(RBLX) Roblox - Ratings and Ratios
Client, Studio, Cloud, Platform
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 50.9% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 77.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.92% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.96 |
| Alpha | 40.87 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.05 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.420 |
| Beta | 1.192 |
| Beta Downside | 1.313 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 45.49% |
| Mean DD | 13.90% |
| Median DD | 12.64% |
Description: RBLX Roblox December 02, 2025
Roblox Corporation runs a global, user-generated 3D platform that lets creators build and publish immersive experiences via Roblox Studio, while users access them through the Roblox Client; the underlying services are hosted on Roblox Cloud. Founded in 2004 and based in San Mateo, California, the company is listed on NYSE under the ticker RBLX and falls within the Interactive Home Entertainment sub-industry.
Key metrics as of Q3 2024 show roughly 72 million daily active users (DAU) and an average revenue per daily active user (ARPDAU) of about $0.13, driving quarterly revenue growth of ~24% YoY. The platform’s earnings are increasingly tied to discretionary consumer spending and advertising budgets, both of which are sensitive to macro-economic cycles and the broader “metaverse” trend that fuels creator incentives and virtual-goods demand.
If you want a data-rich, model-based assessment of RBLX’s valuation, ValueRay’s dedicated analysis page offers a useful starting point.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (-968.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 267.8m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.15 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 6.01pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -3.98% (prev -2.11%; Δ -1.86pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.16 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.37b > Net Income -968.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 0.96 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (697.3m) change vs 12m ago 7.12% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 78.13% (prev 77.58%; Δ 0.55pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 58.43% (prev 50.30%; Δ 8.13pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -22.44 (EBITDA TTM -714.5m / Interest Expense TTM 41.4m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -3.36
| (A) -0.02 = (Total Current Assets 4.35b - Total Current Liabilities 4.53b) / Total Assets 8.59b |
| (B) -0.55 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -4.74b / Total Assets 8.59b |
| (C) -0.12 = EBIT TTM -928.6m / Avg Total Assets 7.64b |
| (D) -0.58 = Book Value of Equity -4.73b / Total Liabilities 8.20b |
| Total Rating: -3.36 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 45.23
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 1.88% |
| 3. FCF Margin 28.84% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 4.33 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -1.05 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -80.20)% |
| 7. RoE -299.7% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 97.10% |
| 9. EPS Trend -8.47% |
What is the price of RBLX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -8.07%, over one month by -15.17%, over three months by -33.61% and over the past year by +48.48%.
Is RBLX a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 15
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 2
What are the forecasts/targets for the RBLX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 144.3 | 63% |
| Analysts Target Price | 144.3 | 63% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 98.2 | 11% |
RBLX Fundamental Data Overview December 11, 2025
P/E Forward = 192.3077
P/S = 15.5679
P/B = 170.5003
P/EG = 8.1775
Beta = 1.625
Revenue TTM = 4.46b USD
EBIT TTM = -928.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = -714.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 992.7m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 153.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.76b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 747.5m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 68.39b USD (69.49b + Debt 1.76b - CCE 2.86b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -22.44 (Ebit TTM -928.6m / Interest Expense TTM 41.4m)
FCF Yield = 1.88% (FCF TTM 1.29b / Enterprise Value 68.39b)
FCF Margin = 28.84% (FCF TTM 1.29b / Revenue TTM 4.46b)
Net Margin = -21.70% (Net Income TTM -968.6m / Revenue TTM 4.46b)
Gross Margin = 78.13% ((Revenue TTM 4.46b - Cost of Revenue TTM 976.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 78.20% (prev 78.15%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 7.96 (Enterprise Value 68.39b / Total Assets 8.59b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.59% (Interest Expense 10.4m / Debt 1.76b)
Taxrate = -0.31% (negative due to tax credits) (803.0k / -256.6m)
NOPAT = -931.5m (EBIT -928.6m * (1 - -0.31%)) [loss with tax shield] [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 0.96 (Total Current Assets 4.35b / Total Current Liabilities 4.53b)
Debt / Equity = 4.33 (Debt 1.76b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 407.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.05 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 747.5m / EBITDA -714.5m)
Debt / FCF = 0.58 (Net Debt 747.5m / FCF TTM 1.29b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 323.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -11.28% (Net Income -968.6m / Total Assets 8.59b)
RoE = -299.7% (Net Income TTM -968.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 323.2m)
RoCE = -70.56% (EBIT -928.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 323.2m + L.T.Debt 992.7m))
RoIC = -70.03% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -931.5m / Invested Capital 1.33b)
WACC = 10.17% (E(69.49b)/V(71.25b) * Re(10.41%) + D(1.76b)/V(71.25b) * Rd(0.59%) * (1-Tc(-0.00)))
Discount Rate = 10.41% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 5.47%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 60.59% ; FCFE base≈1.01b ; Y1≈664.7m ; Y5≈304.0m
Fair Price DCF = 6.49 (DCF Value 4.25b / Shares Outstanding 654.9m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -8.47 | EPS CAGR: -12.29% | SUE: 2.41 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 97.10 | Revenue CAGR: 26.16% | SUE: -1.22 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.32 | Chg30d=-0.021 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=5
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-1.66 | Chg30d=-0.019 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=-6.8% | Growth Revenue=+22.5%
Additional Sources for RBLX Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle