PBF Stock Analysis: PBF Energy | NYSE
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 5.684m USD | 12M Return: 105.6% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 108M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -97.6%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
PBF Energy Inc. is a U.S.-based independent petroleum refiner that operates two business segments: Refining and Logistics. Through its refining segment, the company produces a range of petroleum products including gasoline, ultra-low-sulfur diesel, heating oil, jet fuel, lubricants, petrochemicals, and asphalt, and sells unbranded transportation fuels and blending components. Its logistics segment provides rail, truck, and marine terminaling services along with pipeline transportation and storage, supporting both internal and third-party movements of crude oil and refined products.
The company serves customers across the Northeast, Midwest, Gulf Coast, and West Coast of the United States, with additional sales into Canada, Mexico, and other international markets. Founded in 2008 and headquartered in Parsippany, New Jersey, PBF Energy trades on the NYSE under the ticker PBF and is classified within the Energy sector under the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing sub-industry. The refining industry is capital-intensive and earnings-sensitive to crack spreads, while U.S. refiners have invested heavily to meet regulatory mandates for ultra-low-sulfur fuels and renewable fuel blending requirements.
- Refining crack spreads expand on tight product supply
- RIN and biofuel compliance costs squeeze margins
- Crude price differentials widen logistics segment margins
| Net Income: 441.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.00 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 4.62% < 20% (prev 3.46%; Δ 1.16% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.02 > 3% & CFO 259.7m > Net Income 441.6m |
| Net Debt (3.86b) to EBITDA (902.3m): 4.28 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.31 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (120.6m) vs 12m ago 5.20% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 1.10% > 18% (prev -3.20%; Δ 4.31% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 217.5% > 50% (prev 242.1%; Δ -24.60% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.41 > 6 (EBIT TTM 264.2m / Interest Expense TTM 186.8m) |
| A: 0.09 (Total Current Assets 5.83b - Total Current Liabilities 4.44b) / Total Assets 14.7b |
| B: 0.23 (Retained Earnings 3.32b / Total Assets 14.7b) |
| C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 264.2m / Avg Total Assets 13.9b) |
| D: 0.61 (Book Value of Equity 5.52b / Total Liabilities 9.07b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.12 = BBB |
| DSRI: 1.70 (Receivables 1.94b/1.19b, Revenue 30.2b/31.5b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (fallback, negative margins) |
| AQI: 0.93 (AQ_t 0.16 / AQ_t-1 0.17) |
| SGI: 0.96 (Revenue 30.2b / 31.5b) |
| TATA: 0.01 (NI 441.6m - CFO 259.7m) / TA 14.7b) |
| Beneish M = -2.52 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 48.46 with a total of 2,365,954 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.37%, over one month by +14.37%, over three months by +5.65% and over the past year by +105.64%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 45.00 (which is 7.1% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
PBF Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 2.73. Therefore, it is recommended to hold PBF.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 2
| Analysts Target Price | 45.3 | -6.6% |
P/E Trailing = 12.6755
P/E Forward = 11.9904
P/S = 0.1884
P/B = 1.0295
P/EG = 2.51
Revenue TTM = 30.2b USD
EBIT TTM = 264.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 902.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.80b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 211.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.40b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 799.3m
Net Debt = 3.86b USD (calculated: Debt 4.40b - CCE 541.8m)
Enterprise Value = 9.54b USD (5.68b + Debt 4.40b - CCE 541.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.41 (Ebit TTM 264.2m / Interest Expense TTM 186.8m)
EV/FCF = -13.95x (Enterprise Value 9.54b / FCF TTM -683.9m)
FCF Yield = -7.17% (FCF TTM -683.9m / Enterprise Value 9.54b)
FCF Margin = -2.27% (FCF TTM -683.9m / Revenue TTM 30.2b)
Net Margin = 1.46% (Net Income TTM 441.6m / Revenue TTM 30.2b)
Gross Margin = 1.10% ((Revenue TTM 30.2b - Cost of Revenue TTM 29.8b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 6.12% (prev -1.85%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.65 (Enterprise Value 9.54b / Total Assets 14.7b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.24% (Interest Expense 186.8m / Debt 4.40b)
Taxrate = 22.06% (126.1m / 571.7m)
NOPAT = 205.9m (EBIT 264.2m * (1 - 22.06%))
Current Ratio = 1.31 (Total Current Assets 5.83b / Total Current Liabilities 4.44b)
Debt / Equity = 0.80 (Debt 4.40b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.52b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.28 (Net Debt 3.86b / EBITDA 902.3m)
Debt / FCF = -5.64 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 3.86b / FCF TTM -683.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.29b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.18% (Net Income 441.6m / Total Assets 14.7b)
RoE = 8.35% (Net Income TTM 441.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 5.29b)
RoCE = 3.26% (EBIT 264.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 5.29b + L.T.Debt 2.80b))
RoIC = 2.07% (NOPAT 205.9m / Invested Capital 9.95b)
WACC = 6.71% (E(5.68b)/V(10.1b) * Re(9.35%) + D(4.40b)/V(10.1b) * Rd(4.24%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 9.35% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -13.48 | Cagr: -0.47%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -683.9m)
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.04 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -97.56 | Revenue CAGR: -12.96% | SUE: 0.73 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=3.77 | Chg30d=-8.76% | Revisions=+40% | Analysts=9
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=4.87 | Chg30d=+28.75% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=8.43 | Chg30d=+14.05% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+304.0% | GrowthRev=+20.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=6.21 | Chg30d=+1.93% | Revisions=+57% | GrowthEPS=-48.4% | GrowthRev=-5.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +62% (up=9, down=1)