PNW Stock Analysis: Pinnacle West Capital | NYSE

Utilities - Regulated Electric | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 12.795m USD | 12M Return: 26.1% | US7234841010 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Electric Generation, Transmission, Distribution, Energy Storage
Total Rating 48
Safety 56
Buy Signal 0.53
Electric Utilities
Sub-Industry Rotation: +11.4
Market Cap: 12.8B
Avg Turnover: 163M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility17.3%
VaR 5th Pctl3.09%
VaR vs Median8.39%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.20
Rel. Str. IBD74.7
Rel. Str. Peer Group88.3 pctl
Character TTM
Beta-0.074
Beta Downside-0.080
Hurst Exponent0.466
Choppyness56.5%
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD15.97%
CAGR/Max DD1.20
CAGR/Mean DD4.82
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of PNW over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 3, "2021-12": 0.24, "2022-03": 0.15, "2022-06": 1.45, "2022-09": 2.88, "2022-12": -0.21, "2023-03": -0.03, "2023-06": 0.94, "2023-09": 3.5, "2023-12": -0.0002, "2024-03": 0.15, "2024-06": 1.76, "2024-09": 3.37, "2024-12": -0.06, "2025-03": -0.04, "2025-06": 1.58, "2025-09": 3.39, "2025-12": 0.13, "2026-03": 0.27, "2026-06": 1.43, "2026-09": 3.49,
EPS CAGR: 3.87%
EPS Trend: 53.0%
Last SUE: 0.58
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of PNW over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 1308.254, 2021-12: 798.857, 2022-03: 783.531, 2022-06: 1061.669, 2022-09: 1469.871, 2022-12: 1009.314, 2023-03: 944.955, 2023-06: 1121.703, 2023-09: 1637.759, 2023-12: 991.574, 2024-03: 951.712, 2024-06: 1308.994, 2024-09: 1768.801, 2024-12: 1095.408, 2025-03: 1032.28, 2025-06: 1358.751, 2025-09: 1820.741, 2025-12: 1128.167, 2026-03: 1149.597, 2026-06: 1455.749, 2026-09: 1972.746,
Rev. CAGR: 6.99%
Rev. Trend: 98.5%
Last SUE: 1.37
Qual. Beats: 3

Warnings

High Debt While Negative Cash Flow
Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone

Tailwinds

Idiosyncratic Leader

Seasonality 11.9 years of data, until 10/2026

Jan -0.9% 0
Feb -0.4% 0
Mar +2.9% 28
Apr -0.1% 4
May -0.1% 0
Jun -1.8% 14
Jul +0.6% 0
Aug -3.6% 14
Sep -1.1% 4
Oct +1.1% 0
Nov +1.4% 21
Dec -3.2% 21

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, ≥40 worth a closer look and ≥60 is strong.

Description: PNW Pinnacle West Capital

Pinnacle West Capital Corporation (NYSE: PNW) is a Phoenix-based holding company that operates as a vertically integrated electric utility, providing retail and wholesale electric services throughout Arizona. The company generates, transmits, and distributes electricity using a diverse mix of nuclear, gas, oil, coal, and solar facilities, supported by overhead and underground transmission and distribution lines, substations, and energy storage assets. As a regulated electric utility, Pinnacle Wests operations are overseen by the Arizona Corporation Commission, which sets rates and service standards for the industry. Founded in 1985 and listed since 1984, Pinnacle West ranks as a large-cap utility with a market capitalization of roughly $11.4 billion.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Arizona rate case decisions drive allowed return on equity
  • Coal plant retirement and clean energy capex pressure cash flow
  • Arizona population growth lifts retail electricity demand
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.5
Net Income: 661.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.38 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -15.17% < 20% (prev -18.18%; Δ 3.01% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 1.83b > Net Income 661.1m
Net Debt (22.1b) to EBITDA (2.27b): 9.71 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.71 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (124.3m) vs 12m ago 1.95% < -2%
Gross Margin: 41.42% > 18% (prev 41.16%; Δ 0.26% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 18.01% > 50% (prev 17.75%; Δ 0.26% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.64 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.26b / Interest Expense TTM 476.8m)
Altman Z'' 0.82
A: -0.03 (Total Current Assets 2.15b - Total Current Liabilities 3.02b) / Total Assets 33.5b
B: 0.13 (Retained Earnings 4.28b / Total Assets 33.5b)
C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 1.26b / Avg Total Assets 31.7b)
D: 0.29 (Book Value of Equity 7.48b / Total Liabilities 25.9b)
Altman-Z'' = 0.82 = B
Beneish M -2.93
DSRI: 1.11 (Receivables 1.21b/1.01b, Revenue 5.71b/5.31b)
GMI: 0.99 (GM 41.16% / 41.42%)
AQI: 0.93 (AQ_t 0.14 / AQ_t-1 0.15)
SGI: 1.08 (Revenue 5.71b / 5.31b)
TATA: -0.03 (NI 661.1m - CFO 1.83b) / TA 33.5b)
Beneish M = -2.93 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of PNW shares?

