(RGR) Sturm Ruger - Overview

Sector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 638m USD | Total Return: 11.6% in 12m

Rifles, Pistols, Revolvers, Metal Castings, Shotguns
Total Rating 47
Safety 89
Buy Signal 0.41
Aerospace & Defense
Industry Rotation: +12.9
Market Cap: 638M
Avg Turnover: 4.77M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility27.9%
VaR 5th Pctl4.21%
VaR vs Median-10.7%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.41
Rel. Str. IBD66.2
Rel. Str. Peer Group55.3
Character TTM
Beta0.456
Beta Downside0.442
Hurst Exponent0.654
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD46.00%
CAGR/Max DD-0.16
CAGR/Mean DD-0.32
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of RGR over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 2.16, "2021-06": 2.5, "2021-09": 1.98, "2021-12": 2.14, "2022-03": 1.7, "2022-06": 1.17, "2022-09": 1.03, "2022-12": 1.06, "2023-03": 0.81, "2023-06": 0.91, "2023-09": 0.42, "2023-12": 0.58, "2024-03": 0.4, "2024-06": 0.47, "2024-09": 0.28, "2024-12": 0.62, "2025-03": 0.46, "2025-06": 0.41, "2025-09": 0.11, "2025-12": 0.26, "2026-03": 0.27,
EPS CAGR: -32.21%
EPS Trend: -94.9%
Last SUE: -0.75
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of RGR over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 184.377, 2021-06: 200.072, 2021-09: 178.246, 2021-12: 168.042, 2022-03: 166.575, 2022-06: 140.653, 2022-09: 139.39, 2022-12: 149.224, 2023-03: 149.453, 2023-06: 142.804, 2023-09: 120.893, 2023-12: 130.617, 2024-03: 136.82, 2024-06: 130.761, 2024-09: 122.287, 2024-12: 145.775, 2025-03: 135.738, 2025-06: 132.491, 2025-09: 126.766, 2025-12: 151.062, 2026-03: 141.356,
Rev. CAGR: -0.98%
Rev. Trend: -28.3%
Last SUE: 0.33
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Interest Coverage Ratio -162.6 is critical

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: RGR Sturm Ruger

Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. (RGR) is a domestic manufacturer specializing in the design and production of firearms for the commercial sporting, law enforcement, and government markets. The company operates through two primary segments: Firearms, which includes various rifles, pistols, and revolvers under the Ruger and Marlin brands, and Castings, which produces steel investment castings and metal injection molding (MIM) parts.

The business model relies heavily on a network of independent wholesale distributors for commercial sales, a common structure in the U.S. firearm industry to ensure regulatory compliance and broad retail reach. As a participant in the Leisure Products sub-industry, the company’s performance is often tied to cyclical consumer demand and shifts in the domestic regulatory environment. Investors can use ValueRay to further analyze the companys historical financial performance and valuation metrics.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • NICS background check trends dictate domestic commercial firearms demand volume
  • Federal and state legislative actions drive surge or decline in consumer purchasing
  • Raw material and labor costs impact gross margins for firearms and castings
  • Expansion of the Marlin product line serves as a primary revenue catalyst
  • Dividend payouts and share repurchases influence investor sentiment and total returns
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 6.0
Net Income: -12.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.12 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.82 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 28.62% < 20% (prev 37.16%; Δ -8.54% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.18 > 3% & CFO 61.9m > Net Income -12.0m
Net Debt (-102.5m) to EBITDA (7.05m): -14.53 < 3
Current Ratio: 3.50 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (16.2m) vs 12m ago -3.58% < -2%
Gross Margin: 14.38% > 18% (prev 0.21%; Δ 1.42k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 151.5% > 50% (prev 141.0%; Δ 10.49% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -162.6 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 7.05m / Interest Expense TTM 100k)
Altman Z'' 10.00
A: 0.45 (Total Current Assets 221.1m - Total Current Liabilities 63.2m) / Total Assets 349.1m
B: 1.21 (Retained Earnings 420.9m / Total Assets 349.1m)
C: -0.04 (EBIT TTM -16.3m / Avg Total Assets 364.1m)
D: 6.77 (Book Value of Equity 445.4m / Total Liabilities 65.8m)
Altman-Z'' = 13.70 = AAA
Beneish M -2.81
DSRI: 1.05 (Receivables 72.9m/67.5m, Revenue 551.7m/534.6m)
GMI: 1.49 (GM 14.38% / 21.50%)
AQI: 0.88 (AQ_t 0.14 / AQ_t-1 0.15)
SGI: 1.03 (Revenue 551.7m / 534.6m)
TATA: -0.21 (NI -12.0m - CFO 61.9m) / TA 349.1m)
Beneish M = -2.81 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of RGR shares?

