RBRK Stock Analysis: Rubrik | NYSE

Data Protection, Cyber Recovery, Threat Analytics, Identity Security

Total Rating 54

Safety 32

Buy Signal 1.65

Software - Infrastructure
Industry Rotation: +6.1

Market Cap: 24.4B
Avg Turnover: 335M

Risk 3d forecast

Volatility60.1%

VaR 5^th Pctl10.1%

VaR vs Median1.62%

Reward TTM

Sharpe Ratio0.81

Rel. Str. IBD96.7

Rel. Str. Peer Group91.9

Character TTM

Beta1.747

Beta Downside1.817

Hurst Exponent0.539

Drawdowns 3y

Max DD56.08%

CAGR/Max DD1.29

CAGR/Mean DD4.04

EPS (Earnings per Share)

Last SUE: 1.02
Qual. Beats: 6

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 43.94%
Rev. Trend: 99.9%

Last SUE: 4.00
Qual. Beats: 3

Warnings

Negative Equity With Losses

Interest Coverage Ratio Critical

Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone

Tailwinds

Supp Ema8

Rs Leader

Idiosyncratic Leader

Confidence

Tailwind

Pullback 52w

Seasonality 2.4 years of data

Jan -22.0% -

Feb -1.0% -

Mar +0.2% -

Apr +12.1% 32

May +36.6% 34

Jun -5.4% 0

Jul -3.2% 26

Aug +9.0% 0

Sep -15.6% -

Oct -8.4% -

Nov -2.1% -

Dec +17.3% -

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: RBRK Rubrik

Rubrik, Inc. (RBRK) is a Palo Alto-based data security software company that provides enterprise, cloud, SaaS, and unstructured data protection, along with identity recovery, cyber recovery, and data threat analytics. Its product portfolio includes AI-driven tools such as the RUBY cyber resilience agent and the SENTRYAI system health monitoring platform, plus the RUBRIK UNIVERSITY training and certification program. The company serves a broad range of industries, including financial services, healthcare, retail, energy, public sector, and technology, and holds a strategic collaboration with MEDITECH to deliver cyber resilience to healthcare cloud and on-premises environments. Originally incorporated in 2013 as Scaledata, Inc., it rebranded to Rubrik in October 2014 and went public on the NYSE in April 2024.

Sector & business model context: Rubrik is classified under the GICS Information Technology sector and Systems Software sub-industry, a category that includes providers of infrastructure, storage management, and data protection software. Like most enterprise security vendors in this segment, Rubrik generates revenue primarily through subscription-based licensing of its data protection and cyber resilience platform, which is typically delivered as a cloud-managed service.

Headlines to Watch Out For

Subscription revenue growth drives recurring ARR expansion
Enterprise data protection adoption accelerates across verticals
Cloud data security competition intensifies against larger vendors
Identity recovery services gain traction amid rising cyber threats

Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.0

Net Income: -254.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.39 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 57.59% < 20% (prev 80.22%; Δ -22.63% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 340.1m > Net Income -254.4m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 1.64 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (204.9m) vs 12m ago 5.14% < -2%
Gross Margin: 80.21% > 18% (prev 77.96%; Δ 2.25% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 58.92% > 50% (prev 45.32%; Δ 13.60% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -54.62 > 6 (EBIT TTM -237.4m / Interest Expense TTM 4.35m)

Altman Z'' -2.49

A: 0.31 (Total Current Assets 2.27b - Total Current Liabilities 1.38b) / Total Assets 2.85b
B: -1.16 (Retained Earnings -3.29b / Total Assets 2.85b)
C: -0.09 (EBIT TTM -237.4m / Avg Total Assets 2.62b)
D: -0.15 (Book Value of Equity -499.4m / Total Liabilities 3.35b)
Altman-Z'' = -2.49 = D

Beneish M -2.88

DSRI: 0.86 (Receivables 269.2m/220.7m, Revenue 1.54b/1.08b)
GMI: 0.97 (GM 77.96% / 80.21%)
AQI: 1.01 (AQ_t 0.17 / AQ_t-1 0.17)
SGI: 1.42 (Revenue 1.54b / 1.08b)
TATA: -0.21 (NI -254.4m - CFO 340.1m) / TA 2.85b)
Beneish M = -2.88 (Cap -4..+1) = A

What is the price of RBRK shares?

As of October 09, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 120.89 with a total of 2,493,112 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.76%, over one month by +31.93%, over three months by +43.23% and over the past year by +43.49%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 114.20 (which is 5.5% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is RBRK a buy, sell or hold?

Rubrik has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.89. Therefore, it is recommended to buy RBRK.

StrongBuy: 25
Buy: 3
Hold: 0
Sell: 0
StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the RBRK price?

Analysts Target Price	120.2	-0.6%

Rubrik (RBRK) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 06 October 2026

Market Cap USD = 24.4b (24.4b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 625.0
P/S = 15.8264
Revenue TTM = 1.54b USD
EBIT TTM = -237.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = -185.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.13b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 14.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Debt = 1.15b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 16.7m
Net Debt = 516.1m USD (calculated: Debt 1.15b - CCE 633.5m)
Enterprise Value = 24.9b USD (24.4b + Debt 1.15b - CCE 633.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -54.62 (Ebit TTM -237.4m / Interest Expense TTM 4.35m)
EV/FCF = -163.0x (Enterprise Value 24.9b / FCF TTM -152.9m)
FCF Yield = -0.61% (FCF TTM -152.9m / Enterprise Value 24.9b)
FCF Margin = -9.92% (FCF TTM -152.9m / Revenue TTM 1.54b)
Net Margin = -16.50% (Net Income TTM -254.4m / Revenue TTM 1.54b)
Gross Margin = 80.21% ((Revenue TTM 1.54b - Cost of Revenue TTM 305.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 78.44% (prev 80.55%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 8.76 (Enterprise Value 24.9b / Total Assets 2.85b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.38% (Interest Expense 4.35m / Debt 1.15b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -187.6m (EBIT -237.4m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.62 (Total Current Assets 2.27b / Total Current Liabilities 1.41b)
Debt / Equity = -2.30 (negative equity) (Debt 1.15b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -499.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = -2.79 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 516.1m / EBITDA -185.2m)
Debt / FCF = -3.38 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 516.1m / FCF TTM -152.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -506.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -9.72% (Net Income -254.4m / Total Assets 2.85b)
RoE = 50.26% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -254.4m / Total Stockholder Equity -506.2m)
RoCE = -37.88% (EBIT -237.4m / Capital Employed (Equity -506.2m + L.T.Debt 1.13b))
RoIC = -13.55% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -187.6m / Invested Capital 1.38b)
WACC = 11.60% (E(24.4b)/V(25.6b) * Re(12.13%) + D(1.15b)/V(25.6b) * Rd(0.38%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 12.13% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 98.64 | Cagr: 6.83%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -152.9m)
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 1.02 | # QB: 6
Revenue Correlation: 99.88 | Revenue CAGR: 43.94% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 3
EPS current Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=0.08 | Chg30d=+46.17% | Revisions=+75% | Analysts=26
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=0.50 | Chg30d=+59.88% | Revisions=+87% | GrowthEPS=+5132.5% | GrowthRev=+28.4%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=0.77 | Chg30d=+17.98% | Revisions=+77% | GrowthEPS=+52.5% | GrowthRev=+21.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +88% (up=54, down=2)