PBF Stock Analysis: PBF Energy | NYSE
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 8.517m USD | 12M Return: 225.3% | US69318G1067 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 220M
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: -82.0%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
PBF Energy Inc. is a U.S.-based independent petroleum refiner that operates two business segments: Refining and Logistics. Through its refining segment, the company produces a range of petroleum products including gasoline, ultra-low-sulfur diesel, heating oil, jet fuel, lubricants, petrochemicals, and asphalt, and sells unbranded transportation fuels and blending components. Its logistics segment provides rail, truck, and marine terminaling services along with pipeline transportation and storage, supporting both internal and third-party movements of crude oil and refined products.
The company serves customers across the Northeast, Midwest, Gulf Coast, and West Coast of the United States, with additional sales into Canada, Mexico, and other international markets. Founded in 2008 and headquartered in Parsippany, New Jersey, PBF Energy trades on the NYSE under the ticker PBF and is classified within the Energy sector under the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing sub-industry. The refining industry is capital-intensive and earnings-sensitive to crack spreads, while U.S. refiners have invested heavily to meet regulatory mandates for ultra-low-sulfur fuels and renewable fuel blending requirements.
- Refining crack spreads expand on tight product supply
- RIN and biofuel compliance costs squeeze margins
- Crude price differentials widen logistics segment margins
| Net Income: 1.35b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 15.32 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 4.21% < 20% (prev 3.75%; Δ 0.47% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 1.66b > Net Income 1.35b |
| Net Debt (2.39b) to EBITDA (2.13b): 1.12 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.33 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (121.1m) vs 12m ago 5.63% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 4.47% > 18% (prev -3.55%; Δ 8.02% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 248.2% > 50% (prev 233.2%; Δ 14.95% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 8.16 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.49b / Interest Expense TTM 183.0m) |
| A: 0.10 (Total Current Assets 5.83b - Total Current Liabilities 4.38b) / Total Assets 14.7b |
| B: 0.28 (Retained Earnings 4.19b / Total Assets 14.7b) |
| C: 0.11 (EBIT TTM 1.49b / Avg Total Assets 13.8b) |
| D: 0.78 (Book Value of Equity 6.41b / Total Liabilities 8.17b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.12 = A |
| DSRI: 1.44 (Receivables 1.84b/1.13b, Revenue 34.4b/30.3b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (fallback, negative margins) |
| AQI: 0.93 (AQ_t 0.16 / AQ_t-1 0.17) |
| SGI: 1.14 (Revenue 34.4b / 30.3b) |
| TATA: -0.02 (NI 1.35b - CFO 1.66b) / TA 14.7b) |
| Beneish M = -2.61 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of August 19, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 75.20 with a total of 1,706,469 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +8.84%, over one month by +18.21%, over three months by +79.11% and over the past year by +225.28%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 69.70 (which is 7.3% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
PBF Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 2.73. Therefore, it is recommended to hold PBF.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 2
| Analysts Target Price | 66.7 | -11.3% |
P/E Trailing = 6.2971
P/E Forward = 11.9904
P/S = 0.2478
P/B = 1.3293
P/EG = 2.51
Revenue TTM = 34.4b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.49b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.13b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.75b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 187.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.28b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 765.9m
Net Debt = 2.39b USD (calculated: Debt 3.28b - CCE 894.1m)
Enterprise Value = 10.9b USD (8.52b + Debt 3.28b - CCE 894.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.16 (Ebit TTM 1.49b / Interest Expense TTM 183.0m)
EV/FCF = 14.68x (Enterprise Value 10.9b / FCF TTM 742.8m)
FCF Yield = 6.81% (FCF TTM 742.8m / Enterprise Value 10.9b)
FCF Margin = 2.16% (FCF TTM 742.8m / Revenue TTM 34.4b)
Net Margin = 3.94% (Net Income TTM 1.35b / Revenue TTM 34.4b)
Gross Margin = 4.47% ((Revenue TTM 34.4b - Cost of Revenue TTM 32.8b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 9.82% (prev 6.12%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.74 (Enterprise Value 10.9b / Total Assets 14.7b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.58% (Interest Expense 183.0m / Debt 3.28b)
Taxrate = 24.59% (445.4m / 1.81b)
NOPAT = 1.13b (EBIT 1.49b * (1 - 24.59%))
Current Ratio = 1.33 (Total Current Assets 5.83b / Total Current Liabilities 4.38b)
Debt / Equity = 0.51 (Debt 3.28b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 6.41b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.12 (Net Debt 2.39b / EBITDA 2.13b)
Debt / FCF = 3.21 (Net Debt 2.39b / FCF TTM 742.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.62b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.77% (Net Income 1.35b / Total Assets 14.7b)
RoE = 24.08% (Net Income TTM 1.35b / Total Stockholder Equity 5.62b)
RoCE = 20.27% (EBIT 1.49b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.62b + L.T.Debt 1.75b))
RoIC = 11.70% (NOPAT 1.13b / Invested Capital 9.63b)
WACC = 7.51% (E(8.52b)/V(11.8b) * Re(8.78%) + D(3.28b)/V(11.8b) * Rd(5.58%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 8.78% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 6.23 | Cagr: -1.29%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈742.8m ; Y1≈745.9m ; Y5≈790.1m
[DCF] Fair Price = 83.53 (EV 12.3b - Net Debt 2.39b = Equity 9.90b / Shares 118.5m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -82.03 | Revenue CAGR: -9.60% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=7.95 | Chg30d=+70.60% | Revisions=+73% | Analysts=11
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=17.40 | Chg30d=+83.51% | Revisions=+70% | GrowthEPS=+521.3% | GrowthRev=+30.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=11.00 | Chg30d=+64.98% | Revisions=+57% | GrowthEPS=-50.5% | GrowthRev=-10.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +86% (up=19, down=0)