1.30%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 11.33% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.07%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -9.50m)
EPS Correlation: 35.45 | EPS CAGR: 102.9% | SUE: -0.29 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 82.14 | Revenue CAGR: 8.47% | SUE: -0.41 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.08 | Chg7d=-0.020 | Chg30d=-0.020 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.15 | Chg7d=-0.030 | Chg30d=-0.030 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+46.7% | Growth Revenue=+7.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-0.10 | Chg7d=-0.080 | Chg30d=-0.080 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+33.3% | Growth Revenue=+8.3%