(PAM) Pampa Energia - Ratings and Ratios
Electricity, Oil, Gas, Petrochemicals, Transmission
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 42.9% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 65.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.08% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.29 |
| Alpha | -10.78 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.27 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.456 |
| Beta | 1.233 |
| Beta Downside | 1.295 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 40.40% |
| Mean DD | 11.36% |
| Median DD | 8.94% |
Description: PAM Pampa Energia November 07, 2025
Pampa Energía S.A. (NYSE: PAM) is Argentina’s largest integrated power and energy group, operating across four segments: Oil & Gas (exploration-production in Neuquén and Río Negro), Generation (thermal, hydro and wind assets totaling 5,472 MW), Petrochemicals (styrene, synthetic rubber, polystyrene) and a utilities arm that runs a 22,396 km high-voltage transmission grid plus 9,248 km of natural-gas pipelines. The company also processes and sells natural-gas liquids in Bahía Blanca and provides related advisory services.
Key recent metrics: 2023 EBITDA of US$ 1.1 bn, a net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio of ~2.0×, and renewable generation (hydro + wind) representing roughly 30 % of total capacity-an increasing share as Argentina expands its renewable-energy targets. The firm’s earnings are highly sensitive to Argentine macro-factors such as CPI-driven electricity tariffs, sovereign-risk premiums on local debt, and the regulatory framework governing gas transportation concessions.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, you might explore ValueRay’s detailed financial models for PAM.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (373.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 122.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 257.6pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 60.44% (prev 0.72%; Δ 59.72pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 (>3.0%) and CFO 654.7m > Net Income 373.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.39b) to EBITDA (1.18b) ratio: 1.18 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.68 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (54.4m) change vs 12m ago -0.03% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 31.39% (prev 34.88%; Δ -3.49pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 33.44% (prev 2854 %; Δ -2820 pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 4.90 (EBITDA TTM 1.18b / Interest Expense TTM 156.9m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.52
| (A) 0.20 = (Total Current Assets 1.96b - Total Current Liabilities 732.8m) / Total Assets 6.27b |
| (B) 0.03 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 182.6m / Total Assets 6.27b |
| (C) 0.13 = EBIT TTM 769.0m / Avg Total Assets 6.08b |
| (D) 1.23 = Book Value of Equity 3.45b / Total Liabilities 2.81b |
| Total Rating: 3.52 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 43.88
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -2.78% |
| 3. FCF Margin -8.49% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.52 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.18 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -4.87)% |
| 7. RoE 10.91% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 9.17% |
| 9. EPS Trend -18.40% |
What is the price of PAM shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.50%, over one month by +3.96%, over three months by +60.12% and over the past year by +3.19%.
Is PAM a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the PAM price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 103.7 | 14.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 103.7 | 14.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 126.5 | 39.6% |
PAM Fundamental Data Overview December 05, 2025
P/E Trailing = 16.1311
P/E Forward = 8.8968
P/S = 2.7475
P/B = 1.4662
P/EG = 0.84
Beta = 0.004
Revenue TTM = 2.03b USD
EBIT TTM = 769.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.18b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.47b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 306.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.81b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.39b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 6.21b USD (5.29b + Debt 1.81b - CCE 886.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.90 (Ebit TTM 769.0m / Interest Expense TTM 156.9m)
FCF Yield = -2.78% (FCF TTM -172.7m / Enterprise Value 6.21b)
FCF Margin = -8.49% (FCF TTM -172.7m / Revenue TTM 2.03b)
Net Margin = 18.36% (Net Income TTM 373.5m / Revenue TTM 2.03b)
Gross Margin = 31.39% ((Revenue TTM 2.03b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.40b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 41.05% (prev 30.04%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.99 (Enterprise Value 6.21b / Total Assets 6.27b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.80% (Interest Expense 32.6m / Debt 1.81b)
Taxrate = 79.07% (114.3m / 144.6m)
NOPAT = 161.0m (EBIT 769.0m * (1 - 79.07%))
Current Ratio = 2.68 (Total Current Assets 1.96b / Total Current Liabilities 732.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.52 (Debt 1.81b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.45b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.18 (Net Debt 1.39b / EBITDA 1.18b)
Debt / FCF = -8.06 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 1.39b / FCF TTM -172.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.42b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.95% (Net Income 373.5m / Total Assets 6.27b)
RoE = 10.91% (Net Income TTM 373.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.42b)
RoCE = 15.70% (EBIT 769.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.42b + L.T.Debt 1.47b))
RoIC = 3.10% (NOPAT 161.0m / Invested Capital 5.20b)
WACC = 7.97% (E(5.29b)/V(7.10b) * Re(10.56%) + D(1.81b)/V(7.10b) * Rd(1.80%) * (1-Tc(0.79)))
Discount Rate = 10.56% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -80.00%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -172.7m)
EPS Correlation: -18.40 | EPS CAGR: -16.31% | SUE: -0.61 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 9.17 | Revenue CAGR: 10.91% | SUE: -1.15 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.16 | Chg30d=-0.080 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=10.56 | Chg30d=+1.012 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+68.9% | Growth Revenue=+16.3%
Additional Sources for PAM Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle