REX Stock Analysis: REX American Resources | NYSE

Chemicals | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 1.453m USD | 12M Return: 85.4% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Ethanol, Corn, Distillers Grains, Natural Gas
Total Rating 60
Safety 84
Buy Signal 0.06
Chemicals
Industry Rotation: -16.6
Market Cap: 1.45B
Avg Turnover: 9.36M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility33.7%
VaR 5th Pctl5.41%
VaR vs Median-2.27%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.98
Rel. Str. IBD79.3
Rel. Str. Peer Group44.1
Character TTM
Beta0.728
Beta Downside0.774
Hurst Exponent0.414
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD41.59%
CAGR/Max DD0.92
CAGR/Mean DD2.77
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of REX over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-07": 0.44, "2021-10": 0.85, "2022-01": 1.19, "2022-04": 0.29, "2022-07": 0.63, "2022-10": 0.18, "2023-01": 0.47, "2023-04": 0.3, "2023-07": 0.52, "2023-10": 1.49, "2024-01": 1.16, "2024-04": 0.58, "2024-07": 0.7, "2024-10": 1.38, "2025-01": 0.63, "2025-04": 0.5123, "2025-07": 0.22, "2025-10": 0.71, "2026-01": 1.3242, "2026-04": 0.56,
EPS CAGR: 1.67%
EPS Trend: 5.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of REX over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-07: 195.843, 2021-10: 203.066, 2022-01: 212.016, 2022-04: 194.228, 2022-07: 240.328, 2022-10: 220.277, 2023-01: 200.167, 2023-04: 212.714, 2023-07: 211.977, 2023-10: 221.079, 2024-01: 188.491, 2024-04: 161.231, 2024-07: 148.155, 2024-10: 174.877, 2025-01: 158.228, 2025-04: 158.34, 2025-07: 158.563, 2025-10: 175.625, 2026-01: 157.959, 2026-04: 164.048,
Rev. CAGR: -10.85%
Rev. Trend: -88.7%
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan -0.2% 5
Feb -0.8% 6
Mar -4.1% 13
Apr -0.6% 5
May +2.0% 23
Jun +0.5% 3
Jul +2.9% 20
Aug -2.2% 10
Sep +0.1% 1
Oct +0.4% 2
Nov +1.6% 12
Dec -4.5% 31

Average return per month, with how dependable it is below — did the month move the same way every year (high) or randomly (low). Above 60 is a pattern worth trusting; under 40 is noise.

Description: REX REX American Resources

REX American Resources Corporation (NYSE: REX) is a Dayton, Ohio-based producer and seller of ethanol in the United States, with operations spanning the corn-based biofuels value chain. Beyond ethanol, the company offers related products including corn, distillers grains, distillers corn oil, gasoline, and natural gas. It also produces dry distillers grains with solubles (DDGS), a co-product used as a protein source in animal feed. The company was founded in 1980, originally as REX Stores Corporation, and adopted its current name in June 2010.

