(PNW) Pinnacle West Capital - Ratings and Ratios
Electricity, Transmission, Distribution
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 4.07% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.72% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 2.69% |
| Payout Consistency | 68.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 73.8% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 17.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 28.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -0.37% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.27 |
| Alpha | 1.58 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.51 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.421 |
| Beta | 0.187 |
| Beta Downside | 0.234 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 19.52% |
| Mean DD | 5.68% |
| Median DD | 4.61% |
Description: PNW Pinnacle West Capital October 31, 2025
Pinnacle West Capital Corp. (NYSE:PNW) operates through its subsidiary Arizona Public Service (APS) to deliver retail and wholesale electricity across Arizona. The utility’s asset base spans nuclear, natural-gas, oil, coal and solar generation, plus an integrated transmission and distribution network of overhead and underground lines, substations, and emerging energy-storage facilities. Established in 1985 and headquartered in Phoenix, the firm is classified under the GICS sub-industry “Electric Utilities.”
Key performance indicators from the most recent fiscal year show total revenue of roughly $2.5 billion, adjusted earnings per share of $2.50 and a net income of about $500 million, reflecting a regulated earnings growth of ~5 % YoY. The company carries approximately $1.5 billion of long-term debt, yielding an interest-coverage ratio near 4.5×, while Arizona’s population-driven electricity demand is expanding at ~1 % annually. A material sector driver is the state’s Renewable Portfolio Standard, which mandates that utilities source roughly 30 % of electricity from solar and other renewables by 2030, prompting APS to accelerate its solar-plus-storage deployments.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may find ValueRay’s proprietary valuation models useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0
| Net Income (594.3m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 318.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.28pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -18.18% (prev -18.58%; Δ 0.40pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.77b > Net Income 594.3m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (14.22b) to EBITDA (2.10b) ratio: 6.78 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.67 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (122.0m) change vs 12m ago 4.13% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 38.20% (prev 41.81%; Δ -3.62pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 18.89% (prev 19.08%; Δ -0.20pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.78 (EBITDA TTM 2.10b / Interest Expense TTM 403.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.83
| (A) -0.03 = (Total Current Assets 2.00b - Total Current Liabilities 2.97b) / Total Assets 29.89b |
| (B) 0.14 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 4.05b / Total Assets 29.89b |
| (C) 0.04 = EBIT TTM 1.12b / Avg Total Assets 28.10b |
| (D) 0.32 = Book Value of Equity 7.17b / Total Liabilities 22.68b |
| Total Rating: 0.83 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 47.87
| 1. Piotroski 2.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -2.91% |
| 3. FCF Margin -13.55% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.99 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 6.78 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.39)% |
| 7. RoE 8.68% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 56.54% |
| 9. EPS Trend 23.10% |
What is the price of PNW shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.26%, over one month by -2.42%, over three months by +2.95% and over the past year by +7.70%.
Is PNW a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 6
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the PNW price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 95.6 | 8.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 95.6 | 8.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 98 | 10.9% |
PNW Fundamental Data Overview December 24, 2025
P/E Trailing = 17.9693
P/E Forward = 18.4502
P/S = 1.9776
P/B = 1.4577
P/EG = 3.6048
Beta = 0.532
Revenue TTM = 5.31b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.12b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.10b USD
Long Term Debt = 9.20b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.48b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 14.25b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 14.22b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 24.71b USD (10.50b + Debt 14.25b - CCE 30.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.78 (Ebit TTM 1.12b / Interest Expense TTM 403.0m)
FCF Yield = -2.91% (FCF TTM -718.9m / Enterprise Value 24.71b)
FCF Margin = -13.55% (FCF TTM -718.9m / Revenue TTM 5.31b)
Net Margin = 11.20% (Net Income TTM 594.3m / Revenue TTM 5.31b)
Gross Margin = 38.20% ((Revenue TTM 5.31b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.28b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 38.88% (prev 43.80%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.83 (Enterprise Value 24.71b / Total Assets 29.89b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.78% (Interest Expense 111.2m / Debt 14.25b)
Taxrate = 15.72% (77.9m / 495.4m)
NOPAT = 944.9m (EBIT 1.12b * (1 - 15.72%))
Current Ratio = 0.67 (Total Current Assets 2.00b / Total Current Liabilities 2.97b)
Debt / Equity = 1.99 (Debt 14.25b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 7.17b)
Debt / EBITDA = 6.78 (Net Debt 14.22b / EBITDA 2.10b)
Debt / FCF = -19.77 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 14.22b / FCF TTM -718.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 6.85b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.99% (Net Income 594.3m / Total Assets 29.89b)
RoE = 8.68% (Net Income TTM 594.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 6.85b)
RoCE = 6.99% (EBIT 1.12b / Capital Employed (Equity 6.85b + L.T.Debt 9.20b))
RoIC = 5.62% (NOPAT 944.9m / Invested Capital 16.82b)
WACC = 3.23% (E(10.50b)/V(24.74b) * Re(6.71%) + D(14.25b)/V(24.74b) * Rd(0.78%) * (1-Tc(0.16)))
Discount Rate = 6.71% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 3.40%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -718.9m)
EPS Correlation: 23.10 | EPS CAGR: 102.6% | SUE: 2.07 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 56.54 | Revenue CAGR: 24.57% | SUE: 0.33 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.01 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.68 | Chg30d=-0.013 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=-6.6% | Growth Revenue=+4.0%
Additional Sources for PNW Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle