(RDW) Redwire - Overview

Sector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 3.479m USD | Total Return: 9.8% in 12m

Space Infrastructure, Navigation Sensors, Satellite Platforms, Robotic
Total Rating 27
Safety 30
Buy Signal 0.48
Aerospace & Defense
Industry Rotation: +12.9
Market Cap: 3.48B
Avg Turnover: 330M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility141%
VaR 5th Pctl23.1%
VaR vs Median-0.56%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.81
Rel. Str. IBD96.4
Rel. Str. Peer Group97.3
Character TTM
Beta2.872
Beta Downside2.806
Hurst Exponent0.520
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD80.28%
CAGR/Max DD1.18
CAGR/Mean DD2.84
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of RDW over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": -0.61, "2021-06": -0.3, "2021-09": -0.05, "2021-12": -0.15, "2022-03": -0.28, "2022-06": -1.22, "2022-09": -0.11, "2022-12": -0.43, "2023-03": -0.07, "2023-06": -0.12, "2023-09": -0.04, "2023-12": -0.09, "2024-03": -0.17, "2024-06": -0.1, "2024-09": -0.1, "2024-12": -0.24, "2025-03": -0.09, "2025-06": -1.41, "2025-09": -0.19, "2025-12": -0.2201, "2026-03": -0.1216,
Last SUE: 0.11
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of RDW over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 31.698, 2021-06: 32.148, 2021-09: 32.68, 2021-12: 41.075, 2022-03: 32.867, 2022-06: 36.728, 2022-09: 37.249, 2022-12: 53.705, 2023-03: 57.605, 2023-06: 60.098, 2023-09: 62.612, 2023-12: 63.485, 2024-03: 87.792, 2024-06: 78.111, 2024-09: 68.638, 2024-12: 69.56, 2025-03: 61.395, 2025-06: 61.76, 2025-09: 103.432, 2025-12: 108.794, 2026-03: 96.972,
Rev. CAGR: 15.92%
Rev. Trend: 84.9%
Last SUE: -0.47
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Share dilution 172.0% YoY

Interest Coverage Ratio -6.5 is critical

Altman Z'' -4.47 < 1.0 - financial distress zone

Extended 3d Volatile

Tailwinds

Rs Leader, Idiosyncratic Leader, Tailwind, Pullback 52w

Description: RDW Redwire

Redwire Corporation (RDW) is a space infrastructure provider specializing in critical components and mission-critical solutions for government and commercial sectors. The company operates through two primary segments: Space and Defense Tech. Its product portfolio includes navigation sensors, avionics, camera systems, and specialized payloads for space situational awareness and radio frequency communications. Redwire also develops digital engineering software for cloud-based spacecraft modeling and maintains a focus on in-space manufacturing and biotechnology facilities.

The company serves a diverse client base, including the U.S. Department of Defense and various federal civilian agencies, by providing autonomous systems and intelligence capabilities. The space infrastructure sector is characterized by high barriers to entry due to the technical complexity and rigorous flight-heritage requirements for mission-critical hardware. As a mid-cap player in the Aerospace & Defense industry, Redwire’s business model relies on a mix of hardware sales and recurring engineering services tailored to the growing demand for orbital logistics and satellite constellation management.

Investors looking for deeper fundamental insights may find it useful to evaluate these metrics on ValueRay. Redwire’s integration of uncrewed airborne systems and resilient energy solutions further diversifies its revenue streams across both orbital and terrestrial defense domains.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Backlog growth and contract awards from national security space programs
  • Space infrastructure margins expand through increased production of standardized components
  • Commercial space station development drives long-term orbital services revenue
  • Strategic acquisitions accelerate expansion into high-growth European defense markets
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 0.5
Net Income: -300.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 13.64 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 37.10% < 20% (prev 8.50%; Δ 28.60% < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.09 > 3% & CFO -139.9m > Net Income -300.1m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 1.75 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (193.7m) vs 12m ago 172.0% < -2%
Gross Margin: 9.18% > 18% (prev 0.14%; Δ 904.0% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 40.65% > 50% (prev 88.41%; Δ -47.77% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -6.49 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -209.7m / Interest Expense TTM 38.6m)
Altman Z'' -4.47
A: 0.09 (Total Current Assets 320.7m - Total Current Liabilities 183.1m) / Total Assets 1.51b
B: -0.46 (Retained Earnings -698.3m / Total Assets 1.51b)
C: -0.27 (EBIT TTM -250.5m / Avg Total Assets 912.6m)
D: -1.64 (Book Value of Equity -694.4m / Total Liabilities 423.6m)
Altman-Z'' = -4.47 = D
Beneish M -2.16
DSRI: 0.84 (Receivables 85.8m/76.0m, Revenue 371.0m/277.7m)
GMI: 1.52 (GM 9.18% / 13.93%)
AQI: 1.67 (AQ_t 0.73 / AQ_t-1 0.44)
SGI: 1.34 (Revenue 371.0m / 277.7m)
TATA: -0.11 (NI -300.1m - CFO -139.9m) / TA 1.51b)
Beneish M = -2.16 (Cap -4..+1) = BB
What is the price of RDW shares?

As of May 26, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 17.49 with a total of 55,143,400 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +24.40%, over one month by +87.46%, over three months by +102.90% and over the past year by +9.79%.

Is RDW a buy, sell or hold?

Redwire has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.67. Therefore, it is recommended to buy RDW.

  • StrongBuy: 4
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the RDW price?
Analysts Target Price 14.3 -18.1%
Redwire (RDW) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 26 May 2026
Market Cap USD = 3.48b (3.48b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/S = 9.3787
P/B = 3.1991
Revenue TTM = 371.0m USD
EBIT TTM = -250.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = -209.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 83.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 13.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 249.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 40.5m
Net Debt = 104.2m USD (calculated: Debt 249.4m - CCE 145.2m)
Enterprise Value = 3.58b USD (3.48b + Debt 249.4m - CCE 145.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -6.49 (Ebit TTM -250.5m / Interest Expense TTM 38.6m)
EV/FCF = -22.78x (Enterprise Value 3.58b / FCF TTM -157.3m)
FCF Yield = -4.39% (FCF TTM -157.3m / Enterprise Value 3.58b)
FCF Margin = -42.41% (FCF TTM -157.3m / Revenue TTM 371.0m)
Net Margin = -80.90% (Net Income TTM -300.1m / Revenue TTM 371.0m)
Gross Margin = 9.18% ((Revenue TTM 371.0m - Cost of Revenue TTM 336.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 26.61% (prev 9.65%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.37 (Enterprise Value 3.58b / Total Assets 1.51b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 15.47% (Interest Expense 38.6m / Debt 249.4m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -197.9m (EBIT -250.5m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.75 (Total Current Assets 320.7m / Total Current Liabilities 183.1m)
Debt / Equity = 0.23 (Debt 249.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.09b)
 Debt / EBITDA = -0.50 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 104.2m / EBITDA -209.7m)
 Debt / FCF = -0.66 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 104.2m / FCF TTM -157.3m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 1.03b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -32.88% (Net Income -300.1m / Total Assets 1.51b)
RoE = -17.33% (Net Income TTM -300.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.73b)
RoCE = -13.80% (EBIT -250.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.73b + L.T.Debt 83.4m))
 RoIC = -14.76% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -197.9m / Invested Capital 1.34b)
 WACC = 15.82% (E(3.48b)/V(3.73b) * Re(16.08%) + D(249.4m)/V(3.73b) * Rd(15.47%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 16.08% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 100.00 | Cagr: 62.24%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -157.3m)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.11 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 84.93 | Revenue CAGR: 15.92% | SUE: -0.47 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.15 | Chg30d=+6.25% | Revisions=+20% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.12 | Chg30d=+14.29% | Revisions=+20% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.68 | Chg30d=-13.33% | Revisions=-20% | GrowthEPS=+26.4% | GrowthRev=+40.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-0.41 | Chg30d=+10.87% | Revisions=+20% | GrowthEPS=+39.7% | GrowthRev=+20.2%