Overview Dividends

(POST) Post Holdings - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US7374461041

Cereal, Peanut Butter, Pet Food, Egg Products, Refrigerated Meals

Packaged Foods & Meats
Market Cap in USD: 5,276m

IPO / Inception: 2012-01-27
Return 12m vs S&P 500: -25.9%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -22.37%
EPS Trend: 31.8%

Last SUE: -4.00
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 14.84%
Rev. Trend: 92.1%

Last SUE: 0.00
Qual. Beats: 0

Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility	19.1%
Value at Risk 5%th	29.9%
Relative Tail Risk	-5.09%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	-0.68
Alpha	-19.09
CAGR/Max DD	0.12

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.386
Beta	0.131
Beta Downside	0.005

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	20.48%
Mean DD	7.00%
Median DD	6.94%

Description: POST Post Holdings November 05, 2025

Post Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: POST) is a diversified consumer packaged goods (CPG) holding company that operates across four primary segments: Post Consumer Brands, Weetabix, Foodservice, and Refrigerated Retail. The firm sells a mix of branded and private-label products ranging from ready-to-eat cereals (e.g., Honey Bunches of Oats, Weetabix) and pet foods (e.g., Rachael Ray Nutrish, 9Lives) to egg-based foodservice items and refrigerated side dishes under the Bob Evans label.

According to the most recent FY 2023 filing, POST generated roughly **$6.2 billion** in revenue, with an operating margin of **~9 %** and net income of **$0.31 billion** (≈ $2.30 EPS). The pet-food portfolio grew **~7 % YoY**, driven by premiumization and a shift toward private-label alternatives, while the cereal business faced modest declines (-2 % YoY) as health-conscious consumers reduce sugar-laden options.

Key macro-drivers for POST include ongoing **inflationary pressure on commodity inputs** (corn, wheat, dairy) that compress margins, and **changing consumer spending patterns** that favor value-oriented private-label products and higher-margin specialty items (e.g., protein shakes, premium pet foods). Additionally, the broader CPG sector is experiencing **supply-chain tightening** and **e-commerce acceleration**, both of which can affect distribution costs and channel mix.

For a deeper quantitative assessment of POST’s valuation relative to peers, the ValueRay platform offers a concise, data-driven dashboard worth exploring.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5

Net Income (335.7m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 489.5m TTM)

FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.30pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 9.95% (prev 16.24%; Δ -6.29pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 998.3m > Net Income 335.7m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (7.25b) to EBITDA (1.33b) ratio: 5.45 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 1.67 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (60.9m) change vs 12m ago -7.45% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 26.37% (prev 27.23%; Δ -0.86pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 61.84% (prev 61.64%; Δ 0.21pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 2.23 (EBITDA TTM 1.33b / Interest Expense TTM 361.4m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 1.54

(A) 0.06 = (Total Current Assets 2.02b - Total Current Liabilities 1.21b) / Total Assets 13.53b

(B) 0.16 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.12b / Total Assets 13.53b

(D) 0.22 = Book Value of Equity 2.13b / Total Liabilities 9.76b

Total Rating: 1.54 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 62.78

1. Piotroski 4.50pt

2. FCF Yield 3.90%

3. FCF Margin 5.98%

4. Debt/Equity 1.98

5. Debt/Ebitda 5.45

6. ROIC - WACC (= 1.85)%

7. RoE 8.68%

8. Rev. Trend 92.14%

9. EPS Trend 31.78%

What is the price of POST shares?

As of December 31, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 99.35 with a total of 380,610 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.35%, over one month by -0.60%, over three months by -6.34% and over the past year by -12.47%.

Is POST a buy, sell or hold?

Post Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy POST.

Strong Buy: 4
Buy: 3
Hold: 4
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the POST price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	123.2	24%
Analysts Target Price	123.2	24%
ValueRay Target Price	94.2	-5.2%

POST Fundamental Data Overview December 30, 2025

Market Cap USD = 5.28b (5.28b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 18.3593
P/E Forward = 28.7356
P/S = 0.6467
P/B = 1.3909
P/EG = 1.1893
Beta = 0.39
Revenue TTM = 8.16b USD
EBIT TTM = 805.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.33b USD
Long Term Debt = 7.42b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.20m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 7.42b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 7.25b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 12.52b USD (5.28b + Debt 7.42b - CCE 176.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.23 (Ebit TTM 805.4m / Interest Expense TTM 361.4m)
FCF Yield = 3.90% (FCF TTM 488.1m / Enterprise Value 12.52b)
FCF Margin = 5.98% (FCF TTM 488.1m / Revenue TTM 8.16b)
Net Margin = 4.11% (Net Income TTM 335.7m / Revenue TTM 8.16b)
Gross Margin = 26.37% ((Revenue TTM 8.16b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.01b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 24.74% (prev 27.62%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.93 (Enterprise Value 12.52b / Total Assets 13.53b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.37% (Interest Expense 101.8m / Debt 7.42b)
Taxrate = 30.0% (21.9m / 73.0m)
NOPAT = 563.8m (EBIT 805.4m * (1 - 30.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.67 (Total Current Assets 2.02b / Total Current Liabilities 1.21b)
Debt / Equity = 1.98 (Debt 7.42b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.75b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.45 (Net Debt 7.25b / EBITDA 1.33b)
Debt / FCF = 14.85 (Net Debt 7.25b / FCF TTM 488.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.87b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.48% (Net Income 335.7m / Total Assets 13.53b)
RoE = 8.68% (Net Income TTM 335.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.87b)
RoCE = 7.13% (EBIT 805.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.87b + L.T.Debt 7.42b))
RoIC = 5.11% (NOPAT 563.8m / Invested Capital 11.03b)
WACC = 3.26% (E(5.28b)/V(12.70b) * Re(6.50%) + D(7.42b)/V(12.70b) * Rd(1.37%) * (1-Tc(0.30)))
Discount Rate = 6.50% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -4.87%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 79.93% ; FCFE base≈493.7m ; Y1≈556.4m ; Y5≈749.6m
Fair Price DCF = 251.7 (DCF Value 12.99b / Shares Outstanding 51.6m; 5y FCF grow 14.73% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 31.78 | EPS CAGR: -22.37% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 92.14 | Revenue CAGR: 14.84% | SUE: -0.00 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.74 | Chg30d=-0.157 | Revisions Net=-4 | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=6.94 | Chg30d=-0.732 | Revisions Net=-7 | Growth EPS=-4.0% | Growth Revenue=+3.3%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=8.25 | Chg30d=-0.601 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=+18.9% | Growth Revenue=-0.2%

Additional Sources for POST Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle