(POST) Post Holdings - Overview
Sector: Consumer Defensive | Industry: Packaged Foods | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 5.070m USD | Total Return: -16.5% in 12m
Avg Trading Vol: 69.0M USD
Peers RS (IBD): 50.0
EPS Trend: -8.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 91.4%
Qual. Beats: 0
Post Holdings Inc. is a consumer packaged goods holding company. It operates across four segments: Post Consumer Brands, Weetabix, Foodservice, and Refrigerated Retail. This business model diversifies revenue streams across various food product categories.
The Post Consumer Brands segment offers ready-to-eat cereals, hot cereals, peanut butter, and pet food. The Weetabix segment focuses on ready-to-eat cereals, hot cereals, and nutritional snacks, primarily in international markets. This segment operates in the breakfast cereal market, a mature sector with established brands.
The Foodservice segment supplies egg and potato products, as well as some meat products, to foodservice and food ingredient channels. The Refrigerated Retail segment produces and distributes refrigerated side dishes, potato products, sausage, eggs, and dairy items. The company distributes its products through various retail channels, including grocery stores, mass merchandisers, and convenience stores, and also through foodservice channels.
For more detailed financial analysis, consider exploring ValueRays comprehensive reports.
- Commodity price volatility impacts food manufacturing costs
- Private label competition erodes branded cereal market share
- Foodservice demand fluctuates with restaurant industry health
- Pet food sales growth boosts consumer brands segment
- Regulatory changes in food safety increase operational expenses
| Net Income: 319.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.17 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 11.16% < 20% (prev 17.23%; Δ -6.07% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 923.6m > Net Income 319.2m |
| Net Debt (7.18b) to EBITDA (1.37b): 5.25 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.90 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (58.2m) vs 12m ago -10.74% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 26.26% > 18% (prev 0.27%; Δ 2.60k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 64.78% > 50% (prev 61.87%; Δ 2.91% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.13 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.37b / Interest Expense TTM 380.7m) |
| A: 0.07 (Total Current Assets 1.97b - Total Current Liabilities 1.04b) / Total Assets 12.98b |
| B: 0.17 (Retained Earnings 2.22b / Total Assets 12.98b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 810.5m / Avg Total Assets 12.90b) |
| D: 0.23 (Book Value of Equity 2.23b / Total Liabilities 9.52b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.70 = BB |
| DSRI: 1.06 (Receivables 680.6m/608.4m, Revenue 8.36b/7.93b) |
| GMI: 1.04 (GM 26.26% / 27.34%) |
| AQI: 1.01 (AQ_t 0.64 / AQ_t-1 0.64) |
| SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 8.36b / 7.93b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 319.2m - CFO 923.6m) / TA 12.98b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.94 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.15%, over one month by -8.56%, over three months by -2.16% and over the past year by -16.47%.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| ISSUER | TARGET | UP/DOWN |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 130.1 | 33.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 130.1 | 33.9% |
P/E Forward = 28.7356
P/S = 0.6066
P/B = 1.3319
P/EG = 1.1893
Revenue TTM = 8.36b USD
EBIT TTM = 810.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.37b USD
Long Term Debt = 7.46b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.20m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 7.46b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 7.18b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 12.25b USD (5.07b + Debt 7.46b - CCE 279.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.13 (Ebit TTM 810.5m / Interest Expense TTM 380.7m)
EV/FCF = 28.10x (Enterprise Value 12.25b / FCF TTM 436.0m)
FCF Yield = 3.56% (FCF TTM 436.0m / Enterprise Value 12.25b)
FCF Margin = 5.22% (FCF TTM 436.0m / Revenue TTM 8.36b)
Net Margin = 3.82% (Net Income TTM 319.2m / Revenue TTM 8.36b)
Gross Margin = 26.26% ((Revenue TTM 8.36b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.16b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 27.13% (prev 24.74%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.94 (Enterprise Value 12.25b / Total Assets 12.98b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.39% (Interest Expense 103.4m / Debt 7.46b)
Taxrate = 21.96% (27.3m / 124.3m)
NOPAT = 632.5m (EBIT 810.5m * (1 - 21.96%))
Current Ratio = 1.90 (Total Current Assets 1.97b / Total Current Liabilities 1.04b)
Debt / Equity = 2.16 (Debt 7.46b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.46b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.25 (Net Debt 7.18b / EBITDA 1.37b)
Debt / FCF = 16.47 (Net Debt 7.18b / FCF TTM 436.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.76b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.47% (Net Income 319.2m / Total Assets 12.98b)
RoE = 8.49% (Net Income TTM 319.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.76b)
RoCE = 7.23% (EBIT 810.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.76b + L.T.Debt 7.46b))
RoIC = 5.72% (NOPAT 632.5m / Invested Capital 11.05b)
WACC = 3.08% (E(5.07b)/V(12.53b) * Re(6.02%) + D(7.46b)/V(12.53b) * Rd(1.39%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 6.02% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.92%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -7.01%
[DCF] Terminal Value 87.44% ; FCFF base≈493.6m ; Y1≈556.2m ; Y5≈749.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = 308.8 (EV 21.99b - Net Debt 7.18b = Equity 14.81b / Shares 48.0m; r=6.0% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 14.73% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -8.33 | EPS CAGR: -36.70% | SUE: -3.15 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 91.40 | Revenue CAGR: 12.25% | SUE: 0.07 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.78 | Chg7d=-0.024 | Chg30d=+0.010 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=7.38 | Chg7d=+0.308 | Chg30d=+0.439 | Revisions Net=+6 | Growth EPS=+2.0% | Growth Revenue=+3.0%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=8.30 | Chg7d=-0.148 | Chg30d=+0.038 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+12.5% | Growth Revenue=-0.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0.00 (2 Up / 2 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 2.3% (Discount Rate 7.9% - Earnings Yield 5.7%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +2.3% (Analyst 4.6% - Implied 2.3%)