As of May 26, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 40.04 with a total of 127,707 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.44%, over one month by -6.62%, over three months by +10.42% and over the past year by +11.56%.

Is RGR a buy, sell or hold?

Sturm Ruger has received a consensus analysts rating of 5.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy RGR.

  • StrongBuy: 1
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the RGR price?
Analysts Target Price 47 17.4%
Sturm Ruger (RGR) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 25 May 2026
Market Cap USD = 638.4m (638.4m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 8.6133
P/S = 1.1572
P/B = 2.2535
Revenue TTM = 551.7m USD
EBIT TTM = -16.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 7.05m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.06m USD (estimated: total debt 1.65m - short term 595k)
Short Term Debt = 595k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.71m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.06m
Net Debt = -102.5m USD (calculated: Debt 2.71m - CCE 105.2m)
Enterprise Value = 535.9m USD (638.4m + Debt 2.71m - CCE 105.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -162.6 (Ebit TTM -16.3m / Interest Expense TTM 100k)
EV/FCF = 12.64x (Enterprise Value 535.9m / FCF TTM 42.4m)
FCF Yield = 7.91% (FCF TTM 42.4m / Enterprise Value 535.9m)
FCF Margin = 7.69% (FCF TTM 42.4m / Revenue TTM 551.7m)
Net Margin = -2.18% (Net Income TTM -12.0m / Revenue TTM 551.7m)
Gross Margin = 14.38% ((Revenue TTM 551.7m - Cost of Revenue TTM 472.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 19.86% (prev 17.84%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.54 (Enterprise Value 535.9m / Total Assets 349.1m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.69% (Interest Expense 100k / Debt 2.71m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -12.8m (EBIT -16.3m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 3.50 (Total Current Assets 221.1m / Total Current Liabilities 63.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 2.71m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 283.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = -14.53 (Net Debt -102.5m / EBITDA 7.05m)
Debt / FCF = -2.42 (Net Debt -102.5m / FCF TTM 42.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 284.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -3.30% (Net Income -12.0m / Total Assets 349.1m)
RoE = -4.24% (Net Income TTM -12.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 284.0m)
RoCE = -5.70% (EBIT -16.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 284.0m + L.T.Debt 1.06m))
 RoIC = -5.81% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -12.8m / Invested Capital 221.2m)
 WACC = 7.57% (E(638.4m)/V(641.1m) * Re(7.59%) + D(2.71m)/V(641.1m) * Rd(3.69%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 7.59% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -86.67 | Cagr: -3.66%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.47% ; FCFF base≈41.1m ; Y1≈44.1m ; Y5≈53.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = 57.79 (EV 818.9m - Net Debt -102.5m = Equity 921.4m / Shares 15.9m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 8.31% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -94.91 | EPS CAGR: -32.21% | SUE: -0.75 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -28.27 | Revenue CAGR: -0.98% | SUE: 0.33 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.42 | Chg30d=-9.68% | Revisions=-20% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.39 | Chg30d=-17.02% | Revisions=-20% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.70 | Chg30d=-10.29% | Revisions=-20% | GrowthEPS=+102.4% | GrowthRev=+1.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.98 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | GrowthEPS=+16.5% | GrowthRev=+2.6%