(REX) REX American Resources - Overview
Stock: Ethanol, Distillers Grain, Corn Oil, Corn, Natural Gas
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 34.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.7% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.62 |
| Alpha | 54.09 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.675 |
| Beta Downside | 0.441 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 41.59% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.67 |
Description: REX REX American Resources January 21, 2026
REX American Resources Corp. (NYSE: REX) is a Dayton-based agribusiness that manufactures and markets ethanol and related co-products-including corn, distillers grains, distillers corn oil, gasoline, and natural gas-primarily for the U.S. market. The firm also sells dry distillers grains with solubles (DDGS) as a high-protein animal-feed ingredient. Founded in 1980 as REX Stores Corp., it rebranded to its current name in 2010.
Key operational metrics (2023 ≈ latest public filings) show an ethanol production capacity of roughly 500 million gallons per year, generating about $1.2 billion in revenue with a net profit margin near 4 %. The business is highly sensitive to corn price fluctuations and Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) credit values-both of which have driven earnings volatility in the past two years. A sector-wide driver is the U.S. gasoline demand outlook; a 5 % rise in gasoline consumption typically lifts ethanol volumes by 3-4 % due to the mandated blend wall.
For a deeper quantitative look, you might explore ValueRay’s analyst dashboard for REX to see how these drivers are currently priced in the market.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income: 50.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.73 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 54.43% < 20% (prev 58.35%; Δ -3.92% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 89.1m > Net Income 50.3m |
| Net Debt (-249.1m) to EBITDA (77.7m): -3.20 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 7.16 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (33.3m) vs 12m ago -6.15% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 12.66% > 18% (prev 0.16%; Δ 1250 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 88.80% > 50% (prev 94.00%; Δ -5.21% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -2.40 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 77.7m / Interest Expense TTM -23.3m) |
Altman Z'' 10.00
| A: 0.47 (Total Current Assets 411.7m - Total Current Liabilities 57.5m) / Total Assets 750.1m |
| B: 0.76 (Retained Earnings 566.6m / Total Assets 750.1m) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 55.8m / Avg Total Assets 732.9m) |
| D: 6.04 (Book Value of Equity 566.9m / Total Liabilities 93.9m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 12.41 = AAA |
Beneish M -2.86
| DSRI: 1.24 (Receivables 33.5m/27.9m, Revenue 650.8m/672.8m) |
| GMI: 1.24 (GM 12.66% / 15.74%) |
| AQI: 0.70 (AQ_t 0.05 / AQ_t-1 0.08) |
| SGI: 0.97 (Revenue 650.8m / 672.8m) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 50.3m - CFO 89.1m) / TA 750.1m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.86 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of REX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.26%, over one month by +7.64%, over three months by +8.22% and over the past year by +62.92%.
Is REX a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the REX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 50 | 45.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 50 | 45.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 45 | 31.1% |
REX Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/S = 1.7175
P/B = 1.9974
P/EG = 2.53
Revenue TTM = 650.8m USD
EBIT TTM = 55.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 77.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.79m USD (from longTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 7.33m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 22.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -249.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 831.3m USD (1.08b + Debt 22.9m - CCE 272.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -2.40 (Ebit TTM 55.8m / Interest Expense TTM -23.3m)
EV/FCF = 47.26x (Enterprise Value 831.3m / FCF TTM 17.6m)
FCF Yield = 2.12% (FCF TTM 17.6m / Enterprise Value 831.3m)
FCF Margin = 2.70% (FCF TTM 17.6m / Revenue TTM 650.8m)
Net Margin = 7.73% (Net Income TTM 50.3m / Revenue TTM 650.8m)
Gross Margin = 12.66% ((Revenue TTM 650.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 568.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 20.57% (prev 9.03%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.11 (Enterprise Value 831.3m / Total Assets 750.1m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 34.22% (Interest Expense 7.85m / Debt 22.9m)
Taxrate = 22.53% (7.99m / 35.5m)
NOPAT = 43.3m (EBIT 55.8m * (1 - 22.53%))
Current Ratio = 7.16 (Total Current Assets 411.7m / Total Current Liabilities 57.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.04 (Debt 22.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 566.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = -3.20 (Net Debt -249.1m / EBITDA 77.7m)
Debt / FCF = -14.16 (Net Debt -249.1m / FCF TTM 17.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 552.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.86% (Net Income 50.3m / Total Assets 750.1m)
RoE = 9.11% (Net Income TTM 50.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 552.4m)
RoCE = 10.06% (EBIT 55.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 552.4m + L.T.Debt 2.79m))
RoIC = 7.83% (NOPAT 43.3m / Invested Capital 552.4m)
WACC = 8.78% (E(1.08b)/V(1.10b) * Re(8.40%) + D(22.9m)/V(1.10b) * Rd(34.22%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 8.40% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -2.59%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 66.80% ; FCFF base≈22.2m ; Y1≈14.6m ; Y5≈6.68m
Fair Price DCF = 11.01 (EV 114.9m - Net Debt -249.1m = Equity 364.0m / Shares 33.1m; r=8.78% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -39.92% → 2.90% )
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-39.92%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: 1.10 | EPS CAGR: -38.72% | SUE: -0.55 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -78.02 | Revenue CAGR: -4.90% | SUE: 3.19 | # QB: 2
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=3.00 | Chg30d=-0.880 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+93.5% | Growth Revenue=+17.1%