(PKG) Packaging of America - Overview
Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Packaging & Containers | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 19.443m USD | Total Return: 13.9% in 12m
Containerboard, Corrugated Boxes, Office Paper, White Paper
Total Rating 57
Safety 76
Buy Signal -0.55
Packaging & Containers
Industry Rotation: -8.7
Industry Rotation: -8.7
Market Cap:
19.4B
Avg Turnover: 179M
Avg Turnover: 179M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility30.5%
VaR 5th Pctl4.76%
VaR vs Median-5.79%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.47
Rel. Str. IBD40
Rel. Str. Peer Group83.3
Character TTM
Beta0.622
Beta Downside0.645
Hurst Exponent0.392
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD28.43%
CAGR/Max DD0.75
CAGR/Mean DD2.60
EPS (Earnings per Share)
EPS CAGR: -7.61%
EPS Trend: -7.4%
EPS Trend: -7.4%
Last SUE: 2.55
Qual. Beats: 1
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue
Rev. CAGR: 1.52%
Rev. Trend: 63.3%
Rev. Trend: 63.3%
Last SUE: -0.84
Qual. Beats: 0
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Description: PKG Packaging of America
Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) is a major North American producer of containerboard and uncoated freesheet paper. The company operates through two primary divisions: Packaging and Paper. The Packaging segment focuses on corrugated shipping containers and protective honeycomb materials, while the Paper segment produces commodity and specialty communication papers, such as office and printing stock.
The company utilizes an integrated business model where it manages both the raw material production and the conversion into finished goods. In the corrugated packaging sector, demand is heavily influenced by e-commerce volumes and industrial production levels, as these containers are essential for the logistics of both consumer and industrial goods. PKG maintains a direct sales and marketing organization to manage its distribution across diverse end markets, including food, beverage, and retail sectors.
Investors can further analyze these segment trends and valuation metrics on ValueRay. Founded in 1867 and based in Lake Forest, Illinois, the company remains a central player in the Paper & Plastic Packaging industry.
- Containerboard price hikes and volume growth drive core packaging segment revenue
- E-commerce demand and industrial production levels dictate corrugated box shipment volumes
- Fluctuating energy and recycled fiber costs significantly impact quarterly operating margins
- Uncoated freesheet paper demand declines as digital transformation reduces office paper use
- Strategic capital allocation toward mill conversions and containerboard capacity expansion projects
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict)
7.0
| Net Income: 740.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.62 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 23.84% < 20% (prev 26.86%; Δ -3.02% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 1.55b > Net Income 740.4m |
| Net Debt (3.97b) to EBITDA (1.84b): 2.16 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.07 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (89.1m) vs 12m ago -0.56% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 20.48% > 18% (prev 0.22%; Δ 2.03k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 93.34% > 50% (prev 95.26%; Δ -1.92% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 11.13 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.84b / Interest Expense TTM 98.8m) |
Altman Z''
3.92
| A: 0.20 (Total Current Assets 3.26b - Total Current Liabilities 1.06b) / Total Assets 10.78b |
| B: 0.36 (Retained Earnings 3.91b / Total Assets 10.78b) |
| C: 0.11 (EBIT TTM 1.10b / Avg Total Assets 9.87b) |
| D: 0.62 (Book Value of Equity 3.87b / Total Liabilities 6.19b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 3.92 = AA |
Beneish M
-2.69
| DSRI: 1.08 (Receivables 1.35b/1.16b, Revenue 9.22b/8.54b) |
| GMI: 1.07 (GM 20.48% / 21.85%) |
| AQI: 1.40 (AQ_t 0.20 / AQ_t-1 0.14) |
| SGI: 1.08 (Revenue 9.22b / 8.54b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 740.4m - CFO 1.55b) / TA 10.78b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.69 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of PKG shares?
As of May 17, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 212.08 with a total of 496,431 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.57%, over one month by +2.42%, over three months by -11.25% and over the past year by +13.92%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.57%, over one month by +2.42%, over three months by -11.25% and over the past year by +13.92%.
Is PKG a buy, sell or hold?
Packaging of America has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.82.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy PKG.
- StrongBuy: 5
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the PKG price?
| Analysts Target Price | 234.3 | 10.5% |
Packaging of America (PKG) - Fundamental Data Overview
as of 15 May 2026
P/E Trailing = 26.7426 P/E Forward = 21.1864
P/S = 2.1097
P/B = 4.3583
P/EG = 1.695
Revenue TTM = 9.22b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.10b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.84b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.97b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 104.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.37b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.97b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 23.27b USD (19.44b + Debt 4.37b - CCE 543.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.13 (Ebit TTM 1.10b / Interest Expense TTM 98.8m)
EV/FCF = 33.13x (Enterprise Value 23.27b / FCF TTM 702.2m)
FCF Yield = 3.02% (FCF TTM 702.2m / Enterprise Value 23.27b)
FCF Margin = 7.62% (FCF TTM 702.2m / Revenue TTM 9.22b)
Net Margin = 8.03% (Net Income TTM 740.4m / Revenue TTM 9.22b)
Gross Margin = 20.48% ((Revenue TTM 9.22b - Cost of Revenue TTM 7.33b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 19.13% (prev 18.93%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.16 (Enterprise Value 23.27b / Total Assets 10.78b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.75% (Interest Expense 32.6m / Debt 4.37b)
Taxrate = 22.25% (48.9m / 219.8m)
NOPAT = 854.7m (EBIT 1.10b * (1 - 22.25%))
Current Ratio = 3.07 (Total Current Assets 3.26b / Total Current Liabilities 1.06b)
Debt / Equity = 0.95 (Debt 4.37b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.59b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.16 (Net Debt 3.97b / EBITDA 1.84b)
Debt / FCF = 5.65 (Net Debt 3.97b / FCF TTM 702.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.64b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.50% (Net Income 740.4m / Total Assets 10.78b)
RoE = 15.95% (Net Income TTM 740.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.64b)
RoCE = 12.77% (EBIT 1.10b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.64b + L.T.Debt 3.97b))
RoIC = 10.51% (NOPAT 854.7m / Invested Capital 8.13b)
WACC = 6.78% (E(19.44b)/V(23.81b) * Re(8.17%) + D(4.37b)/V(23.81b) * Rd(0.75%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 8.17% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 11.37 | Cagr: -0.26%
[DCF] Terminal Value 85.33% ; FCFF base≈632.7m ; Y1≈754.9m ; Y5≈1.19b
[DCF] Fair Price = 263.5 (EV 27.44b - Net Debt 3.97b = Equity 23.47b / Shares 89.1m; r=6.78% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 20.59% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -7.41 | EPS CAGR: -7.61% | SUE: 2.55 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 63.32 | Revenue CAGR: 1.52% | SUE: -0.84 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=2.35 | Chg30d=-14.75% | Revisions=-64% | Analysts=8
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.92 | Chg30d=-8.70% | Revisions=-64% | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=10.32 | Chg30d=-4.40% | Revisions=-64% | GrowthEPS=+4.9% | GrowthRev=+11.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=12.15 | Chg30d=-0.31% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+17.7% | GrowthRev=+4.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -64%