Overview Dividends

(PKG) Packaging of America - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US6951561090

Corrugated Containers, Containerboard, Cut-Size Office Paper, Specialty Paper, Multi-Color Boxes

PKG EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): -58.75%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): -40.9%

PKG Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): 0.77%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): 60.6%

Description: PKG Packaging of America

Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) manufactures and sells containerboard and uncoated freesheet (UFS) paper products across North America, operating through two primary segments: Packaging and Paper. The Packaging segment provides corrugated containers, multi-color retail boxes, honeycomb protective structures, and specialty packaging for food and industrial goods, sold via a direct sales force. The Paper segment produces commodity and specialty papers-including cut-size office, printing, converting, and white papers-distributed through its own sales organization. Founded in 1867, the company is headquartered in Lake Forest, Illinois.

Key operating metrics that investors watch include PKG’s adjusted EBITDA margin of roughly 12% in 2023, a capacity utilization rate near 85% for its containerboard mills, and a recycling content average of ~70% across its paper portfolio-both of which support higher pricing power under tightening sustainability regulations. The segment’s growth is closely tied to macro drivers such as e-commerce volume (which has boosted corrugated demand by an estimated 6% YoY), raw material cost volatility (softwood pulp price index), and freight rate trends that affect end-customer shipping expenses.

For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may find the ValueRay platform’s detailed financial models and scenario analyses useful.

PKG Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	18,964m
Sub-Industry	Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials
IPO / Inception	2000-01-27

PKG Stock Ratings

Growth Rating	41.3%
Fundamental	69.5%
Dividend Rating	65.3%
Return 12m vs S&P 500	-17.3%
Analyst Rating	3.82 of 5

PKG Dividends

Dividend Yield 12m	2.43%
Yield on Cost 5y	4.92%
Annual Growth 5y	10.37%
Payout Consistency	97.1%
Payout Ratio	50.6%

PKG Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m	56.5%
Growth Correlation 12m	-43%
Growth Correlation 5y	85.4%
CAGR 5y	24.85%
CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio)	0.87
CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio)	3.54
Sharpe Ratio 12m	-0.77
Alpha	-20.56
Beta	0.921
Volatility	21.73%
Current Volume	820.8k
Average Volume 20d	590.3k
Stop Loss	199.7 (-3%)
Signal	-0.10

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5

Net Income (904.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 518.4m TTM)

FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.42pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 27.70% (prev 25.89%; Δ 1.82pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.14 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.29b > Net Income 904.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (2.02b) to EBITDA (1.79b) ratio: 1.13 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 3.54 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (89.7m) change vs 12m ago 0.14% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 22.13% (prev 20.57%; Δ 1.56pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 95.88% (prev 88.27%; Δ 7.61pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 26.28 (EBITDA TTM 1.79b / Interest Expense TTM 47.4m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 5.03

(A) 0.26 = (Total Current Assets 3.34b - Total Current Liabilities 943.0m) / Total Assets 9.04b

(B) 0.44 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 3.97b / Total Assets 9.04b

(D) 0.89 = Book Value of Equity 3.93b / Total Liabilities 4.41b

Total Rating: 5.03 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 69.54

1. Piotroski 6.50pt = 1.50

2. FCF Yield 2.99% = 1.50

3. FCF Margin 7.24% = 1.81

4. Debt/Equity 0.61 = 2.32

5. Debt/Ebitda 1.13 = 1.58

6. ROIC - WACC (= 5.31)% = 6.64

7. RoE 20.33% = 1.69

8. Rev. Trend 60.63% = 4.55

9. EPS Trend -40.90% = -2.05

What is the price of PKG shares?

As of October 21, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 205.88 with a total of 820,800 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.90%, over one month by -3.21%, over three months by +2.83% and over the past year by -3.72%.

Is Packaging of America a good stock to buy?

Partly, yes. Based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Packaging of America (NYSE:PKG) is currently (October 2025) ok to buy, but has to be watched. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 69.54 and therefor a somewhat positive outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of PKG is around 220.72 USD . This means that PKG is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 7.21%.

Is PKG a buy, sell or hold?

Packaging of America has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.82. Therefore, it is recommended to buy PKG.

Strong Buy: 5
Buy: 0
Hold: 5
Sell: 1
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the PKG price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	223.3	8.5%
Analysts Target Price	223.3	8.5%
ValueRay Target Price	245.5	19.3%

Last update: 2025-10-15 03:53

PKG Fundamental Data Overview

Market Cap USD = 18.96b (18.96b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 20.7441
P/E Forward = 17.8891
P/S = 2.1947
P/B = 4.1888
P/EG = 1.5978
Beta = 0.921
Revenue TTM = 8.64b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.25b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.79b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.48b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 88.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.81b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.02b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 20.89b USD (18.96b + Debt 2.81b - CCE 880.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 26.28 (Ebit TTM 1.25b / Interest Expense TTM 47.4m)
FCF Yield = 2.99% (FCF TTM 625.4m / Enterprise Value 20.89b)
FCF Margin = 7.24% (FCF TTM 625.4m / Revenue TTM 8.64b)
Net Margin = 10.47% (Net Income TTM 904.5m / Revenue TTM 8.64b)
Gross Margin = 22.13% ((Revenue TTM 8.64b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.73b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 22.24% (prev 21.24%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.31 (Enterprise Value 20.89b / Total Assets 9.04b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.47% (Interest Expense 13.1m / Debt 2.81b)
Taxrate = 24.67% (79.1m / 320.6m)
NOPAT = 938.3m (EBIT 1.25b * (1 - 24.67%))
Current Ratio = 3.54 (Total Current Assets 3.34b / Total Current Liabilities 943.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.61 (Debt 2.81b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.63b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.13 (Net Debt 2.02b / EBITDA 1.79b)
Debt / FCF = 3.23 (Net Debt 2.02b / FCF TTM 625.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.45b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.00% (Net Income 904.5m / Total Assets 9.04b)
RoE = 20.33% (Net Income TTM 904.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.45b)
RoCE = 17.99% (EBIT 1.25b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.45b + L.T.Debt 2.48b))
RoIC = 13.55% (NOPAT 938.3m / Invested Capital 6.92b)
WACC = 8.24% (E(18.96b)/V(21.77b) * Re(9.41%) + D(2.81b)/V(21.77b) * Rd(0.47%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 9.41% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.04%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 76.78% ; FCFE base≈638.8m ; Y1≈771.0m ; Y5≈1.25b
Fair Price DCF = 185.6 (DCF Value 16.70b / Shares Outstanding 90.0m; 5y FCF grow 22.11% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -40.90 | EPS CAGR: -58.75% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 60.63 | Revenue CAGR: 0.77% | SUE: -0.24 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for PKG Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle