Overview Dividends

(PKG) Packaging of America - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US6951561090

Corrugated Containers, Containerboard, Cut-Size Office Paper, Specialty Paper, Multi-Color Boxes

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of PKG over the last years for every Quarter: "2020-09": 1.57, "2020-12": 1.33, "2021-03": 1.77, "2021-06": 2.17, "2021-09": 2.69, "2021-12": 2.76, "2022-03": 2.72, "2022-06": 3.23, "2022-09": 2.83, "2022-12": 2.35, "2023-03": 2.2, "2023-06": 2.31, "2023-09": 2.05, "2023-12": 2.13, "2024-03": 1.72, "2024-06": 2.2, "2024-09": 2.65, "2024-12": 2.45, "2025-03": 2.31, "2025-06": 2.48, "2025-09": 2.73,
EPS CAGR: 5.60%
EPS Trend: 46.3%
Last SUE: -1.01σ
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Revenue of PKG over the last years for every Quarter: 2020-09: 1693.7, 2020-12: 1714.2, 2021-03: 1807.2, 2021-06: 1879.9, 2021-09: 2000.1, 2021-12: 2043.2, 2022-03: 2136.4, 2022-06: 2237.3, 2022-09: 2125.9, 2022-12: 1978.4, 2023-03: 1976.3, 2023-06: 1952.1, 2023-09: 1936, 2023-12: 1937.9, 2024-03: 1979.5, 2024-06: 2075.3, 2024-09: 2182.4, 2024-12: 2146.1, 2025-03: 2141, 2025-06: 2171.3, 2025-09: 2313.4,
Revenue CAGR: 5.85%
Revenue Trend: 88.4%
Last SUE: -0.03σ
Qual. Beats: 0
Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility 23.5%
Value at Risk 5%th 33.8%
Relative Tail Risk -12.75%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio -0.75
Alpha -29.49
Character TTM
Hurst Exponent 0.468
Beta 0.779
Beta Downside 0.750
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 28.43%
Mean DD 7.58%
Median DD 4.87%

Description: PKG Packaging of America October 16, 2025

Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) manufactures and sells containerboard and uncoated freesheet (UFS) paper products across North America, operating through two primary segments: Packaging and Paper. The Packaging segment provides corrugated containers, multi-color retail boxes, honeycomb protective structures, and specialty packaging for food and industrial goods, sold via a direct sales force. The Paper segment produces commodity and specialty papers-including cut-size office, printing, converting, and white papers-distributed through its own sales organization. Founded in 1867, the company is headquartered in Lake Forest, Illinois.

Key operating metrics that investors watch include PKG’s adjusted EBITDA margin of roughly 12% in 2023, a capacity utilization rate near 85% for its containerboard mills, and a recycling content average of ~70% across its paper portfolio-both of which support higher pricing power under tightening sustainability regulations. The segment’s growth is closely tied to macro drivers such as e-commerce volume (which has boosted corrugated demand by an estimated 6% YoY), raw material cost volatility (softwood pulp price index), and freight rate trends that affect end-customer shipping expenses.

For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may find the ValueRay platform’s detailed financial models and scenario analyses useful.

PKG Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD 17,693m
Sub-Industry Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials
IPO / Inception 2000-01-27
Return 12m vs S&P 500 -27.8%
Analyst Rating 3.82 of 5

PKG Dividends

Metric Value
Dividend Yield 2.53%
Yield on Cost 5y 4.42%
Yield CAGR 5y 10.37%
Payout Consistency 97.1%
Payout Ratio 50.2%

PKG Growth Ratios

Metric Value
CAGR 3y 17.73%
CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio 0.62
CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio 2.34
Current Volume 416.4k
Average Volume 825.4k

