(RBLX) Roblox - NYSE
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Electronic Gaming & Multimedia | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 36.894m USD | Total Return: -54.3% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 511M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 99.7%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Interest Coverage Ratio -26.5 is critical
Altman Z'' -2.91 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Roblox Corporation (NYSE: RBLX) operates a global platform for shared digital experiences, integrating three primary components: the Roblox Client for user interaction, Roblox Studio for content creation, and Roblox Cloud for infrastructure support. Headquartered in San Mateo, California, the company facilitates a user-generated content (UGC) ecosystem where independent developers build and monetize their own games and virtual environments.
Operating within the Interactive Home Entertainment sub-industry, Roblox utilizes a freemium business model where the core platform is free to access, but revenue is generated through the sale of a virtual currency called Robux. Unlike traditional video game publishers that develop proprietary titles, Roblox functions as a platform host, shifting the costs and risks of content creation to its community of third-party developers.
To better understand the companys long-term valuation metrics, you may want to review the detailed financial breakdowns available on ValueRay. This decentralized approach to content allows the platform to scale its library rapidly without the capital expenditure typically associated with major studio productions.
- Daily Active User growth in international and older demographic segments
- Bookings expansion through brand advertising partnerships and digital commerce
- Developer exchange fees and infrastructure costs impact EBITDA margins
- Regulatory scrutiny regarding child safety and data privacy protections
- Discretionary consumer spending trends influence virtual currency Robux purchases
| Net Income: -1.10b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.17 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 4.95 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -10.68% < 20% (prev 1.88%; Δ -12.56% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.20 > 3% & CFO 1.98b > Net Income -1.10b |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 0.89 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (711.7m) vs 12m ago 5.96% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 78.45% > 18% (prev 77.92%; Δ 0.53% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 61.31% > 50% (prev 51.47%; Δ 9.84% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -26.47 > 6 (EBIT TTM -1.06b / Interest Expense TTM 40.0m) |
| A: -0.06 (Total Current Assets 4.74b - Total Current Liabilities 5.31b) / Total Assets 9.83b |
| B: -0.54 (Retained Earnings -5.31b / Total Assets 9.83b) |
| C: -0.12 (EBIT TTM -1.06b / Avg Total Assets 8.64b) |
| D: 0.05 (Book Value of Equity 432.0m / Total Liabilities 9.42b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -2.91 = D |
| DSRI: 0.98 (Receivables 577.0m/425.2m, Revenue 5.30b/3.84b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 77.92% / 78.45%) |
| AQI: 1.19 (AQ_t 0.37 / AQ_t-1 0.31) |
| SGI: 1.38 (Revenue 5.30b / 3.84b) |
| TATA: -0.31 (NI -1.10b - CFO 1.98b) / TA 9.83b) |
| Beneish M = -2.69 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of June 25, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 47.94 with a total of 8,141,928 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.84%, over one month by +4.22%, over three months by -12.84% and over the past year by -54.25%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 44.00 (which is 8.2% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Roblox has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.09. Therefore, it is recommended to buy RBLX.
- StrongBuy: 17
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 14
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 64.8 | 35.2% |
P/E Forward = 192.3077
P/S = 6.9644
P/B = 85.4037
P/EG = 8.1775
Revenue TTM = 5.30b USD
EBIT TTM = -1.06b USD
EBITDA TTM = -826.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.01b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 166.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 1.95b USD (corrected: LT Debt 1.01b + ST Debt 166.2m) + Leases 780.0m
Net Debt = -1.24b USD (calculated: Debt 1.95b - CCE 3.20b)
Enterprise Value = 35.6b USD (36.9b + Debt 1.95b - CCE 3.20b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -26.47 (Ebit TTM -1.06b / Interest Expense TTM 40.0m)
EV/FCF = 21.69x (Enterprise Value 35.6b / FCF TTM 1.64b)
FCF Yield = 4.61% (FCF TTM 1.64b / Enterprise Value 35.6b)
FCF Margin = 31.02% (FCF TTM 1.64b / Revenue TTM 5.30b)
Net Margin = -20.69% (Net Income TTM -1.10b / Revenue TTM 5.30b)
Gross Margin = 78.45% ((Revenue TTM 5.30b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.14b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 79.61% (prev 77.74%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.63 (Enterprise Value 35.6b / Total Assets 9.83b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.05% (Interest Expense 40.0m / Debt 1.95b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -837.0m (EBIT -1.06b * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.89 (Total Current Assets 4.74b / Total Current Liabilities 5.31b)
Debt / Equity = 4.52 (Debt 1.95b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 432.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.51 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -1.24b / EBITDA -826.4m)
Debt / FCF = -0.76 (Net Debt -1.24b / FCF TTM 1.64b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 396.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -12.69% (Net Income -1.10b / Total Assets 9.83b)
RoE = -276.2% (Net Income TTM -1.10b / Total Stockholder Equity 396.8m)
RoCE = -75.42% (EBIT -1.06b / Capital Employed (Equity 396.8m + L.T.Debt 1.01b))
RoIC = -18.94% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -837.0m / Invested Capital 4.42b)
WACC = 10.41% (E(36.9b)/V(38.8b) * Re(10.88%) + D(1.95b)/V(38.8b) * Rd(2.05%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.88% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 100.00 | Cagr: 5.81%
[DCF] Terminal Value 71.59% ; FCFF base≈1.34b ; Y1≈1.53b ; Y5≈2.26b
[DCF] Fair Price = 38.87 (EV 24.9b - Net Debt -1.24b = Equity 26.1b / Shares 671.6m; r=10.41% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.83 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.71 | Revenue CAGR: 31.59% | SUE: -0.52 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.34 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+56% | Analysts=17
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.43 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-11% | Analysts=17
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-1.52 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+48% | GrowthEPS=+1.1% | GrowthRev=+10.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-1.14 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+24.9% | GrowthRev=+19.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +56%