(POST) Post Holdings - Overview
Sector: Consumer Defensive | Industry: Packaged Foods | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 4.404m USD | Total Return: -12.7% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 80.8M
EPS Trend: 89.6%
Qual. Beats: 10
Rev. Trend: 90.4%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Below Avwap Earnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Post Holdings, Inc. is a consumer packaged goods holding company headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri. The firm operates across four primary segments: Post Consumer Brands, Weetabix, Foodservice, and Refrigerated Retail. Its portfolio includes legacy cereal brands such as Honey Bunches of Oats and Pebbles, alongside a significant presence in the pet food market through brands like Rachael Ray Nutrish and 9Lives. The company also supplies egg and potato products to the foodservice channel and markets refrigerated side dishes under the Bob Evans label.
The company operates within the Packaged Foods & Meats industry, a sector characterized by defensive cash flows and high competition for shelf space. Post utilizes a multi-channel distribution strategy, selling to grocery stores, mass merchandisers, and e-commerce platforms. As a holding company, its business model frequently involves strategic acquisitions to expand its category reach and achieve economies of scale in manufacturing and logistics. For a deeper look at the companys intrinsic value and fundamental metrics, consider exploring the data on ValueRay.
- Pet food acquisition integration determines long term revenue growth and margin expansion
- Avian flu outbreaks volatilely impact egg pricing and foodservice segment profitability
- Private label demand shifts influence ready-to-eat cereal market share and margins
- Raw material commodity costs and freight inflation pressure consumer packaged goods margins
- Strategic mergers and acquisitions activity remains a primary driver of shareholder value
| Net Income: 338.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.68 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 11.18% < 20% (prev 14.61%; Δ -3.42% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 1.01b > Net Income 338.4m |
| Net Debt (7.64b) to EBITDA (1.43b): 5.33 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.85 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (54.1m) vs 12m ago -14.26% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 26.56% > 18% (prev 0.27%; Δ 2.63k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 65.55% > 50% (prev 61.60%; Δ 3.95% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.16 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.43b / Interest Expense TTM 399.4m) |
| A: 0.07 (Total Current Assets 2.05b - Total Current Liabilities 1.11b) / Total Assets 13.0b |
| B: 0.18 (Retained Earnings 2.30b / Total Assets 13.0b) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 864.6m / Avg Total Assets 12.9b) |
| D: 0.23 (Book Value of Equity 2.28b / Total Liabilities 9.77b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.75 = BBB |
| DSRI: 0.97 (Receivables 728.8m/697.8m, Revenue 8.45b/7.88b) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 26.56% / 26.89%) |
| AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.64 / AQ_t-1 0.64) |
| SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 8.45b / 7.88b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 338.4m - CFO 1.01b) / TA 13.0b) |
| Beneish M = -3.04 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of May 27, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 95.87 with a total of 631,307 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.75%,
over one month by -7.65%,
over three months by -9.24% and
over the past year by -12.69%.
Post Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy POST.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 122 | 27.3% |
P/E Trailing = 16.3037
P/E Forward = 28.2486
P/S = 0.5218
P/B = 1.3801
P/EG = 1.1706
Revenue TTM = 8.45b USD
EBIT TTM = 864.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.43b USD
Long Term Debt = 7.63b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.30m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 7.91b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 277.9m
Net Debt = 7.64b USD (calculated: Debt 7.91b - CCE 269.4m)
Enterprise Value = 12.0b USD (4.40b + Debt 7.91b - CCE 269.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.16 (Ebit TTM 864.6m / Interest Expense TTM 399.4m)
EV/FCF = 16.62x (Enterprise Value 12.0b / FCF TTM 724.5m)
FCF Yield = 6.02% (FCF TTM 724.5m / Enterprise Value 12.0b)
FCF Margin = 8.58% (FCF TTM 724.5m / Revenue TTM 8.45b)
Net Margin = 4.01% (Net Income TTM 338.4m / Revenue TTM 8.45b)
Gross Margin = 26.56% ((Revenue TTM 8.45b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.20b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 26.92% (prev 27.13%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.93 (Enterprise Value 12.0b / Total Assets 13.0b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.05% (Interest Expense 399.4m / Debt 7.91b)
Taxrate = 25.52% (28.1m / 110.1m)
NOPAT = 643.9m (EBIT 864.6m * (1 - 25.52%))
Current Ratio = 1.85 (Total Current Assets 2.05b / Total Current Liabilities 1.11b)
Debt / Equity = 2.48 (Debt 7.91b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.19b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.33 (Net Debt 7.64b / EBITDA 1.43b)
Debt / FCF = 10.54 (Net Debt 7.64b / FCF TTM 724.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.60b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.63% (Net Income 338.4m / Total Assets 13.0b)
RoE = 9.40% (Net Income TTM 338.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.60b)
RoCE = 7.70% (EBIT 864.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.60b + L.T.Debt 7.63b))
RoIC = 5.50% (NOPAT 643.9m / Invested Capital 11.7b)
WACC = 4.60% (E(4.40b)/V(12.3b) * Re(6.10%) + D(7.91b)/V(12.3b) * Rd(5.05%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 6.10% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -95.56 | Cagr: -9.25%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈634.4m ; Y1≈727.3m ; Y5≈1.07b
[DCF] Fair Price = 186.8 (EV 16.1b - Net Debt 7.64b = Equity 8.47b / Shares 45.3m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 89.63 | EPS CAGR: 15.50% | SUE: 1.90 | # QB: 10
Revenue Correlation: 90.39 | Revenue CAGR: 7.37% | SUE: -0.67 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.70 | Chg30d=-1.42% | Revisions=-11% | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=7.65 | Chg30d=+3.36% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+5.8% | GrowthRev=+1.9%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=8.69 | Chg30d=+5.74% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+13.6% | GrowthRev=-0.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +40%