(R) Ryder System - Ratings and Ratios
Fleet Leasing, Truck Rental, Logistics, Warehousing, Dedicated Transport
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.80% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 6.14% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 7.93% |
| Payout Consistency | 94.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 26.9% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 32.0% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 49.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.77% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.71 |
| Alpha | 5.40 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.46 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.407 |
| Beta | 1.135 |
| Beta Downside | 1.121 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 23.86% |
| Mean DD | 6.19% |
| Median DD | 4.07% |
Description: R Ryder System November 04, 2025
Ryder System, Inc. (NYSE:R) is a global logistics and transportation provider organized into three operating segments: Fleet Management Solutions (FMS), Dedicated Transportation Solutions (DTS), and Supply Chain Solutions (SCS). FMS delivers full-service vehicle leasing, commercial rentals, maintenance, fuel management, and used-truck sales; DTS supplies turnkey transportation-including vehicles, drivers, routing, safety, and compliance services; and SCS coordinates warehousing, inbound/outbound freight, international import-export, just-in-time replenishment, e-commerce fulfillment, and value-added services such as light assembly and packaging.
In FY 2023 Ryder generated approximately **$8.7 billion** in revenue, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of roughly **9 %**, reflecting steady demand for both leasing and supply-chain services. The company now operates a fleet of **≈ 1.1 million** vehicles, of which about **70 %** are under long-term lease contracts, delivering an average utilization rate of **~ 85 %**-a key efficiency metric for the capital-intensive leasing business.
Key economic drivers for Ryder include: (1) **e-commerce growth**, which fuels demand for last-mile and fulfillment services in the SCS segment; (2) **diesel price volatility**, which directly impacts fuel-service revenue and operating costs; and (3) **driver labor shortages**, which elevate the value of Ryder’s managed-fleet and driver-provision services. A broader sector trend is the shift toward **asset-light, technology-enabled logistics**, where Ryder’s digital platforms (e.g., telematics and routing optimization) aim to capture incremental margin.
For a deeper, data-driven look at how these dynamics translate into valuation levers, you may find the analytics on ValueRay worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (502.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 760.8m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.38pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 0.38% (prev -6.66%; Δ 7.03pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.15 (>3.0%) and CFO 2.40b > Net Income 502.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (8.65b) to EBITDA (3.03b) ratio: 2.85 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.02 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (41.6m) change vs 12m ago -5.21% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 19.95% (prev 19.09%; Δ 0.86pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 76.74% (prev 75.60%; Δ 1.15pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.71 (EBITDA TTM 3.03b / Interest Expense TTM 404.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.13
| (A) 0.00 = (Total Current Assets 2.61b - Total Current Liabilities 2.56b) / Total Assets 16.55b |
| (B) 0.16 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.62b / Total Assets 16.55b |
| (C) 0.07 = EBIT TTM 1.09b / Avg Total Assets 16.52b |
| (D) 0.15 = Book Value of Equity 2.00b / Total Liabilities 13.45b |
| Total Rating: 1.13 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 54.68
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -0.54% |
| 3. FCF Margin -0.69% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 2.86 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.85 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.16)% |
| 7. RoE 16.34% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 76.75% |
| 9. EPS Trend -39.87% |
What is the price of R shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.07%, over one month by +14.95%, over three months by +4.81% and over the past year by +25.60%.
Is R a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the R price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 208.2 | 8.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 208.2 | 8.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 252.7 | 31.9% |
R Fundamental Data Overview December 16, 2025
P/E Trailing = 15.9949
P/S = 0.6098
P/B = 2.4735
P/EG = 1.22
Beta = 0.965
Revenue TTM = 12.68b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.09b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.03b USD
Long Term Debt = 7.28b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 872.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 8.84b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 8.65b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 16.38b USD (7.73b + Debt 8.84b - CCE 189.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.71 (Ebit TTM 1.09b / Interest Expense TTM 404.0m)
FCF Yield = -0.54% (FCF TTM -88.0m / Enterprise Value 16.38b)
FCF Margin = -0.69% (FCF TTM -88.0m / Revenue TTM 12.68b)
Net Margin = 3.96% (Net Income TTM 502.0m / Revenue TTM 12.68b)
Gross Margin = 19.95% ((Revenue TTM 12.68b - Cost of Revenue TTM 10.15b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 20.97% (prev 20.38%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.99 (Enterprise Value 16.38b / Total Assets 16.55b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.15% (Interest Expense 102.0m / Debt 8.84b)
Taxrate = 26.84% (51.0m / 190.0m)
NOPAT = 799.6m (EBIT 1.09b * (1 - 26.84%))
Current Ratio = 1.02 (Total Current Assets 2.61b / Total Current Liabilities 2.56b)
Debt / Equity = 2.86 (Debt 8.84b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.09b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.85 (Net Debt 8.65b / EBITDA 3.03b)
Debt / FCF = -98.32 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 8.65b / FCF TTM -88.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.07b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.03% (Net Income 502.0m / Total Assets 16.55b)
RoE = 16.34% (Net Income TTM 502.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.07b)
RoCE = 10.56% (EBIT 1.09b / Capital Employed (Equity 3.07b + L.T.Debt 7.28b))
RoIC = 7.37% (NOPAT 799.6m / Invested Capital 10.85b)
WACC = 5.21% (E(7.73b)/V(16.57b) * Re(10.20%) + D(8.84b)/V(16.57b) * Rd(1.15%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 10.20% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -4.28%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -88.0m)
EPS Correlation: -39.87 | EPS CAGR: 0.38% | SUE: -0.28 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 76.75 | Revenue CAGR: 5.44% | SUE: -0.28 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.73 | Chg30d=+0.010 | Revisions Net=-6 | Analysts=8
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=14.70 | Chg30d=-0.038 | Revisions Net=-7 | Growth EPS=+13.7% | Growth Revenue=+3.0%
Additional Sources for R Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle