(QUAD) Quad Graphics - Ratings and Ratios
Printing, Marketing, Data, Ink
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 4.64% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 8.80% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 7.46% |
| Payout Consistency | 61.2% |
| Payout Ratio | 29.7% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 49.4% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 75.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.46% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.05 |
| Alpha | -29.15 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.52 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.366 |
| Beta | 1.022 |
| Beta Downside | 0.782 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 47.00% |
| Mean DD | 22.01% |
| Median DD | 22.67% |
Description: QUAD Quad Graphics October 28, 2025
Quad/Graphics (NYSE: QUAD) is a global marketing-solutions provider that operates through U.S. Print & Related Services and International segments. Its core offerings span traditional print products-retail inserts, catalogs, directories, newspapers, packaging, and specialty commercial prints-as well as paper procurement and ink manufacturing. Beyond print, Quad delivers data-intelligence, analytics, technology platforms, media planning, creative strategy, and content execution across digital and broadcast channels, plus imaging and medical services, serving blue-chip clients in retail, CPG, financial services, and health.
Key recent metrics indicate the company is navigating a mixed environment: FY 2023 revenue was approximately $2.5 billion, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of roughly 8 % and free cash flow of $150 million, reflecting modest profitability despite higher paper commodity prices. The commercial-printing sector is being reshaped by three primary drivers-(1) a gradual shift of advertising spend toward digital formats, (2) volatile pulp and paper costs that compress margins, and (3) increasing demand for data-driven, omnichannel marketing solutions, which Quad is positioning to capture through its analytics and technology services.
For a deeper quantitative assessment of QUAD’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, you may find ValueRay’s platform useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income (20.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 149.9m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 4.54pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -0.40% (prev -3.86%; Δ 3.46pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 (>3.0%) and CFO 108.8m > Net Income 20.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (543.1m) to EBITDA (161.3m) ratio: 3.37 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.98 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (49.7m) change vs 12m ago 3.97% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 18.55% (prev 16.91%; Δ 1.64pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 188.0% (prev 198.1%; Δ -10.10pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.47 (EBITDA TTM 161.3m / Interest Expense TTM 53.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -1.91
| (A) -0.01 = (Total Current Assets 529.4m - Total Current Liabilities 539.5m) / Total Assets 1.27b |
| (B) -0.50 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -630.5m / Total Assets 1.27b |
| (C) 0.06 = EBIT TTM 78.5m / Avg Total Assets 1.33b |
| (D) -0.61 = Book Value of Equity -712.0m / Total Liabilities 1.17b |
| Total Rating: -1.91 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 53.85
| 1. Piotroski 3.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 6.99% |
| 3. FCF Margin 2.43% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 5.68 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.37 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 6.83)% |
| 7. RoE 25.67% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -83.98% |
| 9. EPS Trend 31.32% |
What is the price of QUAD shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.78%, over one month by +24.90%, over three months by -0.18% and over the past year by -11.28%.
Is QUAD a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the QUAD price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 9.1 | 40.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 9.1 | 40.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 7.6 | 17.8% |
QUAD Fundamental Data Overview December 16, 2025
P/E Trailing = 15.2857
P/E Forward = 5.534
P/S = 0.1308
P/B = 3.3781
P/EG = 1.63
Beta = 1.097
Revenue TTM = 2.50b USD
EBIT TTM = 78.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 161.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 433.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 60.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 549.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 543.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 869.8m USD (326.7m + Debt 549.3m - CCE 6.20m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.47 (Ebit TTM 78.5m / Interest Expense TTM 53.5m)
FCF Yield = 6.99% (FCF TTM 60.8m / Enterprise Value 869.8m)
FCF Margin = 2.43% (FCF TTM 60.8m / Revenue TTM 2.50b)
Net Margin = 0.82% (Net Income TTM 20.6m / Revenue TTM 2.50b)
Gross Margin = 18.55% ((Revenue TTM 2.50b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.03b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 19.49% (prev 18.03%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.69 (Enterprise Value 869.8m / Total Assets 1.27b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.33% (Interest Expense 12.8m / Debt 549.3m)
Taxrate = 22.73% (3.00m / 13.2m)
NOPAT = 60.7m (EBIT 78.5m * (1 - 22.73%))
Current Ratio = 0.98 (Total Current Assets 529.4m / Total Current Liabilities 539.5m)
Debt / Equity = 5.68 (Debt 549.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 96.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.37 (Net Debt 543.1m / EBITDA 161.3m)
Debt / FCF = 8.93 (Net Debt 543.1m / FCF TTM 60.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 80.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.62% (Net Income 20.6m / Total Assets 1.27b)
RoE = 25.67% (Net Income TTM 20.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 80.2m)
RoCE = 15.28% (EBIT 78.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 80.2m + L.T.Debt 433.4m))
RoIC = 11.61% (NOPAT 60.7m / Invested Capital 522.5m)
WACC = 4.78% (E(326.7m)/V(876.0m) * Re(9.78%) + D(549.3m)/V(876.0m) * Rd(2.33%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 9.78% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 2.61%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 68.00% ; FCFE base≈37.9m ; Y1≈30.6m ; Y5≈21.2m
Fair Price DCF = 7.91 (DCF Value 297.5m / Shares Outstanding 37.6m; 5y FCF grow -23.02% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 31.32 | EPS CAGR: 35.22% | SUE: 0.88 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -83.98 | Revenue CAGR: -9.49% | SUE: -0.64 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.24 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.13 | Chg30d=+0.010 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+11.9% | Growth Revenue=-2.5%
Additional Sources for QUAD Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle