(PLOW) Douglas Dynamics - Ratings and Ratios
Snowplows, Spreaders, Upfits, Attachments, Bodies
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.48% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.31% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 1.31% |
| Payout Consistency | 97.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 58.4% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 31.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 46.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.82% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.17 |
| Alpha | 27.11 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.08 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.606 |
| Beta | 0.653 |
| Beta Downside | 0.561 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 44.72% |
| Mean DD | 26.67% |
| Median DD | 28.06% |
Description: PLOW Douglas Dynamics December 01, 2025
Douglas Dynamics, Inc. (NYSE:PLOW) manufactures and upfits commercial work-truck attachments and equipment across North America, operating through two segments: Work Truck Attachments, which produces snow-plows, sand and salt spreaders, and related accessories for light- and heavy-duty trucks; and Work Truck Solutions, which delivers municipal snow-control products, custom vehicle up-fits, storage systems, and cable-pulling gear, often as turnkey projects for DOTs and municipalities. The firm markets its offerings under brands such as FISHER, SNOWEX, WESTERN, and DEJANA.
Key recent metrics: FY 2023 revenue was $322 million, up 7 % year-over-year, driven by higher municipal spending on winter-maintenance contracts; the operating margin expanded to 12.3 % as the company leveraged its modular up-fit platform to improve labor efficiency. A primary economic driver is the intensity of winter weather-snowfall variability directly influences contract volumes-while broader sector trends include increased infrastructure funding from the 2021 Bipartisan Infrastructure Law, which boosts municipal procurement of durable snow-removal equipment.
For a deeper quantitative look, you might explore ValueRay’s analyst toolkit to model PLOW’s cash-flow sensitivity to snowfall variability.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income (42.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 36.9m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.45pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 28.43% (prev 30.14%; Δ -1.71pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO 53.2m > Net Income 42.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (284.5m) to EBITDA (82.6m) ratio: 3.44 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.01 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (23.6m) change vs 12m ago -0.03% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 26.38% (prev 25.14%; Δ 1.24pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 90.42% (prev 84.02%; Δ 6.40pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 5.49 (EBITDA TTM 82.6m / Interest Expense TTM 12.3m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.06
| (A) 0.25 = (Total Current Assets 348.5m - Total Current Liabilities 173.7m) / Total Assets 694.9m |
| (B) 0.15 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 101.5m / Total Assets 694.9m |
| (C) 0.10 = EBIT TTM 67.3m / Avg Total Assets 680.3m |
| (D) 0.25 = Book Value of Equity 106.2m / Total Liabilities 419.6m |
| Total Rating: 3.06 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 63.46
| 1. Piotroski 6.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.04% |
| 3. FCF Margin 6.71% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.08 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.44 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 4.90)% |
| 7. RoE 15.66% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 8.13% |
| 9. EPS Trend 10.71% |
What is the price of PLOW shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.57%, over one month by +8.13%, over three months by +4.81% and over the past year by +39.61%.
Is PLOW a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the PLOW price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 38.8 | 14.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 38.8 | 14.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 36.9 | 8.8% |
PLOW Fundamental Data Overview December 03, 2025
P/E Trailing = 18.3736
P/E Forward = 17.0068
P/S = 1.1976
P/B = 2.7039
P/EG = 1.2158
Beta = 1.303
Revenue TTM = 615.1m USD
EBIT TTM = 67.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 82.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 136.9m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 99.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 296.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 284.5m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.02b USD (736.6m + Debt 296.0m - CCE 11.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.49 (Ebit TTM 67.3m / Interest Expense TTM 12.3m)
FCF Yield = 4.04% (FCF TTM 41.3m / Enterprise Value 1.02b)
FCF Margin = 6.71% (FCF TTM 41.3m / Revenue TTM 615.1m)
Net Margin = 6.82% (Net Income TTM 42.0m / Revenue TTM 615.1m)
Gross Margin = 26.38% ((Revenue TTM 615.1m - Cost of Revenue TTM 452.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 23.51% (prev 31.03%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.47 (Enterprise Value 1.02b / Total Assets 694.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.27% (Interest Expense 3.76m / Debt 296.0m)
Taxrate = 23.55% (2.45m / 10.4m)
NOPAT = 51.4m (EBIT 67.3m * (1 - 23.55%))
Current Ratio = 2.01 (Total Current Assets 348.5m / Total Current Liabilities 173.7m)
Debt / Equity = 1.08 (Debt 296.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 275.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.44 (Net Debt 284.5m / EBITDA 82.6m)
Debt / FCF = 6.89 (Net Debt 284.5m / FCF TTM 41.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 267.9m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.04% (Net Income 42.0m / Total Assets 694.9m)
RoE = 15.66% (Net Income TTM 42.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 267.9m)
RoCE = 16.62% (EBIT 67.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 267.9m + L.T.Debt 136.9m))
RoIC = 11.18% (NOPAT 51.4m / Invested Capital 459.9m)
WACC = 6.28% (E(736.6m)/V(1.03b) * Re(8.42%) + D(296.0m)/V(1.03b) * Rd(1.27%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 8.42% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 1.27%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 74.32% ; FCFE base≈39.4m ; Y1≈33.7m ; Y5≈26.2m
Fair Price DCF = 19.39 (DCF Value 446.8m / Shares Outstanding 23.0m; 5y FCF grow -17.56% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 10.71 | EPS CAGR: -1.29% | SUE: 0.04 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 8.13 | Revenue CAGR: 1.57% | SUE: -0.06 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.11 | Chg30d=+0.036 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=4
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.41 | Chg30d=+0.053 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+11.2% | Growth Revenue=+10.4%
Additional Sources for PLOW Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle