PFGC Stock Analysis: Performance Food | NYSE

Food Distribution | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 14.446m USD | 12M Return: -10.3% | US71377A1034 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Proteins, Frozen Foods, Tobacco, Snacks
Total Rating 32
Safety 73
Buy Signal -0.90
Food Distribution
Industry Rotation: +8.3
Market Cap: 14.4B
Avg Turnover: 137M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility27.6%
VaR 5th Pctl4.66%
VaR vs Median2.47%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.38
Rel. Str. IBD24.4
Rel. Str. Peer Group17.6
Character TTM
Beta0.583
Beta Downside0.660
Hurst Exponent0.436
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD25.47%
CAGR/Max DD0.73
CAGR/Mean DD2.42
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of PFGC over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 0.43, "2021-12": 0.57, "2022-03": 0.51, "2022-06": 1.07, "2022-09": 1.08, "2022-12": 0.83, "2023-03": 0.83, "2023-06": 1.14, "2023-09": 1.15, "2023-12": 0.9, "2024-03": 0.8, "2024-06": 1.45, "2024-09": 1.16, "2024-12": 0.98, "2025-03": 0.79, "2025-06": 1.55, "2025-09": 1.18, "2025-12": 0.98, "2026-03": 0.8, "2026-06": 1.59,
EPS CAGR: 5.42%
EPS Trend: 92.4%
Last SUE: -0.39
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of PFGC over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 10386.3, 2021-12: 12838.8, 2022-03: 13079, 2022-06: 14590, 2022-09: 14719.3, 2022-12: 13898.9, 2023-03: 13771.3, 2023-06: 14865.2, 2023-09: 14938.6, 2023-12: 14295.7, 2024-03: 13857.7, 2024-06: 15189.2, 2024-09: 15415.5, 2024-12: 15638.2, 2025-03: 15306.3, 2025-06: 16938.9, 2025-09: 17075.9, 2025-12: 16444.7, 2026-03: 16290, 2026-06: 18028.9,
Rev. CAGR: 6.92%
Rev. Trend: 97.7%
Last SUE: -0.70
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11 years of data

Jan +0.9% 17
Feb +0.7% 13
Mar -5.1% 31
Apr +0.8% 11
May -3.1% 14
Jun +0.0% 2
Jul +0.7% 16
Aug +1.8% 15
Sep -3.6% 23
Oct -3.1% 54
Nov +5.4% 27
Dec +3.4% 12

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: PFGC Performance Food

Performance Food Group Company (PFGC) is a U.S.-based food and food-related products distributor operating across North America through three segments: Foodservice, Convenience, and Specialty. The Foodservice segment supplies beef, pork, poultry, seafood, frozen and refrigerated items, dry groceries, disposables, and kitchen supplies, along with value-added services like menu development and operational consulting, to independent restaurants, chain restaurants, and institutional food-away-from-home operators. The Convenience segment distributes wholesale consumer products such as cigarettes, candy, snacks, fresh and dairy items, beverages, and health and beauty products to convenience stores, drug stores, grocery stores, mass merchants, and liquor stores. The Specialty segment focuses on candy, snacks, beverages, and fresh and frozen perishable foods for vending, theater, and other specialty retail channels.

The company is classified within the GICS Consumer Staples sector under the Food Distributors sub-industry, a segment characterized by high-volume, low-margin operations that rely on logistics scale, route density, and long-standing supplier relationships to generate returns. Headquartered in Richmond, Virginia, Performance Food Group traces its origins to 1885 and has been listed on the NYSE since 1993.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • acquisition expands convenience segment scale
  • Foodservice volume tracks restaurant industry demand recovery
  • Commodity and labor cost inflation pressures distribution margins
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.5
Net Income: 359.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.52 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 3.91% < 20% (prev 4.14%; Δ -0.23% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 1.41b > Net Income 359.3m
Net Debt (10.5b) to EBITDA (1.71b): 6.11 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.51 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (157.0m) vs 12m ago 0.26% < -2%
Gross Margin: 11.93% > 18% (prev 11.72%; Δ 0.21% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 369.4% > 50% (prev 354.0%; Δ 15.40% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.17 > 6 (EBIT TTM 899.5m / Interest Expense TTM 413.7m)
Altman Z'' 1.97
A: 0.14 (Total Current Assets 7.81b - Total Current Liabilities 5.16b) / Total Assets 18.8b
B: 0.11 (Retained Earnings 2.00b / Total Assets 18.8b)
C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 899.5m / Avg Total Assets 18.4b)
D: 0.35 (Book Value of Equity 4.90b / Total Liabilities 13.9b)
Altman-Z'' = 1.97 = BBB
Beneish M -3.03
DSRI: 1.00 (Receivables 3.12b/2.93b, Revenue 67.8b/63.3b)
GMI: 0.98 (GM 11.72% / 11.93%)
AQI: 0.95 (AQ_t 0.28 / AQ_t-1 0.30)
SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 67.8b / 63.3b)
TATA: -0.06 (NI 359.3m - CFO 1.41b) / TA 18.8b)
Beneish M = -3.03 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of PFGC shares?

As of October 02, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 91.84 with a total of 1,164,170 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.68%, over one month by -7.42%, over three months by -18.39% and over the past year by -10.27%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 88.50 (which is 3.6% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).

Is PFGC a buy, sell or hold?

Performance Food has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.06. Therefore, it is recommended to buy PFGC.

  • StrongBuy: 7
  • Buy: 3
  • Hold: 6
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the PFGC price?
Analysts Target Price 125.6 36.7%
Performance Food (PFGC) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 30 September 2026
Market Cap USD = 14.4b (14.4b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 40.1616
P/E Forward = 16.6113
P/S = 0.2245
P/B = 2.9107
P/EG = 0.7579
Revenue TTM = 67.8b USD
EBIT TTM = 899.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.71b USD
Long Term Debt = 5.01b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 373.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 10.6b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 2.78b
Net Debt = 10.5b USD (calculated: Debt 10.6b - CCE 92.4m)
Enterprise Value = 24.9b USD (14.4b + Debt 10.6b - CCE 92.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.17 (Ebit TTM 899.5m / Interest Expense TTM 413.7m)
EV/FCF = 24.20x (Enterprise Value 24.9b / FCF TTM 1.03b)
FCF Yield = 4.13% (FCF TTM 1.03b / Enterprise Value 24.9b)
FCF Margin = 1.52% (FCF TTM 1.03b / Revenue TTM 67.8b)
Net Margin = 0.53% (Net Income TTM 359.3m / Revenue TTM 67.8b)
Gross Margin = 11.93% ((Revenue TTM 67.8b - Cost of Revenue TTM 59.7b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 12.03% (prev 11.90%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.32 (Enterprise Value 24.9b / Total Assets 18.8b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.92% (Interest Expense 413.7m / Debt 10.6b)
Taxrate = 26.04% (126.5m / 485.8m)
NOPAT = 665.3m (EBIT 899.5m * (1 - 26.04%))
Current Ratio = 1.51 (Total Current Assets 7.81b / Total Current Liabilities 5.16b)
Debt / Equity = 2.16 (Debt 10.6b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.90b)
Debt / EBITDA = 6.11 (Net Debt 10.5b / EBITDA 1.71b)
Debt / FCF = 10.16 (Net Debt 10.5b / FCF TTM 1.03b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.71b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.96% (Net Income 359.3m / Total Assets 18.8b)
RoE = 7.63% (Net Income TTM 359.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.71b)
RoCE = 9.26% (EBIT 899.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 4.71b + L.T.Debt 5.01b))
RoIC = 4.76% (NOPAT 665.3m / Invested Capital 14.0b)
WACC = 5.86% (E(14.4b)/V(25.0b) * Re(8.03%) + D(10.6b)/V(25.0b) * Rd(3.92%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 8.03% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 97.16 | Cagr: 0.26%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈899.4m ; Y1≈1.03b ; Y5≈1.52b
[DCF] Fair Price = 78.74 (EV 22.8b - Net Debt 10.5b = Equity 12.4b / Shares 157.1m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 92.36 | EPS CAGR: 5.42% | SUE: -0.39 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 97.67 | Revenue CAGR: 6.92% | SUE: -0.70 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.29 | Chg30d=-1.00% | Revisions=-75% | Analysts=11
EPS next Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=1.22 | Chg30d=-0.51% | Revisions=-58% | Analysts=11
EPS current Year (2027-06-30): EPS=5.67 | Chg30d=+1.29% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=+24.6% | GrowthRev=+7.4%
EPS next Year (2028-06-30): EPS=6.75 | Chg30d=+0.99% | Revisions=-31% | GrowthEPS=+19.1% | GrowthRev=+3.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -60% (up=7, down=33)