As of November 12, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 107.91 with a total of 1,753,710 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.22%, over one month by +8.96%, over three months by +8.81% and over the past year by +26.07%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 104.80 (which is 2.9% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is PNW a buy, sell or hold?

Pinnacle West Capital has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.56. Therefore, it is recommended to hold PNW.

  • StrongBuy: 5
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 11
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the PNW price?
Analysts Target Price 105 -2.7%
Pinnacle West Capital (PNW) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 06 November 2026
Market Cap USD = 12.8b (12.8b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 20.263
P/E Forward = 19.4932
P/S = 2.2423
P/B = 1.8562
P/EG = 3.8615
Revenue TTM = 5.71b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.26b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.27b USD
Long Term Debt = 9.21b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 1.47b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 22.1b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 5.14b
Net Debt = 22.1b USD (calculated: Debt 22.1b - CCE 11.1m)
Enterprise Value = 34.9b USD (12.8b + Debt 22.1b - CCE 11.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.64 (Ebit TTM 1.26b / Interest Expense TTM 476.8m)
EV/FCF = -37.44x (Enterprise Value 34.9b / FCF TTM -931.9m)
FCF Yield = -2.67% (FCF TTM -931.9m / Enterprise Value 34.9b)
FCF Margin = -16.33% (FCF TTM -931.9m / Revenue TTM 5.71b)
Net Margin = 11.59% (Net Income TTM 661.1m / Revenue TTM 5.71b)
Gross Margin = 41.42% ((Revenue TTM 5.71b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.34b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 31.47% (prev 61.64%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.04 (Enterprise Value 34.9b / Total Assets 33.5b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.16% (Interest Expense 476.8m / Debt 22.1b)
Taxrate = 14.41% (112.8m / 782.7m)
NOPAT = 1.08b (EBIT 1.26b * (1 - 14.41%))
Current Ratio = 0.71 (Total Current Assets 2.15b / Total Current Liabilities 3.02b)
Debt / Equity = 2.96 (Debt 22.1b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 7.48b)
Debt / EBITDA = 9.71 (Net Debt 22.1b / EBITDA 2.27b)
 Debt / FCF = -23.71 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 22.1b / FCF TTM -931.9m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 7.16b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.09% (Net Income 661.1m / Total Assets 33.5b)
RoE = 9.24% (Net Income TTM 661.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 7.16b)
RoCE = 7.70% (EBIT 1.26b / Capital Employed (Equity 7.16b + L.T.Debt 9.21b))
RoIC = 3.38% (NOPAT 1.08b / Invested Capital 31.9b)
WACC = 3.15% (E(12.8b)/V(34.9b) * Re(5.40%) + D(22.1b)/V(34.9b) * Rd(2.16%) * (1-Tc(0.14)))
Discount Rate = 5.40% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 91.95 | Cagr: 3.21%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -931.9m)
 EPS Correlation: 52.98 | EPS CAGR: 3.87% | SUE: 0.58 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.50 | Revenue CAGR: 6.99% | SUE: 1.37 | # QB: 3
EPS current Quarter (2027-03-31): EPS=0.21 | Chg30d=-1.57% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.87 | Chg30d=+3.10% | Revisions=+44% | GrowthEPS=-3.6% | GrowthRev=+8.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.61 | Chg30d=-0.60% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+15.2% | GrowthRev=+2.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +36% (up=6, down=2)