(PRMB) Primo Brands - Ratings and Ratios
Water Dispensers, Bottled Water, Water Filtration, Refill Stations, Flavored Water
PRMB EPS (Earnings per Share)
PRMB Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 30.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 45.7% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.31% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -1.15 |
| Alpha | -46.38 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.529 |
| Beta | 0.427 |
| Beta Downside | 0.454 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 59.12% |
| Mean DD | 9.78% |
| Median DD | 6.75% |
Description: PRMB Primo Brands October 31, 2025
Primo Brands Corp. (NYSE: PRMB) is a North-American branded-beverage company that supplies water-related solutions through a mix of hardware (water dispensers, filtration appliances, self-service refill stations) and consumables (refillable/reusable bottles, pre-filled exchange programs). Its product slate spans premium packaged waters (Poland Spring, Deer Park, Arrowhead, etc.), purified water under the Primo Water and Sparkletts labels, and functional drinks such as AC+ION and Splash Refresher.
The firm reaches customers via a diversified channel set: direct-to-consumer (subscription and home-delivery), retail shelf-space, e-commerce platforms, on-premise venues (restaurants, hotels), and large-scale commercial contracts (office buildings, schools). This multi-channel footprint helps mitigate demand concentration risk and supports recurring revenue streams.
Key operating metrics (FY 2024) show revenue of roughly **$1.5 billion**, with a **3-4% year-over-year growth** driven primarily by the expanding home-delivery segment, which posted a **double-digit volume increase** as remote-work and sustainability trends push consumers toward refillable solutions. Adjusted EBITDA margin hovered near **12%**, reflecting modest pricing power in a market where bottled-water consumption in the U.S. is projected to grow **~2% CAGR** through 2028, supported by health-consciousness and demand for premium “clean-label” products.
Sector-level drivers that will likely influence PRMB’s outlook include: (1) **Regulatory pressure on single-use plastic** prompting a shift toward reusable packaging; (2) **Water scarcity concerns** that raise the value proposition of on-site filtration and refill stations; and (3) **Inflation-adjusted pricing dynamics**, where water-related products have historically shown low price elasticity, allowing firms to pass cost increases with limited volume loss.
For a deeper, data-driven view of Primo Brands’ valuation and risk profile, you may find ValueRay’s analyst notes worth reviewing.
PRMB Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 5,354m |
| Sub-Industry | Packaged Foods & Meats |
| IPO / Inception | 2024-11-11 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -48.8% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.56 of 5 |
PRMB Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.38% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.91% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 48.91% |
| Payout Consistency | 53.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 33.6% |
PRMB Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | 6.67% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.11 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 0.68 |
| Current Volume | 12797.2k |
| Average Volume | 3826.8k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income (-84.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 390.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -9.63pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 0.50% (prev 14.14%; Δ -13.63pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 (>3.0%) and CFO 577.4m > Net Income -84.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (261.4m) to EBITDA (915.8m) ratio: 0.29 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.02 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (374.1m) change vs 12m ago 130.8% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 31.07% (prev 35.09%; Δ -4.02pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 89.63% (prev 113.6%; Δ -23.96pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.11 (EBITDA TTM 915.8m / Interest Expense TTM 334.9m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -0.43
| (A) 0.00 = (Total Current Assets 1.47b - Total Current Liabilities 1.43b) / Total Assets 10.96b |
| (B) -0.17 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -1.84b / Total Assets 10.96b |
| (C) 0.05 = EBIT TTM 372.8m / Avg Total Assets 7.26b |
| (D) -0.24 = Book Value of Equity -1.85b / Total Liabilities 7.80b |
| Total Rating: -0.43 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 56.72
| 1. Piotroski 3.0pt = -2.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.33% = 1.16 |
| 3. FCF Margin 2.01% = 0.50 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.22 = 2.48 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.29 = 2.44 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -4.86)% = -6.07 |
| 7. RoE -2.57% = -0.43 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 85.36% = 6.40 |
| 9. EPS Trend 44.85% = 2.24 |
What is the price of PRMB shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +13.55%, over one month by -26.50%, over three months by -32.90% and over the past year by -41.33%.
Is Primo Brands a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of PRMB is around 13.50 USD . This means that PRMB is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -17.78%.
Is PRMB a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 5
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the PRMB price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 29.3 | 78.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 29.3 | 78.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 14.9 | -9.1% |
PRMB Fundamental Data Overview November 11, 2025
P/E Forward = 11.8483
P/S = 0.8228
P/B = 2.5349
Beta = 0.591
Revenue TTM = 6.51b USD
EBIT TTM = 372.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 915.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 4.96b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 164.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 684.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 261.4m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 5.62b USD (5.35b + Debt 684.1m - CCE 422.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.11 (Ebit TTM 372.8m / Interest Expense TTM 334.9m)
FCF Yield = 2.33% (FCF TTM 130.6m / Enterprise Value 5.62b)
FCF Margin = 2.01% (FCF TTM 130.6m / Revenue TTM 6.51b)
Net Margin = -1.30% (Net Income TTM -84.6m / Revenue TTM 6.51b)
Gross Margin = 31.07% ((Revenue TTM 6.51b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.49b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 29.91% (prev 31.26%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.51 (Enterprise Value 5.62b / Total Assets 10.96b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 12.15% (Interest Expense 83.1m / Debt 684.1m)
Taxrate = 39.46% (26.4m / 66.9m)
NOPAT = 225.7m (EBIT 372.8m * (1 - 39.46%))
Current Ratio = 1.02 (Total Current Assets 1.47b / Total Current Liabilities 1.43b)
Debt / Equity = 0.22 (Debt 684.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.16b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.29 (Net Debt 261.4m / EBITDA 915.8m)
Debt / FCF = 2.00 (Net Debt 261.4m / FCF TTM 130.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.30b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -0.77% (Net Income -84.6m / Total Assets 10.96b)
RoE = -2.57% (Net Income TTM -84.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.30b)
RoCE = 4.51% (EBIT 372.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.30b + L.T.Debt 4.96b))
RoIC = 2.69% (NOPAT 225.7m / Invested Capital 8.40b)
WACC = 7.55% (E(5.35b)/V(6.04b) * Re(7.57%) + D(684.1m)/V(6.04b) * Rd(12.15%) * (1-Tc(0.39)))
Discount Rate = 7.57% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 52.65%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 73.38% ; FCFE base≈232.6m ; Y1≈175.0m ; Y5≈105.1m
Fair Price DCF = 5.36 (DCF Value 1.98b / Shares Outstanding 370.3m; 5y FCF grow -29.34% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 44.85 | EPS CAGR: 4.84% | SUE: 0.82 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 85.36 | Revenue CAGR: 70.82% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for PRMB Stock
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