QSR Stock Analysis: Restaurant Brands | NYSE
Restaurants | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 34.129m USD | 12M Return: 15.6% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 253M
EPS Trend: 5.6%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 98.6%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Restaurant Brands International (QSR) is a multi-brand quick service restaurant (QSR) operator headquartered in Miami, Florida, with roots dating back to 1954. The company runs four main owned brands-Tim Hortons, Burger King, Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen, and Firehouse Subs-organized across six reporting segments that also include International and Restaurant Holdings. Its menu offerings span coffee and baked goods, flame-grilled hamburgers, Louisiana-style fried chicken, and sub sandwiches, providing diversified exposure across major QSR categories in Canada, the United States, and select international markets. Like most large players in the restaurant industry, QSR relies heavily on a franchise-based business model, which enables rapid unit growth with lower direct capital outlays while generating recurring revenue through royalties, rents, and franchise fees from its franchisee base.
- Popeyes chicken sandwich momentum versus McDonalds and Chick-fil-A
- Same-store sales growth across Tim Hortons and Burger King
- International net unit growth drives franchise revenue
| Net Income: 955.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.13 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -0.25% < 20% (prev -1.11%; Δ 0.86% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 1.77b > Net Income 955.0m |
| Net Debt (17.1b) to EBITDA (2.57b): 6.65 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.99 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (459.0m) vs 12m ago 0.66% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 44.80% > 18% (prev 34.55%; Δ 10.25% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 38.54% > 50% (prev 35.27%; Δ 3.27% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.51 > 6 (EBIT TTM 2.26b / Interest Expense TTM 501.0m) |
| A: -0.00 (Total Current Assets 2.15b - Total Current Liabilities 2.18b) / Total Assets 24.9b |
| B: 0.08 (Retained Earnings 1.90b / Total Assets 24.9b) |
| C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 2.26b / Avg Total Assets 24.9b) |
| D: 0.19 (Book Value of Equity 3.74b / Total Liabilities 19.6b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.05 = BB |
| DSRI: 1.04 (Receivables 767.0m/677.0m, Revenue 9.59b/8.78b) |
| GMI: 0.77 (GM 34.55% / 44.80%) |
| AQI: 1.01 (AQ_t 0.74 / AQ_t-1 0.73) |
| SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 9.59b / 8.78b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 955.0m - CFO 1.77b) / TA 24.9b) |
| Beneish M = -3.13 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 74.94 with a total of 1,638,760 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.87%, over one month by +4.07%, over three months by -1.62% and over the past year by +15.56%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 72.20 (which is 3.7% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Restaurant Brands has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.13. Therefore, it is recommended to buy QSR.
- StrongBuy: 15
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 85.9 | 14.7% |
P/E Trailing = 24.0482
P/E Forward = 12.7226
P/S = 3.5592
P/B = 6.6245
P/EG = 1.2789
Revenue TTM = 9.59b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.26b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.57b USD
Long Term Debt = 13.2b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 286.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 18.1b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 2.40b
Net Debt = 17.1b USD (calculated: Debt 18.1b - CCE 1.01b)
Enterprise Value = 51.2b USD (34.1b + Debt 18.1b - CCE 1.01b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.51 (Ebit TTM 2.26b / Interest Expense TTM 501.0m)
EV/FCF = 33.81x (Enterprise Value 51.2b / FCF TTM 1.51b)
FCF Yield = 2.96% (FCF TTM 1.51b / Enterprise Value 51.2b)
FCF Margin = 15.79% (FCF TTM 1.51b / Revenue TTM 9.59b)
Net Margin = 9.96% (Net Income TTM 955.0m / Revenue TTM 9.59b)
Gross Margin = 44.80% ((Revenue TTM 9.59b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.29b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 49.65% (prev 47.53%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.06 (Enterprise Value 51.2b / Total Assets 24.9b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.77% (Interest Expense 501.0m / Debt 18.1b)
Taxrate = 23.58% (439.0m / 1.86b)
NOPAT = 1.73b (EBIT 2.26b * (1 - 23.58%))
Current Ratio = 0.99 (Total Current Assets 2.15b / Total Current Liabilities 2.18b)
Debt / Equity = 4.83 (Debt 18.1b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.74b)
Debt / EBITDA = 6.65 (Net Debt 17.1b / EBITDA 2.57b)
Debt / FCF = 11.28 (Net Debt 17.1b / FCF TTM 1.51b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.52b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.84% (Net Income 955.0m / Total Assets 24.9b)
RoE = 27.14% (Net Income TTM 955.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.52b)
RoCE = 13.49% (EBIT 2.26b / Capital Employed (Equity 3.52b + L.T.Debt 13.2b))
RoIC = 7.67% (NOPAT 1.73b / Invested Capital 22.5b)
WACC = 5.07% (E(34.1b)/V(52.2b) * Re(6.63%) + D(18.1b)/V(52.2b) * Rd(2.77%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 6.63% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 93.09 | Cagr: 0.59%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈1.40b ; Y1≈1.61b ; Y5≈2.36b
[DCF] Fair Price = 53.35 (EV 35.6b - Net Debt 17.1b = Equity 18.5b / Shares 347.0m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 5.60 | EPS CAGR: 0.23% | SUE: 0.14 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.64 | Revenue CAGR: 15.52% | SUE: 0.05 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.04 | Chg30d=+0.11% | Revisions=-72% | Analysts=24
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.09 | Chg30d=-0.07% | Revisions=-62% | Analysts=24
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.06 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+23% | GrowthEPS=+9.9% | GrowthRev=+4.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.44 | Chg30d=-0.05% | Revisions=+26% | GrowthEPS=+9.4% | GrowthRev=+1.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -26% (up=30, down=52)