(PAGS) PagSeguro Digital - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: Brazil • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: KYG687071012

Payments, Banking, Credit, Cards, Marketplace, Software

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of PAGS over the last years for every Quarter: "2020-12": 1.3, "2021-03": 0.99, "2021-06": 1.04, "2021-09": 1.26, "2021-12": 1.28, "2022-03": 1.12, "2022-06": 1.2, "2022-09": 1.25, "2022-12": 1.24, "2023-03": 1.19, "2023-06": 1.28, "2023-09": 1.36, "2023-12": 1.63, "2024-03": 1.63, "2024-06": 0.2998, "2024-09": 1.78, "2024-12": 2.01, "2025-03": 1.72, "2025-06": 1.88, "2025-09": 1.94,

Revenue

Revenue of PAGS over the last years for every Quarter: 2020-12: 2084.572, 2021-03: 2041.953, 2021-06: 2334.738, 2021-09: 2729.904, 2021-12: 2059.5, 2022-03: 3385.378, 2022-06: 3865.788, 2022-09: 3989.301, 2022-12: 2304.057, 2023-03: 3685.218, 2023-06: 3760.983, 2023-09: 3960.561, 2023-12: 4274, 2024-03: 4201.346, 2024-06: 4425.05, 2024-09: 4704.654, 2024-12: 5002.662, 2025-03: 4711.216, 2025-06: 4890.926, 2025-09: 4915.847,

Dividends

Dividend Yield 3.97%
Yield on Cost 5y 0.73%
Yield CAGR 5y -5.01%
Payout Consistency 100.0%
Payout Ratio 5.0%
Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility 42.9%
Value at Risk 5%th 66.2%
Relative Tail Risk -6.17%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio 1.10
Alpha 32.27
CAGR/Max DD 0.09
Character TTM
Hurst Exponent 0.517
Beta 1.079
Beta Downside 0.720
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 57.60%
Mean DD 26.36%
Median DD 27.89%

Description: PAGS PagSeguro Digital November 10, 2025

PagSeguro Digital Ltd. (NYSE:PAGS) operates a diversified fintech platform in Brazil, offering digital banking, payment processing, credit, insurance, and investment services to consumers, micro-merchants, and SMEs, alongside a suite of merchant-focused software tools such as the PagVendas POS app and PlugPag connectivity solution.

As of its latest filing, PagSeguro reported roughly 70 million active users and processed over R$30 billion in transactions in 2023, driving a 19 % YoY increase in net revenue to $1.2 billion; the company’s credit portfolio grew 22 % YoY, reflecting strong demand for payroll and working-capital loans amid Brazil’s high-inflation environment. Key macro drivers include Brazil’s rapid shift toward cashless payments (projected to reach 70 % of total retail transactions by 2026) and the Open Banking regulatory framework that lowers entry barriers for fintechs, while competitive pressure from rivals like Stone and Nubank remains a material risk.

For a deeper, data-rich assessment of PagSeguro’s valuation dynamics and risk profile, you may find it worthwhile to explore the company’s metrics on ValueRay.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5

Net Income (2.22b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.17b TTM)
FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 8.33pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue 95.75% (prev 114.8%; Δ -19.06pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 5.03b > Net Income 2.22b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (40.42b) to EBITDA (8.89b) ratio: 4.55 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 1.42 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (294.9m) change vs 12m ago -8.03% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 50.04% (prev 47.73%; Δ 2.31pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 27.99% (prev 26.19%; Δ 1.80pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio 1.52 (EBITDA TTM 8.89b / Interest Expense TTM 4.69b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 3.17

(A) 0.26 = (Total Current Assets 63.19b - Total Current Liabilities 44.50b) / Total Assets 72.29b
(B) 0.15 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 11.01b / Total Assets 72.29b
(C) 0.10 = EBIT TTM 7.12b / Avg Total Assets 69.75b
(D) 0.27 = Book Value of Equity 15.65b / Total Liabilities 57.40b
Total Rating: 3.17 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 70.70

1. Piotroski 5.50pt
2. FCF Yield 5.57%
3. FCF Margin 16.02%
4. Debt/Equity 2.81
5. Debt/Ebitda 4.55
6. ROIC - WACC (= 6.38)%
7. RoE 15.00%
8. Rev. Trend 77.00%
9. EPS Trend 28.02%

What is the price of PAGS shares?

