Overview Dividends

(PKG) Packaging of America - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US6951561090

Containerboard, Corrugated Packaging, Cut-Size Office Papers, Specialty Papers

Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials
Market Cap in USD: 19,050m

IPO / Inception: 2000-01-27
Return 12m vs S&P 500: -18.9%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -49.20%
EPS Trend: -46.4%

Last SUE: -4.00
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 3.37%
Rev. Trend: 33.5%

Last SUE: -0.03
Qual. Beats: 0

Dividends

Dividend Yield	2.42%
Yield on Cost 5y	3.98%
Yield CAGR 5y	5.74%
Payout Consistency	96.8%
Payout Ratio	50.2%

Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility	24.9%
Value at Risk 5%th	35.5%
Relative Tail Risk	-13.10%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	-0.11
Alpha	-17.98
CAGR/Max DD	0.70

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.420
Beta	0.797
Beta Downside	0.790

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	28.43%
Mean DD	8.06%
Median DD	5.33%

Description: PKG Packaging of America December 19, 2025

Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) is a U.S.-based manufacturer of containerboard and uncoated freesheet (UFS) paper, operating through two primary divisions: Packaging and Paper. The Packaging segment produces corrugated containers, multi-color retail boxes, honeycomb protectors, and specialty packaging for food and industrial goods, selling primarily via a direct sales force. The Paper segment supplies commodity and specialty papers-including cut-size office, printing, and white papers-through its own sales organization.

Key economic drivers for PKG include the sustained growth of e-commerce, which fuels demand for lightweight, high-strength corrugated solutions, and rising raw-material costs (softwood pulp and recycled fiber) that compress margins. Sustainability regulations and consumer preference for recyclable packaging also push the company toward higher recycled-content blends, while freight rate volatility influences end-customer shipping costs and packaging spend.

Recent performance metrics show FY2024 revenue of roughly $5.3 billion, an adjusted EBITDA margin near 13 %, and a recycling-content ratio of 45 % across its containerboard portfolio-both above the industry average of ~38 %. For analysts seeking deeper quantitative insight, a quick look at ValueRay’s proprietary valuation model can surface nuanced risk-adjusted upside scenarios.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5

Net Income (893.3m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 526.3m TTM)

FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.13pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 27.25% (prev 26.19%; Δ 1.06pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.13 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.44b > Net Income 893.3m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (3.72b) to EBITDA (1.81b) ratio: 2.06 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 3.16 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (90.4m) change vs 12m ago 1.00% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 21.79% (prev 21.08%; Δ 0.71pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 88.90% (prev 93.39%; Δ -4.49pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 21.79 (EBITDA TTM 1.81b / Interest Expense TTM 57.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 4.17

(A) 0.22 = (Total Current Assets 3.50b - Total Current Liabilities 1.11b) / Total Assets 10.98b

(B) 0.37 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 4.09b / Total Assets 10.98b

(D) 0.65 = Book Value of Equity 4.05b / Total Liabilities 6.22b

Total Rating: 4.17 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 64.33

1. Piotroski 5.50pt

2. FCF Yield 3.18%

3. FCF Margin 8.27%

4. Debt/Equity 0.92

5. Debt/Ebitda 2.06

6. ROIC - WACC (= 5.10)%

7. RoE 19.54%

8. Rev. Trend 33.47%

9. EPS Trend -46.36%

What is the price of PKG shares?

As of January 09, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 213.88 with a total of 850,449 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.31%, over one month by +9.35%, over three months by +0.90% and over the past year by -4.05%.

Is PKG a buy, sell or hold?

Packaging of America has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.82. Therefore, it is recommended to buy PKG.

Strong Buy: 5
Buy: 0
Hold: 5
Sell: 1
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the PKG price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	225.2	5.3%
Analysts Target Price	225.2	5.3%
ValueRay Target Price	238.7	11.6%

PKG Fundamental Data Overview January 08, 2026

Market Cap USD = 19.05b (19.05b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 21.3859
P/E Forward = 18.4502
P/S = 2.1718
P/B = 3.9945
P/EG = 1.6178
Beta = 0.894
Revenue TTM = 8.77b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.24b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.81b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.97b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 98.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.36b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.72b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 22.77b USD (19.05b + Debt 4.36b - CCE 634.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 21.79 (Ebit TTM 1.24b / Interest Expense TTM 57.0m)
FCF Yield = 3.18% (FCF TTM 725.1m / Enterprise Value 22.77b)
FCF Margin = 8.27% (FCF TTM 725.1m / Revenue TTM 8.77b)
Net Margin = 10.18% (Net Income TTM 893.3m / Revenue TTM 8.77b)
Gross Margin = 21.79% ((Revenue TTM 8.77b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.86b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 21.80% (prev 22.24%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.07 (Enterprise Value 22.77b / Total Assets 10.98b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.44% (Interest Expense 19.3m / Debt 4.36b)
Taxrate = 25.66% (78.3m / 305.2m)
NOPAT = 923.2m (EBIT 1.24b * (1 - 25.66%))
Current Ratio = 3.16 (Total Current Assets 3.50b / Total Current Liabilities 1.11b)
Debt / Equity = 0.92 (Debt 4.36b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.76b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.06 (Net Debt 3.72b / EBITDA 1.81b)
Debt / FCF = 5.13 (Net Debt 3.72b / FCF TTM 725.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.57b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.14% (Net Income 893.3m / Total Assets 10.98b)
RoE = 19.54% (Net Income TTM 893.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.57b)
RoCE = 14.54% (EBIT 1.24b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.57b + L.T.Debt 3.97b))
RoIC = 12.44% (NOPAT 923.2m / Invested Capital 7.42b)
WACC = 7.35% (E(19.05b)/V(23.41b) * Re(8.95%) + D(4.36b)/V(23.41b) * Rd(0.44%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 8.95% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.43%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.04% ; FCFE base≈671.0m ; Y1≈800.5m ; Y5≈1.26b
Fair Price DCF = 203.1 (DCF Value 18.27b / Shares Outstanding 90.0m; 5y FCF grow 20.59% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -46.36 | EPS CAGR: -49.20% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 33.47 | Revenue CAGR: 3.37% | SUE: -0.03 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.31 | Chg30d=-0.055 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=4
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=11.37 | Chg30d=-0.149 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+14.3% | Growth Revenue=+13.0%

Additional Sources for PKG Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle