R Stock Analysis: Ryder System | NYSE
Rental & Leasing Services | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 10.096m USD | 12M Return: 60.7% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 111M
EPS Trend: -31.3%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 83.4%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: under 40 is mostly noise, over 50 gets interesting, and over 70 is strong.
Ryder System (NYSE: R) is a U.S.-based logistics and transportation company headquartered in Coral Gables, Florida, operating globally since its founding in 1933. The business is organized into three reporting segments: Fleet Management Solutions (FMS), which provides full-service truck leasing, commercial rental, maintenance, fuel services, and used vehicle sales; Dedicated Transportation Solutions (DTS), which supplies vehicles, drivers, routing, and compliance support for customers outsourcing their private fleets; and Supply Chain Solutions (SCS), which offers distribution management, transportation management and brokerage, e-commerce fulfillment, last-mile delivery, and contract manufacturing and packaging services.
Within the Industrials sector (GICS Sub Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation), Ryder competes in two adjacent markets: commercial fleet leasing/rental and third-party logistics (3PL). The FMS segment places the company among the few large-scale North American players offering full-service lease with bundled maintenance, while SCS positions it in the asset-light contract logistics and e-commerce fulfillment space, a category that has expanded with the growth of omnichannel retail and direct-to-consumer shipping.
- Used truck price declines pressure fleet gains on sale
- Freight recession weakens commercial rental and lease demand
- E-commerce fulfillment expansion lifts supply chain segment growth
| Net Income: 494.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.68 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -9.32% < 20% (prev -6.83%; Δ -2.49% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.16 > 3% & CFO 2.53b > Net Income 494.0m |
| Net Debt (9.56b) to EBITDA (3.31b): 2.89 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.68 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (39.6m) vs 12m ago -7.75% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 20.27% > 18% (prev 20.25%; Δ 0.02% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 77.71% > 50% (prev 77.53%; Δ 0.18% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.67 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.07b / Interest Expense TTM 401.0m) |
| A: -0.07 (Total Current Assets 2.49b - Total Current Liabilities 3.67b) / Total Assets 16.2b |
| B: 0.15 (Retained Earnings 2.42b / Total Assets 16.2b) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 1.07b / Avg Total Assets 16.3b) |
| D: 0.21 (Book Value of Equity 2.86b / Total Liabilities 13.4b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.67 = B |
| DSRI: 1.06 (Receivables 1.93b/1.82b, Revenue 12.7b/12.7b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 20.25% / 20.27%) |
| AQI: 4.31 (AQ_t 0.77 / AQ_t-1 0.18) |
| SGI: 1.00 (Revenue 12.7b / 12.7b) |
| TATA: -0.13 (NI 494.0m - CFO 2.53b) / TA 16.2b) |
| Beneish M = -1.03 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
As of July 02, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 263.77 with a total of 255,719 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.91%, over one month by +4.79%, over three months by +29.10% and over the past year by +60.68%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 253.90 (which is 3.7% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Ryder System has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.57. Therefore, it is recommended to hold R.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 274.3 | 4% |
P/E Trailing = 21.6899
P/E Forward = 23.0947
P/S = 0.7974
P/B = 3.627
P/EG = 0.8631
Revenue TTM = 12.7b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.07b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.31b USD
Long Term Debt = 5.97b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.02b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 9.74b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.02b
Net Debt = 9.56b USD (calculated: Debt 9.74b - CCE 182.0m)
Enterprise Value = 19.7b USD (10.1b + Debt 9.74b - CCE 182.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.67 (Ebit TTM 1.07b / Interest Expense TTM 401.0m)
EV/FCF = 41.12x (Enterprise Value 19.7b / FCF TTM 478.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.43% (FCF TTM 478.0m / Enterprise Value 19.7b)
FCF Margin = 3.77% (FCF TTM 478.0m / Revenue TTM 12.7b)
Net Margin = 3.89% (Net Income TTM 494.0m / Revenue TTM 12.7b)
Gross Margin = 20.27% ((Revenue TTM 12.7b - Cost of Revenue TTM 10.1b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 19.31% (prev 19.99%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.21 (Enterprise Value 19.7b / Total Assets 16.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.12% (Interest Expense 401.0m / Debt 9.74b)
Taxrate = 25.71% (172.0m / 669.0m)
NOPAT = 794.9m (EBIT 1.07b * (1 - 25.71%))
Current Ratio = 0.68 (Total Current Assets 2.49b / Total Current Liabilities 3.67b)
Debt / Equity = 3.41 (Debt 9.74b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.86b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.89 (Net Debt 9.56b / EBITDA 3.31b)
Debt / FCF = 20.0 (Net Debt 9.56b / FCF TTM 478.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.02b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.03% (Net Income 494.0m / Total Assets 16.2b)
RoE = 16.36% (Net Income TTM 494.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.02b)
RoCE = 11.90% (EBIT 1.07b / Capital Employed (Equity 3.02b + L.T.Debt 5.97b))
RoIC = 5.52% (NOPAT 794.9m / Invested Capital 14.4b)
WACC = 6.22% (E(10.1b)/V(19.8b) * Re(9.28%) + D(9.74b)/V(19.8b) * Rd(4.12%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 9.28% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -94.28 | Cagr: -6.02%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈478.0m ; Y1≈480.0m ; Y5≈508.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 7.91b - Net Debt 9.56b = -1.65b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: -31.32 | EPS CAGR: -2.39% | SUE: 1.92 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 83.45 | Revenue CAGR: 2.18% | SUE: -0.06 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=4.20 | Chg30d=+0.67% | Revisions=+38% | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=14.62 | Chg30d=+0.21% | Revisions=+69% | GrowthEPS=+13.2% | GrowthRev=+3.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=17.58 | Chg30d=+0.48% | Revisions=+67% | GrowthEPS=+20.2% | GrowthRev=+5.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +69%