(POST) Post Holdings - Ratings and Ratios
Branded Cereal, Private Label Cereal, Peanut Butter, Pet Food, Eggs
POST EPS (Earnings per Share)
POST Revenue
Description: POST Post Holdings
Post Holdings Inc (NYSE:POST) is a consumer packaged goods holding company with a diverse portfolio of brands across four business segments: Post Consumer Brands, Weetabix, Foodservice, and Refrigerated Retail. The company operates in the United States and internationally, serving a wide range of customers including grocery stores, mass merchandise customers, and foodservice distributors.
The companys brand portfolio includes well-known names such as Honey Bunches of Oats, Pebbles, Malt-O-Meal, Weetabix, and Bob Evans, among others. Post Holdings has a strong presence in the ready-to-eat cereal market and also offers a range of other food products, including hot cereals, peanut butter, pet food, egg products, and dairy products. To evaluate the companys performance, key performance indicators (KPIs) such as revenue growth, gross margin, and operating cash flow can be analyzed. For instance, a rising gross margin could indicate effective cost management and pricing power, while a steady increase in operating cash flow could suggest a strong ability to generate cash from core operations.
From a financial perspective, Post Holdings has a market capitalization of approximately $6 billion, with a price-to-earnings ratio of around 19 and a forward P/E of 28.74. The companys return on equity (RoE) stands at 9.07%, indicating a relatively modest return on shareholders equity. To further assess the companys financial health, metrics such as debt-to-equity ratio, interest coverage ratio, and dividend yield can be examined. For example, a debt-to-equity ratio below 1 could indicate a healthy balance between debt and equity financing, while a stable or increasing dividend yield could be attractive to income-seeking investors.
To gain a deeper understanding of Post Holdings competitive position and growth prospects, it is essential to analyze industry trends, market share, and the companys strategic initiatives. For instance, the growing demand for healthy and convenient food options could be a key driver of growth for the company, particularly if it can successfully leverage its brand portfolio to capitalize on these trends. By examining KPIs such as market share, product innovation pipeline, and brand recognition, investors can gain a more comprehensive understanding of the companys potential for long-term success.
POST Stock Overview
Market Cap in USD | 6,027m |
Sub-Industry | Packaged Foods & Meats |
IPO / Inception | 2012-01-27 |
POST Stock Ratings
Growth Rating | 14.9% |
Fundamental | 63.0% |
Dividend Rating | - |
Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -24.3% |
Analyst Rating | 4.0 of 5 |
POST Dividends
Currently no dividends paidPOST Growth Ratios
Growth Correlation 3m | -17.9% |
Growth Correlation 12m | -48.9% |
Growth Correlation 5y | 92.7% |
CAGR 5y | 6.10% |
CAGR/Max DD 3y | 0.36 |
CAGR/Mean DD 3y | 1.04 |
Sharpe Ratio 12m | -1.87 |
Alpha | 0.00 |
Beta | 0.973 |
Volatility | 21.48% |
Current Volume | 664.7k |
Average Volume 20d | 697.1k |
Stop Loss | 99.7 (-3.1%) |
Signal | -0.59 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
Net Income (366.1m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 475.3m TTM) |
FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.52pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
NWC/Revenue 20.51% (prev 11.44%; Δ 9.07pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 932.4m > Net Income 366.1m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
Net Debt (6.29b) to EBITDA (1.31b) ratio: 4.80 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
Current Ratio 2.60 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (62.4m) change vs 12m ago -6.87% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
Gross Margin 29.20% (prev 29.03%; Δ 0.17pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
Asset Turnover 62.13% (prev 64.79%; Δ -2.66pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
Interest Coverage Ratio 2.38 (EBITDA TTM 1.31b / Interest Expense TTM 339.2m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.96
(A) 0.12 = (Total Current Assets 2.64b - Total Current Liabilities 1.02b) / Total Assets 13.37b |
(B) 0.15 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.07b / Total Assets 13.37b |
(C) 0.06 = EBIT TTM 808.2m / Avg Total Assets 12.75b |
(D) 0.23 = Book Value of Equity 2.12b / Total Liabilities 9.36b |
Total Rating: 1.96 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 62.97
1. Piotroski 3.50pt = -1.50 |
2. FCF Yield 4.58% = 2.29 |
3. FCF Margin 7.12% = 1.78 |
4. Debt/Equity 1.84 = 1.01 |
5. Debt/Ebitda 5.61 = -2.50 |
6. ROIC - WACC (= 0.89)% = 1.11 |
7. RoE 9.27% = 0.77 |
8. Rev. Trend 81.57% = 6.12 |
9. EPS Trend 77.90% = 3.89 |
What is the price of POST shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.77%, over one month by -4.62%, over three months by -8.57% and over the past year by -10.27%.
