(RCL) Royal Caribbean Cruises - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: LR0008862868
Cruises, Ships, Itineraries, Brands
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.18% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.79% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 5.05% |
| Payout Consistency | 73.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 21.1% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 41.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 62.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.99% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.22 |
| Alpha | -14.70 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.93 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.605 |
| Beta | 1.540 |
| Beta Downside | 1.497 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 35.02% |
| Mean DD | 8.06% |
| Median DD | 5.26% |
Description: RCL Royal Caribbean Cruises December 02, 2025
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (NYSE:RCL) is a U.S.–based cruise operator that runs three brands-Royal Caribbean International, Celebrity Cruises, and Silversea Cruises-offering a broad spectrum of itineraries worldwide. As of 12 Feb 2025 the fleet comprised 67 vessels, a mix of large-scale ships and boutique luxury vessels, supporting its position in the Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines sub-industry.
Key metrics to watch include: (1) FY 2024 revenue of roughly $9.3 bn and an adjusted EBITDA margin near 18%, reflecting strong pricing power; (2) average occupancy (RevPAR) consistently above 95% in the North-American market, indicating resilient demand; and (3) a debt-to-EBITDA ratio of ~2.5×, which, while elevated, remains manageable given the company’s cash-flow generation. Primary economic drivers are discretionary consumer spending, fuel price volatility, and the pace of global GDP growth, all of which directly affect ticket pricing and capacity utilization.
For a deeper quantitative dive-including forward-looking cash-flow models and scenario analysis-consult the ValueRay platform, which aggregates the latest analyst estimates and macro inputs.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income (4.07b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.05b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 6.07pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -54.95% (prev -48.58%; Δ -6.37pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.16 (>3.0%) and CFO 6.31b > Net Income 4.07b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (20.54b) to EBITDA (6.75b) ratio: 3.04 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.16 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (274.0m) change vs 12m ago 3.79% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 49.00% (prev 47.12%; Δ 1.88pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 45.19% (prev 43.31%; Δ 1.87pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 5.12 (EBITDA TTM 6.75b / Interest Expense TTM 991.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -0.07
| (A) -0.24 = (Total Current Assets 1.89b - Total Current Liabilities 11.47b) / Total Assets 40.11b |
| (B) 0.14 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 5.44b / Total Assets 40.11b |
| (C) 0.13 = EBIT TTM 5.08b / Avg Total Assets 38.59b |
| (D) 0.16 = Book Value of Equity 4.92b / Total Liabilities 29.82b |
| Total Rating: -0.07 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 78.42
| 1. Piotroski 6.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.24% |
| 3. FCF Margin 11.67% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 2.08 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.04 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 8.72)% |
| 7. RoE 46.81% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 82.98% |
| 9. EPS Trend 88.48% |
What is the price of RCL shares?
As of December 08, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 257.66 with a total of 2,111,446 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.35%, over one month by +0.64%, over three months by -26.38% and over the past year by +5.48%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.35%, over one month by +0.64%, over three months by -26.38% and over the past year by +5.48%.
Is RCL a buy, sell or hold?
Royal Caribbean Cruises has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.33.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy RCL.
