PKG Stock Analysis: Packaging of America | NYSE
Packaging & Containers | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 22.247m USD | 12M Return: 28.2% | US6951561090 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 196M
EPS Trend: 87.7%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 99.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.9 years of data, until 10/2026
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, ≥40 worth a closer look and ≥60 is strong.
Packaging Corporation of America (NYSE: PKG), headquartered in Lake Forest, Illinois, is a major North American manufacturer of containerboard and uncoated freesheet (UFS) paper, founded in 1867 and publicly traded since its 2000 IPO. The company runs two segments: Packaging, which produces linerboard, corrugated shipping containers, retail-ready displays, and protective packaging for industries such as food, beverage, and e-commerce, sold through a direct sales force; and Paper, which supplies commodity, specialty, communication, and white papers through its own sales organization. With a market capitalization of roughly $20.9 billion, PKG is classified as a large-cap Materials stock within the Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials sub-industry.
PKGs business model reflects the typical vertical integration of the North American containerboard industry, where producers own both pulp and paper mills and the converting plants that turn linerboard into finished corrugated boxes-an arrangement that helps secure fiber supply and manage input cost volatility. End-market demand for corrugated packaging is closely tied to U.S. industrial production, food and beverage consumption, and e-commerce shipping volumes, while the UFS paper segment has faced long-term structural pressure from digital substitution in printing, writing, and office-paper applications.
- Containerboard pricing and OCC input costs drive margin spread
- Industrial and e-commerce volumes support corrugated packaging demand
- Greif mill acquisition adds 1.2 million tons containerboard capacity
| Net Income: 726.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.49 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 23.68% < 20% (prev 27.25%; Δ -3.56% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 1.62b > Net Income 726.4m |
| Net Debt (4.16b) to EBITDA (1.94b): 2.15 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.87 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (89.0m) vs 12m ago -1.55% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 20.53% > 18% (prev 21.79%; Δ -1.26% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 88.43% > 50% (prev 79.89%; Δ 8.54% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 8.59 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.13b / Interest Expense TTM 132.0m) |
| A: 0.21 (Total Current Assets 3.57b - Total Current Liabilities 1.24b) / Total Assets 11.2b |
| B: 0.36 (Retained Earnings 4.09b / Total Assets 11.2b) |
| C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 1.13b / Avg Total Assets 11.1b) |
| D: 0.75 (Book Value of Equity 4.81b / Total Liabilities 6.43b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 4.02 = AA |
| DSRI: 0.94 (Receivables 1.48b/1.41b, Revenue 9.82b/8.77b) |
| GMI: 1.06 (GM 21.79% / 20.53%) |
| AQI: 1.02 (AQ_t 0.19 / AQ_t-1 0.19) |
| SGI: 1.12 (Revenue 9.82b / 8.77b) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI 726.4m - CFO 1.62b) / TA 11.2b) |
| Beneish M = -2.93 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of November 13, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 250.58 with a total of 569,782 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.72%, over one month by +9.99%, over three months by -1.60% and over the past year by +28.18%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 239.40 (which is 4.5% or 1.7 ATR below the current price).
Packaging of America has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.10. Therefore, it is recommended to buy PKG.
- StrongBuy: 6
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 269.2 | 7.4% |
P/E Trailing = 30.7892
P/E Forward = 19.3798
P/S = 2.2648
P/B = 4.6296
P/EG = 1.5762
Revenue TTM = 9.82b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.13b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.94b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.97b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 109.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.84b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 437.2m
Net Debt = 4.16b USD (calculated: Debt 4.84b - CCE 684.9m)
Enterprise Value = 26.4b USD (22.2b + Debt 4.84b - CCE 684.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.59 (Ebit TTM 1.13b / Interest Expense TTM 132.0m)
EV/FCF = 38.46x (Enterprise Value 26.4b / FCF TTM 686.6m)
FCF Yield = 2.60% (FCF TTM 686.6m / Enterprise Value 26.4b)
FCF Margin = 6.99% (FCF TTM 686.6m / Revenue TTM 9.82b)
Net Margin = 7.39% (Net Income TTM 726.4m / Revenue TTM 9.82b)
Gross Margin = 20.53% ((Revenue TTM 9.82b - Cost of Revenue TTM 7.81b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 23.21% (prev 20.58%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.35 (Enterprise Value 26.4b / Total Assets 11.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.72% (Interest Expense 132.0m / Debt 4.84b)
Taxrate = 24.86% (240.5m / 967.6m)
NOPAT = 852.4m (EBIT 1.13b * (1 - 24.86%))
Current Ratio = 2.87 (Total Current Assets 3.57b / Total Current Liabilities 1.24b)
Debt / Equity = 1.01 (Debt 4.84b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.81b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.15 (Net Debt 4.16b / EBITDA 1.94b)
Debt / FCF = 6.06 (Net Debt 4.16b / FCF TTM 686.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.66b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.54% (Net Income 726.4m / Total Assets 11.2b)
RoE = 15.58% (Net Income TTM 726.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.66b)
RoCE = 13.14% (EBIT 1.13b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.66b + L.T.Debt 3.97b))
RoIC = 8.87% (NOPAT 852.4m / Invested Capital 9.61b)
WACC = 6.75% (E(22.2b)/V(27.1b) * Re(7.77%) + D(4.84b)/V(27.1b) * Rd(2.72%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 7.77% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -44.31 | Cagr: -0.28%
[DCF] Terminal Value 74.69% ; FCFF base≈702.0m ; Y1≈673.6m ; Y5≈651.5m
[DCF] Fair Price = 68.19 (EV 10.2b - Net Debt 4.16b = Equity 6.08b / Shares 89.1m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -5.31% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 87.67 | EPS CAGR: 8.19% | SUE: 0.71 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.17 | Revenue CAGR: 8.77% | SUE: -0.48 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2027-03-31): EPS=3.13 | Chg30d=+11.18% | Revisions=+50% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=10.61 | Chg30d=+0.55% | Revisions=+29% | GrowthEPS=+7.8% | GrowthRev=+12.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=14.23 | Chg30d=+8.49% | Revisions=+67% | GrowthEPS=+34.1% | GrowthRev=+8.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +69% (up=12, down=1)