(PFSI) PennyMac Finl Svcs - Overview

Sector: Financial Services | Industry: Mortgage Finance | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 4.459m USD | Total Return: -12.2% in 12m

Mortgage Loans, Loan Servicing, Investment Management
Total Rating 17
Safety 29
Buy Signal -1.15
Mortgage Finance
Industry Rotation: -13.3
Market Cap: 4.46B
Avg Turnover: 45.5M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility32.7%
VaR 5th Pctl5.47%
VaR vs Median1.60%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.11
Rel. Str. IBD9.7
Rel. Str. Peer Group13.6
Character TTM
Beta0.898
Beta Downside1.043
Hurst Exponent0.559
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD47.06%
CAGR/Max DD0.23
CAGR/Mean DD0.92
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of PFSI over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 6.55, "2021-06": 4.62, "2021-09": 5.5, "2021-12": 3.94, "2022-03": 1.62, "2022-06": 1.53, "2022-09": 1.5, "2022-12": 0.58, "2023-03": 1.16, "2023-06": 1.62, "2023-09": 2.11, "2023-12": 2.63, "2024-03": 2.48, "2024-06": 2.67, "2024-09": 3.49, "2024-12": 2.88, "2025-03": 2.77, "2025-06": 4.28, "2025-09": 3.43, "2025-12": 1.96, "2026-03": 2.19,
EPS CAGR: 39.64%
EPS Trend: 88.2%
Last SUE: 0.07
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of PFSI over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 1051.998, 2021-06: 844.539, 2021-09: 877.39, 2021-12: 523.323, 2022-03: 521.898, 2022-06: 470.734, 2022-09: 559.374, 2022-12: 444.398, 2023-03: 671.054, 2023-06: 570.33, 2023-09: 557.222, 2023-12: 532.219, 2024-03: 500.004, 2024-06: 715.353, 2024-09: 411.834, 2024-12: 470.11, 2025-03: 1069.756, 2025-06: 931.582, 2025-09: 882.813, 2025-12: 1183.413, 2026-03: 544.984,
Rev. CAGR: 22.96%
Rev. Trend: 82.8%
Last SUE: 0.00
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: PFSI PennyMac Finl Svcs

PennyMac Financial Services, Inc. (PFSI) is a mortgage banking and investment management firm operating through two primary segments: Production and Servicing. The Production segment originates and acquires residential mortgage loans via correspondent, consumer direct, and broker channels. The Servicing segment manages loan administration, including payment collection, escrow management, and default mitigation for conventional and government-insured loans.

The mortgage banking sector typically experiences inverse performance between its two segments; production volume often declines when interest rates rise, while the valuation of mortgage servicing rights (MSRs) generally increases. As a non-bank mortgage lender, PFSI relies on warehouse credit facilities and capital markets to fund its origination pipeline and manage liquidity.

For more detailed financial metrics and valuation models, you may wish to explore the data available on ValueRay.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Mortgage servicing rights valuation fluctuates based on prevailing long-term interest rate trends
  • Mortgage origination volume remains highly sensitive to macroeconomic housing market affordability
  • Servicing segment cash flows provide hedge against rising interest rate environments
  • Regulatory shifts in capital requirements impact mortgage banking profitability and scale
  • Correspondent lending margins face pressure from competitive pricing in the secondary market
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.0
Net Income: 507.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.12 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.82 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -284.2% < 20% (prev -302.0%; Δ 17.80% < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.12 > 3% & CFO -3.70b > Net Income 507.1m
Net Debt (16.6b) to EBITDA (1.07b): 15.48 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.08 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (53.9m) vs 12m ago 0.44% < -2%
Gross Margin: 70.49% > 18% (prev 0.71%; Δ 6.98k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 12.69% > 50% (prev 11.17%; Δ 1.52% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.41 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.07b / Interest Expense TTM 714.5m)
Altman Z'' -1.23
A: -0.32 (Total Current Assets 816.6m - Total Current Liabilities 10.9b) / Total Assets 31.9b
B: 0.13 (Retained Earnings 4.28b / Total Assets 31.9b)
C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 1.00b / Avg Total Assets 27.9b)
D: 0.15 (Book Value of Equity 4.28b / Total Liabilities 27.6b)
Altman-Z'' = -1.23 = CCC
Beneish M -2.84
DSRI: 0.77 (Receivables 162.9m/158.8m, Revenue 3.54b/2.67b)
GMI: 1.01 (GM 70.49% / 70.99%)
AQI: 1.00 (AQ_t 0.97 / AQ_t-1 0.97)
SGI: 1.33 (Revenue 3.54b / 2.67b)
TATA: 0.13 (NI 507.1m - CFO -3.70b) / TA 31.9b)
Beneish M = -2.84 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of PFSI shares?

