PARR Stock Analysis: Par Pacific Holdings | NYSE
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 3.881m USD | 12M Return: 168.6% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 68.8M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -39.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: PARR) is a U.S.-based energy company that produces and distributes renewable and conventional fuels through three operating segments: Refining, Retail, and Logistics. The Refining segment processes crude oil into gasoline, distillate, asphalt, and related products; the Retail segment runs convenience stores and fuel outlets under the Hele, 76, and nomnom brands, including unattended cardlock stations; and the Logistics segment owns terminals, pipelines, trucking operations, marine vessels, storage facilities, loading and truck racks, and rail infrastructure for moving ethanol, petroleum, and refined products. The company also operates specialized fuel storage and pipeline facilities serving Ellsworth Air Force Base and Joint Base Lewis-McChord, and holds interests in crude storage tanks and pipelines tied to the Powder River Basin.
Par Pacific was incorporated in 1984, originally as Par Petroleum Corporation, and adopted its current name in October 2015; it is headquartered in Houston, Texas. The company operates as a downstream-focused integrated downstream energy business, combining refining operations with retail fuel distribution and midstream logistics assets. This vertically integrated model is common in the oil & gas refining and marketing subsector, where operators seek to capture margin across the value chain from crude processing through to retail fuel sales and product transportation.
- Hawaii crack spreads expand amid tight regional supply
- RIN compliance costs pressure refining margins
- Capital returns accelerate via buybacks and debt paydown
| Net Income: 454.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 6.29 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 10.94% < 20% (prev 7.52%; Δ 3.42% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 306.9m > Net Income 454.2m |
| Net Debt (1.88b) to EBITDA (760.5m): 2.47 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.62 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (49.6m) vs 12m ago -7.67% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 18.11% > 18% (prev 8.92%; Δ 9.19% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 189.5% > 50% (prev 206.2%; Δ -16.72% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 8.09 > 6 (EBIT TTM 618.3m / Interest Expense TTM 76.5m) |
| A: 0.20 (Total Current Assets 2.15b - Total Current Liabilities 1.32b) / Total Assets 4.21b |
| B: 0.13 (Retained Earnings 567.8m / Total Assets 4.21b) |
| C: 0.16 (EBIT TTM 618.3m / Avg Total Assets 3.98b) |
| D: 0.57 (Book Value of Equity 1.52b / Total Liabilities 2.66b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.37 = A |
| DSRI: 1.29 (Receivables 481.5m/384.3m, Revenue 7.54b/7.74b) |
| GMI: 0.49 (GM 8.92% / 18.11%) |
| AQI: 0.83 (AQ_t 0.11 / AQ_t-1 0.14) |
| SGI: 0.97 (Revenue 7.54b / 7.74b) |
| TATA: 0.03 (NI 454.2m - CFO 306.9m) / TA 4.21b) |
| Beneish M = -3.37 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 31, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 85.91 with a total of 1,199,703 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +10.69%, over one month by +51.60%, over three months by +29.27% and over the past year by +168.64%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 81.00 (which is 5.7% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Par Pacific Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.63. Therefore, it is recommended to hold PARR.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 83 | -3.4% |
P/E Trailing = 8.7644
P/E Forward = 15.6495
P/S = 0.5144
P/B = 2.5674
Revenue TTM = 7.54b USD
EBIT TTM = 618.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 760.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 942.7m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 394.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.05b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 406.8m
Net Debt = 1.88b USD (calculated: Debt 2.05b - CCE 172.5m)
Enterprise Value = 5.76b USD (3.88b + Debt 2.05b - CCE 172.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.09 (Ebit TTM 618.3m / Interest Expense TTM 76.5m)
EV/FCF = 36.94x (Enterprise Value 5.76b / FCF TTM 155.9m)
FCF Yield = 2.71% (FCF TTM 155.9m / Enterprise Value 5.76b)
FCF Margin = 2.07% (FCF TTM 155.9m / Revenue TTM 7.54b)
Net Margin = 6.02% (Net Income TTM 454.2m / Revenue TTM 7.54b)
Gross Margin = 18.11% ((Revenue TTM 7.54b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.18b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 8.80% (prev 21.03%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.37 (Enterprise Value 5.76b / Total Assets 4.21b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.73% (Interest Expense 76.5m / Debt 2.05b)
Taxrate = 22.66% (130.0m / 573.7m)
NOPAT = 478.1m (EBIT 618.3m * (1 - 22.66%))
Current Ratio = 1.62 (Total Current Assets 2.15b / Total Current Liabilities 1.32b)
Debt / Equity = 1.35 (Debt 2.05b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.52b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.47 (Net Debt 1.88b / EBITDA 760.5m)
Debt / FCF = 12.05 (Net Debt 1.88b / FCF TTM 155.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.39b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 11.41% (Net Income 454.2m / Total Assets 4.21b)
RoE = 32.61% (Net Income TTM 454.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.39b)
RoCE = 26.47% (EBIT 618.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.39b + L.T.Debt 942.7m))
RoIC = 15.39% (NOPAT 478.1m / Invested Capital 3.11b)
WACC = 5.75% (E(3.88b)/V(5.93b) * Re(7.26%) + D(2.05b)/V(5.93b) * Rd(3.73%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 7.26% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -95.98 | Cagr: -8.46%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈155.9m ; Y1≈156.6m ; Y5≈165.8m
[DCF] Fair Price = 13.98 (EV 2.58b - Net Debt 1.88b = Equity 701.0m / Shares 50.1m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.14 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -39.32 | Revenue CAGR: -2.49% | SUE: 0.30 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=8.15 | Chg30d=+14.52% | Revisions=+29% | Analysts=5
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=4.19 | Chg30d=+28.03% | Revisions=+17% | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=16.10 | Chg30d=+14.52% | Revisions=+57% | GrowthEPS=+113.0% | GrowthRev=+8.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=11.34 | Chg30d=+13.42% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=-29.5% | GrowthRev=-8.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +56% (up=11, down=2)