(PM) Philip Morris International - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US7181721090

Cigarettes, Heat-Not-Burn, Vapor, Oral Nicotine, Wellness

Dividends

Dividend Yield 3.73%
Yield on Cost 5y 8.65%
Yield CAGR 5y 2.83%
Payout Consistency 99.1%
Payout Ratio 74.7%
Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility 25.7%
Value at Risk 5%th 40.5%
Relative Tail Risk -4.11%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio 0.59
Alpha 12.89
CAGR/Max DD 0.91
Character TTM
Hurst Exponent 0.391
Beta 0.106
Beta Downside 0.239
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 20.64%
Mean DD 5.68%
Median DD 5.27%

Description: PM Philip Morris International December 02, 2025

Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) is a global tobacco firm that sells traditional cigarettes and a growing portfolio of smoke-free products-including heat-not-burn IQOS, vapor devices, and oral nicotine ZYN-alongside consumer accessories and emerging wellness offerings. The company, incorporated in 1987, is headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut.

Key metrics highlight the transition to reduced-risk products: FY 2023 net revenue reached roughly $29.5 billion, with smoke-free offerings accounting for about 20 % of total sales and posting double-digit growth year-over-year. IQOS holds an estimated 30 % market share in Japan, the world’s largest reduced-risk market, while ZYN has become the leading oral nicotine brand in the United States, driving a ~15 % increase in U.S. revenue. The sector faces headwinds from declining smoking prevalence and tightening regulations, but the shift toward nicotine-delivery alternatives is a primary growth catalyst.

For a deeper quantitative dive into PM’s valuation dynamics, the ValueRay platform offers a concise, data-driven dashboard worth checking out.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0

Net Income (8.61b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 2.40b TTM)
FCFTA 0.15 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.09pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue 36.17% (prev -6.91%; Δ 43.07pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.17 (>3.0%) and CFO 11.53b > Net Income 8.61b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (46.05b) to EBITDA (17.68b) ratio: 2.60 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 2.76 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.56b) change vs 12m ago 0.13% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 66.27% (prev 64.18%; Δ 2.09pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 59.63% (prev 55.64%; Δ 3.99pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio 8.18 (EBITDA TTM 17.68b / Interest Expense TTM 1.92b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 2.85

(A) 0.22 = (Total Current Assets 22.66b - Total Current Liabilities 8.22b) / Total Assets 67.06b
(B) -0.02 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -1.56b / Total Assets 67.06b
(C) 0.23 = EBIT TTM 15.69b / Avg Total Assets 66.98b
(D) -0.06 = Book Value of Equity -4.68b / Total Liabilities 76.05b
Total Rating: 2.85 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 76.99

1. Piotroski 7.0pt
2. FCF Yield 3.48%
3. FCF Margin 25.35%
4. Debt/Equity -4.59
5. Debt/Ebitda 2.60
6. ROIC - WACC (= 28.96)%
7. RoE -75.66%
8. Rev. Trend 93.19%
9. EPS Trend 71.25%

What is the price of PM shares?

As of December 07, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 147.81 with a total of 5,454,804 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -6.14%, over one month by -0.40%, over three months by -7.65% and over the past year by +15.73%.

Is PM a buy, sell or hold?

Philip Morris International has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.06. Therefore, it is recommended to buy PM.
  • Strong Buy: 7
  • Buy: 5
  • Hold: 4
  • Sell: 1
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the PM price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 183.3 24%
Analysts Target Price 183.3 24%
ValueRay Target Price 166.7 12.7%

PM Fundamental Data Overview November 27, 2025

Market Cap USD = 245.03b (245.03b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 21.563
P/E Forward = 18.0505
P/S = 6.127
P/EG = 0.9856
Beta = 0.444
Revenue TTM = 39.94b USD
EBIT TTM = 15.69b USD
EBITDA TTM = 17.68b USD
Long Term Debt = 41.86b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.74b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 50.08b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 46.05b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 291.08b USD (245.03b + Debt 50.08b - CCE 4.04b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.18 (Ebit TTM 15.69b / Interest Expense TTM 1.92b)
FCF Yield = 3.48% (FCF TTM 10.12b / Enterprise Value 291.08b)
FCF Margin = 25.35% (FCF TTM 10.12b / Revenue TTM 39.94b)
Net Margin = 21.56% (Net Income TTM 8.61b / Revenue TTM 39.94b)
Gross Margin = 66.27% ((Revenue TTM 39.94b - Cost of Revenue TTM 13.47b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 67.85% (prev 67.66%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.34 (Enterprise Value 291.08b / Total Assets 67.06b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.46% (Interest Expense 230.0m / Debt 50.08b)
Taxrate = 17.21% (751.0m / 4.36b)
NOPAT = 12.99b (EBIT 15.69b * (1 - 17.21%))
Current Ratio = 2.76 (Total Current Assets 22.66b / Total Current Liabilities 8.22b)
Debt / Equity = -4.59 (negative equity) (Debt 50.08b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -10.91b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.60 (Net Debt 46.05b / EBITDA 17.68b)
Debt / FCF = 4.55 (Net Debt 46.05b / FCF TTM 10.12b)
Total Stockholder Equity = -11.38b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 12.84% (Net Income 8.61b / Total Assets 67.06b)
RoE = -75.66% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 8.61b / Total Stockholder Equity -11.38b)
RoCE = 51.48% (EBIT 15.69b / Capital Employed (Equity -11.38b + L.T.Debt 41.86b))
RoIC = 34.35% (NOPAT 12.99b / Invested Capital 37.82b)
WACC = 5.39% (E(245.03b)/V(295.11b) * Re(6.41%) + D(50.08b)/V(295.11b) * Rd(0.46%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 6.41% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.13%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.70% ; FCFE base≈10.09b ; Y1≈9.70b ; Y5≈9.51b
Fair Price DCF = 108.9 (DCF Value 169.53b / Shares Outstanding 1.56b; 5y FCF grow -5.18% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 71.25 | EPS CAGR: 14.46% | SUE: 2.38 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 93.19 | Revenue CAGR: 8.08% | SUE: 1.05 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.90 | Chg30d=-0.050 | Revisions Net=-4 | Analysts=7
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=8.35 | Chg30d=-0.006 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=+10.4% | Growth Revenue=+7.7%

Additional Sources for PM Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle