Overview Dividends

(PKG) Packaging of America - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US6951561090

Corrugated Containers, Containerboard, Cut-Size Office Paper, Specialty Paper, Multi-Color Boxes

PKG EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): 5.60%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): 46.3%

PKG Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): 5.85%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): 88.4%

Description: PKG Packaging of America October 16, 2025

Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) manufactures and sells containerboard and uncoated freesheet (UFS) paper products across North America, operating through two primary segments: Packaging and Paper. The Packaging segment provides corrugated containers, multi-color retail boxes, honeycomb protective structures, and specialty packaging for food and industrial goods, sold via a direct sales force. The Paper segment produces commodity and specialty papers-including cut-size office, printing, converting, and white papers-distributed through its own sales organization. Founded in 1867, the company is headquartered in Lake Forest, Illinois.

Key operating metrics that investors watch include PKG’s adjusted EBITDA margin of roughly 12% in 2023, a capacity utilization rate near 85% for its containerboard mills, and a recycling content average of ~70% across its paper portfolio-both of which support higher pricing power under tightening sustainability regulations. The segment’s growth is closely tied to macro drivers such as e-commerce volume (which has boosted corrugated demand by an estimated 6% YoY), raw material cost volatility (softwood pulp price index), and freight rate trends that affect end-customer shipping expenses.

For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may find the ValueRay platform’s detailed financial models and scenario analyses useful.

PKG Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	17,599m
Sub-Industry	Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials
IPO / Inception	2000-01-27

PKG Stock Ratings

Growth Rating	38.1%
Fundamental	75.6%
Dividend Rating	65.1%
Return 12m vs S&P 500	-24.8%
Analyst Rating	3.82 of 5

PKG Dividends

Dividend Yield 12m	2.52%
Yield on Cost 5y	4.58%
Annual Growth 5y	10.37%
Payout Consistency	97.1%
Payout Ratio	50.2%

PKG Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m	-13.6%
Growth Correlation 12m	-34.1%
Growth Correlation 5y	85.3%
CAGR 5y	20.25%
CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio)	0.71
CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio)	2.78
Sharpe Ratio 12m	-0.78
Alpha	-29.71
Beta	0.921
Volatility	25.54%
Current Volume	842.3k
Average Volume 20d	820.8k
Stop Loss	192.1 (-3%)
Signal	0.27

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5

Net Income (893.3m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 526.3m TTM)

FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.45pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 25.44% (prev 26.19%; Δ -0.75pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.15 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.29b > Net Income 893.3m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (2.09b) to EBITDA (1.81b) ratio: 1.15 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 3.23 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (90.4m) change vs 12m ago 1.00% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 21.79% (prev 21.08%; Δ 0.71pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 99.75% (prev 93.39%; Δ 6.36pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 21.79 (EBITDA TTM 1.81b / Interest Expense TTM 57.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 4.89

(A) 0.25 = (Total Current Assets 3.23b - Total Current Liabilities 1.00b) / Total Assets 8.83b

(B) 0.43 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 3.78b / Total Assets 8.83b

(D) 0.84 = Book Value of Equity 3.73b / Total Liabilities 4.43b

Total Rating: 4.89 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 75.61

1. Piotroski 6.50pt = 1.50

2. FCF Yield 3.18% = 1.59

3. FCF Margin 7.13% = 1.78

4. Debt/Equity 0.63 = 2.31

5. Debt/Ebitda 1.15 = 1.54

6. ROIC - WACC (= 5.01)% = 6.27

7. RoE 20.08% = 1.67

8. Rev. Trend 88.44% = 6.63

9. EPS Trend 46.32% = 2.32

What is the price of PKG shares?

As of November 08, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 198.09 with a total of 842,300 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.45%, over one month by -4.75%, over three months by +3.52% and over the past year by -14.19%.

Is Packaging of America a good stock to buy?

Partly, yes. Based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Packaging of America (NYSE:PKG) is currently (November 2025) ok to buy, but has to be watched. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 75.61 and therefor a somewhat positive outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of PKG is around 205.68 USD . This means that PKG is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 3.83%.

Is PKG a buy, sell or hold?

Packaging of America has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.82. Therefore, it is recommended to buy PKG.

Strong Buy: 5
Buy: 0
Hold: 5
Sell: 1
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the PKG price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	224.9	13.5%
Analysts Target Price	224.9	13.5%
ValueRay Target Price	228.7	15.5%

PKG Fundamental Data Overview November 05, 2025

Market Cap USD = 17.60b (17.60b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 19.7366
P/E Forward = 17.8891
P/S = 2.0063
P/B = 4.1888
P/EG = 1.5978
Beta = 0.921
Revenue TTM = 8.77b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.24b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.81b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.47b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 82.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 2.77b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = 2.09b USD (from netDebt column, last fiscal year)
Enterprise Value = 19.69b USD (17.60b + Debt 2.77b - CCE 685.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 21.79 (Ebit TTM 1.24b / Interest Expense TTM 57.0m)
FCF Yield = 3.18% (FCF TTM 625.4m / Enterprise Value 19.69b)
FCF Margin = 7.13% (FCF TTM 625.4m / Revenue TTM 8.77b)
Net Margin = 10.18% (Net Income TTM 893.3m / Revenue TTM 8.77b)
Gross Margin = 21.79% ((Revenue TTM 8.77b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.86b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 21.80% (prev 22.24%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.23 (Enterprise Value 19.69b / Total Assets 8.83b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.70% (Interest Expense 19.3m / Debt 2.77b)
Taxrate = 25.66% (78.3m / 305.2m)
NOPAT = 923.2m (EBIT 1.24b * (1 - 25.66%))
Current Ratio = 3.23 (Total Current Assets 3.23b / Total Current Liabilities 1.00b)
Debt / Equity = 0.63 (Debt 2.77b / totalStockholderEquity, last fiscal year 4.40b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.15 (Net Debt 2.09b / EBITDA 1.81b)
Debt / FCF = 3.34 (Net Debt 2.09b / FCF TTM 625.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.45b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.11% (Net Income 893.3m / Total Assets 8.83b)
RoE = 20.08% (Net Income TTM 893.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.45b)
RoCE = 17.93% (EBIT 1.24b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.45b + L.T.Debt 2.47b))
RoIC = 13.21% (NOPAT 923.2m / Invested Capital 6.99b)
WACC = 8.20% (E(17.60b)/V(20.37b) * Re(9.41%) + D(2.77b)/V(20.37b) * Rd(0.70%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 9.41% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.43%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 76.78% ; FCFE base≈638.8m ; Y1≈771.0m ; Y5≈1.25b
Fair Price DCF = 185.6 (DCF Value 16.70b / Shares Outstanding 90.0m; 5y FCF grow 22.11% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 46.32 | EPS CAGR: 5.60% | SUE: -1.01 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 88.44 | Revenue CAGR: 5.85% | SUE: -0.03 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for PKG Stock

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