PLOW Stock Analysis: Douglas Dynamics | NYSE
Auto Parts | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 957m USD | 12M Return: 28.1% | US25960R1059 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 12.9M
EPS Trend: 94.1%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: 79.7%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Douglas Dynamics, Inc. is a North American manufacturer and upfitter of commercial vehicle attachments and equipment, operating through two segments: Work Truck Attachments and Work Truck Solutions. The Work Truck Attachments segment produces snow and ice control products under the FISHER, WESTERN, and SNOWEX brands, along with truck-mounted service cranes and dump hoists sold under the VENCO and VENTURO brands. The Work Truck Solutions segment manufactures municipal snow and ice equipment under the HENDERSON brand and upfits attachments and storage solutions under the HENDERSON and DEJANA brands, including related sub-brands.
The company sells primarily through a distributor network serving professional snowplowers who are contracted to remove snow and ice from commercial and residential areas, and also provides customized turnkey solutions to governmental agencies such as departments of transportation and municipalities. Its business is highly seasonal, with end-market demand closely tied to winter weather patterns and municipal snow removal budgets, which can produce significant quarter-to-quarter variability in revenue and earnings. Founded in 1946 and headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, Douglas Dynamics is classified within the construction machinery and heavy transportation equipment sub-industry of the industrials sector.
- Severe winter weather drives record snowplow attachment sales
- Municipal budget tightening pressures Work Truck Solutions orders
- Steel input cost volatility compresses Work Truck Attachments margins
| Net Income: 52.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.18 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 26.32% < 20% (prev 29.55%; Δ -3.23% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 62.2m > Net Income 52.5m |
| Net Debt (378.1m) to EBITDA (95.0m): 3.98 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.16 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (23.6m) vs 12m ago -0.35% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 27.29% > 18% (prev 26.63%; Δ 0.67% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 100.1% > 50% (prev 86.73%; Δ 13.35% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 7.15 > 6 (EBIT TTM 79.6m / Interest Expense TTM 11.1m) |
| A: 0.25 (Total Current Assets 342.4m - Total Current Liabilities 158.4m) / Total Assets 725.7m |
| B: 0.17 (Retained Earnings 124.9m / Total Assets 725.7m) |
| C: 0.11 (EBIT TTM 79.6m / Avg Total Assets 698.6m) |
| D: 0.70 (Book Value of Equity 299.7m / Total Liabilities 430.0m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.72 = AA |
| DSRI: 0.92 (Receivables 156.6m/141.2m, Revenue 699.1m/582.3m) |
| GMI: 0.98 (GM 26.63% / 27.29%) |
| AQI: 0.96 (AQ_t 0.34 / AQ_t-1 0.35) |
| SGI: 1.20 (Revenue 699.1m / 582.3m) |
| TATA: -0.01 (NI 52.5m - CFO 62.2m) / TA 725.7m) |
| Beneish M = -2.99 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of August 27, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 41.68 with a total of 127,774 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.51%, over one month by -6.99%, over three months by -6.73% and over the past year by +28.07%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 39.70 (which is 4.8% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Douglas Dynamics has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy PLOW.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 54 | 29.6% |
P/E Trailing = 18.85
P/E Forward = 14.6843
P/S = 1.3689
P/B = 3.2329
P/EG = 0.9174
Revenue TTM = 699.1m USD
EBIT TTM = 79.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 95.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 131.6m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 78.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 380.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 89.8m
Net Debt = 378.1m USD (calculated: Debt 380.0m - CCE 1.88m)
Enterprise Value = 1.34b USD (957.0m + Debt 380.0m - CCE 1.88m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.15 (Ebit TTM 79.6m / Interest Expense TTM 11.1m)
EV/FCF = 27.30x (Enterprise Value 1.34b / FCF TTM 48.9m)
FCF Yield = 3.66% (FCF TTM 48.9m / Enterprise Value 1.34b)
FCF Margin = 7.00% (FCF TTM 48.9m / Revenue TTM 699.1m)
Net Margin = 7.52% (Net Income TTM 52.5m / Revenue TTM 699.1m)
Gross Margin = 27.29% ((Revenue TTM 699.1m - Cost of Revenue TTM 508.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 31.12% (prev 27.41%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.84 (Enterprise Value 1.34b / Total Assets 725.7m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.93% (Interest Expense 11.1m / Debt 380.0m)
Taxrate = 23.27% (15.9m / 68.5m)
NOPAT = 61.1m (EBIT 79.6m * (1 - 23.27%))
Current Ratio = 2.16 (Total Current Assets 342.4m / Total Current Liabilities 158.4m)
Debt / Equity = 1.27 (Debt 380.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 299.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.98 (Net Debt 378.1m / EBITDA 95.0m)
Debt / FCF = 7.73 (Net Debt 378.1m / FCF TTM 48.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 284.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.52% (Net Income 52.5m / Total Assets 725.7m)
RoE = 18.51% (Net Income TTM 52.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 284.0m)
RoCE = 19.16% (EBIT 79.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 284.0m + L.T.Debt 131.6m))
RoIC = 9.49% (NOPAT 61.1m / Invested Capital 644.0m)
WACC = 7.37% (E(957.0m)/V(1.34b) * Re(9.41%) + D(380.0m)/V(1.34b) * Rd(2.93%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 9.41% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 65.30 | Cagr: 1.11%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈44.3m ; Y1≈50.8m ; Y5≈74.7m
[DCF] Fair Price = 32.33 (EV 1.12b - Net Debt 378.1m = Equity 746.1m / Shares 23.1m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 94.12 | EPS CAGR: 37.72% | SUE: 1.19 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 79.73 | Revenue CAGR: 6.86% | SUE: -0.43 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.91 | Chg30d=+14.47% | Revisions=+29% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.12 | Chg30d=+9.67% | Revisions=+57% | GrowthEPS=+39.9% | GrowthRev=+18.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.23 | Chg30d=+5.30% | Revisions=+29% | GrowthEPS=+3.5% | GrowthRev=+3.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +53% (up=10, down=2)