(PBF) PBF Energy - Ratings and Ratios
Gasoline, Diesel, Jet Fuel, Petrochemicals, Asphalt
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 58.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 93.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -2.41% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.71 |
| Alpha | 17.34 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.515 |
| Beta | 1.259 |
| Beta Downside | 1.650 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 76.04% |
| Mean DD | 32.48% |
| Median DD | 26.62% |
Description: PBF PBF Energy November 10, 2025
PBF Energy Inc. (NYSE:PBF) operates a vertically integrated refining and logistics business in the United States, producing a slate of fuels-including gasoline, ultra-low-sulfur diesel, heating oil, jet fuel, and petrochemical feedstocks-and delivering them via rail, truck, marine terminals, and pipelines. The firm’s two operating segments are Refining, which runs three Gulf Coast refineries with a combined crude capacity of roughly 540,000 bpd, and Logistics, which manages the transportation and storage network that supports those assets. Its market footprint spans the Northeast, Midwest, Gulf Coast, and West Coast, plus export channels to Canada, Mexico, and overseas markets.
Key performance indicators to watch include the company’s realized refining margin (currently around $7 per barrel, subject to crude price volatility) and its debt-to-EBITDA ratio (~4.2×), which reflects the capital-intensive nature of the business. PBF’s earnings are highly sensitive to seasonal demand swings in heating oil and diesel, as well as to regulatory trends such as the U.S. Renewable Fuel Standard that can affect blend-stock requirements. Additionally, the broader sector’s capacity utilization rate-hovering near 85 % in 2024-sets a baseline for pricing power and throughput efficiency.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of PBF’s valuation dynamics, you may find the analytical tools on ValueRay useful for modeling scenario-based outcomes.
PBF Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 4,517m |
| Sub-Industry | Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing |
| IPO / Inception | 2012-12-13 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 15.2% |
| Analyst Rating | 2.73 of 5 |
PBF Dividends
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.79% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 16.92% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 35.96% |
| Payout Consistency | 76.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 15.4% |
PBF Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | -3.11% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | -0.04 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | -0.10 |
| Current Volume | 1777.1k |
| Average Volume | 2543.6k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.5
| Net Income (-526.2m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.77b TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.08 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -10.17pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 4.45% (prev 3.68%; Δ 0.77pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO -772.7m <= Net Income -526.2m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (2.68b) to EBITDA (154.9m) ratio: 17.30 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.38 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (118.0m) change vs 12m ago 1.73% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin -2.53% (prev 0.06%; Δ -2.59pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 225.8% (prev 265.8%; Δ -40.04pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -2.99 (EBITDA TTM 154.9m / Interest Expense TTM 171.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.60
| (A) 0.10 = (Total Current Assets 4.81b - Total Current Liabilities 3.50b) / Total Assets 13.04b |
| (B) 0.24 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 3.10b / Total Assets 13.04b |
| (C) -0.04 = EBIT TTM -512.6m / Avg Total Assets 13.09b |
| (D) 0.40 = Book Value of Equity 3.10b / Total Liabilities 7.68b |
| Total Rating: 1.60 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 14.13
| 1. Piotroski 0.50pt = -4.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield -14.26% = -5.0 |
| 3. FCF Margin -3.47% = -1.30 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.60 = 2.32 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 17.30 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -11.81)% = -12.50 |
| 7. RoE -10.03% = -1.67 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -88.19% = -6.61 |
| 9. EPS Trend -82.01% = -4.10 |
What is the price of PBF shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.39%, over one month by +34.47%, over three months by +67.29% and over the past year by +30.90%.
Is PBF a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 2
- Strong Sell: 2
What are the forecasts/targets for the PBF price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 30.1 | -23.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 30.1 | -23.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 41 | 4.1% |
PBF Fundamental Data Overview November 17, 2025
P/E Forward = 10.7296
P/S = 0.1529
P/B = 0.863
P/EG = 2.51
Beta = 0.409
Revenue TTM = 29.54b USD
EBIT TTM = -512.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 154.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.39b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 173.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.16b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.68b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 7.20b USD (4.52b + Debt 3.16b - CCE 482.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -2.99 (Ebit TTM -512.6m / Interest Expense TTM 171.5m)
FCF Yield = -14.26% (FCF TTM -1.03b / Enterprise Value 7.20b)
FCF Margin = -3.47% (FCF TTM -1.03b / Revenue TTM 29.54b)
Net Margin = -1.78% (Net Income TTM -526.2m / Revenue TTM 29.54b)
Gross Margin = -2.53% ((Revenue TTM 29.54b - Cost of Revenue TTM 30.29b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 0.51% (prev -0.78%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.55 (Enterprise Value 7.20b / Total Assets 13.04b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.59% (Interest Expense 50.3m / Debt 3.16b)
Taxrate = 27.25% (64.3m / 236.0m)
NOPAT = -372.9m (EBIT -512.6m * (1 - 27.25%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.38 (Total Current Assets 4.81b / Total Current Liabilities 3.50b)
Debt / Equity = 0.60 (Debt 3.16b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.23b)
Debt / EBITDA = 17.30 (Net Debt 2.68b / EBITDA 154.9m)
Debt / FCF = -2.61 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 2.68b / FCF TTM -1.03b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.24b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -4.03% (Net Income -526.2m / Total Assets 13.04b)
RoE = -10.03% (Net Income TTM -526.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 5.24b)
RoCE = -6.71% (EBIT -512.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 5.24b + L.T.Debt 2.39b))
RoIC = -5.06% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -372.9m / Invested Capital 7.36b)
WACC = 6.74% (E(4.52b)/V(7.68b) * Re(10.65%) + D(3.16b)/V(7.68b) * Rd(1.59%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 10.65% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -1.62%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -1.03b)
EPS Correlation: -82.01 | EPS CAGR: -30.83% | SUE: -0.11 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -88.19 | Revenue CAGR: -11.92% | SUE: 0.36 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for PBF Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle