(QD) Qudian - Ratings and Ratios
Credit, Financing, Technology, Services, Loan
QD EPS (Earnings per Share)
QD Revenue
Description: QD Qudian
Qudian Inc. is a consumer-centric technology firm operating in China, offering a diverse range of services including installment credit, credit facilitation, transaction services, and automobile financing, alongside non-financial services like meal sales, educational services, and logistics. This diversified business model positions the company at the intersection of finance, technology, and consumer goods, catering to a broad spectrum of consumer needs.
With its foundation in 2014 and headquarters in Xiamen, China, Qudian has established itself as a significant player in the consumer finance sector, leveraging technology to provide innovative financial solutions and services. The companys business scope extends beyond financial services to include technology development, research and development, and delivery services, underscoring its commitment to technological advancement and consumer convenience.
Analyzing the provided
Forecasting Qudians stock performance involves integrating both technical and fundamental analyses. Given the upward trend indicated by the moving averages and the stocks position relative to its 52-week range, theres a technical case for continued growth. Fundamentally, the low P/E ratio and forward P/E of 3.81 suggest that the stock may be undervalued relative to its future earnings potential. The Return on Equity (RoE) of 0.87 indicates a relatively modest return, which might be a point of concern for investors seeking higher returns.
Based on these analyses, a potential forecast is that Qudian Inc.s stock may continue to trend upwards, driven by its diversified service offerings and the positive technical indicators. However, the modest RoE and the overall market conditions will be critical factors influencing its stock performance. Investors should closely monitor the companys future earnings reports and adjustments in its business model, especially in the consumer finance and technology sectors, to gauge its growth potential.
QD Stock Overview
Market Cap in USD | 740m |
Sub-Industry | Consumer Finance |
IPO / Inception | 2017-10-18 |
QD Stock Ratings
Growth Rating | 84.5% |
Fundamental | 44.6% |
Dividend Rating | - |
Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 66.5% |
Analyst Rating | - |
QD Dividends
Currently no dividends paidQD Growth Ratios
Growth Correlation 3m | 33.7% |
Growth Correlation 12m | 76.9% |
Growth Correlation 5y | 57.1% |
CAGR 5y | 73.40% |
CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | 1.86 |
CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | 5.79 |
Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.07 |
Alpha | 99.57 |
Beta | 0.627 |
Volatility | 53.61% |
Current Volume | 263.3k |
Average Volume 20d | 321.9k |
Stop Loss | 4.1 (-6.4%) |
Signal | 0.40 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
Net Income (527.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 8.19m TTM) |
FCFTA -0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -3.93pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
NWC/Revenue 6780 % (prev 4492 %; Δ 2288 pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
CFO/TA 0.17 (>3.0%) and CFO 2.12b > Net Income 527.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
Current Ratio 9.13 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (167.5m) change vs 12m ago -11.72% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
Gross Margin 7.76% (prev -13.38%; Δ 21.14pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
Asset Turnover 1.10% (prev 1.69%; Δ -0.58pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
Interest Coverage Ratio -0.85 (EBITDA TTM -201.9m / Interest Expense TTM -330.2m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 15.43
(A) 0.73 = (Total Current Assets 10.39b - Total Current Liabilities 1.14b) / Total Assets 12.75b |
(B) 0.72 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 9.13b / Total Assets 12.75b |
(C) 0.02 = EBIT TTM 281.1m / Avg Total Assets 12.38b |
(D) 7.79 = Book Value of Equity 9.12b / Total Liabilities 1.17b |
Total Rating: 15.43 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 44.55
1. Piotroski 3.0pt = -2.0 |
2. FCF Yield 16.26% = 5.0 |
3. FCF Margin data missing |
4. Debt/Equity 0.06 = 2.50 |
5. Debt/Ebitda 16.32 = -2.50 |
6. ROIC - WACC (= -5.22)% = -6.53 |
7. RoE 4.62% = 0.38 |
8. Rev. Trend -48.72% = -3.65 |
9. EPS Trend 27.03% = 1.35 |
What is the price of QD shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.10%, over one month by +8.96%, over three months by +31.93% and over the past year by +93.81%.
Is Qudian a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of QD is around 5.87 USD . This means that QD is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +34.02% (Margin of Safety).
Is QD a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the QD price?
Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
---|---|---|
Wallstreet Target Price | 1.1 | -74.9% |
Analysts Target Price | 1.1 | -74.9% |
ValueRay Target Price | 6.5 | 47.7% |
Last update: 2025-10-17 03:53
QD Fundamental Data Overview
P/E Trailing = 18.6667
P/E Forward = 3.8052
P/S = 5.4183
P/B = 0.462
Beta = 0.627
Revenue TTM = 136.5m CNY
EBIT TTM = 281.1m CNY
EBITDA TTM = -201.9m CNY
Long Term Debt = 12.5m CNY (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 727.4m CNY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 732.5m CNY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -3.30b CNY (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = -2.64b CNY (5.27b + Debt 732.5m - CCE 8.64b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.85 (Ebit TTM 281.1m / Interest Expense TTM -330.2m)
FCF Yield = 16.26% (FCF TTM -429.0m / Enterprise Value -2.64b)
FCF Margin = -314.2% (FCF TTM -429.0m / Revenue TTM 136.5m)
Net Margin = 386.3% (Net Income TTM 527.4m / Revenue TTM 136.5m)
Gross Margin = 7.76% ((Revenue TTM 136.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 125.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 15.30% (prev -1.74%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = -0.21 (set to none) (Enterprise Value -2.64b / Total Assets 12.75b)
Interest Expense / Debt = -45.09% (Interest Expense -330.2m / Debt 732.5m)
Taxrate = 9.71% (33.5m / 345.3m)
NOPAT = 253.8m (EBIT 281.1m * (1 - 9.71%))
Current Ratio = 9.13 (Total Current Assets 10.39b / Total Current Liabilities 1.14b)
Debt / Equity = 0.06 (Debt 732.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 11.58b)
Debt / EBITDA = 16.32 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -3.30b / EBITDA -201.9m)
Debt / FCF = 7.68 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -3.30b / FCF TTM -429.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 11.42b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.14% (Net Income 527.4m / Total Assets 12.75b)
RoE = 4.62% (Net Income TTM 527.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 11.42b)
RoCE = 2.46% (EBIT 281.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 11.42b + L.T.Debt 12.5m))
RoIC = 2.09% (NOPAT 253.8m / Invested Capital 12.14b)
WACC = 7.31% (E(5.27b)/V(6.00b) * Re(8.33%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 8.33% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -10.20%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -429.0m)
EPS Correlation: 27.03 | EPS CAGR: 54.50% | SUE: 2.80 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -48.72 | Revenue CAGR: -71.50% | SUE: 0.89 | # QB: 1
Additional Sources for QD Stock
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