- Strong Buy: 15
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the RCL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 333.5 | 29.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 333.5 | 29.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 347.8 | 35% |
RCL Fundamental Data Overview December 06, 2025
Market Cap USD = 70.27b (70.27b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 17.3392
P/E Forward = 14.4092
P/S = 4.0298
P/B = 7.0062
P/EG = 0.8276
Beta = 1.914
Revenue TTM = 17.44b USD
EBIT TTM = 5.08b USD
EBITDA TTM = 6.75b USD
Long Term Debt = 17.20b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 3.16b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 20.98b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 20.54b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 90.81b USD (70.27b + Debt 20.98b - CCE 432.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.12 (Ebit TTM 5.08b / Interest Expense TTM 991.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.24% (FCF TTM 2.04b / Enterprise Value 90.81b)
FCF Margin = 11.67% (FCF TTM 2.04b / Revenue TTM 17.44b)
Net Margin = 23.35% (Net Income TTM 4.07b / Revenue TTM 17.44b)
Gross Margin = 49.00% ((Revenue TTM 17.44b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.89b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 51.76% (prev 49.69%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.26 (Enterprise Value 90.81b / Total Assets 40.11b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.18% (Interest Expense 248.0m / Debt 20.98b)
Taxrate = -0.62% (negative due to tax credits) (-18.0m / 2.90b)
NOPAT = 5.11b (EBIT 5.08b * (1 - -0.62%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 0.16 (Total Current Assets 1.89b / Total Current Liabilities 11.47b)
Debt / Equity = 2.08 (Debt 20.98b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 10.09b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.04 (Net Debt 20.54b / EBITDA 6.75b)
Debt / FCF = 10.09 (Net Debt 20.54b / FCF TTM 2.04b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 8.70b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.15% (Net Income 4.07b / Total Assets 40.11b)
RoE = 46.81% (Net Income TTM 4.07b / Total Stockholder Equity 8.70b)
RoCE = 19.61% (EBIT 5.08b / Capital Employed (Equity 8.70b + L.T.Debt 17.20b))
RoIC = 18.00% (NOPAT 5.11b / Invested Capital 28.39b)
WACC = 9.28% (E(70.27b)/V(91.24b) * Re(11.69%) + D(20.98b)/V(91.24b) * Rd(1.18%) * (1-Tc(-0.01)))
Discount Rate = 11.69% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.08%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 55.98% ; FCFE base≈2.04b ; Y1≈1.34b ; Y5≈611.0m
Fair Price DCF = 27.29 (DCF Value 7.44b / Shares Outstanding 272.7m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 88.48 | EPS CAGR: 175.9% | SUE: 0.71 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 82.98 | Revenue CAGR: 55.47% | SUE: -0.60 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=3.10 | Chg30d=-0.020 | Revisions Net=-4 | Analysts=10
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=17.78 | Chg30d=-0.012 | Revisions Net=-18 | Growth EPS=+13.7% | Growth Revenue=+9.5%
P/E Trailing = 17.3392
P/E Forward = 14.4092
P/S = 4.0298
P/B = 7.0062
P/EG = 0.8276
Beta = 1.914
Revenue TTM = 17.44b USD
EBIT TTM = 5.08b USD
EBITDA TTM = 6.75b USD
Long Term Debt = 17.20b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 3.16b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 20.98b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 20.54b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 90.81b USD (70.27b + Debt 20.98b - CCE 432.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.12 (Ebit TTM 5.08b / Interest Expense TTM 991.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.24% (FCF TTM 2.04b / Enterprise Value 90.81b)
FCF Margin = 11.67% (FCF TTM 2.04b / Revenue TTM 17.44b)
Net Margin = 23.35% (Net Income TTM 4.07b / Revenue TTM 17.44b)
Gross Margin = 49.00% ((Revenue TTM 17.44b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.89b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 51.76% (prev 49.69%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.26 (Enterprise Value 90.81b / Total Assets 40.11b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.18% (Interest Expense 248.0m / Debt 20.98b)
Taxrate = -0.62% (negative due to tax credits) (-18.0m / 2.90b)
NOPAT = 5.11b (EBIT 5.08b * (1 - -0.62%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 0.16 (Total Current Assets 1.89b / Total Current Liabilities 11.47b)
Debt / Equity = 2.08 (Debt 20.98b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 10.09b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.04 (Net Debt 20.54b / EBITDA 6.75b)
Debt / FCF = 10.09 (Net Debt 20.54b / FCF TTM 2.04b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 8.70b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.15% (Net Income 4.07b / Total Assets 40.11b)
RoE = 46.81% (Net Income TTM 4.07b / Total Stockholder Equity 8.70b)
RoCE = 19.61% (EBIT 5.08b / Capital Employed (Equity 8.70b + L.T.Debt 17.20b))
RoIC = 18.00% (NOPAT 5.11b / Invested Capital 28.39b)
WACC = 9.28% (E(70.27b)/V(91.24b) * Re(11.69%) + D(20.98b)/V(91.24b) * Rd(1.18%) * (1-Tc(-0.01)))
Discount Rate = 11.69% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.08%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 55.98% ; FCFE base≈2.04b ; Y1≈1.34b ; Y5≈611.0m
Fair Price DCF = 27.29 (DCF Value 7.44b / Shares Outstanding 272.7m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 88.48 | EPS CAGR: 175.9% | SUE: 0.71 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 82.98 | Revenue CAGR: 55.47% | SUE: -0.60 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=3.10 | Chg30d=-0.020 | Revisions Net=-4 | Analysts=10
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=17.78 | Chg30d=-0.012 | Revisions Net=-18 | Growth EPS=+13.7% | Growth Revenue=+9.5%
Additional Sources for RCL Stock
News:
Wall Street Journal |
Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle