(PKG) Packaging of America - Overview
Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Packaging & Containers | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 18.156m USD | Total Return: 14% in 12m
Paper, Containers, Boxes, Packaging
Total Rating 48
Safety 85
Buy Signal -0.10
Packaging & Containers
Industry Rotation: +2.6
Industry Rotation: +2.6
Market Cap:
18.2B
Avg Turnover: 172M USD
Avg Turnover: 172M USD
ATR:
2.86%
Peers RS (IBD): 56.7
Peers RS (IBD): 56.7
Risk 5d forecast
Volatility28.9%
Rel. Tail Risk-11.6%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.39
Alpha-6.22
Character TTM
Beta0.648
Beta Downside0.623
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD28.43%
CAGR/Max DD0.59
EPS (Earnings per Share)
EPS CAGR: -4.15%
EPS Trend: -18.4%
EPS Trend: -18.4%
Last SUE: -1.08
Qual. Beats: 0
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue
Rev. CAGR: 2.73%
Rev. Trend: 46.8%
Rev. Trend: 46.8%
Last SUE: -2.87
Qual. Beats: 0
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Description: PKG Packaging of America
Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) manufactures containerboard and uncoated freesheet (UFS) paper products. The company operates in two segments: Packaging and Paper.
The Packaging segment produces linerboard and corrugated packaging. These products include shipping containers, retail display boxes, and protective packaging for various goods, including food and industrial products. This segment sells directly to customers. The packaging sector is a mature industry with demand tied to consumer spending and e-commerce growth.
The Paper segment manufactures commodity and specialty papers, including office and printing papers. This segment also uses a direct sales model. The paper industry has seen declining demand for some traditional products due to digitalization.
PKG was founded in 1867 and is based in Lake Forest, Illinois. Investors can find detailed financial analysis and forecasts for PKG on ValueRay.
- Containerboard demand impacts packaging segment revenue
- Paper segment sales fluctuate with printing and writing needs
- Raw material costs, especially wood fiber, influence profitability
- Freight and energy expenses affect operational margins
- E-commerce growth drives corrugated packaging demand
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict)
6.5
| Net Income: 773.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.78 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 24.46% < 20% (prev 26.62%; Δ -2.16% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 1.56b > Net Income 773.3m |
| Net Debt (3.84b) to EBITDA (1.76b): 2.18 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.17 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (89.6m) vs 12m ago 0.11% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 21.02% > 18% (prev 0.21%; Δ 2.08k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 90.99% > 50% (prev 94.91%; Δ -3.91% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 13.99 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.76b / Interest Expense TTM 79.1m) |
Altman Z''
3.89
| A: 0.20 (Total Current Assets 3.21b - Total Current Liabilities 1.02b) / Total Assets 10.92b |
| B: 0.36 (Retained Earnings 3.93b / Total Assets 10.92b) |
| C: 0.11 (EBIT TTM 1.11b / Avg Total Assets 9.88b) |
| D: 0.61 (Book Value of Equity 3.89b / Total Liabilities 6.33b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 3.89 = AA |
Beneish M
-2.72
| DSRI: 1.04 (Receivables 1.28b/1.15b, Revenue 8.99b/8.38b) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 21.02% / 21.27%) |
| AQI: 1.48 (AQ_t 0.22 / AQ_t-1 0.15) |
| SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 8.99b / 8.38b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 773.3m - CFO 1.56b) / TA 10.92b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.72 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of PKG shares?
As of April 12, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 206.38 with a total of 439,019 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.48%, over one month by -6.20%, over three months by -4.43% and over the past year by +14.02%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.48%, over one month by -6.20%, over three months by -4.43% and over the past year by +14.02%.
Is PKG a buy, sell or hold?
Packaging of America has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.82.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy PKG.
- StrongBuy: 5
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the PKG price?
| Analysts Target Price | 228.2 | 10.6% |
Packaging of America (PKG) - Fundamental Data Overview
as of 09 April 2026
P/E Trailing = 23.6915 P/E Forward = 18.8324
P/S = 2.0197
P/B = 3.977
P/EG = 1.653
Revenue TTM = 8.99b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.11b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.76b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.97b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 102.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.36b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.84b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 21.85b USD (18.16b + Debt 4.36b - CCE 667.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 13.99 (Ebit TTM 1.11b / Interest Expense TTM 79.1m)
EV/FCF = 29.99x (Enterprise Value 21.85b / FCF TTM 728.6m)
FCF Yield = 3.33% (FCF TTM 728.6m / Enterprise Value 21.85b)
FCF Margin = 8.11% (FCF TTM 728.6m / Revenue TTM 8.99b)
Net Margin = 8.60% (Net Income TTM 773.3m / Revenue TTM 8.99b)
Gross Margin = 21.02% ((Revenue TTM 8.99b - Cost of Revenue TTM 7.10b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 18.93% (prev 21.80%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.00 (Enterprise Value 21.85b / Total Assets 10.92b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.77% (Interest Expense 33.8m / Debt 4.36b)
Taxrate = 24.37% (32.8m / 134.6m)
NOPAT = 837.2m (EBIT 1.11b * (1 - 24.37%))
Current Ratio = 3.17 (Total Current Assets 3.21b / Total Current Liabilities 1.02b)
Debt / Equity = 0.95 (Debt 4.36b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.60b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.18 (Net Debt 3.84b / EBITDA 1.76b)
Debt / FCF = 5.26 (Net Debt 3.84b / FCF TTM 728.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.62b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.83% (Net Income 773.3m / Total Assets 10.92b)
RoE = 16.73% (Net Income TTM 773.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.62b)
RoCE = 12.89% (EBIT 1.11b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.62b + L.T.Debt 3.97b))
RoIC = 10.68% (NOPAT 837.2m / Invested Capital 7.84b)
WACC = 6.77% (E(18.16b)/V(22.52b) * Re(8.26%) + D(4.36b)/V(22.52b) * Rd(0.77%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 8.26% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.01%
[DCF] Terminal Value 85.35% ; FCFF base≈645.1m ; Y1≈769.6m ; Y5≈1.22b
[DCF] Fair Price = 271.7 (EV 28.02b - Net Debt 3.84b = Equity 24.19b / Shares 89.0m; r=6.77% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 20.59% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -18.35 | EPS CAGR: -4.15% | SUE: -1.08 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 46.84 | Revenue CAGR: 2.73% | SUE: -2.87 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=2.72 | Chg7d=-0.032 | Chg30d=-0.045 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=10.71 | Chg7d=-0.059 | Chg30d=-0.124 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+8.9% | Growth Revenue=+13.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=12.06 | Chg7d=-0.065 | Chg30d=-0.148 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+12.6% | Growth Revenue=+4.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -1.00 (0 Up / 1 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 4.0% (Discount Rate 8.3% - Earnings Yield 4.2%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +14.1% (Analyst 18.1% - Implied 4.0%)
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