(PKG) Packaging of America - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US6951561090

Containerboard, Corrugated Packaging, Cut-Size Office Papers, Specialty Papers

Stock: Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials
Age 26y

MCap 19,915m
Avg Vol 715K (156M USD)

Beta 0.804
Volatility 23.87%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -49.20%
EPS Trend: -46.4%

Last SUE: -4.00
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 3.37%
Rev. Trend: 33.5%

Last SUE: -0.03
Qual. Beats: 0

Dividends

Dividend Yield	2.50%
Yield on Cost 5y	4.12%
Yield CAGR 5y	5.74%
Payout Consistency	96.8%
Payout Ratio	50.2%

Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility	23.9%
Value at Risk 5%th	33.9%
Relative Tail Risk	-13.59%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	-0.24
Alpha	-20.71
CAGR/Max DD	0.70

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.425
Beta	0.804
Beta Downside	0.800

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	28.43%
Mean DD	8.14%
Median DD	5.53%

Description: PKG Packaging of America December 19, 2025

Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) is a U.S.-based manufacturer of containerboard and uncoated freesheet (UFS) paper, operating through two primary divisions: Packaging and Paper. The Packaging segment produces corrugated containers, multi-color retail boxes, honeycomb protectors, and specialty packaging for food and industrial goods, selling primarily via a direct sales force. The Paper segment supplies commodity and specialty papers-including cut-size office, printing, and white papers-through its own sales organization.

Key economic drivers for PKG include the sustained growth of e-commerce, which fuels demand for lightweight, high-strength corrugated solutions, and rising raw-material costs (softwood pulp and recycled fiber) that compress margins. Sustainability regulations and consumer preference for recyclable packaging also push the company toward higher recycled-content blends, while freight rate volatility influences end-customer shipping costs and packaging spend.

Recent performance metrics show FY2024 revenue of roughly $5.3 billion, an adjusted EBITDA margin near 13 %, and a recycling-content ratio of 45 % across its containerboard portfolio-both above the industry average of ~38 %. For analysts seeking deeper quantitative insight, a quick look at ValueRay’s proprietary valuation model can surface nuanced risk-adjusted upside scenarios.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5

Net Income: 893.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.13 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 27.25% < 20% (prev 26.19%; Δ 1.06% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 1.44b > Net Income 893.3m
Net Debt (3.72b) to EBITDA (1.81b): 2.06 < 3
Current Ratio: 3.16 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (90.4m) vs 12m ago 1.00% < -2%
Gross Margin: 21.79% > 18% (prev 0.21%; Δ 2158 % > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 88.90% > 50% (prev 93.39%; Δ -4.49% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 21.79 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.81b / Interest Expense TTM 57.0m)

Altman Z'' (< 1.1 .. > 2.6) 4.17

A: 0.22 (Total Current Assets 3.50b - Total Current Liabilities 1.11b) / Total Assets 10.98b
B: 0.37 (Retained Earnings 4.09b / Total Assets 10.98b)
C: 0.13 (EBIT TTM 1.24b / Avg Total Assets 9.87b)
D: 0.65 (Book Value of Equity 4.05b / Total Liabilities 6.22b)
Altman-Z'' Score: 4.17 = AA

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 64.27

1. Piotroski: 5.50pt
2. FCF Yield: 3.07%
3. FCF Margin: 8.27%
4. Debt/Equity: 0.92
5. Debt/Ebitda: 2.06
6. ROIC - WACC: 5.10%
7. RoE: 19.54%
8. Revenue Trend: 33.47%
9. EPS Trend: -46.36%

What is the price of PKG shares?

As of January 23, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 218.76 with a total of 617,758 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.44%, over one month by +5.91%, over three months by +5.44% and over the past year by -6.47%.

Is PKG a buy, sell or hold?

Packaging of America has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.82. Therefore, it is recommended to buy PKG.

Strong Buy: 5
Buy: 0
Hold: 5
Sell: 1
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the PKG price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	228.3	4.4%
Analysts Target Price	228.3	4.4%
ValueRay Target Price	252.8	15.6%

PKG Fundamental Data Overview January 21, 2026

P/E Trailing = 22.3792
P/E Forward = 18.8324
P/S = 2.2703
P/B = 4.1877
P/EG = 1.6525
Revenue TTM = 8.77b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.24b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.81b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.97b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 98.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.36b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.72b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 23.64b USD (19.92b + Debt 4.36b - CCE 634.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 21.79 (Ebit TTM 1.24b / Interest Expense TTM 57.0m)
EV/FCF = 32.60x (Enterprise Value 23.64b / FCF TTM 725.1m)
FCF Yield = 3.07% (FCF TTM 725.1m / Enterprise Value 23.64b)
FCF Margin = 8.27% (FCF TTM 725.1m / Revenue TTM 8.77b)
Net Margin = 10.18% (Net Income TTM 893.3m / Revenue TTM 8.77b)
Gross Margin = 21.79% ((Revenue TTM 8.77b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.86b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 21.80% (prev 22.24%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.15 (Enterprise Value 23.64b / Total Assets 10.98b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.44% (Interest Expense 19.3m / Debt 4.36b)
Taxrate = 25.66% (78.3m / 305.2m)
NOPAT = 923.2m (EBIT 1.24b * (1 - 25.66%))
Current Ratio = 3.16 (Total Current Assets 3.50b / Total Current Liabilities 1.11b)
Debt / Equity = 0.92 (Debt 4.36b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.76b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.06 (Net Debt 3.72b / EBITDA 1.81b)
Debt / FCF = 5.13 (Net Debt 3.72b / FCF TTM 725.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.57b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.05% (Net Income 893.3m / Total Assets 10.98b)
RoE = 19.54% (Net Income TTM 893.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.57b)
RoCE = 14.54% (EBIT 1.24b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.57b + L.T.Debt 3.97b))
RoIC = 12.44% (NOPAT 923.2m / Invested Capital 7.42b)
WACC = 7.35% (E(19.92b)/V(24.27b) * Re(8.88%) + D(4.36b)/V(24.27b) * Rd(0.44%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 8.88% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.43%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 83.01% ; FCFF base≈671.0m ; Y1≈800.5m ; Y5≈1.26b
Fair Price DCF = 233.1 (EV 24.69b - Net Debt 3.72b = Equity 20.97b / Shares 90.0m; r=7.35% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 20.59% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -46.36 | EPS CAGR: -49.20% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 33.47 | Revenue CAGR: 3.37% | SUE: -0.03 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.28 | Chg30d=-0.080 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=6
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=11.14 | Chg30d=-0.374 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+12.1% | Growth Revenue=+12.8%

Additional Sources for PKG Stock

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