Is Post Holdings a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of POST is around 99.19 USD . This means that POST is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -3.59%.
Is POST a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the POST price?
Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
---|---|---|
Wallstreet Target Price | 127.4 | 23.9% |
Analysts Target Price | 127.4 | 23.9% |
ValueRay Target Price | 107 | 4% |
Last update: 2025-09-05 04:56
POST Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 1.06b USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 18.8707
P/E Forward = 28.7356
P/S = 0.7609
P/B = 1.5083
P/EG = 1.1893
Beta = 0.429
Revenue TTM = 7.92b USD
EBIT TTM = 808.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.31b USD
Long Term Debt = 7.35b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.20m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 7.35b USD (Calculated: Short Term 1.20m + Long Term 7.35b)
Net Debt = 6.29b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 12.32b USD (6.03b + Debt 7.35b - CCE 1.06b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.38 (Ebit TTM 808.2m / Interest Expense TTM 339.2m)
FCF Yield = 4.58% (FCF TTM 563.7m / Enterprise Value 12.32b)
FCF Margin = 7.12% (FCF TTM 563.7m / Revenue TTM 7.92b)
Net Margin = 4.62% (Net Income TTM 366.1m / Revenue TTM 7.92b)
Gross Margin = 29.20% ((Revenue TTM 7.92b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.61b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.82 (Enterprise Value 12.32b / Book Value Of Equity 2.12b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.20% (Interest Expense 88.5m / Debt 7.35b)
Taxrate = 22.26% (105.1m / 472.1m)
NOPAT = 628.3m (EBIT 808.2m * (1 - 22.26%))
Current Ratio = 2.60 (Total Current Assets 2.64b / Total Current Liabilities 1.02b)
Debt / Equity = 1.84 (Debt 7.35b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 4.00b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.61 (Net Debt 6.29b / EBITDA 1.31b)
Debt / FCF = 13.03 (Debt 7.35b / FCF TTM 563.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.95b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 2.74% (Net Income 366.1m, Total Assets 13.37b )
RoE = 9.27% (Net Income TTM 366.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.95b)
RoCE = 7.15% (Ebit 808.2m / (Equity 3.95b + L.T.Debt 7.35b))
RoIC = 5.73% (NOPAT 628.3m / Invested Capital 10.96b)
WACC = 4.84% (E(6.03b)/V(13.37b) * Re(9.60%)) + (D(7.35b)/V(13.37b) * Rd(1.20%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -35.12 | Cagr: -0.20%
Discount Rate = 9.60% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 74.75% ; FCFE base≈568.1m ; Y1≈640.2m ; Y5≈862.5m
Fair Price DCF = 209.6 (DCF Value 11.39b / Shares Outstanding 54.3m; 5y FCF grow 14.73% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 77.90 | EPS CAGR: 37.24% | SUE: 2.39 | # QB: 11
Revenue Correlation: 81.57 | Revenue CAGR: 8.66% | SUE: 0.85 | # QB: 1
Additional Sources for POST Stock
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