As of May 30, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 83.87 with a total of 711,821 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.62%, over one month by -5.62%, over three months by -8.45% and over the past year by -12.20%.

Is PFSI a buy, sell or hold?

PennyMac Finl Svcs has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.13. Therefore, it is recommended to buy PFSI.

  • StrongBuy: 3
  • Buy: 3
  • Hold: 2
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the PFSI price?
Analysts Target Price 116.3 38.7%
PennyMac Finl Svcs (PFSI) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 27 May 2026
Market Cap USD = 4.46b (4.46b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 9.1265
P/E Forward = 5.4259
P/S = 1.3434
P/B = 1.0446
P/EG = 4.67
Revenue TTM = 3.54b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.00b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.07b USD
Long Term Debt = 15.5b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 10.9b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 17.3b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 70.2m
Net Debt = 16.6b USD (calculated: Debt 17.3b - CCE 653.7m)
Enterprise Value = 21.1b USD (4.46b + Debt 17.3b - CCE 653.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.41 (Ebit TTM 1.00b / Interest Expense TTM 714.5m)
EV/FCF = -5.64x (Enterprise Value 21.1b / FCF TTM -3.73b)
FCF Yield = -17.72% (FCF TTM -3.73b / Enterprise Value 21.1b)
 FCF Margin = -105.4% (FCF TTM -3.73b / Revenue TTM 3.54b)
 Net Margin = 14.31% (Net Income TTM 507.1m / Revenue TTM 3.54b)
Gross Margin = 70.49% ((Revenue TTM 3.54b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.05b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = none% (prev 90.45%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.66 (Enterprise Value 21.1b / Total Assets 31.9b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.14% (Interest Expense 714.5m / Debt 17.3b)
Taxrate = 21.37% (22.4m / 104.7m)
NOPAT = 789.4m (EBIT 1.00b * (1 - 21.37%))
Current Ratio = 0.08 (Total Current Assets 816.6m / Total Current Liabilities 10.9b)
Debt / Equity = 3.99 (Debt 17.3b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.33b)
Debt / EBITDA = 15.48 (Net Debt 16.6b / EBITDA 1.07b)
 Debt / FCF = -4.45 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 16.6b / FCF TTM -3.73b)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 4.22b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.82% (Net Income 507.1m / Total Assets 31.9b)
RoE = 12.02% (Net Income TTM 507.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.22b)
RoCE = 5.08% (EBIT 1.00b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.22b + L.T.Debt 15.5b))
RoIC = 2.48% (NOPAT 789.4m / Invested Capital 31.9b)
WACC = 4.46% (E(4.46b)/V(21.7b) * Re(9.14%) + D(17.3b)/V(21.7b) * Rd(4.14%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.14% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 91.11 | Cagr: 3.37%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -3.73b)
 EPS Correlation: 88.21 | EPS CAGR: 39.64% | SUE: 0.07 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 82.78 | Revenue CAGR: 22.96% | SUE: -0.00 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=2.31 | Chg30d=-17.26% | Revisions=-50% | Analysts=5
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.84 | Chg30d=-8.04% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=10.49 | Chg30d=-6.81% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=-15.5% | GrowthRev=+19.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=14.26 | Chg30d=-9.10% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=+36.0% | GrowthRev=+22.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -50%