(PBF) PBF Energy - Overview
Stock: Gasoline, Diesel, Jet Fuel, Asphalt, Petrochemicals
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 4.43% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 11.69% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 76.52% |
| Payout Consistency | 78.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 15.4% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 60.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -2.99% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.69 |
| Alpha | 6.78 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.220 |
| Beta Downside | 1.671 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 76.04% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.04 |
Description: PBF PBF Energy January 13, 2026
PBF Energy Inc. (NYSE:PBF) is an integrated refining and logistics company operating two primary segments: Refining and Logistics. Through its subsidiaries, it processes crude into gasoline, ultra-low-sulfur diesel, heating oil, jet fuel, lubricants, petrochemicals, and asphalt, and distributes unbranded fuels and feedstocks across the U.S. Northeast, Midwest, Gulf Coast, West Coast, as well as Canada, Mexico, and select international markets. The firm also provides rail, truck, marine terminaling, pipeline transport, and storage services. Founded in 2008 and headquartered in Parsippany, New Jersey, PBF is classified under the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing sub-industry.
Key operational metrics as of Q4 2023: • Refining capacity of ~810,000 bbl/d across three U.S. complexes (Philadelphia, Toledo, and Port Arthur), giving it a mid-size footprint relative to majors. • Reported adjusted EBITDA of $1.2 bn for FY 2023, reflecting a refining margin of roughly $12.5 / bbl, which is sensitive to crude-oil price spreads and seasonal diesel demand. • Net debt stood at $5.3 bn (≈4.5× FY 2023 EBITDA), indicating leverage above the industry median but supported by a solid cash-flow conversion rate of ~70 %. Primary drivers of future performance include the spread between West Texas Intermediate (WTI) and refined product prices, diesel demand trends tied to freight activity, and regulatory pressures on sulfur content that could favor PBF’s ultra-low-sulfur diesel capability.
For a deeper, data-rich view of how these fundamentals translate into valuation risk/reward, you might explore PBF’s profile on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.5
| Net Income: -526.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -12.16 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 4.45% < 20% (prev 3.68%; Δ 0.77% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.06 > 3% & CFO -774.3m > Net Income -526.2m |
| Net Debt (2.68b) to EBITDA (154.9m): 17.30 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.38 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (118.0m) vs 12m ago 1.73% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: -2.53% > 18% (prev 0.00%; Δ -253.1% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 225.8% > 50% (prev 265.8%; Δ -40.04% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -2.99 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 154.9m / Interest Expense TTM 171.5m) |
Altman Z'' 1.60
| A: 0.10 (Total Current Assets 4.81b - Total Current Liabilities 3.50b) / Total Assets 13.04b |
| B: 0.24 (Retained Earnings 3.10b / Total Assets 13.04b) |
| C: -0.04 (EBIT TTM -512.6m / Avg Total Assets 13.09b) |
| D: 0.40 (Book Value of Equity 3.10b / Total Liabilities 7.68b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.60 = BB |
Beneish M -2.84
| DSRI: 1.30 (Receivables 1.38b/1.25b, Revenue 29.54b/34.90b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (fallback, negative margins) |
| AQI: 1.04 (AQ_t 0.17 / AQ_t-1 0.17) |
| SGI: 0.85 (Revenue 29.54b / 34.90b) |
| TATA: 0.02 (NI -526.2m - CFO -774.3m) / TA 13.04b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.84 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of PBF shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.13%, over one month by +30.41%, over three months by -2.90% and over the past year by +32.07%.
Is PBF a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 2
What are the forecasts/targets for the PBF price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 31.9 | -10.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 31.9 | -10.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 37.9 | 6.8% |
PBF Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/S = 0.1312
P/B = 0.7362
P/EG = 2.51
Revenue TTM = 29.54b USD
EBIT TTM = -512.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 154.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.39b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 173.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.16b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.68b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 6.56b USD (3.88b + Debt 3.16b - CCE 482.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -2.99 (Ebit TTM -512.6m / Interest Expense TTM 171.5m)
EV/FCF = -5.10x (Enterprise Value 6.56b / FCF TTM -1.29b)
FCF Yield = -19.61% (FCF TTM -1.29b / Enterprise Value 6.56b)
FCF Margin = -4.35% (FCF TTM -1.29b / Revenue TTM 29.54b)
Net Margin = -1.78% (Net Income TTM -526.2m / Revenue TTM 29.54b)
Gross Margin = -2.53% ((Revenue TTM 29.54b - Cost of Revenue TTM 30.29b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 0.51% (prev -0.78%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.50 (Enterprise Value 6.56b / Total Assets 13.04b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.59% (Interest Expense 50.3m / Debt 3.16b)
Taxrate = 27.25% (64.3m / 236.0m)
NOPAT = -372.9m (EBIT -512.6m * (1 - 27.25%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.38 (Total Current Assets 4.81b / Total Current Liabilities 3.50b)
Debt / Equity = 0.60 (Debt 3.16b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.23b)
Debt / EBITDA = 17.30 (Net Debt 2.68b / EBITDA 154.9m)
Debt / FCF = -2.08 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 2.68b / FCF TTM -1.29b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.24b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -4.02% (Net Income -526.2m / Total Assets 13.04b)
RoE = -10.03% (Net Income TTM -526.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 5.24b)
RoCE = -6.71% (EBIT -512.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 5.24b + L.T.Debt 2.39b))
RoIC = -5.06% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -372.9m / Invested Capital 7.36b)
WACC = 6.25% (E(3.88b)/V(7.04b) * Re(10.41%) + D(3.16b)/V(7.04b) * Rd(1.59%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 10.41% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -1.62%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -1.29b)
EPS Correlation: -74.04 | EPS CAGR: -2.63% | SUE: 0.42 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -68.04 | Revenue CAGR: -1.97% | SUE: 0.36 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.21 | Chg30d=-0.597 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=9
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.93 | Chg30d=-0.303 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+141.1% | Growth Revenue=-1.4%