(PFGC) Performance Food - Ratings and Ratios
Foodservice, Convenience, Specialty
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 24.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 37.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.47% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.34 |
| Alpha | -3.58 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.80 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.400 |
| Beta | 0.756 |
| Beta Downside | 0.884 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 21.24% |
| Mean DD | 5.72% |
| Median DD | 4.28% |
Description: PFGC Performance Food October 30, 2025
Performance Food Group Company (PFGC) distributes a broad portfolio of food and related products across North America, operating through three segments-Foodservice, Convenience, and Specialty-that serve restaurants, chains, theaters, retailers, and convenience stores.
The product mix includes fresh proteins (beef, pork, poultry, seafood), frozen and refrigerated items, dry groceries, cleaning supplies, snacks, beverages, health-and-beauty items, and nicotine products, supported by a network of regional distribution centers.
Beyond logistics, PFGC adds value via marketing programs, technology platforms, menu-development consulting, and procurement services, aiming to deepen customer relationships and capture higher margins.
Key industry drivers that affect PFGC’s performance include inflation-driven food cost volatility, labor shortages in the foodservice sector, and the accelerating shift toward omnichannel ordering and same-day delivery, which have been pushing distributors to invest in digital order-capture tools.
From a financial-KPI perspective, the company typically targets a gross margin in the high-20% range and an inventory turnover of roughly 8-9 × per year, both of which are sensitive to fluctuations in fresh-product shelf life and transportation costs.
Given the competitive landscape of food distribution, a useful next step is to examine PFGC’s valuation multiples and cash-flow projections on ValueRay for a data-driven assessment of its upside potential.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0
| Net Income (325.8m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 3.90b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.95pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 4.70% (prev 4.52%; Δ 0.18pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.01b > Net Income 325.8m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (8.26b) to EBITDA (1.59b) ratio: 5.20 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.67 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (156.9m) change vs 12m ago 0.45% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 11.81% (prev 11.37%; Δ 0.44pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 396.7% (prev 408.1%; Δ -11.42pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.09 (EBITDA TTM 1.59b / Interest Expense TTM 396.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.87
| (A) 0.17 = (Total Current Assets 7.61b - Total Current Liabilities 4.55b) / Total Assets 18.35b |
| (B) 0.09 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.74b / Total Assets 18.35b |
| (C) 0.05 = EBIT TTM 829.4m / Avg Total Assets 16.37b |
| (D) 0.13 = Book Value of Equity 1.73b / Total Liabilities 13.78b |
| Total Rating: 1.87 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 56.52
| 1. Piotroski 2.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.23% |
| 3. FCF Margin 0.81% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.82 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 5.20 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 0.40)% |
| 7. RoE 7.39% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 84.94% |
| 9. EPS Trend 43.58% |
What is the price of PFGC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.84%, over one month by +0.34%, over three months by -7.71% and over the past year by +9.97%.
Is PFGC a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 7
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the PFGC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 121.7 | 25.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 121.7 | 25.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 104.6 | 7.8% |
PFGC Fundamental Data Overview November 25, 2025
P/E Trailing = 46.244
P/E Forward = 18.6567
P/S = 0.2462
P/B = 3.3139
P/EG = 0.6659
Beta = 0.936
Revenue TTM = 64.96b USD
EBIT TTM = 829.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.59b USD
Long Term Debt = 5.64b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 337.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 8.30b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 8.26b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 23.42b USD (15.16b + Debt 8.30b - CCE 38.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.09 (Ebit TTM 829.4m / Interest Expense TTM 396.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.23% (FCF TTM 523.0m / Enterprise Value 23.42b)
FCF Margin = 0.81% (FCF TTM 523.0m / Revenue TTM 64.96b)
Net Margin = 0.50% (Net Income TTM 325.8m / Revenue TTM 64.96b)
Gross Margin = 11.81% ((Revenue TTM 64.96b - Cost of Revenue TTM 57.29b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 11.81% (prev 11.82%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.28 (Enterprise Value 23.42b / Total Assets 18.35b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.26% (Interest Expense 104.4m / Debt 8.30b)
Taxrate = 22.96% (27.9m / 121.5m)
NOPAT = 638.9m (EBIT 829.4m * (1 - 22.96%))
Current Ratio = 1.67 (Total Current Assets 7.61b / Total Current Liabilities 4.55b)
Debt / Equity = 1.82 (Debt 8.30b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.57b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.20 (Net Debt 8.26b / EBITDA 1.59b)
Debt / FCF = 15.80 (Net Debt 8.26b / FCF TTM 523.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.41b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.78% (Net Income 325.8m / Total Assets 18.35b)
RoE = 7.39% (Net Income TTM 325.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.41b)
RoCE = 8.26% (EBIT 829.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 4.41b + L.T.Debt 5.64b))
RoIC = 6.42% (NOPAT 638.9m / Invested Capital 9.95b)
WACC = 6.03% (E(15.16b)/V(23.46b) * Re(8.80%) + D(8.30b)/V(23.46b) * Rd(1.26%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 8.80% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.38%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 79.02% ; FCFE base≈590.0m ; Y1≈727.8m ; Y5≈1.24b
Fair Price DCF = 116.7 (DCF Value 18.31b / Shares Outstanding 156.8m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 43.58 | EPS CAGR: 21.41% | SUE: -0.33 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 84.94 | Revenue CAGR: 7.90% | SUE: 1.33 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2025-12-31): EPS=1.09 | Chg30d=-0.078 | Revisions Net=-8 | Analysts=14
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=4.98 | Chg30d=-0.169 | Revisions Net=-10 | Growth EPS=+11.1% | Growth Revenue=+7.1%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=6.26 | Chg30d=-0.086 | Revisions Net=-7 | Growth EPS=+25.7% | Growth Revenue=+6.4%
Additional Sources for PFGC Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle