(PARR) Par Pacific Holdings - Overview

Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 3.018m USD | Total Return: 203.3% in 12m

Gasoline, Diesel, Jet Fuel, Asphalt, Distillates
Total Rating 74
Safety 76
Buy Signal 1.67
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Industry Rotation: +30.3
Market Cap: 3.02B
Avg Turnover: 85.0M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility59.4%
VaR 5th Pctl10.6%
VaR vs Median8.63%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio2.19
Rel. Str. IBD95.5
Rel. Str. Peer Group91.7
Character TTM
Beta0.582
Beta Downside0.644
Hurst Exponent0.444
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD69.71%
CAGR/Max DD0.61
CAGR/Mean DD1.67
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of PARR over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": -1.55, "2021-06": -0.81, "2021-09": 0.76, "2021-12": -0.22, "2022-03": -0.53, "2022-06": 3.31, "2022-09": 2.88, "2022-12": 2.2, "2023-03": 2.25, "2023-06": 1.73, "2023-09": 3.15, "2023-12": 1.08, "2024-03": 0.69, "2024-06": 0.49, "2024-09": -0.1, "2024-12": -0.79, "2025-03": -0.94, "2025-06": 1.54, "2025-09": 5.95, "2025-12": 1.17, "2026-03": 0.78,
EPS CAGR: -31.99%
EPS Trend: -38.8%
Last SUE: 0.05
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of PARR over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 888.68, 2021-06: 1217.525, 2021-09: 1310.368, 2021-12: 1293.516, 2022-03: 1350.293, 2022-06: 2106.332, 2022-09: 2056.285, 2022-12: 1808.875, 2023-03: 1685.209, 2023-06: 1783.927, 2023-09: 2579.308, 2023-12: 2183.511, 2024-03: 1980.835, 2024-06: 2017.468, 2024-09: 2143.933, 2024-12: 1832.221, 2025-03: 1745.036, 2025-06: 1893.438, 2025-09: 2012.936, 2025-12: 1813.24, 2026-03: 1823.75,
Rev. CAGR: -3.77%
Rev. Trend: -22.6%
Last SUE: 0.30
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

Leader, Tailwind, Pullback Swing, Confidence

Description: PARR Par Pacific Holdings

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (PARR) is a Houston-based energy company specializing in the refining, logistics, and retail distribution of conventional and renewable fuels. The company operates a vertically integrated model, managing three distinct segments: Refining, Retail, and Logistics. Its infrastructure includes refineries producing gasoline and distillates, a retail network under brands such as Hele and nomnom, and an extensive logistics system comprising pipelines, marine vessels, and storage facilities.

The company maintains critical strategic infrastructure, including proprietary pipelines that supply jet fuel to major U.S. military installations like Joint Base Lewis-McChord and Ellsworth Air Force Base. In the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing sector, profitability is heavily influenced by the crack spread, which is the pricing differential between a barrel of crude oil and the refined products produced from it. This business model relies on geographic advantages, particularly in niche markets where the company controls midstream assets that lower transportation costs.

To gain a deeper understanding of the companys valuation metrics, investors may find it useful to examine the data available on ValueRay. Par Pacific continues to transition its portfolio to include renewable fuel options while maintaining its core petroleum refining and distribution operations across the United States.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Refining crack spreads and crude oil price volatility impact core profitability
  • Hawaii and Pacific Northwest energy demand dictates regional refinery utilization rates
  • Logistics infrastructure expansion and military fuel contracts secure steady cash flows
  • Retail convenience store margins and fuel sales volume drive non-refining revenue
  • Regulatory compliance costs and renewable fuel standard mandates affect operational expenses
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 7.0
Net Income: 454.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 6.29 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 10.94% < 20% (prev 7.52%; Δ 3.42% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 306.9m > Net Income 454.2m
Net Debt (1.47b) to EBITDA (853.4m): 1.72 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.62 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (49.6m) vs 12m ago -7.67% < -2%
Gross Margin: 18.11% > 18% (prev 0.09%; Δ 1.80k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 189.5% > 50% (prev 206.2%; Δ -16.72% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 15.95 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 853.4m / Interest Expense TTM 44.6m)
Altman Z'' 3.16
A: 0.20 (Total Current Assets 2.15b - Total Current Liabilities 1.32b) / Total Assets 4.21b
B: 0.13 (Retained Earnings 567.8m / Total Assets 4.21b)
C: 0.18 (EBIT TTM 711.2m / Avg Total Assets 3.98b)
D: 0.22 (Book Value of Equity 579.9m / Total Liabilities 2.66b)
Altman-Z'' Score: 3.16 = A
Beneish M -3.34
DSRI: 1.29 (Receivables 481.5m/384.3m, Revenue 7.54b/7.74b)
GMI: 0.49 (GM 18.11% / 8.92%)
AQI: 0.83 (AQ_t 0.11 / AQ_t-1 0.14)
SGI: 0.97 (Revenue 7.54b / 7.74b)
TATA: 0.03 (NI 454.2m - CFO 306.9m) / TA 4.21b)
Beneish M-Score: -3.34 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of PARR shares? As of May 21, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 61.63 with a total of 1,332,957 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.30%, over one month by +4.21%, over three months by +45.66% and over the past year by +203.30%.
Is PARR a buy, sell or hold? Par Pacific Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.63. Therefor, it is recommend to hold PARR.
  • StrongBuy: 1
  • Buy: 3
  • Hold: 4
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the PARR price?
Analysts Target Price 72 16.8%
Par Pacific Holdings (PARR) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 16 May 2026
P/E Trailing = 6.8542
P/E Forward = 15.6495
P/S = 0.4
P/B = 2.1294
Revenue TTM = 7.54b USD
EBIT TTM = 711.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 853.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 942.7m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 394.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.64b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.47b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.49b USD (3.02b + Debt 1.64b - CCE 172.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 15.95 (Ebit TTM 711.2m / Interest Expense TTM 44.6m)
EV/FCF = 28.79x (Enterprise Value 4.49b / FCF TTM 155.9m)
FCF Yield = 3.47% (FCF TTM 155.9m / Enterprise Value 4.49b)
FCF Margin = 2.07% (FCF TTM 155.9m / Revenue TTM 7.54b)
Net Margin = 6.02% (Net Income TTM 454.2m / Revenue TTM 7.54b)
Gross Margin = 18.11% ((Revenue TTM 7.54b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.18b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 8.80% (prev 21.03%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.07 (Enterprise Value 4.49b / Total Assets 4.21b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.71% (Interest Expense 44.6m / Debt 1.64b)
Taxrate = 21.10% (12.3m / 58.5m)
NOPAT = 561.2m (EBIT 711.2m * (1 - 21.10%))
Current Ratio = 1.62 (Total Current Assets 2.15b / Total Current Liabilities 1.32b)
Debt / Equity = 1.08 (Debt 1.64b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.52b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.72 (Net Debt 1.47b / EBITDA 853.4m)
Debt / FCF = 9.44 (Net Debt 1.47b / FCF TTM 155.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.39b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 11.41% (Net Income 454.2m / Total Assets 4.21b)
RoE = 32.61% (Net Income TTM 454.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.39b)
RoCE = 30.45% (EBIT 711.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.39b + L.T.Debt 942.7m))
RoIC = 23.88% (NOPAT 561.2m / Invested Capital 2.35b)
WACC = 5.95% (E(3.02b)/V(4.66b) * Re(8.03%) + D(1.64b)/V(4.66b) * Rd(2.71%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.03% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -89.89 | Cagr: -8.50%
[DCF] Terminal Value 80.82% ; FCFF base≈155.9m ; Y1≈102.4m ; Y5≈46.8m
[DCF] Fair Price = 0.29 (EV 1.49b - Net Debt 1.47b = Equity 14.4m / Shares 50.1m; r=6.0% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -38.80 | EPS CAGR: -31.99% | SUE: 0.05 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -22.56 | Revenue CAGR: -3.77% | SUE: 0.30 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=6.88 | Chg30d=+190.44% | Revisions=+33% | Analysts=5
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=3.10 | Chg30d=+43.71% | Revisions=+20% | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=12.92 | Chg30d=+41.28% | Revisions=+33% | GrowthEPS=+70.9% | GrowthRev=+11.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=9.24 | Chg30d=+21.73% | Revisions=+33% | GrowthEPS=-28.5% | GrowthRev=-7.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +33%