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5

Net Income (893.3m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 526.3m TTM)
FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.13pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue 27.25% (prev 26.19%; Δ 1.06pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.13 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.44b > Net Income 893.3m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (3.72b) to EBITDA (1.81b) ratio: 2.06 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 3.16 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (90.4m) change vs 12m ago 1.00% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 21.79% (prev 21.08%; Δ 0.71pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 88.90% (prev 93.39%; Δ -4.49pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio 21.79 (EBITDA TTM 1.81b / Interest Expense TTM 57.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 4.17

(A) 0.22 = (Total Current Assets 3.50b - Total Current Liabilities 1.11b) / Total Assets 10.98b
(B) 0.37 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 4.09b / Total Assets 10.98b
(C) 0.13 = EBIT TTM 1.24b / Avg Total Assets 9.87b
(D) 0.65 = Book Value of Equity 4.05b / Total Liabilities 6.22b
Total Rating: 4.17 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 73.37

1. Piotroski 5.50pt
2. FCF Yield 3.40%
3. FCF Margin 8.27%
4. Debt/Equity 0.92
5. Debt/Ebitda 2.06
6. ROIC - WACC (= 5.24)%
7. RoE 19.54%
8. Rev. Trend 88.44%
9. EPS Trend 46.32%

What is the price of PKG shares?

As of November 25, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 197.32 with a total of 416,415 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.33%, over one month by -3.67%, over three months by -6.48% and over the past year by -18.24%.

Is PKG a buy, sell or hold?

Packaging of America has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.82. Therefore, it is recommended to buy PKG.
  • Strong Buy: 5
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 5
  • Sell: 1
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the PKG price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 224.9 14%
Analysts Target Price 224.9 14%
ValueRay Target Price 215.2 9%

PKG Fundamental Data Overview November 20, 2025

Market Cap USD = 17.69b (17.69b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 19.8817
P/E Forward = 16.4204
P/S = 2.017
P/B = 3.7211
P/EG = 1.4408
Beta = 0.906
Revenue TTM = 8.77b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.24b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.81b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.97b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 98.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.36b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.72b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 21.32b USD (17.69b + Debt 4.36b - CCE 728.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 21.79 (Ebit TTM 1.24b / Interest Expense TTM 57.0m)
FCF Yield = 3.40% (FCF TTM 725.1m / Enterprise Value 21.32b)
FCF Margin = 8.27% (FCF TTM 725.1m / Revenue TTM 8.77b)
Net Margin = 10.18% (Net Income TTM 893.3m / Revenue TTM 8.77b)
Gross Margin = 21.79% ((Revenue TTM 8.77b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.86b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 21.80% (prev 22.24%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.94 (Enterprise Value 21.32b / Total Assets 10.98b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.44% (Interest Expense 19.3m / Debt 4.36b)
Taxrate = 25.66% (78.3m / 305.2m)
NOPAT = 923.2m (EBIT 1.24b * (1 - 25.66%))
Current Ratio = 3.16 (Total Current Assets 3.50b / Total Current Liabilities 1.11b)
Debt / Equity = 0.92 (Debt 4.36b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.76b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.06 (Net Debt 3.72b / EBITDA 1.81b)
Debt / FCF = 5.13 (Net Debt 3.72b / FCF TTM 725.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.57b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.14% (Net Income 893.3m / Total Assets 10.98b)
RoE = 19.54% (Net Income TTM 893.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.57b)
RoCE = 14.54% (EBIT 1.24b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.57b + L.T.Debt 3.97b))
RoIC = 12.44% (NOPAT 923.2m / Invested Capital 7.42b)
WACC = 7.21% (E(17.69b)/V(22.05b) * Re(8.90%) + D(4.36b)/V(22.05b) * Rd(0.44%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 8.90% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.43%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.20% ; FCFE base≈671.0m ; Y1≈800.5m ; Y5≈1.26b
Fair Price DCF = 204.8 (DCF Value 18.43b / Shares Outstanding 90.0m; 5y FCF grow 20.59% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 46.32 | EPS CAGR: 5.60% | SUE: -1.01 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 88.44 | Revenue CAGR: 5.85% | SUE: -0.03 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for PKG Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle