(PBA) Pembina Pipeline - Overview
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Midstream | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 28.485m USD | Total Return: 38% in 12m
Industry Rotation: +25.3
Avg Turnover: 43.7M
EPS Trend: -39.9%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: -52.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Altman Z'' 1.06 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Tailwinds
Tailwind, Confidence
Pembina Pipeline Corporation is a Calgary-based midstream service provider operating a diversified portfolio of energy infrastructure across North America. The company manages three primary segments: Pipelines, Facilities, and Marketing & New Ventures. Its asset base includes conventional and oil sands pipelines, natural gas liquid (NGL) fractionation plants, cavern storage, and export terminals.
The midstream sector typically functions on a fee-for-service model, which helps insulate operators from direct commodity price volatility by focusing on throughput volumes. Pembina’s integrated system connects the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin to key end-markets, providing essential gathering, processing, and transportation services for crude oil and natural gas liquids. You may find more detailed valuation metrics on ValueRay to assist in your analysis. This infrastructure-heavy business model often requires significant capital expenditure but generates long-term contractual cash flows.
- Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin production volumes drive core pipeline throughput revenue
- Natural gas liquid price spreads dictate Marketing segment profit margins
- Cedar LNG final investment decision scales long-term export infrastructure growth
- Regulatory approvals for Trans Mountain expansion impact regional competitive dynamics
- Interest rate fluctuations influence cost of capital for capital-intensive infrastructure projects
| Net Income: 1.69b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.43 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -4.54% < 20% (prev -9.87%; Δ 5.33% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 2.79b > Net Income 1.69b |
| Net Debt (13.78b) to EBITDA (3.69b): 3.73 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.83 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (582.0m) vs 12m ago 0.0% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 40.46% > 18% (prev 0.43%; Δ 4.00k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 21.03% > 50% (prev 22.84%; Δ -1.81% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.44 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 3.69b / Interest Expense TTM 607.4m) |
| A: -0.01 (Total Current Assets 1.72b - Total Current Liabilities 2.06b) / Total Assets 36.27b |
| B: -0.06 (Retained Earnings -2.33b / Total Assets 36.27b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 2.70b / Avg Total Assets 35.99b) |
| D: 0.79 (Book Value of Equity 15.21b / Total Liabilities 19.32b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.06 = BB |
| DSRI: 1.33 (Receivables 1.21b/978.0m, Revenue 7.57b/8.16b) |
| GMI: 1.06 (GM 40.46% / 43.08%) |
| AQI: 1.01 (AQ_t 0.31 / AQ_t-1 0.31) |
| SGI: 0.93 (Revenue 7.57b / 8.16b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 1.69b - CFO 2.79b) / TA 36.27b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.77 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.30%, over one month by +15.88%, over three months by +14.12% and over the past year by +37.95%.
- StrongBuy: 8
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 42 | -14.8% |
P/E Trailing = 25.2526
P/E Forward = 21.645
P/S = 3.747
P/B = 2.3892
P/EG = 2.2052
Revenue TTM = 7.57b CAD
EBIT TTM = 2.70b CAD
EBITDA TTM = 3.69b CAD
Long Term Debt = 12.09b CAD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 682.8m CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 13.95b CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 13.78b CAD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 52.94b CAD (39.16b + Debt 13.95b - CCE 173.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.44 (Ebit TTM 2.70b / Interest Expense TTM 607.4m)
EV/FCF = 26.80x (Enterprise Value 52.94b / FCF TTM 1.98b)
FCF Yield = 3.73% (FCF TTM 1.98b / Enterprise Value 52.94b)
FCF Margin = 26.10% (FCF TTM 1.98b / Revenue TTM 7.57b)
Net Margin = 22.35% (Net Income TTM 1.69b / Revenue TTM 7.57b)
Gross Margin = 40.46% ((Revenue TTM 7.57b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.51b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 38.48% (prev 43.23%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.46 (Enterprise Value 52.94b / Total Assets 36.27b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.05% (Interest Expense 146.4m / Debt 13.95b)
Taxrate = 21.08% (133.3m / 632.6m)
NOPAT = 2.13b (EBIT 2.70b * (1 - 21.08%))
Current Ratio = 0.83 (Total Current Assets 1.72b / Total Current Liabilities 2.06b)
Debt / Equity = 0.82 (Debt 13.95b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 16.94b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.73 (Net Debt 13.78b / EBITDA 3.69b)
Debt / FCF = 6.98 (Net Debt 13.78b / FCF TTM 1.98b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 16.94b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.70% (Net Income 1.69b / Total Assets 36.27b)
RoE = 9.98% (Net Income TTM 1.69b / Total Stockholder Equity 16.94b)
RoCE = 9.30% (EBIT 2.70b / Capital Employed (Equity 16.94b + L.T.Debt 12.09b))
RoIC = 7.68% (NOPAT 2.13b / Invested Capital 27.74b)
WACC = 4.81% (E(39.16b)/V(53.11b) * Re(6.23%) + D(13.95b)/V(53.11b) * Rd(1.05%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 6.23% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.92%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 78.88 | Cagr: 2.55%
[DCF] Terminal Value 86.67% ; FCFF base≈2.02b ; Y1≈2.09b ; Y5≈2.38b
[DCF] Fair Price = 97.36 (EV 70.39b - Net Debt 13.78b = Equity 56.61b / Shares 581.4m; r=6.0% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 3.53% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -39.90 | EPS CAGR: -7.88% | SUE: 1.07 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -52.89 | Revenue CAGR: -2.17% | SUE: 0.60 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.76 | Chg30d=+12.27% | Revisions=+20% | Analysts=3
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.67 | Chg30d=+7.88% | Revisions=+20% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.00 | Chg30d=+7.73% | Revisions=+33% | GrowthEPS=+16.8% | GrowthRev=+11.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.11 | Chg30d=+3.54% | Revisions=+33% | GrowthEPS=+3.7% | GrowthRev=+0.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +33%