(R) Ryder System - Overview
Stock: Fleet Leasing, Truck Rental, Logistics, Transportation, Warehousing
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.05% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.69% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 10.83% |
| Payout Consistency | 96.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 36.8% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 29.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.65% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.95 |
| Alpha | 21.38 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.140 |
| Beta Downside | 1.095 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 23.86% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.40 |
Description: R Ryder System January 07, 2026
Ryder System, Inc. (NYSE:R) is a global logistics and transportation provider organized into three operating segments: Fleet Management Solutions (FMS), Dedicated Transportation Solutions (DTS) and Supply Chain Solutions (SCS). FMS focuses on full-service vehicle leasing, rental, maintenance, fuel management and the resale of used trucks. DTS delivers end-to-end transportation services-including vehicles, drivers, routing, compliance and risk management-on a turnkey basis. SCS coordinates warehousing, inbound/outbound freight, import-export, just-in-time replenishment, e-commerce fulfillment and value-added services such as light assembly and contract packaging.
Key performance indicators from FY 2023 show revenue of roughly **$9.8 billion**, an adjusted EBITDA margin near **13 %**, and a managed fleet of **≈1.3 million vehicles** across North America and Europe. Utilization rates in the FMS segment have trended above **85 %**, reflecting strong demand for flexible leasing amid a tight truck-capacity market.
Sector drivers that materially affect Ryder’s outlook include: (1) **Freight volume growth**, which the American Trucking Associations projects to rise 3-4 % YoY through 2025; (2) **Diesel price volatility**, which directly impacts fuel-service revenue and operating costs; and (3) **Interest-rate dynamics**, because higher rates increase the cost of capital for vehicle leasing and can suppress fleet expansion.
If you want a data-rich, scenario-based assessment of Ryder’s valuation and risk profile, the ValueRay platform provides the tools to explore those angles further.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income: 502.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.38 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 0.38% < 20% (prev -6.66%; Δ 7.03% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.15 > 3% & CFO 2.40b > Net Income 502.0m |
| Net Debt (8.65b) to EBITDA (3.03b): 2.85 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.02 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (41.6m) vs 12m ago -5.21% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 19.95% > 18% (prev 0.19%; Δ 1976 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 76.74% > 50% (prev 75.60%; Δ 1.15% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.71 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 3.03b / Interest Expense TTM 404.0m) |
Altman Z'' 1.13
| A: 0.00 (Total Current Assets 2.61b - Total Current Liabilities 2.56b) / Total Assets 16.55b |
| B: 0.16 (Retained Earnings 2.62b / Total Assets 16.55b) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 1.09b / Avg Total Assets 16.52b) |
| D: 0.15 (Book Value of Equity 2.00b / Total Liabilities 13.45b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.13 = BB |
Beneish M -3.52
| DSRI: 1.12 (Receivables 2.12b/1.87b, Revenue 12.68b/12.47b) |
| GMI: 0.96 (GM 19.95% / 19.09%) |
| AQI: 0.25 (AQ_t 0.18 / AQ_t-1 0.72) |
| SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 12.68b / 12.47b) |
| TATA: -0.11 (NI 502.0m - CFO 2.40b) / TA 16.55b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.52 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
What is the price of R shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +11.75%, over one month by +13.82%, over three months by +27.98% and over the past year by +36.94%.
Is R a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the R price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 215.4 | 1.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 215.4 | 1.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 283.5 | 33.1% |
R Fundamental Data Overview February 05, 2026
P/S = 0.6533
P/B = 2.6502
P/EG = 1.22
Revenue TTM = 12.68b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.09b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.03b USD
Long Term Debt = 7.28b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 872.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 8.84b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 8.65b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 16.94b USD (8.28b + Debt 8.84b - CCE 189.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.71 (Ebit TTM 1.09b / Interest Expense TTM 404.0m)
EV/FCF = -192.5x (Enterprise Value 16.94b / FCF TTM -88.0m)
FCF Yield = -0.52% (FCF TTM -88.0m / Enterprise Value 16.94b)
FCF Margin = -0.69% (FCF TTM -88.0m / Revenue TTM 12.68b)
Net Margin = 3.96% (Net Income TTM 502.0m / Revenue TTM 12.68b)
Gross Margin = 19.95% ((Revenue TTM 12.68b - Cost of Revenue TTM 10.15b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 20.97% (prev 20.38%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.02 (Enterprise Value 16.94b / Total Assets 16.55b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.15% (Interest Expense 102.0m / Debt 8.84b)
Taxrate = 26.84% (51.0m / 190.0m)
NOPAT = 799.6m (EBIT 1.09b * (1 - 26.84%))
Current Ratio = 1.02 (Total Current Assets 2.61b / Total Current Liabilities 2.56b)
Debt / Equity = 2.86 (Debt 8.84b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.09b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.85 (Net Debt 8.65b / EBITDA 3.03b)
Debt / FCF = -98.32 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 8.65b / FCF TTM -88.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.07b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.04% (Net Income 502.0m / Total Assets 16.55b)
RoE = 16.34% (Net Income TTM 502.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.07b)
RoCE = 10.56% (EBIT 1.09b / Capital Employed (Equity 3.07b + L.T.Debt 7.28b))
RoIC = 7.37% (NOPAT 799.6m / Invested Capital 10.85b)
WACC = 5.33% (E(8.28b)/V(17.12b) * Re(10.12%) + D(8.84b)/V(17.12b) * Rd(1.15%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 10.12% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -4.28%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -88.0m)
EPS Correlation: -53.62 | EPS CAGR: -47.77% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 76.75 | Revenue CAGR: 5.44% | SUE: -0.28 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.68 | Chg30d=-0.046 | Revisions Net=-5 | Analysts=9
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=14.63 | Chg30d=-0.073 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+13.5% | Growth Revenue=+3.7%