PSTL Stock Analysis: Postal Realty Trust | NYSE
REIT - Office | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 908m USD | 12M Return: 74.3% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 8.52M
EPS Trend: 87.6%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 99.5%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 7.1 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Postal Realty Trust, Inc. (PSTL) is an internally managed real estate investment trust that specializes in acquiring and managing properties leased to the United States Postal Service, holding the position of the largest dedicated owner of USPS-leased facilities in the country. The company generates rental revenue from postal properties that function as mission-critical logistics infrastructure, supporting e-commerce fulfillment and last-mile delivery operations.
The business model is structured around long-term net leases with a federal government-backed tenant, which the company describes as providing stable, contractually governed cash flow, high tenant retention, and predictable annual rent escalations. As a GICS-classified Diversified REIT within the Real Estate sector, Postal Realty Trust went public in May 2019 and operates as a small-cap issuer with a market capitalization of approximately $800 million, headquartered in Cedarhurst, New York.
- USPS property acquisitions accelerate portfolio expansion
- Annual rent escalators drive predictable AFFO growth
- Small-cap REIT faces interest rate sensitivity on financing costs
| Net Income: 15.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.66 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 7.05% < 20% (prev -36.81%; Δ 43.86% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 44.6m > Net Income 15.9m |
| Net Debt (415.6m) to EBITDA (61.9m): 6.72 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 14.49 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (27.3m) vs 12m ago 17.65% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 75.40% > 18% (prev 76.08%; Δ -0.68% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 13.88% > 50% (prev 12.42%; Δ 1.46% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.08 > 6 (EBIT TTM 37.0m / Interest Expense TTM 17.8m) |
| A: 0.01 (Total Current Assets 7.61m - Total Current Liabilities 525k) / Total Assets 792.5m |
| B: -0.10 (Retained Earnings -77.2m / Total Assets 792.5m) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 37.0m / Avg Total Assets 723.3m) |
| D: 0.69 (Book Value of Equity 292.2m / Total Liabilities 422.1m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.81 = B |
As of July 18, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 24.05 with a total of 297,074 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.41%, over one month by +6.70%, over three months by +14.29% and over the past year by +74.28%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 23.20 (which is 3.5% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Postal Realty Trust has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.13. Therefore, it is recommended to buy PSTL.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 25 | 4.1% |
P/E Trailing = 46.4423
P/E Forward = 47.3934
P/S = 9.0739
P/B = 2.4944
Revenue TTM = 100.4m USD
EBIT TTM = 37.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 61.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 337.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 525k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 416.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 7.90m
Net Debt = 415.6m USD (calculated: Debt 416.9m - CCE 1.26m)
Enterprise Value = 1.32b USD (907.7m + Debt 416.9m - CCE 1.26m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.08 (Ebit TTM 37.0m / Interest Expense TTM 17.8m)
EV/FCF = 35.52x (Enterprise Value 1.32b / FCF TTM 37.3m)
FCF Yield = 2.82% (FCF TTM 37.3m / Enterprise Value 1.32b)
FCF Margin = 37.10% (FCF TTM 37.3m / Revenue TTM 100.4m)
Net Margin = 15.83% (Net Income TTM 15.9m / Revenue TTM 100.4m)
Gross Margin = 75.40% ((Revenue TTM 100.4m - Cost of Revenue TTM 24.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 30.88% (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.67 (Enterprise Value 1.32b / Total Assets 792.5m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.27% (Interest Expense 17.8m / Debt 416.9m)
Taxrate = 0.18% (36.0k / 20.3m)
NOPAT = 36.9m (EBIT 37.0m * (1 - 0.18%))
Current Ratio = 14.49 (Total Current Assets 7.61m / Total Current Liabilities 525k)
Debt / Equity = 1.43 (Debt 416.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 292.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = 6.72 (Net Debt 415.6m / EBITDA 61.9m)
Debt / FCF = 11.16 (Net Debt 415.6m / FCF TTM 37.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 275.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.20% (Net Income 15.9m / Total Assets 792.5m)
RoE = 5.77% (Net Income TTM 15.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 275.5m)
RoCE = 6.04% (EBIT 37.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 275.5m + L.T.Debt 337.1m))
RoIC = 4.67% (NOPAT 36.9m / Invested Capital 791.3m)
WACC = 5.61% (E(907.7m)/V(1.32b) * Re(6.23%) + D(416.9m)/V(1.32b) * Rd(4.27%) * (1-Tc(0.00)))
Discount Rate = 6.23% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 91.24 | Cagr: 11.46%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.22% ; FCFF base≈36.4m ; Y1≈38.4m ; Y5≈45.0m
[DCF] Fair Price = 9.19 (EV 692.3m - Net Debt 415.6m = Equity 276.7m / Shares 30.1m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 6.19% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 87.57 | EPS CAGR: 86.14% | SUE: -0.07 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.52 | Revenue CAGR: 22.01% | SUE: 0.86 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.14 | Chg30d=+7.28% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=3
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.15 | Chg30d=+2.07% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.56 | Chg30d=-10.16% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=-10.3% | GrowthRev=+16.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.59 | Chg30d=+8.13% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+5.5% | GrowthRev=+14.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -17% (up=1, down=2)