As of December 22, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 9.56 with a total of 2,054,671 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.59%, over one month by -1.24%, over three months by -5.24% and over the past year by +57.90%.

Is PAGS a buy, sell or hold?

PagSeguro Digital has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.88. Therefore, it is recommended to buy PAGS.
  • Strong Buy: 7
  • Buy: 3
  • Hold: 6
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the PAGS price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 11.9 24.2%
Analysts Target Price 11.9 24.2%
ValueRay Target Price 10.6 10.5%

PAGS Fundamental Data Overview December 17, 2025

Market Cap BRL = 16.21b (2.92b USD * 5.5425 USD.BRL)
P/E Trailing = 7.7077
P/E Forward = 6.7204
P/S = 0.1498
P/B = 1.0975
Beta = 1.441
Revenue TTM = 19.52b BRL
EBIT TTM = 7.12b BRL
EBITDA TTM = 8.89b BRL
Long Term Debt = 9.20b BRL (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 32.65b BRL (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 41.85b BRL (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 40.42b BRL (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 56.17b BRL (16.21b + Debt 41.85b - CCE 1.89b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.52 (Ebit TTM 7.12b / Interest Expense TTM 4.69b)
FCF Yield = 5.57% (FCF TTM 3.13b / Enterprise Value 56.17b)
FCF Margin = 16.02% (FCF TTM 3.13b / Revenue TTM 19.52b)
Net Margin = 11.35% (Net Income TTM 2.22b / Revenue TTM 19.52b)
Gross Margin = 50.04% ((Revenue TTM 19.52b - Cost of Revenue TTM 9.75b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 51.27% (prev 50.71%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.78 (Enterprise Value 56.17b / Total Assets 72.29b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.33% (Interest Expense 1.39b / Debt 41.85b)
Taxrate = 12.88% (81.9m / 636.4m)
NOPAT = 6.21b (EBIT 7.12b * (1 - 12.88%))
Current Ratio = 1.42 (Total Current Assets 63.19b / Total Current Liabilities 44.50b)
Debt / Equity = 2.81 (Debt 41.85b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 14.89b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.55 (Net Debt 40.42b / EBITDA 8.89b)
Debt / FCF = 12.92 (Net Debt 40.42b / FCF TTM 3.13b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 14.77b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.06% (Net Income 2.22b / Total Assets 72.29b)
RoE = 15.00% (Net Income TTM 2.22b / Total Stockholder Equity 14.77b)
RoCE = 29.72% (EBIT 7.12b / Capital Employed (Equity 14.77b + L.T.Debt 9.20b))
RoIC = 11.26% (NOPAT 6.21b / Invested Capital 55.11b)
WACC = 4.88% (E(16.21b)/V(58.06b) * Re(9.99%) + D(41.85b)/V(58.06b) * Rd(3.33%) * (1-Tc(0.13)))
Discount Rate = 9.99% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.86%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 62.20% ; FCFE base≈3.13b ; Y1≈2.05b ; Y5≈939.0m
Fair Price DCF = 81.04 (DCF Value 13.82b / Shares Outstanding 170.5m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 28.02 | EPS CAGR: 11.73% | SUE: 0.33 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 77.00 | Revenue CAGR: 26.11% | SUE: -0.08 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.90 | Chg30d=+0.008 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=4
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=8.55 | Chg30d=-0.026 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+11.1% | Growth Revenue=+5.6%

Additional Sources for PAGS Stock

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