(PEG) Public Service Enterprise - Ratings and Ratios
Electricity, Natural Gas, Nuclear Energy, Solar
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.13% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.12% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 5.19% |
| Payout Consistency | 96.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 60.4% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 20.4% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 34.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | 3.67% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.61 |
| Alpha | -19.80 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.79 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.343 |
| Beta | 0.523 |
| Beta Downside | 0.559 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 17.17% |
| Mean DD | 5.84% |
| Median DD | 5.21% |
Description: PEG Public Service Enterprise December 04, 2025
Public Service Enterprise Group (NYSE:PEG) is a vertically integrated utility operating two primary segments: PSE&G, which handles electricity and natural-gas transmission, distribution, and customer services across New Jersey, and PSEG Power, which focuses on nuclear generation, power supply to nuclear plants, and gas-storage operations. The company’s infrastructure includes roughly 25,000 circuit miles of electric lines, 869,000 poles, 57 switching stations (40 GW MVA capacity), 234 substations (10.75 GW MVA), and 18,000 miles of natural-gas mains, complemented by 158 MW of installed solar PV capacity.
Key financial and operational metrics (FY 2024) that investors watch include a regulated return on equity (ROE) of about 9.5%, a dividend yield near 4.8%, and a debt-to-EBITDA ratio of roughly 4.2×, reflecting the capital-intensive nature of utility assets. PEG’s earnings are sensitive to interest-rate trends because higher rates increase the cost of capital for regulated utilities, while the company benefits from state-mandated renewable-energy targets that drive its solar and energy-efficiency investments.
Given PEG’s stable cash flows, strong credit profile, and exposure to both nuclear baseload generation and growing distributed-solar assets, the stock may appeal to income-focused investors seeking inflation-hedged returns; however, analysts should monitor regulatory rulings on rate cases and the pace of renewable-policy implementation, as these factors could materially shift the company’s earnings outlook. For a deeper quantitative analysis, consider exploring PEG’s valuation model on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5
| Net Income (2.08b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 703.1m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.00 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.78pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -2.82% (prev -17.89%; Δ 15.07pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 (>3.0%) and CFO 2.94b > Net Income 2.08b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (23.17b) to EBITDA (4.59b) ratio: 5.05 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.93 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (501.0m) change vs 12m ago 0.20% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 35.56% (prev 36.17%; Δ -0.61pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 21.11% (prev 19.29%; Δ 1.83pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.43 (EBITDA TTM 4.59b / Interest Expense TTM 933.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.60
| (A) -0.01 = (Total Current Assets 4.68b - Total Current Liabilities 5.01b) / Total Assets 56.91b |
| (B) 0.24 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 13.45b / Total Assets 56.91b |
| (C) 0.06 = EBIT TTM 3.20b / Avg Total Assets 55.50b |
| (D) 0.46 = Book Value of Equity 18.38b / Total Liabilities 39.90b |
| Total Rating: 1.60 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 52.71
| 1. Piotroski 2.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 0.11% |
| 3. FCF Margin 0.62% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.38 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 5.05 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 1.49)% |
| 7. RoE 12.59% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 26.71% |
| 9. EPS Trend 19.31% |
What is the price of PEG shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.73%, over one month by -0.36%, over three months by -1.13% and over the past year by -10.35%.
Is PEG a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 6
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the PEG price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 91 | 14.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 91 | 14.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 89.3 | 12.3% |
PEG Fundamental Data Overview November 29, 2025
P/E Trailing = 20.012
P/E Forward = 18.622
P/S = 3.5462
P/B = 2.4431
P/EG = 2.272
Beta = 0.607
Revenue TTM = 11.72b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.20b USD
EBITDA TTM = 4.59b USD
Long Term Debt = 21.67b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.70b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 23.51b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 23.17b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 64.72b USD (41.55b + Debt 23.51b - CCE 339.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.43 (Ebit TTM 3.20b / Interest Expense TTM 933.0m)
FCF Yield = 0.11% (FCF TTM 73.0m / Enterprise Value 64.72b)
FCF Margin = 0.62% (FCF TTM 73.0m / Revenue TTM 11.72b)
Net Margin = 17.77% (Net Income TTM 2.08b / Revenue TTM 11.72b)
Gross Margin = 35.56% ((Revenue TTM 11.72b - Cost of Revenue TTM 7.55b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 36.14% (prev 40.11%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.14 (Enterprise Value 64.72b / Total Assets 56.91b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.08% (Interest Expense 253.0m / Debt 23.51b)
Taxrate = 13.61% (98.0m / 720.0m)
NOPAT = 2.76b (EBIT 3.20b * (1 - 13.61%))
Current Ratio = 0.93 (Total Current Assets 4.68b / Total Current Liabilities 5.01b)
Debt / Equity = 1.38 (Debt 23.51b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 17.01b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.05 (Net Debt 23.17b / EBITDA 4.59b)
Debt / FCF = 317.4 (Net Debt 23.17b / FCF TTM 73.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 16.54b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.66% (Net Income 2.08b / Total Assets 56.91b)
RoE = 12.59% (Net Income TTM 2.08b / Total Stockholder Equity 16.54b)
RoCE = 8.36% (EBIT 3.20b / Capital Employed (Equity 16.54b + L.T.Debt 21.67b))
RoIC = 6.90% (NOPAT 2.76b / Invested Capital 40.04b)
WACC = 5.41% (E(41.55b)/V(65.06b) * Re(7.94%) + D(23.51b)/V(65.06b) * Rd(1.08%) * (1-Tc(0.14)))
Discount Rate = 7.94% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 81.65 | Cagr: 0.10%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.46% ; FCFE base≈73.0m ; Y1≈47.9m ; Y5≈21.9m
Fair Price DCF = 0.86 (DCF Value 430.8m / Shares Outstanding 499.2m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 19.31 | EPS CAGR: 14.06% | SUE: 2.78 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 26.71 | Revenue CAGR: 1.45% | SUE: 1.40 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.51 | Chg30d=+0.020 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=10
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.43 | Chg30d=+0.001 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+9.8% | Growth Revenue=+3.9%
Additional Sources for PEG Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle