PLOW Stock Analysis: Douglas Dynamics | NYSE
Auto Parts | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 999m USD | 12M Return: 44.2% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 11.7M
EPS Trend: 79.2%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 55.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Douglas Dynamics, Inc. is a North American manufacturer and upfitter of commercial vehicle attachments and equipment, operating through two segments: Work Truck Attachments and Work Truck Solutions. The Work Truck Attachments segment produces snow and ice control products under the FISHER, WESTERN, and SNOWEX brands, along with truck-mounted service cranes and dump hoists sold under the VENCO and VENTURO brands. The Work Truck Solutions segment manufactures municipal snow and ice equipment under the HENDERSON brand and upfits attachments and storage solutions under the HENDERSON and DEJANA brands, including related sub-brands.
The company sells primarily through a distributor network serving professional snowplowers who are contracted to remove snow and ice from commercial and residential areas, and also provides customized turnkey solutions to governmental agencies such as departments of transportation and municipalities. Its business is highly seasonal, with end-market demand closely tied to winter weather patterns and municipal snow removal budgets, which can produce significant quarter-to-quarter variability in revenue and earnings. Founded in 1946 and headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, Douglas Dynamics is classified within the construction machinery and heavy transportation equipment sub-industry of the industrials sector.
- Severe winter weather drives record snowplow attachment sales
- Municipal budget tightening pressures Work Truck Solutions orders
- Steel input cost volatility compresses Work Truck Attachments margins
| Net Income: 53.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 15.33 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.52k > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 24.58% < 20% (prev 26.95%; Δ -2.38% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -1.46 > 3% & CFO -918.3m > Net Income 53.1m |
| Net Debt (-209.8m) to EBITDA (96.1m): -2.18 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.65 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (23.6m) vs 12m ago 2.02% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 26.70% > 18% (prev 26.54%; Δ 0.16% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 108.5% > 50% (prev 94.67%; Δ 13.82% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 6.84 > 6 (EBIT TTM 80.7m / Interest Expense TTM 11.8m) |
| A: 0.26 (Total Current Assets 267.7m - Total Current Liabilities 100.9m) / Total Assets 630.3m |
| B: 0.17 (Retained Earnings 106.6m / Total Assets 630.3m) |
| C: 0.13 (EBIT TTM 80.7m / Avg Total Assets 625.7m) |
| D: 0.80 (Book Value of Equity 279.4m / Total Liabilities 350.9m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.99 = AA |
| DSRI: 0.85 (Receivables 67.7m/69.2m, Revenue 678.8m/587.9m) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 26.54% / 26.70%) |
| AQI: -483.4 (AQ_t -185.1 / AQ_t-1 0.38) |
| SGI: 1.15 (Revenue 678.8m / 587.9m) |
| TATA: 1.54 (NI 53.1m - CFO -918.3m) / TA 630.3m) |
| Beneish M = -290.2 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
As of July 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 43.01 with a total of 116,776 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -14.44%, over one month by -6.05%, over three months by -6.62% and over the past year by +44.23%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 40.20 (which is 6.5% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
Douglas Dynamics has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy PLOW.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 55.3 | 28.5% |
P/E Trailing = 19.4685
P/E Forward = 18.6916
P/S = 1.4724
P/B = 4.1602
P/EG = 1.0382
Revenue TTM = 678.8m USD
EBIT TTM = 80.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 96.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 133.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 38.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 304.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 69.7m
Net Debt = -209.8m USD (calculated: Debt 304.4m - CCE 514.2m)
Enterprise Value = 789.7m USD (999.5m + Debt 304.4m - CCE 514.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.84 (Ebit TTM 80.7m / Interest Expense TTM 11.8m)
EV/FCF = 0.08x (Enterprise Value 789.7m / FCF TTM 9.66b)
FCF Yield = 1.22k% (FCF TTM 9.66b / Enterprise Value 789.7m)
FCF Margin = 1.42k% (FCF TTM 9.66b / Revenue TTM 678.8m)
Net Margin = 7.83% (Net Income TTM 53.1m / Revenue TTM 678.8m)
Gross Margin = 26.70% ((Revenue TTM 678.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 497.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 26.31% (prev 25.26%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.25 (Enterprise Value 789.7m / Total Assets 630.3m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.87% (Interest Expense 11.8m / Debt 304.4m)
Taxrate = 22.91% (15.8m / 68.9m)
NOPAT = 62.2m (EBIT 80.7m * (1 - 22.91%))
Current Ratio = 1.96 (Total Current Assets 267.7m / Total Current Liabilities 136.7m)
Debt / Equity = 1.09 (Debt 304.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 279.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = -2.18 (Net Debt -209.8m / EBITDA 96.1m)
Debt / FCF = -0.02 (Net Debt -209.8m / FCF TTM 9.66b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 277.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.49% (Net Income 53.1m / Total Assets 630.3m)
RoE = 19.15% (Net Income TTM 53.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 277.4m)
RoCE = 19.65% (EBIT 80.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 277.4m + L.T.Debt 133.4m))
RoIC = 11.64% (NOPAT 62.2m / Invested Capital 534.3m)
WACC = 7.66% (E(999.5m)/V(1.30b) * Re(9.08%) + D(304.4m)/V(1.30b) * Rd(3.87%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 9.08% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 55.56 | Cagr: 1.16%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈5.83b ; Y1≈6.68b ; Y5≈9.84b
[DCF] Fair Price = 6.41k (EV 148b - Net Debt -209.8m = Equity 148b / Shares 23.1m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 79.17 | EPS CAGR: 27.78% | SUE: 1.41 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 55.21 | Revenue CAGR: 3.74% | SUE: 0.41 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.06 | Chg30d=-8.60% | Revisions=-17% | Analysts=4
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.80 | Chg30d=+14.80% | Revisions=+40% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.85 | Chg30d=-0.61% | Revisions=+57% | GrowthEPS=+27.6% | GrowthRev=+17.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.06 | Chg30d=-1.61% | Revisions=+57% | GrowthEPS=+7.7% | GrowthRev=+3.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +56% (up=11, down=2)