The business operates as a corn dry-mill ethanol producer, a model in which corn is processed into fuel ethanol alongside co-products such as DDGS and corn oil, helping diversify revenue streams beyond fuel sales. Ethanol is primarily blended into gasoline (commonly as E10 in the U.S. market) to meet octane and oxygenate requirements, tying producer margins to both corn input costs and gasoline/ethanol pricing spreads. REX is classified within the GICS Energy sector under Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing and trades as a small-cap stock.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Ethanol margins rise on falling corn input costs
  • RIN credit prices lift ethanol producer revenues
  • Biofuel blending mandates support ethanol demand
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.5
Net Income: 92.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 4.32 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 57.33% < 20% (prev 55.69%; Δ 1.64% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.15 > 3% & CFO 119.2m > Net Income 92.7m
Net Debt (-344.8m) to EBITDA (118.7m): -2.90 < 3
Current Ratio: 6.76 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (33.1m) vs 12m ago -2.25% < -2%
Gross Margin: 16.52% > 18% (prev 14.29%; Δ 2.24% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 87.40% > 50% (prev 92.18%; Δ -4.78% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM)
Altman Z'' 10.00
A: 0.47 (Total Current Assets 441.5m - Total Current Liabilities 65.3m) / Total Assets 807.7m
B: 0.78 (Retained Earnings 628.8m / Total Assets 807.7m)
C: 0.13 (EBIT TTM 101.1m / Avg Total Assets 750.8m)
D: 7.50 (Book Value of Equity 629.2m / Total Liabilities 83.9m)
Altman-Z'' = 14.37 = AAA
Beneish M -3.13
DSRI: 0.89 (Receivables 32.3m/35.3m, Revenue 656.2m/639.6m)
GMI: 0.86 (GM 14.29% / 16.52%)
AQI: 1.16 (AQ_t 0.06 / AQ_t-1 0.05)
SGI: 1.03 (Revenue 656.2m / 639.6m)
TATA: -0.03 (NI 92.7m - CFO 119.2m) / TA 807.7m)
Beneish M = -3.13 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of REX shares?

As of July 02, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 45.15 with a total of 116,804 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.34%, over one month by -8.58%, over three months by -0.92% and over the past year by +85.38%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 43.10 (which is 4.5% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is REX a buy, sell or hold?

REX American Resources has no consensus analysts rating.

What are the forecasts/targets for the REX price?
Analysts Target Price 50 10.7%
REX American Resources (REX) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 30 June 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.45b (1.45b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 15.7571
P/E Forward = 12.4533
P/S = 2.2146
P/B = 2.3095
P/EG = 1.7383
Revenue TTM = 656.2m USD
EBIT TTM = 101.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 118.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.73m USD (from longTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 7.45m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 19.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 19.5m already included)
Net Debt = -344.8m USD (calculated: Debt 19.5m - CCE 364.3m)
Enterprise Value = 1.11b USD (1.45b + Debt 19.5m - CCE 364.3m)
 Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 101.1m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
 EV/FCF = 24.08x (Enterprise Value 1.11b / FCF TTM 46.0m)
FCF Yield = 4.15% (FCF TTM 46.0m / Enterprise Value 1.11b)
FCF Margin = 7.02% (FCF TTM 46.0m / Revenue TTM 656.2m)
Net Margin = 14.13% (Net Income TTM 92.7m / Revenue TTM 656.2m)
Gross Margin = 16.52% ((Revenue TTM 656.2m - Cost of Revenue TTM 547.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 17.72% (prev 18.30%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.37 (Enterprise Value 1.11b / Total Assets 807.7m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 19.5m)
Taxrate = 16.99% (4.44m / 26.1m)
NOPAT = 83.9m (EBIT 101.1m * (1 - 16.99%))
Current Ratio = 6.76 (Total Current Assets 441.5m / Total Current Liabilities 65.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.03 (Debt 19.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 629.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = -2.90 (Net Debt -344.8m / EBITDA 118.7m)
Debt / FCF = -7.49 (Net Debt -344.8m / FCF TTM 46.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 588.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 12.35% (Net Income 92.7m / Total Assets 807.7m)
RoE = 15.77% (Net Income TTM 92.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 588.2m)
RoCE = 17.10% (EBIT 101.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 588.2m + L.T.Debt 2.73m))
RoIC = 11.70% (NOPAT 83.9m / Invested Capital 717.0m)
WACC = 8.43% (E(1.45b)/V(1.47b) * Re(8.54%) + D(19.5m)/V(1.47b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 8.54% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -55.56 | Cagr: -2.82%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.72% ; FCFF base≈31.5m ; Y1≈36.1m ; Y5≈53.1m
[DCF] Fair Price = 34.39 (EV 788.1m - Net Debt -344.8m = Equity 1.13b / Shares 32.9m; r=8.43% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 5.28 | EPS CAGR: 1.67% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -88.74 | Revenue CAGR: -10.85% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0