PCY ETF Analysis: Emerging Markets Sovereign | NYSE

Emerging Markets Bond | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 1.377m USD | 12M Return: 6.9% | US46138E7849 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Emerging Markets Bonds, Government Bonds, Dollar Denominated, Sovereign Debt
Total Rating 44
Safety 55
Buy Signal 0.02
Emerging Markets Bond
Category Rotation: +1.6
TER: 0.50%
AUM: 1.38B
Avg Turnover: 5.52M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility8.40%
VaR 5th Pctl1.55%
VaR vs Median2.55%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.36
Rel. Str. IBD27.8
Rel. Str. Peer Group12.5
Character TTM
Beta0.346
Beta Downside0.381
Hurst Exponent0.595
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD9.35%
CAGR/Max DD1.11
CAGR/Mean DD5.02

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan +0.0% 5
Feb +0.0% 7
Mar -1.1% 8
Apr +0.2% 5
May -0.3% 19
Jun -0.1% 7
Jul +1.6% 32
Aug +0.1% 14
Sep -1.7% 27
Oct -1.1% 41
Nov -0.8% 14
Dec +0.6% 34

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: PCY Emerging Markets Sovereign

The Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF (PCY) is structured as an index-tracking fund that invests at least 80% of its total assets in the components of its underlying benchmark. The index it follows is designed to measure the performance of a theoretical portfolio of U.S. dollar-denominated government bonds issued by emerging market sovereigns.

By focusing on USD-denominated sovereign debt, the fund targets investors seeking exposure to emerging market government credit without taking on direct local-currency risk. Sovereign bond ETFs typically generate returns through coupon income and price movements tied to interest rate changes, sovereign credit ratings, and macroeconomic conditions in issuing countries. Emerging market debt is generally considered a higher-yielding segment of the fixed income universe compared to developed market government bonds, reflecting the greater credit risk associated with developing economies.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Fed rate cuts narrow yield differential pressuring EM bond demand
  • US dollar strength pressures emerging market sovereign debt returns
  • Rising EM sovereign default risk widens credit spreads and weighs on returns
  • Geopolitical tensions and commodity volatility reshape emerging market bond risk premiums
What is the price of PCY shares?

As of August 21, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 21.09 with a total of 323,583 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.87%, over one month by -0.54%, over three months by +0.86% and over the past year by +6.90%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 20.70 (which is 1.8% or 2.4 ATR below the current price).

Is PCY a buy, sell or hold?

Emerging Markets Sovereign has no consensus analysts rating.