(PBA) Pembina Pipeline - Ratings and Ratios
Pipelines, Storage, Fractionation, NGL, Export
PBA EPS (Earnings per Share)
PBA Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 18.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 30.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -0.96% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.15 |
| Alpha | -9.73 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.410 |
| Beta | 0.402 |
| Beta Downside | 0.692 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 17.92% |
| Mean DD | 7.04% |
| Median DD | 7.72% |
Description: PBA Pembina Pipeline October 14, 2025
Pembina Pipeline Corp (NYSE:PBA) is a Calgary-based midstream firm that transports and processes hydrocarbons across North America. It operates through three core segments: Pipelines (conventional, oil-sands and heavy-oil transport), Facilities (storage, fractionation and processing) and Marketing & New Ventures (trading of crude, natural gas and NGLs).
The Pipelines segment moves roughly 3.0 MMboe/d and offers 10 MMbbl of ground storage plus rail terminalling capacity for about 105 kboe/d. The Facilities segment adds 430 k bbl/d of NGL fractionation, 21 MMbbl of cavern storage, and a liquefied propane export terminal. In FY 2023 the company generated $2.5 bn of adjusted EBITDA and maintained a pipeline utilization rate near 85 %, supporting its ability to sustain a dividend yield of roughly 6.5 %.
Key economic drivers include Canadian oil-sands output, U.S. gasoline and heating-oil demand, and the price spread between natural gas and NGLs. Regulatory trends affecting pipeline approvals and carbon-intensity reporting also shape cash-flow visibility, while the firm’s exposure to commodity price swings is mitigated by long-term transportation contracts and diversified marketing activities.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may want to explore ValueRay’s detailed valuation models and scenario analyses.
PBA Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 21,977m |
| Sub-Industry | Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation |
| IPO / Inception | 2010-10-06 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -14.9% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.17 of 5 |
PBA Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 5.13% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 11.26% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 1.51% |
| Payout Consistency | 97.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 81.1% |
PBA Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | 9.06% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.51 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 1.29 |
| Current Volume | 1733.2k |
| Average Volume | 906.9k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (1.87b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 485.6m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.37pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -4.98% (prev -9.19%; Δ 4.22pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 (>3.0%) and CFO 3.45b > Net Income 1.87b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (13.16b) to EBITDA (3.98b) ratio: 3.31 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.77 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (582.0m) change vs 12m ago 0.17% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 42.99% (prev 34.21%; Δ 8.78pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 22.78% (prev 22.81%; Δ -0.03pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 4.95 (EBITDA TTM 3.98b / Interest Expense TTM 608.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.15
| (A) -0.01 = (Total Current Assets 1.38b - Total Current Liabilities 1.78b) / Total Assets 35.42b |
| (B) -0.06 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -2.27b / Total Assets 35.42b |
| (C) 0.08 = EBIT TTM 3.01b / Avg Total Assets 35.52b |
| (D) 0.82 = Book Value of Equity 15.08b / Total Liabilities 18.39b |
| Total Rating: 1.15 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 61.41
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt = 0.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 5.85% = 2.93 |
| 3. FCF Margin 31.81% = 7.50 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.78 = 2.20 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.31 = -2.14 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.97)% = 3.71 |
| 7. RoE 10.84% = 0.90 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -39.84% = -2.99 |
| 9. EPS Trend -13.89% = -0.69 |
What is the price of PBA shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.31%, over one month by -0.59%, over three months by +6.90% and over the past year by -2.44%.
Is Pembina Pipeline a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of PBA is around 39.77 USD . This means that PBA is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 2.71%.
Is PBA a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 8
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the PBA price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 48.5 | 25.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 48.5 | 25.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 43.2 | 11.4% |
PBA Fundamental Data Overview November 02, 2025
P/E Trailing = 17.8443
P/E Forward = 17.8253
P/S = 2.7256
P/B = 2.1296
P/EG = 2.2288
Beta = 0.857
Revenue TTM = 8.09b CAD
EBIT TTM = 3.01b CAD
EBITDA TTM = 3.98b CAD
Long Term Debt = 12.14b CAD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 679.0m CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 13.38b CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 13.16b CAD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 43.98b CAD (30.81b + Debt 13.38b - CCE 210.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.95 (Ebit TTM 3.01b / Interest Expense TTM 608.0m)
FCF Yield = 5.85% (FCF TTM 2.57b / Enterprise Value 43.98b)
FCF Margin = 31.81% (FCF TTM 2.57b / Revenue TTM 8.09b)
Net Margin = 23.16% (Net Income TTM 1.87b / Revenue TTM 8.09b)
Gross Margin = 42.99% ((Revenue TTM 8.09b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.61b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 43.53% (prev 40.14%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.24 (Enterprise Value 43.98b / Total Assets 35.42b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.14% (Interest Expense 152.0m / Debt 13.38b)
Taxrate = 21.76% (116.0m / 533.0m)
NOPAT = 2.35b (EBIT 3.01b * (1 - 21.76%))
Current Ratio = 0.77 (Total Current Assets 1.38b / Total Current Liabilities 1.78b)
Debt / Equity = 0.78 (Debt 13.38b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 17.04b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.31 (Net Debt 13.16b / EBITDA 3.98b)
Debt / FCF = 5.11 (Net Debt 13.16b / FCF TTM 2.57b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 17.29b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.29% (Net Income 1.87b / Total Assets 35.42b)
RoE = 10.84% (Net Income TTM 1.87b / Total Stockholder Equity 17.29b)
RoCE = 10.23% (EBIT 3.01b / Capital Employed (Equity 17.29b + L.T.Debt 12.14b))
RoIC = 8.47% (NOPAT 2.35b / Invested Capital 27.82b)
WACC = 5.50% (E(30.81b)/V(44.19b) * Re(7.50%) + D(13.38b)/V(44.19b) * Rd(1.14%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 7.50% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 81.65 | Cagr: 2.87%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.70% ; FCFE base≈2.38b ; Y1≈2.45b ; Y5≈2.76b
Fair Price DCF = 83.51 (DCF Value 48.51b / Shares Outstanding 580.9m; 5y FCF grow 2.88% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -13.89 | EPS CAGR: -51.20% | SUE: -2.97 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -39.84 | Revenue CAGR: -14.75% | SUE: -0.29 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for PBA Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle